Cavaliers vs Bucks Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 31, 2026)

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NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Cleveland Cavaliers logo

Cavaliers3-2 · 1-4 ATS6th in the East
FINAL136 – 111
Milwaukee Bucks logo

Bucks1-4 · 2-3 ATS14th in the East

NBA · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Fiserv Forum

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Cavaliers 24 48 37 27 136
Bucks 25 21 30 35 111

How the bets settled

MoneylineCavaliers wonClosed at -290
SpreadCavaliers coveredCavaliers -8.5, by 16.5
TotalOver 234.5247 scored, 12.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Cleveland beat Milwaukee 136-111, turning a one-point deficit after the first quarter into a rout with a decisive second-quarter run. The Cavaliers outscored the Bucks 48-21 in that period and kept control from there, stretching the lead well before the fourth.

Evan Mobley led Cleveland with 27 points, James Harden added 7 assists and Jarrett Allen grabbed 11 rebounds. Kel’el Ware paced Milwaukee with 19 points and 10 rebounds, while Ryan Rollins had 7 assists. Cleveland’s efficiency and rebounding told the story: it shot 52 percent from the field and 43 percent from three, won the boards 56-45 and owned paint points 60-46.

For bettors, the Cavaliers covered by 16.5 and the game went over the 234.5 closing total by 12.5. StatsBench’s posted picks went 1-2: Donovan Mitchell OVER 0.5 BLK lost (0), Jaime Jaquez Jr. OVER 18.5 PTS+AST lost (13), and Myles Turner OVER 14.5 PTS+REB won (17).

How our picks did

  • Donovan Mitchell OVER 0.5 BLK (+170): LOST (0)
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. OVER 18.5 PTS+AST (-112): LOST (13)
  • Myles Turner OVER 14.5 PTS+REB (-108): WON (17)

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

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Against the spread, start to finish

BucksCavaliers
The score margin against the closing spread (Bucks +8.5). Blue: Bucks covering. Orange: Cavaliers covering.
+27.5Largest CLE cover
63%CLE covering
+14.5Largest MIL cover
37%MIL covering

Win probability

BucksCavaliers
Blue: Bucks favored. Orange: Cavaliers favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Cavaliers

  • PointsEvan Mobley27
  • AssistsJames Harden7
  • ReboundsJarrett Allen11

Bucks

  • PointsKel’el Ware19
  • AssistsRyan Rollins7
  • ReboundsKel’el Ware10

Team stats

CavaliersBucks
52%FG%41%
43%3P%33%
67%FT%67%
56Rebounds45
41Assists33
60Points in the paint46
11Fast break points17
12Turnovers13
8Steals5
4Blocks4
36Biggest lead6

Box score

Cleveland CavaliersMilwaukee Bucks

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Jarrett Allen C 24 25 12-16 0-1 1-4 11 4 2 1 0 3 8 1 +24
Evan Mobley C 25 27 11-16 3-5 2-3 5 3 0 1 0 1 4 1 +6
James Harden G 26 13 4-8 3-4 2-2 6 7 2 1 0 0 6 0 +17
Donovan Mitchell G 24 15 5-7 2-4 3-3 4 3 2 0 0 0 4 5 +31
Peyton Watson G 22 5 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 6 1 1 2 0 2 1 +11
Bench
Mario Hezonja F 20 8 3-6 1-3 1-2 11 4 2 0 0 4 7 2 +15
Tristan Enaruna F 6 2 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -4
Riley Minix F 6 0 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 -4
Thomas Bryant C 11 11 3-7 3-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 -9
Sam Merrill G 19 6 2-4 1-3 1-2 4 3 0 1 0 1 3 1 +24
Craig Porter Jr. G 16 2 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 1 1 2 0
Tyrese Proctor G 18 9 3-9 3-5 0-0 4 5 0 1 0 0 4 2 +3
Meleek Thomas G 23 13 5-12 3-6 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 0 1 1 +11
Total 136 52-100 20-46 12-18 56 41 11 8 4 14 42 17

Team shooting: FG 52% · 3PT 43% · FT 67%

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Kyle Kuzma F 23 14 6-12 2-7 0-2 3 3 1 1 0 1 2 0 -16
Jaime Jaquez Jr. F 23 8 3-8 1-2 1-2 7 5 2 0 0 1 6 1 -15
Myles Turner C 24 10 4-10 1-4 1-2 7 2 0 1 2 3 4 1 -11
Tyler Herro G 27 15 5-18 4-11 1-1 3 2 2 1 0 2 1 0 -19
Ryan Rollins G 26 9 4-11 1-5 0-0 3 7 0 0 0 1 2 3 +4
Bench
Ousmane Dieng F 6 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 +4
Nate Ament F 19 14 6-8 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -11
Kel’el Ware C 24 19 6-16 3-8 4-5 10 3 4 1 2 4 6 2 -14
Gary Trent Jr. G 6 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 +4
AJ Green G 20 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -14
Brayden Burries G 21 14 4-7 1-4 5-6 3 1 0 1 0 2 1 1 -19
Kasparas Jakucionis G 21 5 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 0 3 3 -18
Bogoljub Markovic Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jericho Sims Did not play: Coach’s decision
Caris LeVert Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 111 41-100 17-51 12-18 45 33 13 5 4 15 30 13

Team shooting: FG 41% · 3PT 33% · FT 67%

Attendance 12,572 · Officials: Marat Kogut, Karl Lane, Evan Scott

Recap: Mobley scores 27, Allen adds 25 as Cavaliers ride 48-point second quarter to get past Bucks 136-111 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

Betting trends

  • Cavaliers are 0-3 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • The over is 8-2 in Bucks’ last 10 games.
  • Cavaliers are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with the Bucks.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Cavaliers vs Bucks pre-game preview

Saturday night’s Cavaliers-Bucks matchup has Cleveland at -335 on the moneyline, Milwaukee at +9, and a 237.5 total. Cleveland won the last meeting 123-116 on the road on March 17, 2026, and is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head-to-head meetings while going 0-2 ATS in that sample. This season Cleveland is 3-2 straight up and 1-4 ATS; its last 10 is 7-3 straight up and 4-6 ATS after a 111-114 loss at Atlanta. Milwaukee is 1-4 straight up and 2-3 ATS this season, with a 3-7 straight-up and 4-6 ATS last 10 after a 100-132 loss to Houston.

The pace and defense ranks offer a useful angle: Cleveland ranks seventh in pace (103.9) and Milwaukee third (105.6), while Cleveland allows 117 points (20th) and Milwaukee 124.2 (28th). StatsBench projections also point to Jarrett Allen at 2 blocks against a 0.5 line and Tyler Herro at 10.2 rebounds plus assists against a 7.5 line.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell SG24.2 PTS · 5.6 REB · 4.8 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/29 @ ATL 33 22 3 3 1
10/28 vs WAS 31 19 5 7 2
10/26 vs MIN 38 26 5 7 5
10/24 vs BKN 35 22 5 4 2
10/22 @ PHI 35 32 10 3 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIL
PTS 24.2 (5) 27.0 (2) 27.5 (88) 26.7 (3)
19 · 37 · 24
REB 5.6 (5) 6.5 (2) 4.6 (88) 5.3 (3)
8 · 5 · 3
AST 4.8 (5) 3.0 (2) 5.1 (88) 4.7 (3)
3 · 7 · 4

Evan Mobley PF18.2 PTS · 8.8 REB · 3.6 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/29 @ ATL 32 11 4 7 0
10/28 vs WAS 31 24 12 2 5
10/26 vs MIN 38 18 10 3 4
10/24 vs BKN 35 20 10 4 2
10/22 @ PHI 34 18 8 2 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIL
PTS 18.2 (5) 14.5 (2) 17.9 (83) 21.3 (3)
27 · 14 · 23
REB 8.8 (5) 6.0 (2) 8.8 (83) 9.7 (3)
15 · 6 · 8
AST 3.6 (5) 4.5 (2) 3.7 (83) 4.7 (3)
2 · 6 · 6

James Harden PG17.4 PTS · 4.6 REB · 6.2 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/29 @ ATL 36 24 5 4 3
10/28 vs WAS 33 16 2 6 2
10/26 vs MIN 39 19 5 9 3
10/24 vs BKN 33 12 8 7 1
10/22 @ PHI 32 16 3 5 3
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIL
PTS 17.4 (5) 20.0 (2) 22.7 (88) 27.0 (1)
27
REB 4.6 (5) 4.0 (2) 4.9 (88) 5.0 (1)
5
AST 6.2 (5) 4.5 (2) 7.5 (88) 6.0 (1)
6

Milwaukee Bucks

Tyler Herro SG23.4 PTS · 5.2 REB · 4.6 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 vs HOU 27 23 3 0 4
10/26 vs IND 32 23 10 7 3
10/24 @ PHI 31 13 6 3 1
10/23 vs CHI 31 34 5 4 5
10/21 @ WAS 31 24 2 9 4
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CLE
PTS 23.4 (5) 26.7 (3) 20.6 (34) 14.5 (2)
11 · 18
REB 5.2 (5) 6.0 (3) 4.7 (34) 2.5 (2)
3 · 2
AST 4.6 (5) 3.7 (3) 4.2 (34) 4.5 (2)
5 · 4

Jaime Jaquez Jr. SF17.8 PTS · 7.2 REB · 2.6 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 vs HOU 27 19 4 2 3
10/26 vs IND 24 8 6 0 0
10/24 @ PHI 27 21 8 4 2
10/23 vs CHI 35 19 11 5 2
10/21 @ WAS 31 22 7 2 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CLE
PTS 17.8 (5) 15.3 (3) 15.3 (76) 17.0 (2)
20 · 14
REB 7.2 (5) 7.0 (3) 5.0 (76) 2.0 (2)
2 · 2
AST 2.6 (5) 2.3 (3) 4.7 (76) 4.0 (2)
3 · 5

Kel’el Ware C11.8 PTS · 8.4 REB · 0.4 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 vs HOU 16 6 8 0 0
10/26 vs IND 19 16 14 0 0
10/24 @ PHI 29 19 13 1 2
10/23 vs CHI 15 11 4 0 1
10/21 @ WAS 13 7 3 1 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CLE
PTS 11.8 (5) 11.0 (3) 11.1 (78) 13.5 (2)
14 · 13
REB 8.4 (5) 8.7 (3) 9.1 (78) 9.5 (2)
8 · 11
AST 0.4 (5) 0.0 (3) 0.8 (78) 2.5 (2)
1 · 4

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Cavaliers 3-2 1-4 2-3 3-0 0-2
Bucks 1-4 2-3 4-1 1-2 0-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Cavaliers vs Bucks head-to-head

Cavaliers are 8-2, 0-2 ATS, O/U 2-0 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Cavaliers won 123-116 on March 17, 2026.

Date Venue Cavaliers result ATS O/U
Mar 17, 26 Bucks home W 123-116 L -12.5 O 226.5
Feb 25, 26 Bucks home L 116-118 L -3.5 O 220.5
Nov 17, 25 Cavaliers home W 118-106 – –
Oct 26, 25 Cavaliers home W 118-113 – –
Mar 9, 25 Bucks home W 112-100 – –
Dec 20, 24 Cavaliers home W 124-101 – –
Nov 4, 24 Cavaliers home W 116-114 – –
Nov 2, 24 Bucks home W 114-113 – –
Jan 26, 24 Bucks home W 112-100 – –
Jan 24, 24 Bucks home L 116-126 – –

Recent form

Cleveland Cavaliers: last 10 (7-3, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 29, 26 @ ATL L 111-114 L +1.5 U 237.5
Oct 28, 26 vs WSH W 121-111 W -9.5 U 240.5
Oct 26, 26 vs MIN W 127-125 L -3.5 O 234.5
Oct 24, 26 vs BKN W 125-121 L -11.5 O 228.5
Oct 22, 26 @ PHI L 106-114 L +2.5 U 237.5
Apr 12, 26 vs WSH W 130-117 W -10.5 O 234.5
Apr 10, 26 @ ATL L 102-124 L +8.5 U 233.5
Apr 8, 26 vs ATL W 122-116 W -4.5 O 237.5
Apr 6, 26 @ MEM W 142-126 W -13.5 O 231.5
Apr 5, 26 vs IND W 117-108 L -16.5 U 240.5

Milwaukee Bucks: last 10 (3-7, 4-6 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 28, 26 vs HOU L 100-132 L +8.5 O 226.5
Oct 26, 26 vs IND W 110-102 W +3.5 U 239.5
Oct 24, 26 @ PHI L 116-127 W +12.5 O 234.5
Oct 23, 26 vs CHI L 125-132 L -1.5 O 241.5
Oct 21, 26 @ WSH L 116-128 L +4.5 O 239.5
Apr 12, 26 @ PHI L 106-126 L +16.5 O 225.5
Apr 10, 26 vs BKN W 125-108 W -10.5 O 218.5
Apr 8, 26 @ DET L 111-137 L +22.5 O 222.5
Apr 7, 26 @ BKN L 90-96 L -1.5 U 218.5
Apr 5, 26 vs MEM W 131-115 W -7.5 O 230.5

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Khalifa Diop (C): Out, G League – On Assignment
  • Nae’Qwan Tomlin (PF): Out, Low Back Stress Reaction
  • Jaylon Tyson (SG): Out, Right Ankle Sprain
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. (C): Out, G League – Two-Way

Milwaukee Bucks: none listed.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Cavaliers defense Bucks defense
Pace (possessions) 103.9 (8th) 105.6 (4th)

Venue and weather

Fiserv Forum · Milwaukee, WIIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Cavaliers vs Bucks odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Bucks spread +9.5 +8.5 -1
Total 236.5 234.5 -2
Cavaliers moneyline -360 -290 -3.9% win chance
Bucks moneyline +285 +235 +3.9% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Bucks spread +9 → +9.5
Total 237.5 → 235.5
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More on these teams: Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Nov 2 · Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Nov 2 · Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks Oct 29 · Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Oct 28 · All NBA prop picks

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