| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Pelicans |
+426  |
+11.5 -110  |
O 237.5 -104 |
| Denver Nuggets |
-430  |
-11.5 +104 |
U 237.5 +100 |
Best available prices across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges, updated 5:39 AM ET.
Pelicans vs Nuggets preview
Denver is the -435 moneyline favorite and lays 11.5 points with a 237.5 total. The last meeting was January 13, 2026, a 116-122 New Orleans home loss.
New Orleans is 0-2 straight up and 1-1 against the spread this season, 1-9 and 3-7 against the spread over its last 10, and most recently lost 119-120 at Utah on October 23. Denver is 0-1 and 0-1 against the spread this season, 9-1 and 4-6 against the spread over its last 10, and most recently lost 84-96 at Oklahoma City on October 22.
Pace is one useful angle: New Orleans ranks 7th at 101.4, while Denver ranks 18th at 99.3. Denver is without Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther and Cameron Johnson, and Alpha Diallo is questionable; Yves Missi is day to day for New Orleans. StatsBench projects Nikola Jokic for 14 rebounds, above his 7.5 line after he cleared it in 9 of his last 10.
Top Pelicans vs Nuggets player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III NOP | Over 3.5 rebounds | -141  888sport |
100% (10/10) | 100% | 5.4 |
| Dejounte Murray NOP | Over 0.5 steals | -325  Fanatics |
100% (10/10) | 100% | 1.8 |
| Derik Queen NOP | Over 0.5 steals | -250 888sport |
90% (9/10) | 100% | 1.7 |
| Nikola Jokic DEN | Over 0.5 double double | -1300 Fanatics |
80% (8/10) | 80% | – |
| Jeremiah Fears NOP | Over 15.5 points + assists | -110 888sport |
70% (7/10) | 60% | 25.1 |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 5:39 AM ET. See every prop for this game on StatsBench.
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Pelicans vs Nuggets odds by sportsbook
| Book | NO spread | DEN spread | NO ML | DEN ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport |
+11.5 -118 | -11.5 -118 | +350 | -500 | O 237.5 -118 | U 237.5 -118 |
 bet105 |
+11 -107 | -11 -107 | +359 | -455 | O 238 -106 | U 238 -108 |
 bet365 |
+11.5 -111 | -11.5 -109 | +400 | -550 | O 237.5 -111 | U 237.5 -109 |
 BetMGM |
+11.5 -115 | -11.5 -105 | +375 | -500 | O 238.5 -110 | U 238.5 -118 |
 BetRivers |
+11.5 -112 | -11.5 -108 | +340 | -455 | O 237.5 -110 | U 237.5 -110 |
 Caesars |
+11 -110 | -11 -110 | +360 | -480 | O 238 -110 | U 238 -110 |
| Circa |
+11.5 -110 | -11.5 -110 | +385 | -485 | O 237.5 -110 | U 237.5 -110 |
 Cloudbet |
+11 -109 | -11 -109 | +355 | -476 | O 238 -109 | U 238 -110 |
 DraftKings |
+11.5 -115 | -11.5 -105 | +370 | -485 | O 238.5 -108 | U 238.5 -112 |
 ESPN BET |
+11.5 -115 | -11.5 -105 | +380 | -550 | O 237.5 -110 | U 237.5 -110 |
| Fanatics |
+11 -110 | -11 -110 | +360 | -475 | O 238 -110 | U 238 -110 |
 FanDuel |
+11.5 -110 | -11.5 -110 | +400 | -520 | O 237.5 -110 | U 237.5 -110 |
 Fliff |
+11.5 -115 | -11.5 -105 | +375 | -510 | O 237.5 -115 | U 237.5 -110 |
| Kalshi |
+11.5 -113 | -11.5 +104 | +426 | -456 | O 237.5 -104 | U 237.5 +100 |
| ProphetX |
+11 -106 | -11 -107 | +410 | -430 | O 237.5 -105 | U 237.5 +100 |
 sportsbet |
+10.5 -104 | -10.5 -119 | +350 | -476 | O 238.5 -109 | U 238.5 -115 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 5:39 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this game (Sat 2:24 AM ET): Nuggets moneyline -435 → -430.
Records
| Team | Record | ATS | O/U | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans |
0-2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nuggets |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.
Pelicans vs Nuggets head-to-head
Pelicans are 2-8, 0-1 ATS, O/U 1-0 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Pelicans lost 116-122 on January 13, 2026.
| Date | Venue | Pelicans result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 26 | Pelicans home | L 116-122 | L +2.5 | O 234.5 |
| Nov 19, 25 | Pelicans home | L 118-125 | – | – |
| Oct 29, 25 | Nuggets home | L 88-122 | – | – |
| Feb 5, 25 | Nuggets home | L 119-144 | – | – |
| Feb 3, 25 | Nuggets home | L 113-125 | – | – |
| Dec 22, 24 | Pelicans home | L 129-132 | – | – |
| Nov 15, 24 | Pelicans home | W 101-94 | – | – |
| Jan 12, 24 | Nuggets home | L 113-125 | – | – |
| Nov 17, 23 | Pelicans home | W 115-110 | – | – |
| Nov 6, 23 | Nuggets home | L 116-134 | – | – |
Recent form
New Orleans Pelicans: last 10 (1-9, 3-7 ATS, O/U 6-4)
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 26 | @ UTAH | L 119-120 | W +1.5 | O 238.5 |
| Oct 21, 26 | vs IND | L 120-123 | L +2.5 | O 238.5 |
| Apr 12, 26 | @ MIN | L 126-132 | L +3.5 | O 239.5 |
| Apr 10, 26 | @ BOS | L 118-144 | L +18.5 | O 227.5 |
| Apr 7, 26 | vs UTAH | W 156-137 | W -6.5 | O 242.5 |
| Apr 5, 26 | vs ORL | L 108-112 | W +6.5 | U 236.5 |
| Apr 3, 26 | @ SAC | L 113-117 | L -6.5 | U 232.5 |
| Apr 2, 26 | @ POR | L 106-118 | L +5.5 | U 235.5 |
| Mar 29, 26 | vs HOU | L 102-134 | L +5.5 | O 226.5 |
| Mar 27, 26 | @ TOR | L 106-119 | L +8.5 | U 229.5 |
Denver Nuggets: last 10 (9-1, 4-6 ATS, O/U 7-3)
| Date | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 26 | @ OKC | L 84-96 | L +7.5 | U 236.5 |
| Apr 12, 26 | @ SA | W 128-118 | W +9.5 | O 235.5 |
| Apr 10, 26 | vs OKC | W 127-107 | W -2.5 | O 223.5 |
| Apr 8, 26 | vs MEM | W 136-119 | L -23.5 | O 247.5 |
| Apr 6, 26 | vs POR | W 137-132 | L -6.5 | O 235.5 |
| Apr 4, 26 | vs SA | W 136-134 | W +1.5 | O 244.5 |
| Apr 1, 26 | @ UTAH | W 130-117 | L -17.5 | U 249.5 |
| Mar 29, 26 | vs GS | W 116-93 | W -11.5 | U 238.5 |
| Mar 27, 26 | vs UTAH | W 135-129 | L -19.5 | O 247.5 |
| Mar 25, 26 | vs DAL | W 142-135 | L -10.5 | O 246.5 |
Injury report
New Orleans Pelicans
- Yves Missi (C): Day-To-Day, Missi won’t return to Friday’s game against the Jazz due to a left knee injury
Denver Nuggets
- Spencer Jones (SF): Out, Bilateral Hamstring Injury Management
- Julian Strawther (SF): Out, Left Knee Sprain
- Cameron Johnson (SF): Out, Right Ankle Sprain
- Alpha Diallo (SF): Questionable, Right Wrist Sprain
Matchup ranks
What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.
| Pelicans defense | Nuggets defense | |
|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per game | 120 (24th of 30) | 116.6 (20th of 30) |
| Rebounds allowed per game | 45.2 (25th of 30) | 42.5 (12th of 30) |
| Assists allowed per game | 27.7 (26th of 30) | 26.9 (21st of 30) |
| Threes allowed per game | 14 (28th of 30) | 13.2 (16th of 30) |
| Pace (possessions) | 101.4 (7th) | 99.3 (18th) |
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
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