Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

Minnesota United FC logo

Minnesota United FC12th in MLS
7:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7
San Jose Earthquakes logo

San Jose Earthquakes3rd in MLS

MLS · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET

Result Moneyline
Minnesota United FC -149
Draw +366
San Jose Earthquakes +380

Total goals 3.5: over +100 , under -120

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 4:08 PM ET.

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes preview

Minnesota United FC hosts San Jose Earthquakes on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET in MLS. Minnesota is the -130 moneyline favorite, San Jose is +333 and the draw is +333, while the total is 3.5. The last meeting was San Jose 1-5 Minnesota on Aug. 23, 2026. Minnesota’s recent form is WWDWD, and San Jose’s is WDLDD; Minnesota is 12th with 41 points from 33 matches, San Jose is 3rd with 52.

The main availability notes are Wil Trapp out for Minnesota with a concussion and Nonso Adimabua out for San Jose with a muscle injury. Among the props, Kelvin Yeboah over 0.5 score or assist is -110 and has cleared in 8 of his last 10, while Cherrion Valerius over 1.5 tackles is -170 and has cleared in 5 of his last 6. Those are the clearest research points in a match with a 3.5 total.

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction

35%Minnesota United FC
24%Draw
41%San Jose Earthquakes

The books imply 59% / 21% / 20%

1-1Most likely score11% chance
1.5 – 1.6Expected goals
59%Over 2.5 goals
61%Both teams to score

The model leans slightly to San Jose at 41% to Minnesota’s 35%, with a 1-1 most likely score, while the books disagree and imply Minnesota at 55%. San Jose’s table position of 8 with 52 points and 1.70 goals scored per match support the model, and Minnesota’s home record of 4-7-5 helps explain the gap. San Jose is missing Jones D. with an Achilles tendon injury, and Minnesota is missing Trapp W. with a concussion.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Cherrion Valerius Minnesota United Over 1.5 tackles -170 DraftKings 83.3% (5/6) 100%
Kelvin Yeboah Minnesota United Over 0.5 score or assist -120 DraftKings 80% (8/10) 80%
Kyle Duncan Minnesota United Over 0.5 shots -200 Fanatics 70% (7/10) 40%
Preston Judd SJ Earthquakes Over 0.5 shots on target -200 bet365 70% (7/10) 80%
Jack Jasinski SJ Earthquakes Over 1.5 fouls +120 DraftKings 60% (6/10) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 4:08 PM ET.

The rest of the Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Joaquín PereyraOver 0.5 score or assist6/10
Drake CallenderOver 2.5 saves6/10
Morris DugganOver 1.5 tackles6/10

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Hlongwane vs Ricketts

HlongwaneWinger, Minnesota United FC
VS
RickettsFull-back, San Jose Earthquakes
Tough matchup for HlongwaneRicketts gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 29% less than the average defender (0.8). Hlongwane draws 0.7, which points to about 0.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.7Fouls drawn vs given0.6
0.4Shots vs tackles1.8
Fouls won over 0.54/10avg 0.7 · -205DraftKings
Shots over 2.50/10avg 0.4 · +155Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +105BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -250DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.8 · -250DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +285Stake

Gonzalez vs Kikanovic

GonzalezWinger, Minnesota United FC
VS
KikanovicFull-back, San Jose Earthquakes
Good matchup for GonzalezKikanovic gives away 1.4 fouls a match, 66% more than the average defender (0.8). Gonzalez only draws 0.5, which points to about 0.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.5Fouls drawn vs given1.4
1.0Shots vs tackles0.7
Fouls won over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -175DraftKings
Shots over 2.50/10avg 1 · +110Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -120BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 1.4 · -185DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 0.7 · -120DraftKings

Pereyra vs Munie and Romney and Roberts

PereyraStriker, Minnesota United FC
VS
MunieCentre-back, San Jose Earthquakes
RomneyCentre-back, San Jose Earthquakes
RobertsCentre-back, San Jose Earthquakes
Tough matchup for PereyraMunie and Romney and Roberts give away 0.6 fouls a match, 29% less than the average defender (0.8). Pereyra draws plenty himself, at 1.4, which points to about 1.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.4Fouls drawn vs given0.6
1.2Shots vs tackles1.3
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.4 · -145DraftKings
Shots over 3.50/10avg 1.2 · +170FanDuel
Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -164BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · -195DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -140DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +300Stake
Fouls committed over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -150DraftKings
Tackles over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -290DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +600Stake
Fouls committed over 0.58/10avg 1.1 · -280DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.8 · -160DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · +285Stake

Yeboah vs Munie and Romney and Roberts

YeboahStriker, Minnesota United FC
VS
MunieCentre-back, San Jose Earthquakes
RomneyCentre-back, San Jose Earthquakes
RobertsCentre-back, San Jose Earthquakes
Tough matchup for YeboahMunie and Romney and Roberts give away 0.6 fouls a match, 29% less than the average defender (0.8). Yeboah draws plenty himself, at 1.7, which points to about 1.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.7Fouls drawn vs given0.6
3.4Shots vs tackles1.3
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.7 · +115DraftKings
Shots over 3.55/10avg 3.4 · -105Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · +105Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · -195DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -140DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +300Stake
Fouls committed over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -150DraftKings
Tackles over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -290DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +600Stake
Fouls committed over 0.58/10avg 1.1 · -280DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.8 · -160DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · +285Stake

Leroux vs Markanich

LerouxWinger, San Jose Earthquakes
VS
MarkanichFull-back, Minnesota United FC
Fouls won over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · +120DraftKings
Shots over 1.52/10avg 1 · +138bet365
Shots on target over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +150bet365

Lowen vs Valerius

LowenWinger, San Jose Earthquakes
VS
ValeriusFull-back, Minnesota United FC
Good matchup for LowenValerius gives away 1.5 fouls a match, 78% more than the average defender (0.8). Lowen draws plenty himself, at 1.4, which points to about 2.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.4Fouls drawn vs given1.5
1.7Shots vs tackles2.0
Fouls won over 0.59/10avg 1.4 · -340DraftKings
Shots over 1.56/10avg 1.7 · -155DraftKings
Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · +105DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.55/6avg 1.5 · -330DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/6avg 2 · -170DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/6avg 0.2 · +285Stake

Werner vs Diaz and Duggan

WernerStriker, San Jose Earthquakes
VS
DiazCentre-back, Minnesota United FC
DugganCentre-back, Minnesota United FC
Even matchupDiaz and Duggan give away 1.0 fouls a match, 19% more than the average defender (0.8). Werner draws 0.7, which points to about 0.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.7Fouls drawn vs given1.0
1.1Shots vs tackles1.6
Fouls won over 0.54/10avg 0.7 · -135DraftKings
Shots over 2.51/10avg 1.1 · +115Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -175FanDuel
Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -105DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.1 · -120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · +260Stake
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -185DraftKings
Tackles over 1.56/10avg 2.1 · -145DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +300Stake

Bouda vs Diaz and Duggan

BoudaStriker, San Jose Earthquakes
VS
DiazCentre-back, Minnesota United FC
DugganCentre-back, Minnesota United FC
Even matchupDiaz and Duggan give away 1.0 fouls a match, 19% more than the average defender (0.8). Bouda draws plenty himself, at 2.1, which points to about 2.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
2.1Fouls drawn vs given1.0
1.5Shots vs tackles1.6
Fouls won over 1.56/10avg 2.1 · -200DraftKings
Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.5 · +170FanDuel
Shots on target over 0.53/10avg 0.5 · -111BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -105DraftKings
Tackles over 1.55/10avg 1.1 · -120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · +260Stake
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -185DraftKings
Tackles over 1.56/10avg 2.1 · -145DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +300Stake
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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Minnesota United FC 4-4-2San Jose Earthquakes 5-3-2

6/1012 CallenderSaves 2.5+
5/652 ValeriusTackles 1.5+
5/1028 DiazShots 0.5+
6/1023 DugganTackles 1.5+
13 Markanich
21 Hlongwane
25 Triantis
30 Gene
18 Gonzalez
6/1026 PereyraG+A 0.5+
8/109 YeboahG+A 0.5+
1 Gunn
5/1028 KikanovicFouls 0.5+
5 Munie
4 Romney
5/1018 RobertsTackles 1.5+
2 Ricketts
5/1034 LerouxFouls won 1.5+
10 Tsakiris
6/1023 LowenShots 1.5+
11 Werner
6/107 BoudaFouls won 1.5+

Minnesota United FC missing: W. Trapp (concussion)

San Jose Earthquakes missing: N. Adimabua (groin), D. Jones (achilles tendon)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for MLS players. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Form and head to head

Minnesota United FC21st in the tableWWDWD10W 11D 12L · 1.24 points a match
5meetings

5 wins0 draws0 wins
San Jose Earthquakes8th in the tableWDLDD14W 10D 9L · 1.58 points a match
80%Over 1.54/5
60%Over 2.53/5
40%Over 3.52/5
60%Both scored3/5
  • Aug 2026SJE 1-5 MIN
  • Jul 2025MIN 4-1 SJE
  • Mar 2025SJE 0-1 MIN
  • Sep 2024SJE 1-2 MIN
  • Jul 2024MIN 2-0 SJE

Clean sheets and goal trends

Minnesota United FC

18%

Clean sheet6/33

18%

Failed to score6/33

73%

Both scored24/33

67%

Over 2.522/33

San Jose Earthquakes

21%

Clean sheet7/33

15%

Failed to score5/33

67%

Both scored22/33

58%

Over 2.519/33

Attack and defense

Attacking

Minnesota United FCSan Jose Earthquakes
30%Win %42%
46%Possession %49%
73%Both teams scored %67%
30%Scored first %55%
  • 1.6Scored per match1.7
  • 11.9Shots per match10.1
  • 5.0Shots on target per match4.9
  • 0.8Big chances per match1.3

Defensive

Minnesota United FCSan Jose Earthquakes
36%Loss %27%
18%Failed to score %15%
18%Clean sheet %21%
61%Conceded first %42%
  • 1.7Conceded per match1.5
  • 10.6Shots against per match9.8
  • 15.6Tackles per match13.9
  • 12.7Fouls per match12.3

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Minnesota United WWDWD W 3-1 at LAF · W 3-1 vs SKC · D 0-0 at HOU · W 3-2 vs LOU · D 2-2 at CLR
SJ Earthquakes WDLDD W 2-1 vs RSL · D 2-2 vs CLR · L 0-3 at DAL · D 1-1 vs NSH · D 1-1 at RSL

Last five MLS results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Minnesota United SJ Earthquakes
Table 21 (41 pts) 8 (52 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 10-11-12 14-10-9
Home / away record 4-7-5 (22-21) home 7-5-4 (26-22) away
Goals scored per match 1.61 1.70
Goals conceded per match 1.73 1.45
Shots / on target per match 11.88 / 4.97 10.12 / 4.85
Both teams scored 73% 67%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 79% / 67% / 49% 82% / 58% / 46%
Clean sheets 18% 21%
Failed to score 18% 15%
Yellow cards per match 1.97 2.18
Corners per match 5.30 6.09

This season, 33 and 33 matches.

Referee

Alexis Da Silva averages 4.8 yellow cards and 26.9 fouls per match over 19 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1), a card-heavy referee.

Injury report

Minnesota United FC

  • Wil Trapp (M): Out, Concussion

San Jose Earthquakes

  • Nonso Adimabua (F): Out, Muscle Injury
Compare MLS playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes odds by sportsbook

Book MIN ML SJ ML Over Under
bet365 -167 +375 O 3.5 -120 U 3.5 -120
BetRivers -149 +330 O 3.5 -105 U 3.5 -122
DraftKings -165 +340 O 3.5 -105 U 3.5 -125
FanDuel -190 +380 O 3.5 +100 U 3.5 -122
Fanatics -160 +375 O 3.5 -105 U 3.5 -125

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 4:08 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 5:40 PM ET): Minnesota United FC moneyline -130 → -149.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -225, no +175

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -950 +590
2.5 -260 +205
3.5 +100 -122
4.5 +235 -300

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5
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More on these teams: LA Galaxy vs Minnesota United FC Nov 1 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions

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