Pacers vs Bucks Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 26, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Pacers	29	32	24	17	102
Bucks	31	19	34	26	110

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Milwaukee beat Indiana 110-102, with the game swinging after halftime as the Bucks put up 34 in the third and then pulled away with a 26-17 fourth. Indiana had built its edge earlier, but Milwaukee controlled the final two quarters.

Tyler Herro led Milwaukee with 23 points and 7 assists, while Kel’el Ware grabbed 14 rebounds. Tyrese Haliburton paced Indiana with 22 points and 9 assists, and Pascal Siakam added 13 rebounds. The Bucks’ rebounding advantage (61-48) and better free-throw shooting helped them overcome Indiana’s edge in blocks and fast-break points.

For bettors, the Bucks covered the closing 3.5-point spread by 11.5, and the game stayed under the 239.5 total by 27.5. StatsBench’s posted picks both won: Aaron Nesmith over 11.5 points (13) and Ryan Rollins over 12.5 field goal attempts (14).

How our picks did

• Aaron Nesmith OVER 11.5 PTS (-102): WON (13)
• Ryan Rollins OVER 12.5 FGA (-110): WON (14)

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

PacersBucks

41%FG%43%

27%3P%30%

61%FT%71%

48Rebounds61

27Assists27

48Points in the paint50

16Fast break points14

13Turnovers13

5Steals6

8Blocks5

11Biggest lead9

Box score

Indiana PacersMilwaukee Bucks

Indiana Pacers

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Pascal Siakam F	37	20	8-17	1-4	3-4	13	6	4	0	0	4	9	1	-9
Jay Huff C	23	6	3-8	0-3	0-0	6	1	2	0	0	1	5	3	-8
Kelly Oubre Jr. G	23	9	3-7	1-3	2-5	3	1	1	0	2	2	1	3	-11
Aaron Nesmith G	21	13	5-11	3-7	0-0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	2	+1
Tyrese Haliburton G	35	22	8-17	4-10	2-3	6	9	1	1	1	0	6	1	-6
Bench
Larry Nance Jr. F	19	2	1-6	0-5	0-0	3	1	1	1	1	0	3	1	-2
Obi Toppin F	23	14	6-13	2-7	0-0	6	2	0	0	1	1	5	1	-1
Jalen Slawson F	3	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	+3
Jarace Walker F	29	10	3-12	2-7	2-4	8	2	1	2	2	4	4	2	-2
Kobe Brown G	0	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Quenton Jackson G	27	4	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	4	1	0	0	1	1	4	-5
Braden Smith G	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Ivica Zubac	Did not play: Injury/illness
Andrew Nembhard	Did not play: Injury/illness
Total		102	39-96	13-48	11-18	48	27	13	5	8	14	34	19

Team shooting: FG 41% · 3PT 27% · FT 61%

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Kyle Kuzma F	29	17	6-10	4-6	1-1	7	3	2	0	0	0	7	3	0
Jaime Jaquez Jr. F	25	8	4-13	0-4	0-0	6	0	0	1	0	2	4	0	-1
Myles Turner C	28	6	2-7	0-3	2-2	9	4	3	1	4	3	6	2	+14
Tyler Herro G	32	23	7-14	3-6	6-10	10	7	2	1	1	1	9	3	+1
Ryan Rollins G	32	19	7-14	3-7	2-4	2	4	1	0	0	1	1	4	+10
Bench
Ousmane Dieng F	3	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1
Nate Ament F	14	7	3-8	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	+12
Kel’el Ware C	19	16	7-13	0-4	2-2	14	0	0	1	0	5	9	3	-5
AJ Green G	20	3	1-6	1-6	0-0	4	3	0	1	0	1	3	2	+5
Brayden Burries G	16	4	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	+6
Kasparas Jakucionis G	21	7	2-4	1-3	2-2	4	5	2	0	0	1	3	3	-1
Bogoljub Markovic	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jericho Sims	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Caris LeVert	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Gary Trent Jr.	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Kevin Porter Jr.	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		110	41-95	13-44	15-21	61	27	11	6	5	16	45	22

Team shooting: FG 43% · 3PT 30% · FT 71%

Attendance 10,674 · Officials: Marc Davis, Gediminas Petraitis, Julian Scott

Recap: Herro has 23 points and 10 rebounds as the Bucks beat the Pacers 110-102 for first win of the season (ESPN)

Highlights

• Kelly Oubre Jr. denies Milwaukee Bucks with swat (ESPN)
• Jay Huff connects on alley-oop jam (ESPN)
• Tyrese Haliburton drills 3 vs. Milwaukee Bucks (ESPN)
• Jay Huff throws down the hammer (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

Betting trends

• Pacers are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
• The over has hit in 6 straight Bucks games.
• The over is 9-1 in Bucks’ last 10 games.
• Pacers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings with the Bucks.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Pacers vs Bucks pre-game preview

The Monday night market lists Indiana as a -165 moneyline favorite, with Milwaukee at +4.5 and a 239.5 total, unchanged from the DraftKings opener.

The last meeting on March 15, 2026 saw Indiana lose 123-134 on the road, and the Pacers are 3-7 straight up and 0-3 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings. Indiana is 2-1 straight up and 2-1 ATS this season after a 136-109 win at Brooklyn on October 25, and 4-6 straight up with a 7-3 ATS mark over its last 10. Milwaukee is 0-3 straight up and 1-2 ATS this season, and 2-8 straight up with a 4-6 ATS mark over its last 10.

The most useful angle is Milwaukee’s defense: the Bucks allow 129 points per game, ranked 30th, while their pace of 108.5 ranks third and Indiana’s 104.9 ranks 11th. Indiana’s injury report lists T.J. McConnell out, Johnny Furphy out for the season and Ben Sheppard out, with Ivica Zubac day-to-day and unlikely to play Monday. On the prop side, Aaron Nesmith’s over 10.5 points at -125 has cleared in 8 of his last 10, and the StatsBench model projects 15.7.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Pacers	2-1	2-1	2-1	0-1	2-0
Bucks	0-3	1-2	3-0	0-1	0-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Pacers vs Bucks head-to-head

Pacers are 3-7, 0-3 ATS, O/U 1-2 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Pacers lost 123-134 on March 15, 2026.

Recent form

Indiana Pacers: last 10 (4-6, 7-3 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Milwaukee Bucks: last 10 (2-8, 4-6 ATS, O/U 9-1)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 4:13 PM ET.

Venue and weather

Pacers vs Bucks odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart