Pacers vs Grizzlies Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 4, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Pacers	32	22	26	27	107
Grizzlies	24	28	30	21	103

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Indiana Pacers beat Memphis Grizzlies 107-103, with the game decided in the fourth quarter after Memphis took a two-point lead into the final period. Indiana outscored Memphis 27-21 in the fourth to close it out.

Cedric Coward led Memphis with 23 points, Cam Spencer had 9 assists and Zach Edey 13 rebounds. Andrew Nembhard paced Indiana with 22 points, Braden Smith handed out 5 assists and Jarace Walker grabbed 8 rebounds. Both teams shot 45% from the field, but Indiana’s 32% from three and 88% from the free-throw line topped Memphis’s 27% and 60%. Memphis had more rebounds, offensive rebounds, assists and paint points, but Indiana’s turnover edge and late execution made the difference.

For bettors, the Pacers covered the closing 5.5-point spread by 9.5, and the 227.5 total settled under by 17.5.

How the props finished

6 of 11 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Cam Spencer	Over 0.5 threes made	-285 Kalshi	1 Cleared
Cedric Coward	Over 1.5 threes made	+108 FanDuel	4 Cleared
Jerami Grant	Over 7.5 field goal attempts	-145 Fanatics	10 Cleared
Kelly Oubre Jr.	Over 0.5 threes made	-257 Kalshi	Did not play
Zach Edey	Over 0.5 blocks	-325 Fanatics	2 Cleared
Cameron Boozer	Over 1.5 threes made	-156 Kalshi	2 Cleared
Andrew Nembhard	Over 7.5 assists	-108 Kalshi	5 Missed
Pascal Siakam	Over 33.5 points + rebounds + assists	-110 DraftKings	26 Missed
Ivica Zubac	Over 0.5 blocks	-192 BetRivers	0 Missed
Ty Jerome	Over 2.5 threes made	+117 Kalshi	2 Missed
Aaron Nesmith	Over 12.5 points	+101 prophetexchange	16 Cleared
Jaylen Wells	Over 1.5 threes made	-117 Kalshi	0 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

PacersGrizzlies

45%FG%45%

32%3P%27%

88%FT%60%

43Rebounds48

23Assists28

46Points in the paint54

19Fast break points14

16Turnovers20

10Steals8

7Blocks5

9Biggest lead8

Box score

Indiana PacersMemphis Grizzlies

Indiana Pacers

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Pascal Siakam F	30	20	8-13	2-5	2-2	4	2	0	2	1	0	4	3	+3
Ivica Zubac C	19	1	0-5	0-0	1-2	4	2	2	0	0	2	2	1	-22
Andrew Nembhard G	38	22	8-15	2-7	4-4	2	5	2	1	1	0	2	2	-4
Aaron Nesmith G	30	16	7-16	2-6	0-1	2	2	1	3	1	0	2	3	0
Braden Smith G	24	10	5-9	0-1	0-0	1	5	3	2	2	0	1	4	+2
Bench
Larry Nance Jr. F	14	4	2-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	+18
Obi Toppin F	19	11	3-6	1-2	4-4	5	1	3	0	0	0	5	0	+1
Jalen Slawson F	6	2	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	+1
Jarace Walker F	17	2	1-4	0-2	0-0	8	1	1	0	0	1	7	0	-2
Jay Huff C	14	6	2-4	2-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	1	0	3	1	+10
Kobe Brown G	7	0	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-2
Quenton Jackson G	22	13	4-9	3-5	2-2	7	2	2	2	0	1	6	1	+15
Kelly Oubre Jr.	Did not play: Left calf contusion
Total		107	40-88	12-37	15-17	43	23	15	10	7	8	35	16

Team shooting: FG 45% · 3PT 32% · FT 88%

Memphis Grizzlies

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Cedric Coward F	33	23	8-19	4-12	3-4	9	4	3	4	0	4	5	0	-2
Cameron Boozer F	33	10	4-14	2-5	0-0	6	4	4	1	0	2	4	0	-4
Jaylen Wells F	21	0	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	1	0	1	5	0
Zach Edey C	25	11	4-6	0-0	3-5	13	1	2	0	2	3	10	3	+18
Ty Jerome G	29	23	10-20	2-10	1-2	4	3	4	0	1	0	4	2	+11
Bench
Jerami Grant F	24	11	4-10	2-5	1-2	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	2	-11
Kris Murray F	15	5	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	-3
Olivier-Maxence Prosper F	7	4	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	-4
GG Jackson F	7	1	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	-7
Isaiah Stewart C	10	6	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	-2
Quinten Post C	11	2	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	2	-11
Cam Spencer G	24	7	3-4	1-2	0-0	6	9	2	1	0	2	4	1	-5
Taylor Hendricks	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Karim Lopez	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jahmai Mashack	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		103	41-91	12-44	9-15	48	28	19	8	5	13	35	18

Team shooting: FG 45% · 3PT 27% · FT 60%

Attendance 13,464 · Officials: Ben Taylor, Mousa Dagher, Agon Abazi

Recap: Nembhard scores 22, Nesmith hits a late 3-pointer to lead Pacers past Grizzlies 107-103 (ESPN)

Highlights

• Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies: Game Highlights (ESPN)
• Zach Edey throws down the hammer (ESPN)
• Cedric Coward somehow gets the and-1 to fall (ESPN)
• Braden Smith with the massive stuff at the rim (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• Grizzlies are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Pacers vs Grizzlies pre-game preview

The market lists Memphis as a -6.5 favorite with a 227.5 total. The last meeting was March 1, 2026, when Indiana lost 106-125 at home. Indiana is 2-6 straight up and 4-4 against the spread this season, and 2-8 straight up with 6-4 ATS over its last 10. Memphis is 6-1 straight up and 6-1 ATS this season, with a 6-4 straight-up and 7-3 ATS mark over its last 10.

The clearest research angle is Indiana’s defense: it ranks 21st in points allowed (115.6), 27th in rebounds allowed (47.4) and 22nd in threes allowed (14.6), while Memphis ranks 12th, 9th and 7th in those categories. Pace is close, with Indiana at 102.3 and Memphis at 102.1. On the prop side, Zach Edey’s over 0.5 blocks is priced at -325, cleared in 8 of his last 10, and StatsBench projects 1.6 blocks.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Pacers	2-6	4-4	3-5	0-4	2-2
Grizzlies	6-1	6-1	3-4	2-1	4-0

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Pacers vs Grizzlies head-to-head

Pacers are 2-4, 0-1 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Pacers lost 106-125 on March 1, 2026.

Recent form

Indiana Pacers: last 10 (2-8, 6-4 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Memphis Grizzlies: last 10 (6-4, 7-3 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 1:31 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Venue and weather

Pacers vs Grizzlies odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart