Flames vs Oilers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 28, 2026)

Calgary Flames logo

Flames5-6 · 5-6 ATS11th in the West
FINAL0 – 4
Edmonton Oilers logo

Oilers8-4 · 7-5 ATS1st in the West

NHL · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · Rogers Place

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 T
Flames 0 0 0 0
Oilers 1 1 2 4

How the bets settled

MoneylineOilers wonClosed at -185
SpreadOilers coveredOilers -1.5, by 2.5
TotalUnder 6.54 scored, 2.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Edmonton beat Calgary 4-0 on October 28, leading 2-0 through two periods and then adding two goals in the third. The decisive separation came in the final period, after the game had already tilted Edmonton’s way.

Mathieu Joseph scored for Edmonton, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins led the offense with two assists and two points. The Oilers backed that up with a 32-24 edge in shots, a 12-9 advantage in blocked shots, 28 hits to Calgary’s 19, and a 1-for-2 power play. Calgary won 54.7 percent of faceoffs but went 0-for-1 with the man advantage.

For bettors, Oilers -1.5 covered by 2.5, and the 6.5 total went under by 2.5. StatsBench’s posted picks both won: Evan Bouchard over 0.5 assists with one assist, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins over 0.5 points with two points.

How our picks did

  • Evan Bouchard OVER 0.5 ASSISTS (-178): WON (1)
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins OVER 0.5 POINTS (-180): WON (2)

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

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Against the spread, start to finish

OilersFlames
The score margin against the closing spread (Oilers -1.5). Blue: Oilers covering. Orange: Flames covering.
+1.5Largest CGY cover
41%CGY covering
+2.5Largest EDM cover
59%EDM covering

Top performers

Oilers

  • GoalsMathieu Joseph1
  • AssistsRyan Nugent-Hopkins2
  • PointsRyan Nugent-Hopkins2

Team stats

FlamesOilers
24Shots32
54.7%Faceoffs won45.3%
0Power play goals1
19Hits28
9Blocked shots12
3Takeaways4
16Giveaways11
11Penalty minutes9

Box score

Calgary Flames

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Mikael Backlund C 0 0 0 2 -1 18:32 23 0 0 0 0 0 60.0
Jonathan Castagna C 0 0 0 0 0 13:18 19 2 0 0 1 2 72.7
Matt Coronato RW 0 0 0 3 -1 18:12 25 0 0 0 1 0 0.0
Joel Farabee LW 0 0 0 3 -1 16:48 24 1 0 0 2 2 0.0
Morgan Frost C 0 0 0 1 -2 13:19 19 0 0 0 0 0 66.7
Matvei Gridin RW 0 0 0 1 0 22:31 28 0 0 2 1 0 0.0
Adam Klapka RW 0 0 0 2 -1 14:46 18 7 1 0 0 0 0.0
Brennan Othmann LW 0 0 0 0 0 0:52 2 0 0 0 0 5 0.0
Martin Pospisil C 0 0 0 3 0 15:20 22 5 0 0 2 0 46.2
Yegor Sharangovich C 0 0 0 1 -2 11:58 19 1 0 0 1 0 0.0
Ryan Strome C 0 0 0 4 0 18:30 23 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Aydar Suniev LW 0 0 0 0 -1 13:21 17 2 0 0 0 0 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Kevin Bahl D 0 0 0 0 -1 22:43 26 1 3 0 1 2 0.0
Yan Kuznetsov D 0 0 0 1 0 15:14 21 0 1 0 2 0 0.0
Jake Middleton D 0 0 0 1 -2 19:49 25 0 1 1 1 0 0.0
Simon Nemec D 0 0 0 0 -2 23:36 24 0 1 0 1 0 0.0
Zayne Parekh D 0 0 0 1 0 17:17 23 0 0 0 1 0 0.0
Zach Whitecloud D 0 0 0 1 -1 19:38 24 0 2 0 2 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Dustin Wolf G 3 23 0 0 20 .870 19 1 0 40:00 0 0
Devin Cooley G 1 9 0 0 8 .889 7 0 1 20:00 0 0

Edmonton Oilers

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Colton Dach C 0 0 0 2 1 16:50 24 1 0 0 2 2 0.0
Jason Dickinson C 0 1 0 2 1 13:00 21 4 0 0 0 0 42.9
Leon Draisaitl C 0 0 0 2 0 19:06 23 0 0 1 2 0 88.9
Alex Formenton LW 1 0 0 1 1 12:12 21 1 0 0 0 0 0.0
Trent Frederic C 0 0 0 0 0 11:16 18 5 0 0 0 2 0.0
Isaac Howard LW 0 0 0 2 0 10:21 15 1 0 1 0 0 0.0
Mathieu Joseph RW 1 0 0 2 2 13:12 21 3 2 0 0 0 0.0
Kasperi Kapanen RW 1 0 0 2 1 18:06 24 3 0 0 1 0 0.0
Connor McDavid C 0 2 0 3 1 18:50 24 1 0 1 1 0 50.0
Owen Michaels C 0 0 0 1 0 10:39 19 0 0 0 0 0 38.5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C 0 2 0 2 1 18:23 23 0 2 0 0 0 33.3
Vasily Podkolzin RW 0 0 0 2 1 16:08 22 2 2 0 1 0 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Evan Bouchard D 0 1 0 4 2 22:12 25 0 2 1 0 0 0.0
Mattias Ekholm D 1 0 0 3 1 18:44 25 0 1 0 0 0 0.0
Ty Emberson D 0 0 0 0 1 16:19 22 2 1 0 1 5 0.0
Shakir Mukhamadullin D 0 0 0 1 1 19:16 26 2 0 0 0 0 0.0
Connor Murphy D 0 0 0 3 0 20:35 26 3 2 0 3 0 0.0
Ryan Shea D 0 0 0 0 1 20:51 28 0 0 0 0 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Tristan Jarry G 0 24 0 0 24 1.000 24 0 0 60:00 0 0

Attendance 17,032 · Officials: Frederick L’Ecuyer, Carter Sandlak, Bevan Mills, Kilian McNamara

Recap: Jarry makes 24 saves in the Oilers’ 4-0 victory over the Flames (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Flames vs Oilers pre-game preview

The Wednesday night matchup in Edmonton has the Oilers as -208 moneyline favorites laying -1.5, with a total of 6.5; DraftKings opened at the same spread and total.

The last meeting on February 4, 2026 went to Calgary 4-3 at home. Calgary is 5-6 straight up and 5-6 ATS this season, and 5-5 straight up and 5-5 ATS over its last 10 after a 5-2 win over Toronto on October 26. Edmonton is 8-4 straight up and 7-5 ATS this season, and 7-3 straight up and 6-4 ATS over its last 10 after a 3-4 loss to Detroit on October 26. The last 10 head-to-head meetings are 5-5 straight up and 3-3 ATS.

Calgary ranks first in pace at 59.5, while Edmonton is 26th at 52.6. Calgary allows 3.73 goals per game (30th) and Edmonton 3.5 (25th). Edmonton lists Mattias Ekholm out and Zach Hyman day-to-day, among several IR entries. StatsBench projects Connor McDavid at 1.5 assists after clearing over 0.5 in 10 of 10, and Evan Bouchard at 1.1 assists after clearing over 0.5 in 8 of 10.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Calgary Flames

Joel Farabee L1.0 PTS · 2.4 SOG · 0.3 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/26 vs TOR 24:08 1 1 2 2
10/24 vs DET 18:52 1 2 3 1
10/22 vs MIN 18:51 1 0 1 1
10/18 vs CAR 19:45 0 1 2 0
10/15 @ VGK 20:24 0 1 3 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs EDM
PTS 1.0 (11) 0.8 (4) 0.5 (82) 0.0 (4)
0 · 0 · 0 · 0
SOG 2.4 (11) 2.5 (4) 1.7 (82) 1.8 (4)
1 · 4 · 1 · 1

Matt Coronato R0.9 PTS · 2.4 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/26 vs TOR 18:44 0 2 2 0
10/24 vs DET 16:09 0 2 2 0
10/22 vs MIN 17:18 0 1 3 0
10/18 vs CAR 19:31 0 1 3 0
10/15 @ VGK 16:01 1 0 3 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs EDM
PTS 0.9 (11) 0.5 (4) 0.6 (80) 0.3 (4)
0 · 0 · 0 · 1
SOG 2.4 (11) 3.5 (4) 2.5 (80) 1.3 (4)
3 · 0 · 1 · 1

Matvei Gridin R0.7 PTS · 2.3 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/26 vs TOR 16:11 2 1 5 0
10/24 vs DET 17:55 1 1 4 0
10/22 vs MIN 14:57 0 0 2 0
10/18 vs CAR 15:51 1 0 2 1
10/15 @ VGK 13:40 0 1 0 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs EDM
PTS 0.7 (11) 0.5 (4) 0.5 (37) 1.5 (2)
2 · 1
SOG 2.3 (11) 1.8 (4) 1.9 (37) 4.0 (2)
3 · 5

Edmonton Oilers

Connor McDavid C2.8 PTS · 2.5 SOG · 0.7 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/26 vs DET 26:27 0 1 2 0
10/24 vs TOR 22:27 0 2 3 1
10/22 vs CAR 25:02 2 3 3 1
10/20 vs MIN 25:31 0 3 4 2
10/17 @ UTA 19:52 2 3 2 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CGY
PTS 2.8 (12) 2.3 (7) 1.6 (88) 2.3 (4)
1 · 1 · 5 · 2
SOG 2.5 (12) 2.6 (7) 3.7 (88) 6.5 (4)
8 · 7 · 6 · 5

Leon Draisaitl C2.0 PTS · 3.8 SOG · 1.0 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/26 vs DET 25:10 0 1 3 0
10/24 vs TOR 20:59 2 0 7 0
10/22 vs CAR 24:25 2 3 4 1
10/20 vs MIN 24:06 2 0 4 0
10/17 @ UTA 18:31 1 1 1 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CGY
PTS 2.0 (12) 1.9 (7) 1.5 (71) 2.0 (4)
2 · 1 · 3 · 2
SOG 3.8 (12) 4.4 (7) 2.8 (71) 4.3 (4)
5 · 2 · 4 · 6

Evan Bouchard D1.8 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.6 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/26 vs DET 31:41 0 0 2 3
10/24 vs TOR 26:11 0 2 3 1
10/22 vs CAR 29:59 0 1 0 0
10/20 vs MIN 28:17 1 1 3 0
10/17 @ UTA 24:04 0 1 3 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs CGY
PTS 1.8 (12) 1.6 (7) 1.2 (88) 1.8 (4)
3 · 2 · 2 · 0
SOG 2.9 (12) 3.1 (7) 2.6 (88) 3.3 (4)
2 · 4 · 2 · 5

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Flames 5-6 5-6 5-6 4-3 1-3
Oilers 8-4 7-5 8-4 3-4 5-0

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Flames vs Oilers head-to-head

Flames are 5-5, 3-3 ATS, O/U 3-3 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Flames won 4-3 on February 4, 2026.

Date Venue Flames result ATS O/U
Feb 4, 26 Flames home W 4-3 W +1.5 O 6.5
Dec 27, 25 Flames home W 3-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Dec 23, 25 Oilers home L 1-5 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 8, 25 Oilers home W 4-3 – –
Mar 29, 25 Oilers home L 2-3 – –
Nov 3, 24 Flames home L 2-4 – –
Oct 13, 24 Oilers home W 4-1 – –
Apr 6, 24 Flames home L 2-4 L +1.5 O 5.5
Feb 24, 24 Oilers home W 6-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Jan 20, 24 Flames home L 1-3 L +1.5 U 5.5

Recent form

Calgary Flames: last 10 (5-5, 5-5 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 26, 26 vs TOR W 5-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 24, 26 vs DET W 4-1 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 22, 26 vs MIN W 2-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 18, 26 vs CAR W 3-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 15, 26 @ VGK L 2-6 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ ANA W 4-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 10, 26 vs ANA L 2-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 8, 26 vs COL L 3-7 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 4, 26 @ SEA L 1-6 L +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 3, 26 @ VAN L 1-4 L +1.5 U 6.5

Edmonton Oilers: last 10 (7-3, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 26, 26 vs DET L 3-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 24, 26 vs TOR L 2-7 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 vs CAR W 6-5 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 vs MIN W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 @ UTA W 6-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs UTA L 2-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ LA W 4-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 10, 26 @ SJ W 3-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 7, 26 @ ANA W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 3, 26 vs SEA W 3-1 W -1.5 U 6.5

Injury report

Calgary Flames

  • Samuel Honzek (L): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
  • Jonathan Huberdeau (L): Injured Reserve, Huberdeau

Edmonton Oilers

  • Devon Levi (G): Injured Reserve, Levi
  • Matt Savoie (C): Injured Reserve, Savoie
  • Alec Regula (D): Injured Reserve, Regula
  • Zach Hyman (L): Injured Reserve, Neck
  • Frederik Andersen (G): Injured Reserve, Andersen
  • Mattias Janmark (C): Injured Reserve, Janmark

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Flames defense Oilers defense
Goals allowed per game 3.53 (27th of 32) 2.87 (7th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 29.8 (28th of 32) 26.33 (12th of 32)
Points allowed per game 9.53 (27th of 32) 7.53 (7th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 1.6 (10th of 32) 2 (17th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 59.5 (1st) 52.6 (25th)

Venue and weather

Rogers Place · Edmonton, ABIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Flames vs Oilers odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Oilers spread -1.5 -1.5 –
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Flames moneyline +180 +154 +3.7% win chance
Oilers moneyline -218 -185 -3.6% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Oilers spread -1.5 → -1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
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More on these teams: Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders Oct 31 · Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames Oct 30 · Detroit Red Wings vs Edmonton Oilers Oct 26 · Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Oct 26 · All NHL prop picks

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