Thunder vs Cavaliers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 2, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Thunder	26	33	31	27	117
Cavaliers	30	18	36	28	112

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Oklahoma City beat Cleveland 117-112, and the game swung in the second quarter, which the Thunder won 33-18 to turn a four-point deficit into an 11-point halftime lead. Cleveland pushed back after the break, but Oklahoma City had the answer late.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 43 points and 8 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein owned the glass with 14 rebounds. Donovan Mitchell paced Cleveland with 17 points and 11 assists, and Mario Hezonja grabbed 8 rebounds. The team stats explain the result: Oklahoma City dominated points in the paint 50-30 and won the rebound battle 54-46, while Cleveland’s 31 assists and 18 made threes were undercut by a 58 percent free throw night against Oklahoma City’s 91 percent.

Cleveland closed as a 4.5-point favorite, so Oklahoma City covered by 9.5. The closing total of 229.5 landed under by half a point.

How the props finished

6 of 9 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Evan Mobley	Over 0.5 threes made	-302 DraftKings	1 Cleared
James Harden	Over 0.5 steals	-234 DraftKings	1 Cleared
Donovan Mitchell	Over 0.5 steals	-270 BetRivers	0 Missed
Kenrich Williams	Over 0.5 threes made	-290 bet365	2 Cleared
Sam Merrill	Over 0.5 steals	-109 BetRivers	1 Cleared
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	Over 0.5 steals	-270 BetRivers	2 Cleared
Ajay Mitchell	Over 0.5 steals	-333 BetRivers	0 Missed
Jared McCain	Over 0.5 steals	-140 Fanatics	0 Missed
Isaiah Hartenstein	Over 2.5 assists	-145 bet365	4 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

ThunderCavaliers

43%FG%44%

39%3P%37%

91%FT%58%

54Rebounds46

18Assists31

50Points in the paint30

13Fast break points7

8Turnovers8

5Steals7

4Blocks3

14Biggest lead5

Box score

Oklahoma City ThunderCleveland Cavaliers

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Jaylin Williams F	20	3	1-6	1-5	0-0	3	2	1	1	0	1	2	0	-14
Isaiah Hartenstein C	28	5	2-8	0-0	1-2	14	4	1	2	0	7	7	2	-7
Kenrich Williams G	31	12	5-7	2-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	2	+7
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G	39	43	14-35	4-8	11-12	3	8	1	2	1	0	3	2	+7
Ajay Mitchell G	35	20	7-16	0-3	6-6	5	1	0	0	1	1	4	1	+1
Bench
Aday Mara C	20	10	5-7	0-0	0-0	9	0	2	0	1	3	6	4	+8
Micah Peavy G	16	8	2-4	2-2	2-2	5	0	1	0	0	2	3	2	-1
Jared McCain G	27	7	3-11	0-5	1-1	9	2	1	0	0	1	8	4	+5
Josh Dix G	12	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	+10
Bennett Stirtz G	12	9	3-4	3-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	+9
Brooks Barnhizer	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		117	42-98	12-31	21-23	54	18	8	5	4	15	39	19

Team shooting: FG 43% · 3PT 39% · FT 91%

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Jarrett Allen C	28	14	5-10	0-0	4-6	6	1	0	1	1	3	3	2	+11
Evan Mobley C	33	16	6-11	1-4	3-4	7	4	2	1	2	2	5	1	-3
James Harden G	33	14	5-10	3-7	1-3	4	6	1	1	0	1	3	3	-12
Donovan Mitchell G	36	17	6-17	4-9	1-4	5	11	3	0	0	0	5	3	+5
Meleek Thomas G	26	17	7-16	3-9	0-0	5	1	0	1	0	1	4	3	-5
Bench
Mario Hezonja F	27	12	4-9	3-7	1-2	8	3	0	2	0	3	5	2	-3
Thomas Bryant C	5	4	2-5	0-2	0-1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-9
Sam Merrill G	26	8	2-8	2-8	2-2	3	2	0	1	0	0	3	1	-12
Craig Porter Jr. G	8	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0	1	3	2	-2
Tyrese Proctor G	19	10	3-4	2-3	2-2	4	2	1	0	0	0	4	2	+5
Tristan Enaruna	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Riley Minix	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		112	40-90	18-49	14-24	46	31	7	7	3	11	35	19

Team shooting: FG 44% · 3PT 37% · FT 58%

Attendance 19,432 · Officials: Dedric Taylor, Marc Davis, Sean Corbin

Recap: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scores 43 points, hits go-ahead 3-pointer in Thunder’s 117-112 win over Cavs (ESPN)

Highlights

• Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Cleveland Cavaliers: Game Highlights (ESPN)
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander nails the 3 vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (ESPN)
• Jarrett Allen elevates for the big-time block (ESPN)
• Donovan Mitchell buries 3-point shot against Oklahoma City Thunder (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• Cavaliers are 0-3 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.
• Thunder are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with the Cavaliers.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Thunder vs Cavaliers pre-game preview

Cleveland is favored at -168 on the moneyline and -3.5 on the spread, with a 227.5 total. The last meeting went to Oklahoma City 121-113 at home on February 22, 2026, and OKC has won five of the last six head-to-head meetings while going 2-0 ATS in that span. Oklahoma City is 4-2 straight up and 3-3 ATS this season, with a 6-4 and 5-5 ATS mark over its last 10 after a 98-119 loss at Houston. Cleveland is 4-2 straight up and 2-4 ATS this season, with a 7-3 and 5-5 ATS mark over its last 10 after a 136-111 win at Milwaukee.

The main angles are defensive efficiency and pace. Oklahoma City allows 107 points per game, sixth fewest, while Cleveland allows 116, 20th. Cleveland plays at 104.2 pace, eighth in the league, against OKC’s 100.2, 27th. Oklahoma City is without Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, and Chet Holmgren; Cleveland lists Peyton Watson as questionable. Among props, Watson over 1.5 assists at -122 has cleared in 8 of his last 10 and StatsBench projects 2.8.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Thunder	4-2	3-3	1-5	3-0	1-2
Cavaliers	4-2	2-4	3-3	3-0	1-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Thunder vs Cavaliers head-to-head

Thunder are 5-1, 2-0 ATS, O/U 2-0 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Thunder won 121-113 on February 22, 2026.

Recent form

Oklahoma City Thunder: last 10 (6-4, 5-5 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Cleveland Cavaliers: last 10 (7-3, 5-5 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 9:03 AM ET.

Venue and weather

Thunder vs Cavaliers odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart