76ers vs Pacers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 28, 2026)

by
NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Philadelphia 76ers logo

76ers3-1 · 2-2 ATS1st in the East
FINAL114 – 109
Indiana Pacers logo

Pacers2-2 · 2-2 ATS12th in the East

NBA · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
76ers 25 37 13 39 114
Pacers 25 27 36 21 109

How the bets settled

Moneyline76ers wonClosed at -278
SpreadPacers coveredPacers +7.5, by 2.5
TotalUnder 234.5223 scored, 11.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Philadelphia beat Indiana 114-109 on October 28, with the game swinging back in the fourth quarter after Indiana had taken over in the third. The 76ers finished the stronger side and made the final period the deciding one.

Tyrese Maxey led Philadelphia with 27 points, Joel Embiid pulled down 11 rebounds, and LeBron James had 10 assists. Indiana got 26 points and 11 rebounds from Pascal Siakam and 14 assists from Andrew Nembhard. The 76ers’ efficiency stood out: they shot 46 percent from the field and 36 percent from three to Indiana’s 41 and 25, and made 88 percent of free throws. Indiana had more assists, paint points, fast-break points and offensive rebounds, but Philadelphia’s blocks and steals helped tilt it.

For bettors, Indiana covered the 7.5-point closing spread in the five-point loss, covering by 2.5. The closing total of 234.5 settled under by 11.5.

The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the NBA board →

Against the spread, start to finish

Pacers76ers
The score margin against the closing spread (Pacers +7.5). Blue: Pacers covering. Orange: 76ers covering.
+7.5Largest PHI cover
15%PHI covering
+20.5Largest IND cover
85%IND covering

Win probability

Pacers76ers
Blue: Pacers favored. Orange: 76ers favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

76ers

  • PointsTyrese Maxey27
  • AssistsLeBron James10
  • ReboundsJoel Embiid11

Pacers

  • PointsPascal Siakam26
  • AssistsAndrew Nembhard14
  • ReboundsPascal Siakam11

Team stats

76ersPacers
46%FG%41%
36%3P%25%
88%FT%80%
45Rebounds47
23Assists30
36Points in the paint48
7Fast break points16
16Turnovers15
7Steals5
5Blocks2
15Biggest lead13

Box score

Philadelphia 76ersIndiana Pacers

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
LeBron James F 33 13 5-12 2-3 1-2 5 10 0 1 2 0 5 4 +3
Joel Embiid C 39 21 9-17 0-3 3-3 11 2 4 0 1 2 9 3 -4
Jaylen Brown G 34 20 7-13 1-3 5-5 10 2 5 1 1 4 6 3 +3
Tyrese Maxey G 36 27 8-18 3-7 8-9 5 4 4 1 0 0 5 3 +6
VJ Edgecombe G 29 8 3-10 1-6 1-1 7 2 3 1 0 1 6 4 -5
Bench
Dean Wade F 17 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 +1
Adem Bona C 4 1 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 0
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope G 21 4 1-4 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 2 0 1 1 4 +7
Anfernee Simons G 27 20 7-11 6-10 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 +14
Justin Edwards Did not play: Coach’s decision
Labaron Philon Jr. Did not play: Coach’s decision
Rayan Rupert Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 114 40-87 13-36 21-24 45 23 16 7 5 10 35 30

Team shooting: FG 46% · 3PT 36% · FT 88%

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Pascal Siakam F 34 26 11-17 0-3 4-4 11 3 3 1 0 1 10 6 0
Jay Huff C 16 3 1-5 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 3 3 2 +5
Kelly Oubre Jr. G 30 15 5-10 1-4 4-4 3 1 1 0 1 0 3 1 -2
Andrew Nembhard G 35 18 5-16 1-7 7-8 3 14 4 0 0 1 2 1 0
Aaron Nesmith G 27 18 5-16 3-9 5-5 2 1 2 2 0 1 1 3 +1
Bench
Larry Nance Jr. F 23 5 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 2 1 0 2 3 3 -12
Obi Toppin F 22 13 4-8 1-2 4-8 6 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 -7
Jalen Slawson F 12 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 3 +8
Jarace Walker F 22 7 2-4 1-3 2-4 8 1 1 0 0 1 7 1 -9
Quenton Jackson G 14 2 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 6 1 0 0 1 1 2 -7
Braden Smith G 5 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2
Ivica Zubac Did not play: Left ankle sprain
Kobe Brown Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 109 36-87 9-36 28-35 47 30 15 5 2 13 34 22

Team shooting: FG 41% · 3PT 25% · FT 80%

Attendance 17,274 · Officials: Courtney Kirkland, Phenizee Ransom, Aaron Smith

Recap: Maxey scores 27 points and leads the 76ers to a 114-109 victory over the Pacers (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • The over is 2-8 in 76ers’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade 76ers vs Pacers on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

76ers vs Pacers pre-game preview

Wednesday’s matchup in Indiana has Philadelphia favored at -160 on the moneyline, with Indiana at +4.5 after opening at +1.5; the total is 237.5, unchanged from the opener. Philadelphia won the last meeting 105-94 on the road on April 10, 2026, and the last 10 head-to-head meetings are 5-5 straight up with Philadelphia 3-1 against the spread. Philadelphia is 3-1 this season and 2-2 ATS, 6-4 and 4-6 ATS over its last 10, and most recently lost 93-106 to Detroit. Indiana is 2-2 and 2-2 ATS, 3-7 and 6-4 ATS over its last 10, and most recently lost 102-110 at Milwaukee.

The useful angles are Indiana’s injury list and Philadelphia’s defense. Indiana lists McConnell, Furphy, Sheppard and Zubac out, with Nembhard and Haliburton questionable and Nesmith and Toppin probable. Philadelphia allows 107 points (rank 7) and 21 assists (rank 2), but allows 53.8 rebounds (rank 30). Philadelphia’s pace is 106.6 (rank 4). StatsBench projects LeBron James at 28.8 points plus assists against a 20.5 line, and Aaron Nesmith at 13.2 points against a 10.5 line.

The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the NBA board →

Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Philadelphia 76ers

Tyrese Maxey PG28.8 PTS · 4.0 REB · 4.8 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 @ IND 10 2 3 2 0
10/25 vs DET 33 29 5 4 1
10/24 vs MIL 36 26 4 4 4
10/22 vs CLE 41 32 3 6 2
10/20 @ NYK 40 28 4 5 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs IND
PTS 23.4 (5) 15.0 (2) 27.7 (82) 23.8 (4)
2 · 32 · 32 · 29
REB 3.8 (5) 3.5 (2) 4.1 (82) 6.0 (4)
3 · 8 · 9 · 4
AST 4.2 (5) 3.5 (2) 6.5 (82) 5.8 (4)
2 · 5 · 8 · 8

Joel Embiid C21.7 PTS · 9.7 REB · 5.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 @ IND 8 6 3 0 0
10/24 vs MIL 36 28 11 10 0
10/22 vs CLE 34 24 7 1 1
10/20 @ NYK 33 13 11 6 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs IND
PTS 17.8 (4) 9.5 (2) 26.4 (45) 25.5 (4)
6 · 27 · 30 · 39
REB 8.0 (4) 7.0 (2) 7.6 (45) 6.8 (4)
3 · 6 · 9 · 9
AST 4.3 (4) 3.0 (2) 4.2 (45) 3.0 (4)
0 · 5 · 4 · 3

Jaylen Brown SF18.2 PTS · 5.8 REB · 4.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 @ IND 13 8 6 1 0
10/25 vs DET 40 16 4 4 2
10/24 vs MIL 34 27 3 5 3
10/22 vs CLE 37 21 8 4 1
10/20 @ NYK 35 19 8 6 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs IND
PTS 18.2 (5) 13.5 (2) 28.4 (78) 19.0 (2)
8 · 30
REB 5.8 (5) 7.0 (2) 6.8 (78) 4.5 (2)
6 · 3
AST 4.0 (5) 3.5 (2) 5.0 (78) 2.5 (2)
1 · 4

Indiana Pacers

Pascal Siakam PF23.5 PTS · 7.8 REB · 4.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 vs PHI 10 8 2 1 0
10/26 @ MIL 36 20 13 6 1
10/25 @ BKN 25 21 7 6 3
10/23 vs DAL 28 23 3 3 3
10/21 @ NOP 35 30 8 1 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs PHI
PTS 20.4 (5) 15.5 (2) 24.0 (62) 17.3 (3)
8 · 24 · 20
REB 6.6 (5) 2.5 (2) 6.6 (62) 4.3 (3)
2 · 6 · 5
AST 3.4 (5) 2.0 (2) 3.8 (62) 3.3 (3)
1 · 7 · 2

Tyrese Haliburton PG21.8 PTS · 4.5 REB · 9.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/26 @ MIL 34 22 6 9 4
10/25 @ BKN 31 24 4 10 4
10/23 vs DAL 32 18 6 7 0
10/21 @ NOP 33 23 2 12 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs PHI
PTS 21.8 (4) 18.0 (1) – –
REB 4.5 (4) 6.0 (1) – –
AST 9.5 (4) 7.0 (1) – –

Obi Toppin PF15.8 PTS · 5.0 REB · 1.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/28 vs PHI 6 0 1 0 0
10/26 @ MIL 23 14 6 2 2
10/25 @ BKN 19 16 6 2 4
10/23 vs DAL 25 13 5 1 0
10/21 @ NOP 24 20 3 1 4
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs PHI
PTS 12.6 (5) 6.5 (2) 11.6 (24) 3.5 (2)
0 · 7
REB 4.2 (5) 3.0 (2) 4.4 (24) 4.0 (2)
1 · 7
AST 1.2 (5) 0.5 (2) 2.3 (24) 1.0 (2)
0 · 2

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
76ers 3-1 2-2 1-3 2-1 1-0
Pacers 2-2 2-2 2-2 0-1 2-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

76ers vs Pacers head-to-head

76ers are 5-5, 3-1 ATS, O/U 1-3 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: 76ers won 105-94 on April 10, 2026.

Date Venue 76ers result ATS O/U
Apr 10, 26 Pacers home W 105-94 L -14.5 U 234.5
Feb 24, 26 Pacers home W 135-114 W -10.5 O 234.5
Jan 19, 26 76ers home W 113-104 W -6.5 U 230.5
Dec 12, 25 76ers home W 115-105 W -5.5 U 221.5
Mar 14, 25 76ers home L 100-112 – –
Jan 18, 25 Pacers home L 102-115 – –
Dec 13, 24 76ers home L 107-121 – –
Oct 27, 24 Pacers home W 118-114 – –
Jan 25, 24 Pacers home L 122-134 – –
Nov 14, 23 76ers home L 126-132 – –

Recent form

Philadelphia 76ers: last 10 (6-4, 4-6 ATS, O/U 2-8)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 25, 26 vs DET L 93-106 L +1.5 U 228.5
Oct 24, 26 vs MIL W 127-116 L -12.5 O 234.5
Oct 22, 26 vs CLE W 114-106 W -2.5 U 237.5
Oct 20, 26 @ NY W 106-100 W +4.5 U 231.5
Apr 12, 26 vs MIL W 126-106 W -16.5 O 225.5
Apr 10, 26 @ IND W 105-94 L -14.5 U 234.5
Apr 9, 26 @ HOU L 102-113 L +6.5 U 226.5
Apr 6, 26 @ SA L 102-115 L +8.5 U 237.5
Apr 4, 26 vs DET L 93-116 L +3.5 U 225.5
Apr 3, 26 vs MIN W 115-103 W -3.5 U 233.5

Indiana Pacers: last 10 (3-7, 6-4 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 26, 26 @ MIL L 102-110 L -3.5 U 239.5
Oct 25, 26 @ BKN W 136-109 W -5.5 O 231.5
Oct 23, 26 vs DAL L 105-121 L -7.5 U 241.5
Oct 21, 26 @ NO W 123-120 W -2.5 O 238.5
Apr 12, 26 vs DET L 121-133 W +16.5 O 232.5
Apr 10, 26 vs PHI L 94-105 W +14.5 U 234.5
Apr 9, 26 @ BKN W 123-94 W -3.5 U 224.5
Apr 7, 26 vs MIN L 104-124 L +12.5 U 234.5
Apr 5, 26 @ CLE L 108-117 W +16.5 U 240.5
Apr 3, 26 @ CHA L 108-129 L +15.5 O 234.5

Injury report

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Dominick Barlow (PF): Out, Low Back Stress Reaction
  • Ariel Hukporti (C): Out, Right Achilles Tendon Rupture / Tear
  • Tacko Fall (C): Out, Left Quadriceps Strain
  • Jabari Walker (PF): Out, Left Knee Soreness

Indiana Pacers

  • T.J. McConnell (PG): Out, Right Hamstring Strain
  • Johnny Furphy (SG): Out, Right ACL Repair / Surgery
  • Ben Sheppard (SG): Out, Left Meniscus Tear
  • Ivica Zubac (C): Out, Left Ankle Sprain
  • Tyrese Haliburton (PG): Out, Left Hamstring Tightness / Soreness

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

76ers defense Pacers defense
Pace (possessions) 106.6 (4th) 103.8 (12th)

Venue and weather

Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis, INIndoor, weather won’t matter
The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the NBA board →

76ers vs Pacers odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Pacers spread +1.5 +7.5 +6
Total 237.5 234.5 -3
76ers moneyline -125 -278 +18% win chance
Pacers moneyline +105 +225 -18% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Pacers spread +4.5 → +7.5
Total 237.5 → 234.5
The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the NBA board →

More on these teams: Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Oct 30 · New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers Oct 30 · Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Oct 26 · Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers Oct 25 · All NBA prop picks

21+. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Today's NBA picks

Collin GillespieOVER 0.5 steals · vs ORL
10/10
Brandon WilliamsOVER 0.5 stls blks · vs MIA
9/10
Draymond GreenOVER 5.5 assists · vs MIA
9/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the board →

Latest

1Draw No Bet vs Double Chance, Explained
2Asian Handicap Betting: How It Works
3Corners Betting: How Football Corner Lines Work
4Shots on Target Betting: A Practical Guide
5How to Bet on Football: Markets and Method

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game days