| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| -149 |
|
| Draw | +366 |
| +380 |
Total goals 3.5: over +100
, under -120 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 4:08 PM ET.
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes preview
Minnesota United FC hosts San Jose Earthquakes on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET in MLS. Minnesota is the -130 moneyline favorite, San Jose is +333 and the draw is +333, while the total is 3.5. The last meeting was San Jose 1-5 Minnesota on Aug. 23, 2026. Minnesota’s recent form is WWDWD, and San Jose’s is WDLDD; Minnesota is 12th with 41 points from 33 matches, San Jose is 3rd with 52.
The main availability notes are Wil Trapp out for Minnesota with a concussion and Nonso Adimabua out for San Jose with a muscle injury. Among the props, Kelvin Yeboah over 0.5 score or assist is -110 and has cleared in 8 of his last 10, while Cherrion Valerius over 1.5 tackles is -170 and has cleared in 5 of his last 6. Those are the clearest research points in a match with a 3.5 total.
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction
The books imply 59% / 21% / 20%
The model leans slightly to San Jose at 41% to Minnesota’s 35%, with a 1-1 most likely score, while the books disagree and imply Minnesota at 55%. San Jose’s table position of 8 with 52 points and 1.70 goals scored per match support the model, and Minnesota’s home record of 4-7-5 helps explain the gap. San Jose is missing Jones D. with an Achilles tendon injury, and Minnesota is missing Trapp W. with a concussion.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherrion Valerius Minnesota United | Over 1.5 tackles | -170 |
83.3% (5/6) | 100% |
| Kelvin Yeboah Minnesota United | Over 0.5 score or assist | -120 |
80% (8/10) | 80% |
| Kyle Duncan Minnesota United | Over 0.5 shots | -200 |
70% (7/10) | 40% |
| Preston Judd SJ Earthquakes | Over 0.5 shots on target | -200 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
| Jack Jasinski SJ Earthquakes | Over 1.5 fouls | +120 |
60% (6/10) | 80% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 4:08 PM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Hlongwane vs Ricketts
Hlongwane
RickettsGonzalez vs Kikanovic
Gonzalez
KikanovicPereyra vs Munie and Romney and Roberts
Pereyra
Munie
Romney
RobertsYeboah vs Munie and Romney and Roberts
Yeboah
Munie
Romney
RobertsLeroux vs Markanich
Leroux
MarkanichLowen vs Valerius
Lowen
ValeriusWerner vs Diaz and Duggan
Werner
Diaz
DugganBouda vs Diaz and Duggan
Bouda
Diaz
DugganAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Minnesota United FC 4-4-2
San Jose Earthquakes 5-3-2
6/1012 CallenderSaves 2.5+
5/652 ValeriusTackles 1.5+
5/1028 DiazShots 0.5+
6/1023 DugganTackles 1.5+
13 Markanich
21 Hlongwane
25 Triantis
30 Gene
18 Gonzalez
6/1026 PereyraG+A 0.5+
8/109 YeboahG+A 0.5+
1 Gunn
5/1028 KikanovicFouls 0.5+
5 Munie
4 Romney
5/1018 RobertsTackles 1.5+
2 Ricketts
5/1034 LerouxFouls won 1.5+
10 Tsakiris
6/1023 LowenShots 1.5+
11 Werner
6/107 BoudaFouls won 1.5+Minnesota United FC missing: W. Trapp (concussion)
San Jose Earthquakes missing: N. Adimabua (groin), D. Jones (achilles tendon)
Form and head to head
Minnesota United FC21st in the tableWWDWD10W 11D 12L · 1.24 points a match
San Jose Earthquakes8th in the tableWDLDD14W 10D 9L · 1.58 points a match- Aug 2026SJE 1-5 MIN
- Jul 2025MIN 4-1 SJE
- Mar 2025SJE 0-1 MIN
- Sep 2024SJE 1-2 MIN
- Jul 2024MIN 2-0 SJE
Clean sheets and goal trends
Minnesota United FC
Clean sheet6/33
Failed to score6/33
Both scored24/33
Over 2.522/33
San Jose Earthquakes
Clean sheet7/33
Failed to score5/33
Both scored22/33
Over 2.519/33
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.6Scored per match1.7
- 11.9Shots per match10.1
- 5.0Shots on target per match4.9
- 0.8Big chances per match1.3
Defensive
- 1.7Conceded per match1.5
- 10.6Shots against per match9.8
- 15.6Tackles per match13.9
- 12.7Fouls per match12.3
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Minnesota United | WWDWD | W 3-1 at LAF · W 3-1 vs SKC · D 0-0 at HOU · W 3-2 vs LOU · D 2-2 at CLR |
|---|---|---|
| SJ Earthquakes | WDLDD | W 2-1 vs RSL · D 2-2 vs CLR · L 0-3 at DAL · D 1-1 vs NSH · D 1-1 at RSL |
Last five MLS results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Minnesota United | SJ Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 21 (41 pts) | 8 (52 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 10-11-12 | 14-10-9 |
| Home / away record | 4-7-5 (22-21) home | 7-5-4 (26-22) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.61 | 1.70 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.73 | 1.45 |
| Shots / on target per match | 11.88 / 4.97 | 10.12 / 4.85 |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 79% / 67% / 49% | 82% / 58% / 46% |
| Clean sheets | 18% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 15% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.97 | 2.18 |
| Corners per match | 5.30 | 6.09 |
This season, 33 and 33 matches.
Referee
Alexis Da Silva averages 4.8 yellow cards and 26.9 fouls per match over 19 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1), a card-heavy referee.
Injury report
Minnesota United FC
- Wil Trapp (M): Out, Concussion
San Jose Earthquakes
- Nonso Adimabua (F): Out, Muscle Injury
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes odds by sportsbook
| Book | MIN ML | SJ ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -167 | +375 | O 3.5 -120 | U 3.5 -120 | |
| -149 | +330 | O 3.5 -105 | U 3.5 -122 | |
| -165 | +340 | O 3.5 -105 | U 3.5 -125 | |
| -190 | +380 | O 3.5 +100 | U 3.5 -122 | |
| -160 | +375 | O 3.5 -105 | U 3.5 -125 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 4:08 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 5:40 PM ET): Minnesota United FC moneyline -130 → -149.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -225, no +175
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -950 | +590 |
| 2.5 | -260 | +205 |
| 3.5 | +100 | -122 |
| 4.5 | +235 | -300 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: LA Galaxy vs Minnesota United FC Nov 1 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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