Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

How the bets settled

Match report

Sunderland beat Chelsea 1-0, with a single goal deciding the match. Chelsea had more of the ball, but Sunderland’s expected goals of 2.54 against Chelsea’s 0.53 told the stronger story of the chances created. Sunderland took nine shots to Chelsea’s 10, put two on target to Chelsea’s four, and created four big chances to Chelsea’s two while holding only 31 percent possession.

Before the match Sunderland were 20th with five points and form LDLLL, while Chelsea were fourth with 16 points and form WLWWL. Sunderland’s both teams to score rate was 44% and over 2.5 rate 33%; Chelsea’s were 56% and 67%. The clean sheet meant both teams to score did not land, and the one-goal scoreline sat closer to Sunderland’s over profile than Chelsea’s. Sunderland’s xG edge was also notable given their pre-match scoring average of 0.78 per match against Chelsea’s 2.11.

How the props finished

4 of 10 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Moisés Caicedo	Over 1.5 fouls won	+105 DraftKings	5 Cleared
Morgan Rogers	Over 0.5 score or assist	+160 Fanatics	0 Missed
Pedro Neto	Over 0.5 shots on target	-125 DraftKings	1 Cleared
Nordi Mukiele	Over 0.5 fouls won	-162 bet365	0 Missed
Cole Palmer	Over 0.5 fouls	-180 DraftKings	0 Missed
Wilson Isidor	Over 0.5 fouls won	-162 bet365	1 Cleared
Brian Brobbey	Over 0.5 shots on target	-170 DraftKings	0 Missed
T. Meunier	Over 0.5 shots on target	+250 bet365	0 Missed
Robin Roefs	Over 0.5 fouls won	+190 DraftKings	1 Cleared
Noah Sadiki	Over 1.5 fouls won	+163 bet365	0 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Goals

No goals.

How the key matchups went

• Hume: 2 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Chavarria: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Talbi: 2 shots, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Palestra: 0 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Brobbey: 2 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Fofana: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card. Colwill: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card.
• Neto: 1 shot, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Mukiele: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. O’Nien: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card.

Box score

SunderlandChelsea

Sunderland

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Brobbey B.	67	0	0	2	0	0.67	0	5/10	0	3	1	1	0	6.1
Hume T.	90	0	0	2	0	0.32	1	10/19	5	3	1	0	0	6.7
Sadiki N.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	28/32	2	2	0	0	0	7.2
Mandava R.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	15/21	3	0	2	0	0	6.9
Mukiele N.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	24/33	2	1	0	0	0	7.1
Le Fee E.	88	1	0	1	1	0.79	1	15/21	3	0	1	0	0	7.1
Meunier T.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	25/34	2	3	0	1	0	7.3
Talbi C.	88	0	0	2	0	0.05	2	17/19	0	1	0	0	0	6.8
Xhaka G.	4	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0/1	0	0	0	0	0	–
Roefs R.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	15/32	0	0	1	0	4	7.5
O’Nien L.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	17/26	1	1	0	1	0	6.5
Rigg C.	2	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1/2	0	0	0	0	0	–
Ahoka J.	86	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	30/38	4	1	0	1	0	6.8
Isidor W.	23	0	0	2	1	0.72	1	1/2	0	1	1	0	0	6.7
Angulo N.	2	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0/2	1	1	0	1	0	–

Chelsea

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Caicedo M.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	80/88	0	1	5	1	0	6.8
Palestra M.	62	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	16/18	2	0	1	0	0	6.7
Chavarria P.	79	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	48/52	2	1	0	0	0	5.8
Palmer C.	90	0	0	1	1	0.04	2	48/53	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
Penders M.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	26/30	0	0	0	0	1	6.8
Neto P.	62	0	0	1	1	0.03	0	10/13	0	1	0	1	0	6.1
Lavia R.	90	0	0	1	0	0.02	0	87/93	1	0	3	0	0	7.0
Henderson J.	87	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	65/72	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Fofana W.	90	0	0	1	0	0.06	0	75/85	1	0	0	1	0	7.1
Colwill L.	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	52/60	1	1	2	1	0	6.4
Rogers M.	90	0	0	2	1	0.13	0	31/37	1	1	3	0	0	6.2
Quenda G.	11	0	0	1	0	0.04	0	3/4	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Welbeck D.	28	0	0	2	0	0.14	0	2/3	0	1	0	0	0	6.1
Emegha E.	3	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0/0	0	0	1	0	0	–
Gusto M.	28	0	0	1	1	0.06	1	19/21	1	0	1	0	0	6.7
Estêvão	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	16/19	1	2	0	0	0	6.8

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

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Sunderland vs Chelsea pre-game preview

Sunderland hosts Chelsea on Sunday, November 8, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET in the Premier League. Chelsea is the moneyline favorite at +110, Sunderland is +280, the draw is +280, and the total is 2.5.

The last meeting finished Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea on May 24, 2026. Sunderland is 20th with 5 points from nine matches (W1 D2 L6) and recent league form LDLLL, most recent first. Chelsea is 4th with 16 points (W5 D1 L3) and form WLWWL.

The goal profile is one useful angle: Sunderland scores 0.78 and concedes 1.89 per match, with over 2.5 goals in 33% of matches, while Chelsea scores 2.11 and concedes 1.67, with over 2.5 in 67%. Chelsea’s missing list includes Reece James, João Pedro, Maxence Lacroix and Jorrel Hato. Moisés Caicedo over 1.5 fouls won at +105 has cleared in 8 of his last 10, a prop with an 8-of-10 hit rate over recent matches.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Sunderland 4-2-3-1Chelsea 4-3-2-1

22 Roefs

12 Meunier

20 Mukiele

13 O’Nien

17 Mandava

34 Xhaka (C)

27 Sadiki

32 Hume

28 Le Fee

7 Talbi

9 Brobbey

39 Penders

2 Palestra

3 Fofana

6 Colwill

29 Chavarria

25 Caicedo (C)

45 Lavia

14 Henderson

10 Palmer

17 Rogers

7 Neto

Sunderland missing: O. Alderete (red card), D. Ballard (muscle), H. Diarra (muscle), R. Mundle (knee)

Chelsea missing: J. Gittens (ankle), J. Hato (injury), R. James (knee), Joao Pedro (thigh), M. Lacroix (muscle)

Form and head to head

Sunderland20th in the tableLDLLL1W 2D 6L · 0.56 points a match

2meetings

2 wins0 draws0 wins

Chelsea4th in the tableWLWWL5W 1D 3L · 1.78 points a match

100%Over 1.52/2

100%Over 2.52/2

0%Over 3.50/2

100%Both scored2/2

• May 2026SUN 2-1 CHE
• Oct 2025CHE 1-2 SUN

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

SunderlandChelsea

11%Win %56%

49%Possession %47%

44%Both teams scored %56%

11%Scored first %78%

• 0.8Scored per match2.1
• 10.0Shots per match11.4
• 3.8Shots on target per match5.9
• 1.9Big chances per match2.0

Defensive

SunderlandChelsea

67%Loss %33%

44%Failed to score %22%

22%Clean sheet %22%

78%Conceded first %22%

• 1.9Conceded per match1.7
• 11.3Shots against per match10.4
• 14.0Tackles per match17.1
• 11.0Fouls per match9.7

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five Premier League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 9 and 9 matches.

Referee

Jarred Gillett averages 3.9 yellow cards and 21.6 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 23.2).

Injury report

Sunderland

• Romaine Mundle (F): Out, Knee Injury
• Danny Ballard (D): Out, Hamstring Injury
• Habib Diarra (M): Out, Muscle Injury
• Nordi Mukiele (D): Day-To-Day, Concussion

Chelsea

• Reece James (D): Out, Knee Injury
• João Pedro (F): Out, Muscle Injury
• Maxence Lacroix (D): Out, Hamstring Injury
• Jorrel Hato (D): Out, Knock Injury
• Aaron Anselmino (D): Day-To-Day, Physical Discomfort
• Moisés Caicedo (M): Day-To-Day, Physical Discomfort
• Geovany Quenda (M): Day-To-Day, Knock Injury

Sunderland vs Chelsea odds by sportsbook

Book	SUN ML	CHE ML	Over	Under
bet365	–	–	O 3.5 +240	U 3.5 -300

Highlighted: the best price in each column before kickoff. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement chart