Maple Leafs vs Kraken Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 28, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Toronto Maple Leafs logo

Maple Leafs7-7 · 7-7 ATS8th in the East
FINAL4 – 5
Seattle Kraken logo

Kraken7-5 · 8-4 ATS6th in the West

NHL · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · Climate Pledge Arena

Final score by period

Team 1 2 3 T
Maple Leafs 1 1 2 4
Kraken 1 3 1 5

How the bets settled

MoneylineKraken wonClosed at +110
SpreadKraken coveredKraken +1.5, by 2.5
TotalOver 6.59 scored, 2.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Seattle beat Toronto 5-4 on Oct. 28, with the game swinging in the second period when the Kraken scored three times to turn a tied game into a lead they protected the rest of the way. Chandler Stephenson led Seattle with a goal and two points, while Matty Beniers added two assists. Toronto got two goals and three points from Gavin McKenna and two assists from Auston Matthews, but Seattle made its middle-period push count despite being outshot and losing more faceoffs. Toronto’s power play was efficient, scoring twice on three chances, while Seattle converted one of five, and the Leafs’ edge in hits and takeaways did not change the result. For bettors, the Kraken covered the 1.5-goal closing spread by 2.5, and the game went over the 6.5 closing total by 2.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

KrakenMaple Leafs
The score margin against the closing spread (Kraken +1.5). Blue: Kraken covering. Orange: Maple Leafs covering.
+0Largest TOR cover
0%TOR covering
+3.5Largest SEA cover
100%SEA covering

Top performers

Maple Leafs

  • GoalsGavin McKenna2
  • AssistsAuston Matthews2
  • PointsGavin McKenna3

Kraken

  • GoalsChandler Stephenson1
  • AssistsMatty Beniers2
  • PointsChandler Stephenson2

Team stats

Maple LeafsKraken
22Shots17
52.5%Faceoffs won47.5%
2Power play goals1
32Hits23
11Blocked shots11
3Takeaways1
15Giveaways16
15Penalty minutes11

Box score

Toronto Maple LeafsSeattle Kraken

Toronto Maple Leafs

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Teddy Blueger C 0 0 0 0 -1 12:59 16 2 0 0 2 0 55.6
Easton Cowan RW 0 1 0 3 1 19:08 24 0 0 0 2 2 0.0
Brandon Duhaime RW 0 0 0 0 -1 13:35 20 6 2 2 1 0 0.0
Bo Groulx C 0 0 0 1 0 6:23 10 3 0 0 0 0 0.0
Vinni Lettieri C 0 0 0 0 0 9:15 13 3 0 0 0 7 0.0
Zack MacEwen C 0 0 0 1 -1 8:21 14 1 1 0 1 2 0.0
Auston Matthews C 1 2 0 4 0 20:08 25 1 0 0 0 0 56.5
Gavin McKenna LW 2 1 0 3 0 15:33 19 0 0 0 4 2 0.0
William Nylander RW 0 0 0 3 -1 22:13 25 3 1 0 0 0 0.0
Nick Paul LW 0 0 0 0 -2 16:19 22 3 0 0 1 0 63.6
Jack Roslovic C 1 1 0 1 1 17:28 22 0 0 1 1 0 0.0
Colton Sissons C 0 0 0 0 -1 13:49 21 3 0 0 0 0 37.5

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D 0 0 0 0 0 16:45 22 3 0 0 0 0 0.0
Jake McCabe D 0 0 0 1 -1 23:12 25 0 2 0 1 0 0.0
Dakota Mermis D 0 0 0 0 -1 9:52 17 1 0 0 0 2 0.0
Darren Raddysh D 0 2 0 1 -1 24:49 28 1 0 0 1 0 0.0
Morgan Rielly D 0 0 0 0 -2 19:52 24 0 2 0 0 0 0.0
Troy Stecher D 0 1 0 4 0 21:48 28 2 3 0 1 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Sergei Bobrovsky G 5 17 0 0 12 .706 9 3 0 59:16 0 0

Seattle Kraken

Forwards

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Matty Beniers C 0 2 0 0 2 20:26 25 1 0 0 4 0 56.3
Berkly Catton C 1 0 0 1 1 15:05 20 0 0 0 1 2 36.4
Jordan Eberle RW 0 1 0 1 1 18:13 24 0 2 0 0 2 0.0
Frederick Gaudreau C 0 1 0 0 -1 14:49 24 0 0 0 0 0 30.0
Kaapo Kakko RW 0 0 0 0 0 14:10 19 1 0 0 2 0 0.0
Bobby McMann C 0 0 0 4 1 19:05 23 2 1 0 0 0 0.0
Ben Meyers C 0 1 0 2 0 11:38 18 2 0 0 0 0 66.7
Jani Nyman RW 0 0 0 1 1 8:42 13 1 0 0 1 0 0.0
Mackie Samoskevich RW 0 2 0 0 1 14:21 20 1 0 0 2 0 0.0
Chandler Stephenson C 1 1 0 1 0 19:08 23 0 1 0 2 0 58.8
Ryan Winterton C 0 0 0 1 1 11:02 17 0 1 0 1 0 0.0
Shane Wright C 0 0 0 0 0 16:43 22 1 0 0 0 0 0.0

Defenses

Player G A SOG S +/- TOI SHFT HT BS TK GV PIM FO%
Vince Dunn D 0 1 0 2 -1 23:49 28 0 2 0 0 0 0.0
Ryker Evans D 1 0 0 2 2 22:57 25 5 2 1 0 2 0.0
Cale Fleury D 0 0 0 0 1 8:18 12 3 0 0 1 5 0.0
Adam Larsson D 0 0 0 0 -2 19:21 26 0 1 0 0 0 0.0
Joshua Mahura D 1 0 0 1 1 11:07 14 3 0 0 1 0 0.0
Brandon Montour D 1 0 0 1 3 27:10 26 3 1 0 1 0 0.0

Goalies

Player GA SA SOS SOSA SV SV% ESSV PPSV SHSV TOI YTDG PIM
Philipp Grubauer G 4 22 0 0 18 .818 16 2 0 59:51 0 0

Attendance 17,151 · Officials: Ryan Gibbons, Cody Beach, Dylan Blujus, Corey Syvret

Recap: Kraken outlast Maple Leafs 5-4 to spoil No. 1 overall pick Gavin McKenna’s big game (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • The over has hit in 4 straight Maple Leafs games.
  • Maple Leafs are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Maple Leafs are 6-0 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • The over is 8-2 in Maple Leafs’ last 10 games.
  • Kraken are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
  • The over is 8-2 in Kraken’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Maple Leafs vs Kraken pre-game preview

The moneyline has Toronto as a slight favorite at -116, with Seattle at +100; Seattle is +1.5 on the spread and the total is 6.5. The DraftKings opening line was Seattle +1.5 with a 6.5 total and remains unchanged.

The last meeting went Seattle’s way, 5-2 over Toronto on January 29, 2026. Toronto’s last 10 is 5-5 straight up and 7-3 against the spread with an 8-2 over/under, following a 5-2 loss at Calgary. Seattle’s last 10 is 6-4 straight up and 7-3 against the spread with an 8-2 over/under, following a 5-1 loss to Minnesota.

The key defensive split is power-play points allowed: Toronto ranks first at 0.57, while Seattle ranks 24th at 2.42. Pace is also elevated, with Toronto second at 58.9 and Seattle fifth at 57.9.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Auston Matthews C1.4 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.6 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/26 @ CGY 19:00 0 1 1 1
10/24 @ EDM 17:13 1 0 2 1
10/22 vs NYR 19:16 0 0 4 0
10/20 @ CBJ 17:06 1 1 3 0
10/19 vs SJS 20:57 1 2 3 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs SEA
PTS 1.4 (14) 1.8 (6) 0.9 (60) 0.5 (2)
0 · 1
SOG 2.9 (14) 2.8 (6) 3.8 (60) 4.0 (2)
4 · 4

William Nylander R1.4 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.6 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/26 @ CGY 19:14 1 0 4 1
10/24 @ EDM 15:59 2 0 3 1
10/22 vs NYR 20:12 0 1 1 0
10/20 @ CBJ 17:56 1 1 2 0
10/19 vs SJS 20:47 0 1 3 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs SEA
PTS 1.4 (14) 1.8 (6) 1.2 (65) 2.0 (1)
2
SOG 2.9 (14) 3.7 (6) 2.4 (65) 2.0 (1)
2

Kirill Marchenko R1.0 PTS · 2.5 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/26 @ CGY 07:05 0 0 1 0
10/24 @ EDM 15:47 0 2 1 0
10/22 vs NYR 18:23 1 0 4 4
10/20 @ CBJ 19:17 1 0 2 3
10/19 vs SJS 17:21 0 1 2 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs SEA
PTS 1.0 (14) 1.0 (6) 0.9 (76) 0.5 (2)
0 · 1
SOG 2.5 (14) 1.5 (6) 2.9 (76) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2

Seattle Kraken

Kaapo Kakko R0.8 PTS · 0.9 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/24 vs MIN 17:18 0 1 1 0
10/22 vs UTA 13:22 0 1 2 1
10/20 vs DET 12:36 0 0 0 1
10/17 @ FLA 15:07 0 2 1 0
10/15 @ TBL 11:14 0 0 1 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 0.8 (12) 0.8 (5) 0.6 (65) 0.0 (1)
0
SOG 0.9 (12) 1.0 (5) 1.2 (65) 1.0 (1)
1

Brandon Montour D0.8 PTS · 1.8 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/24 vs MIN 23:42 0 1 2 1
10/22 vs UTA 26:38 1 1 2 2
10/20 vs DET 30:44 1 0 3 1
10/15 @ TBL 08:05 0 0 2 0
10/13 @ PHI 30:09 0 0 3 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 0.8 (11) 1.2 (5) 0.5 (64) 2.0 (1)
2
SOG 1.8 (11) 2.0 (5) 2.7 (64) 2.0 (1)
2

Chandler Stephenson C0.8 PTS · 0.7 SOG · 0.1 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
10/24 vs MIN 15:56 0 0 1 1
10/22 vs UTA 16:37 0 0 0 0
10/20 vs DET 20:04 0 1 1 1
10/17 @ FLA 15:23 0 0 1 0
10/15 @ TBL 17:16 0 1 0 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 0.8 (12) 0.6 (5) 0.6 (80) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2
SOG 0.7 (12) 0.6 (5) 1.2 (80) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Maple Leafs 7-7 7-7 9-5 4-4 3-3
Kraken 7-5 8-4 9-3 3-2 4-3

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Maple Leafs vs Kraken head-to-head

Maple Leafs are 4-2, 1-2 ATS, O/U 2-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Maple Leafs lost 2-5 on January 29, 2026.

Date Venue Maple Leafs result ATS O/U
Jan 29, 26 Kraken home L 2-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 18, 25 Maple Leafs home L 3-4 – –
Feb 6, 25 Kraken home W 3-1 – –
Oct 31, 24 Maple Leafs home W 4-1 – –
Jan 21, 24 Kraken home W 3-1 W -1.5 U 5.5
Nov 30, 23 Maple Leafs home W 4-3 L -1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

Toronto Maple Leafs: last 10 (5-5, 7-3 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 26, 26 @ CGY L 2-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ EDM W 7-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 vs NYR W 5-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ CBJ W 6-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 19, 26 vs SJ W 3-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 17, 26 vs NYI L 1-4 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 15, 26 vs BUF L 4-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ UTA L 4-5 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 10, 26 @ COL W 6-3 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 8, 26 @ VGK L 3-4 W +1.5 O 6.5

Seattle Kraken: last 10 (6-4, 7-3 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 24, 26 vs MIN L 1-5 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 22, 26 vs UTA W 5-3 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 vs DET W 4-3 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 17, 26 @ FLA L 3-8 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 15, 26 @ TB L 3-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ PHI W 3-2 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 11, 26 @ WSH W 5-3 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 9, 26 @ DET W 6-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 6, 26 vs VGK L 2-6 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 4, 26 vs CGY W 6-1 W -1.5 O 5.5

Injury report

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Kirill Marchenko (R): Out, Lower Body
  • John Tavares (C): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
  • Miles Wood (L): Injured Reserve, Wood
  • Chris Tanev (D): Injured Reserve, The Maple Leafs announced Wednesday that Tanev
  • Max Domi (C): Injured Reserve, Domi
  • Nick Blankenburg (D): Injured Reserve, Blankenburg
  • William Villeneuve (D): Injured Reserve, Knee
  • Marshall Rifai (D): Injured Reserve, Lower Body

Seattle Kraken

  • Jacob Melanson (R): Injured Reserve, Melanson’s upper-body injury was diagnosed Saturday as an anterior mediastinum hematoma with vascular pseudo aneurysm
  • Jared McCann (L): Injured Reserve, McCann
  • Ryan Lindgren (D): Injured Reserve, Lindgren
  • Jake O’Brien (C): Injured Reserve, O’Brien

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Maple Leafs defense Kraken defense
Goals allowed per game 3.25 (20th of 32) 3.71 (29th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 29.31 (25th of 32) 30.71 (31st of 32)
Points allowed per game 8.75 (20th of 32) 9.43 (25th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 0.88 (2nd of 32) 2.93 (29th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 58.9 (2nd) 57.9 (4th)

Venue and weather

Climate Pledge Arena · Seattle, WAIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Maple Leafs vs Kraken odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Kraken spread +1.5 +1.5 –
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Maple Leafs moneyline -110 -130 +4.1% win chance
Kraken moneyline -110 +110 -4.8% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Kraken spread +1.5 → -1.5
Total 6.5 → 7.5
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More on these teams: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks Oct 31 · Seattle Kraken vs Calgary Flames Oct 30 · Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Oct 26 · Minnesota Wild vs Seattle Kraken Oct 24 · All NHL prop picks

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