Maple Leafs vs Flames Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 26, 2026)

Final score by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Maple Leafs	0	1	1	2
Flames	2	1	2	5

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Calgary beat Toronto 5-2 on October 26, taking control with a two-goal first period and sealing the game with two more in the third. Matvei Gridin led Calgary with two goals and three points, while Matt Coronato added two assists. William Nylander scored and led Toronto with a point, and Morgan Rielly had an assist.

Calgary’s 34-28 shot edge, 6-3 takeaway advantage and 1-for-5 power play helped explain the result. Toronto blocked 16 shots and won 59.6 percent of faceoffs, but the Flames’ finishing and special teams made the difference.

For bettors, Calgary covered the 1.5 closing spread by 4.5, and the 6.5 closing total went over by 0.5. StatsBench’s posted picks split: Easton Cowan and Jack Roslovic over 0.5 points won, while Auston Matthews over 1.5 points and William Nylander over 0.5 assists lost.

How our picks did

• Auston Matthews OVER 1.5 POINTS (+166): LOST (1)
• Easton Cowan OVER 0.5 POINTS (+100): WON (1)
• Jack Roslovic OVER 0.5 POINTS (-105): WON (1)
• William Nylander OVER 0.5 ASSISTS (-115): LOST (0)

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

Against the spread, start to finish

Top performers

Team stats

Maple LeafsFlames

28Shots34

59.6%Faceoffs won40.4%

0Power play goals1

23Hits24

16Blocked shots4

3Takeaways6

12Giveaways13

19Penalty minutes13

Box score

Toronto Maple LeafsCalgary Flames

Toronto Maple Leafs

Forwards

Player	G	A	SOG	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV	PIM	FO%
Teddy Blueger C	0	0	0	3	-1	14:27	23	1	1	1	0	0	72.7
Easton Cowan RW	1	0	0	1	-1	15:30	19	2	0	0	2	4	0.0
Brandon Duhaime RW	0	0	0	2	-1	11:11	18	3	0	0	1	0	0.0
Vinni Lettieri C	0	0	0	1	-1	11:54	12	3	1	0	0	0	0.0
Zack MacEwen C	0	0	0	2	-2	10:12	14	3	1	0	0	5	100.0
Kirill Marchenko RW	0	0	0	1	0	7:05	8	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
Auston Matthews C	0	1	0	1	-1	19:00	19	1	2	0	0	4	46.2
Gavin McKenna LW	0	0	0	1	0	14:50	16	0	0	1	3	0	0.0
William Nylander RW	1	0	0	4	0	19:14	23	1	0	0	0	2	0.0
Nick Paul LW	0	0	0	1	-1	17:35	21	1	0	1	1	0	58.8
Jack Roslovic C	0	1	0	1	-1	18:43	21	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
Colton Sissons C	0	0	0	1	0	14:17	19	2	1	0	0	0	75.0

Defenses

Player	G	A	SOG	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV	PIM	FO%
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	0	0	0	3	-2	19:14	23	2	0	0	2	0	0.0
Jake McCabe D	0	0	0	0	-1	18:17	24	1	3	0	0	0	0.0
Dakota Mermis D	0	0	0	1	0	13:33	19	2	2	0	0	2	0.0
Darren Raddysh D	0	0	0	3	-2	23:49	22	1	2	0	2	0	0.0
Morgan Rielly D	0	1	0	1	1	19:27	24	0	2	0	0	0	0.0
Troy Stecher D	0	1	0	1	1	22:04	22	0	1	0	1	0	0.0

Goalies

Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Sergei Bobrovsky G	3	32	0	0	29	.906	23	6	0	58:55	0	2

Calgary Flames

Forwards

Player	G	A	SOG	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV	PIM	FO%
Mikael Backlund C	1	0	0	1	1	18:32	22	0	1	1	2	2	52.9
Jonathan Castagna C	0	0	0	1	0	10:20	16	1	0	0	1	0	10.0
Matt Coronato RW	0	2	0	2	2	18:44	21	0	0	0	0	0	66.7
Joel Farabee LW	1	1	0	2	2	24:08	24	2	0	1	0	0	0.0
Morgan Frost C	0	0	0	2	-1	16:11	19	0	0	0	0	0	25.0
Matvei Gridin RW	2	1	0	5	2	16:11	21	0	1	0	1	0	0.0
Adam Klapka RW	0	0	0	0	0	11:48	17	5	0	0	0	0	0.0
Brennan Othmann LW	0	0	0	1	-1	9:22	16	4	0	0	1	2	0.0
Martin Pospisil C	1	1	0	2	2	12:20	21	4	0	0	0	2	33.3
Yegor Sharangovich C	0	0	0	1	-1	16:47	21	1	0	1	0	0	100.0
Ryan Strome C	0	0	0	5	1	13:48	20	0	0	0	0	0	75.0
Aydar Suniev LW	0	0	0	6	-1	14:25	17	2	0	0	0	0	0.0

Defenses

Player	G	A	SOG	S	+/-	TOI	SHFT	HT	BS	TK	GV	PIM	FO%
Kevin Bahl D	0	0	0	0	3	21:46	24	0	0	0	2	0	0.0
Yan Kuznetsov D	0	1	0	0	-1	13:57	17	1	1	1	1	0	0.0
Jake Middleton D	0	0	0	0	0	16:14	18	2	0	1	0	5	0.0
Simon Nemec D	0	2	0	1	2	21:51	24	1	0	0	2	0	0.0
Zayne Parekh D	0	1	0	3	-1	20:11	19	0	0	1	3	0	0.0
Zach Whitecloud D	0	0	0	2	1	17:47	20	1	1	0	0	0	0.0

Goalies

Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Devin Cooley G	2	28	0	0	26	.929	16	3	7	59:38	0	2

Attendance 18,476 · Officials: Frederick L’Ecuyer, Trent Knorr, CJ Murray, Stephen Hiff

Recap: Matvei Gridin scores twice as Flames beat Maple Leafs 5-2 (ESPN)

Highlights

• Matvei Gridin tallies goal vs. Maple Leafs (ESPN)
• Mikael Backlund nets goal for Flames (ESPN)
• Matvei Gridin nets power-play goal (ESPN)
• Easton Cowan lights the lamp (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

Betting trends

• Maple Leafs have covered the spread in 4 straight games.
• The over has hit in 3 straight Maple Leafs games.
• Maple Leafs are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
• Maple Leafs are 6-0 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.
• The over is 8-2 in Maple Leafs’ last 10 games.
• Flames have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
• The under has hit in 3 straight Flames games.
• Maple Leafs are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings with the Flames.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Maple Leafs vs Flames pre-game preview

Monday’s Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames matchup has Toronto as the -155 moneyline favorite, with Calgary at +1.5 on the spread and the total at 6.5, unchanged from the DraftKings opener.

The last meeting was February 2, 2026, when Toronto won 4-2 on the road. Toronto is 7-6 straight up and 7-6 against the spread this season, 6-4 and 7-3 ATS over its last 10, and most recently won 7-2 at Edmonton on October 24. Calgary is 4-6 straight up and 4-6 ATS, also 4-6 and 4-6 ATS over its last 10, and most recently won 4-1 against Detroit on October 24. In the last six head-to-head meetings, Toronto is 6-0 straight up but 1-2 ATS.

The most useful angles are Calgary’s defensive ranks and pace. Calgary’s goals allowed (3.9, 30th), shots on goal allowed (30.5, 29th) and points allowed (10.3, 30th) are bottom-tier, while Toronto is 14th in goals allowed at 3.08 and first in power-play points allowed at 0.46. Pace ranks second for Toronto at 58.6 and first for Calgary at 59.2.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Maple Leafs	7-6	7-6	8-5	4-4	3-2
Flames	4-6	4-6	4-6	3-3	1-3

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Maple Leafs vs Flames head-to-head

Maple Leafs are 6-0, 1-2 ATS, O/U 2-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Maple Leafs won 4-2 on February 2, 2026.

Recent form

Toronto Maple Leafs: last 10 (6-4, 7-3 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Calgary Flames: last 10 (4-6, 4-6 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 3:58 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Venue and weather

Maple Leafs vs Flames odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart