Red Wings vs Oilers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 26, 2026)

Detroit Red Wings logo

Red Wings4-7 · 4-7 ATS10th in the East
FINAL4 – 3
Edmonton Oilers logo

Oilers8-3 · 7-4 ATS1st in the West

NHL · Monday, October 26, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET · Rogers Place

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 OT SO T
Red Wings 0 1 2 0 1 4
Oilers 1 0 2 0 0 3

How the bets settled

MoneylineRed Wings wonClosed at +142
SpreadRed Wings coveredRed Wings +1.5, by 2.5
TotalOver 6.57 scored, 0.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Detroit Red Wings beat Edmonton Oilers 4-3, with the decisive goal coming in the fifth period after a scoreless fourth. Edmonton led after the first, Detroit answered in the second, and the teams traded two-goal third periods before Detroit finally pulled ahead.

Colton Dach led Edmonton with a goal and an assist. Viktor Arvidsson led Detroit with a goal and two points, and Lucas Raymond added two assists. Detroit’s 55.7 percent faceoff edge and 33-25 hitting advantage helped it keep possession and pressure, while Edmonton’s 33.3 percent power play kept the game tight.

Against the closing line, Detroit covered the +1.5 spread by 2.5, and the game went over 6.5 by 0.5. StatsBench’s posted picks split: Connor McDavid over 1.5 assists lost with 1, while Michael Brandsegg-Nygård over 2.5 hits won with 11.

How our picks did

  • Connor McDavid OVER 1.5 ASSISTS (+160): LOST (1)
  • Michael Brandsegg-Nygård OVER 2.5 HITS (-110): WON (11)

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

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Against the spread, start to finish

OilersRed Wings
The score margin against the closing spread (Oilers -1.5). Blue: Oilers covering. Orange: Red Wings covering.
+2.5Largest DET cover
100%DET covering
+0Largest EDM cover
0%EDM covering

Top performers

Red Wings

  • GoalsViktor Arvidsson1
  • AssistsLucas Raymond2
  • PointsViktor Arvidsson2

Oilers

  • GoalsColton Dach1
  • AssistsColton Dach1
  • PointsColton Dach2

Team stats

Red WingsOilers
28Shots27
55.7%Faceoffs won44.3%
1Power play goals1
33Hits25
11Blocked shots14
6Takeaways6
13Giveaways11
6Penalty minutes8

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Viktor Arvidsson LW 1 1 0 4 1 18:11 24 0 0 1 0 2 0.0
Michael Brandsegg-Nygard RW 0 0 0 1 -1 15:18 21 11 0 1 1 2 100.0
J.T. Compher LW 0 0 0 1 0 17:13 23 0 1 0 0 0 41.7
Andrew Copp C 0 0 0 1 -1 17:48 20 0 0 1 1 0 75.0
Nate Danielson C 0 0 0 0 -1 8:11 12 1 0 0 0 0 60.0
Alex DeBrincat RW 0 1 0 2 2 19:28 25 3 0 0 1 0 0.0
Emmitt Finnie C 1 0 0 1 2 20:34 28 3 0 0 0 0 61.5
Keegan Kolesar RW 0 0 0 0 0 8:19 13 3 2 0 0 0 0.0
Dylan Larkin C 1 0 0 4 1 23:16 27 0 0 0 1 0 56.0
Carter Mazur LW 0 0 0 2 -1 5:10 8 1 0 0 0 0 0.0
Michael Rasmussen C 0 0 0 4 0 19:01 21 1 0 1 3 0 0.0
Lucas Raymond LW 0 2 0 2 0 21:12 25 1 0 0 1 0 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Ben Chiarot D 0 0 0 1 -1 22:33 30 4 2 0 1 0 0.0
Andreas Englund D 0 0 0 0 1 13:26 18 2 1 0 1 0 0.0
Justin Faulk D 0 0 0 1 0 22:18 29 1 2 0 0 2 0.0
Anton Johansson D 0 0 0 0 0 10:53 15 0 0 1 1 0 0.0
Moritz Seider D 0 1 0 3 0 30:07 34 1 2 1 1 0 0.0
William Wallinder D 0 0 0 1 -1 17:51 20 1 1 0 0 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Michal Postava G 3 27 0 0 24 .889 18 6 0 63:16 0 0

Edmonton Oilers

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Colton Dach C 1 1 0 2 1 14:38 20 2 1 1 0 0 80.0
Leon Draisaitl C 0 1 0 3 0 25:10 30 0 0 0 2 0 42.9
Alex Formenton LW 0 0 0 1 -1 11:35 23 2 1 0 1 0 0.0
Trent Frederic C 0 0 0 0 0 7:14 10 2 0 0 0 0 0.0
Isaac Howard LW 1 0 0 1 0 8:43 13 0 1 0 0 0 0.0
Zach Hyman LW 0 0 0 2 0 8:25 10 0 0 0 0 0 0.0
Mathieu Joseph RW 0 0 0 0 -1 10:32 20 0 0 1 0 0 100.0
Kasperi Kapanen RW 0 1 0 1 1 19:02 26 4 0 0 2 0 0.0
Connor McDavid C 0 1 0 2 0 26:27 29 0 0 0 1 0 33.3
Owen Michaels C 0 0 0 1 -1 12:57 23 1 0 0 0 0 42.9
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C 0 1 0 5 1 22:22 26 0 0 1 0 0 42.9
Vasily Podkolzin RW 1 0 0 1 0 21:37 28 5 0 0 1 4 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Evan Bouchard D 0 0 0 2 2 31:41 33 3 3 0 0 0 0.0
Ty Emberson D 0 0 0 1 0 9:08 14 2 1 0 0 0 0.0
Shakir Mukhamadullin D 0 0 0 3 1 17:52 24 1 0 0 2 0 0.0
Connor Murphy D 0 0 0 2 -2 22:28 28 2 5 0 0 2 0.0
Ryan Shea D 0 1 0 0 -1 25:02 30 1 2 2 2 2 0.0
Jake Walman D 0 0 0 0 0 13:16 22 0 0 1 0 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Tristan Jarry G 3 28 0 0 25 .893 22 2 1 65:00 0 0

Attendance 17,043 · Officials: Francis Charron, Graham Skilliter, Brandon Gawryletz, Travis Toomey

Recap: Raymond scores in shootout to lift Red Wings to 4-3 decision over Oilers (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Red Wings vs Oilers on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

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Red Wings vs Oilers pre-game preview

The Monday night market has Edmonton as a -182 moneyline favorite laying -1.5 with a 6.5 total, unchanged from the DraftKings opener. The last meeting was Dec. 11, 2025, a 4-1 Detroit loss on the road. Detroit is 4-7 straight up and 4-7 ATS this season, and 4-6 straight up and ATS over its last 10 after a 4-1 loss at Calgary. Edmonton is 8-3 straight up and 7-4 ATS, and 8-2 straight up with 7-3 ATS over its last 10 after a 7-2 loss to Toronto. In the last six head-to-heads, Detroit is 2-4 straight up and 1-2 ATS.

The defensive ranks are a useful split: Detroit allows 2.91 goals per game (rank 9) and 8 points (rank 11), while Edmonton allows 3.55 goals (rank 27) and 9.27 points (rank 26). Detroit also plays faster at 55.4 pace (rank 12) against Edmonton’s 52.4 (rank 25). Edmonton lists Mattias Ekholm out plus several injured reserve entries, and Detroit has Marco Kasper on IR. Among props, Connor McDavid over 0.5 assists is -340 after clearing in 10 of last 10, with a StatsBench projection of 1.4.

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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Red Wings 4-7 4-7 6-5 3-4 1-3
Oilers 8-3 7-4 7-4 3-3 5-0

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Red Wings vs Oilers head-to-head

Red Wings are 2-4, 1-2 ATS, O/U 1-2 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Red Wings lost 1-4 on December 11, 2025.

Date Venue Red Wings result ATS O/U
Dec 11, 25 Oilers home L 1-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 19, 25 Red Wings home W 4-2 – –
Jan 30, 25 Oilers home W 3-2 – –
Oct 27, 24 Red Wings home L 2-3 – –
Feb 13, 24 Oilers home L 4-8 L +1.5 O 5.5
Jan 11, 24 Red Wings home L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5

Recent form

Detroit Red Wings: last 10 (4-6, 4-6 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 @ CGY L 1-4 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 22, 26 @ VAN W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ SEA L 3-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 vs SJ W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs PHI W 2-1 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 13, 26 vs NJ L 4-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 10, 26 @ MTL L 0-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 9, 26 vs SEA L 3-6 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 6, 26 vs OTT W 5-3 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 4, 26 vs WPG L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5

Edmonton Oilers: last 10 (8-2, 7-3 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 vs TOR L 2-7 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 vs CAR W 6-5 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 vs MIN W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 @ UTA W 6-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs UTA L 2-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ LA W 4-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 10, 26 @ SJ W 3-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 7, 26 @ ANA W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 3, 26 vs SEA W 3-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 1, 26 @ VAN W 9-7 W -1.5 O 6.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 3:58 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Red Wings defense Oilers defense
Goals allowed per game 2.93 (9th of 32) 2.87 (7th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 24.53 (5th of 32) 26.33 (12th of 32)
Points allowed per game 8.13 (12th of 32) 7.53 (7th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 2.67 (25th of 32) 2 (17th of 32)

Venue and weather

Rogers Place · Edmonton, ABIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Red Wings vs Oilers odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Oilers spread -1.5 -1.5 –
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Red Wings moneyline +154 +142 +2% win chance
Oilers moneyline -185 -170 -1.9% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Oilers spread -1.5 → -1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
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More on these teams: Chicago Blackhawks vs Detroit Red Wings Oct 29 · Calgary Flames vs Edmonton Oilers Oct 28 · Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames Oct 24 · Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Oct 24 · All NHL prop picks

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