Bologna vs Monza Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 31, 2026)

How the bets settled

Match report

Bologna beat Monza 2-1 in a match settled by goals, including T. Pobega’s 33rd-minute goal from a J. Miranda assist. Yellow cards finished 4-3 to Bologna.

Bologna recorded 2.03 expected goals to Monza’s 1.79, 59% possession to 41%, 10 shots to 6 and 5 on target to 4. Bologna also had 5 big chances to Monza’s 2, 5 corners to 2, and 80% passing accuracy to 70%.

Before the match, Bologna were 11th with 11 points, form WWLWD and a 0-2-2 home record; Monza were 16th with 7 points, form LLWLW and a 0-1-4 away record. Monza’s both-teams-to-score rate was 89% and over 2.5 rate 89%, while Bologna’s were 56% and 44%. The 2-1 scoreline matched Monza’s high BTTS and over profiles more than Bologna’s lower rates.

Goals

• 33′ T. Pobega, assist J. Miranda Bologna

How the key matchups went

• Odgaard: 3 shots, 1 shot on target, 1 foul won. Kouadio: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Goglichidze: 2 fouls committed, 5 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Lucchesi: 3 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card.
• Varela: 1 shot, 1 shot on target, 1 foul won. Vitik: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Casale: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Theate: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.

Box score

BolognaMonza

Bologna

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Zortea N.	83	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	17/23	2	2	1	1	0	5.7
Odgaard J.	64	0	0	3	1	0.30	0	12/18	0	4	1	1	0	6.2
Ferguson L.	90	0	0	1	1	0.26	1	66/73	1	0	2	0	0	6.3
Casale N.	90	0	0	1	0	0.09	0	40/48	1	0	0	0	0	7.3
Bernardeschi F.	83	1	0	1	1	0.79	0	25/31	0	0	2	0	0	7.4
Theate A.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	41/53	2	1	2	0	0	6.7
Cambiaghi N.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	31/38	4	0	5	0	0	7.1
Miranda J.	90	0	1	1	1	0.04	2	37/48	3	0	2	0	0	8.8
Vitik M.	75	0	0	1	0	0.06	1	31/35	2	1	0	0	0	6.7
Pobega T.	74	1	0	1	1	0.10	0	29/37	1	1	1	1	0	7.1
Skorupski L.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	18/28	0	0	0	0	3	7.5
Darmian M.	15	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1/3	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Amondarain M.	7	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	10/12	2	1	0	1	0	–
Mbangula S.	26	0	0	1	0	0.39	0	4/5	0	0	2	0	0	6.5
Dovbyk A.	7	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3/5	0	2	0	0	0	–
El Azzouzi O.	16	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	8/9	0	1	0	0	0	6.8

Monza

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Mangas R.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	14/23	8	2	1	1	0	7.3
Lucchesi L.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	25/28	1	3	1	1	0	5.2
Tornqvist N.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	18/36	0	0	0	0	3	7.0
Mota D.	71	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	13/16	0	1	1	0	0	6.4
Goglichidze S.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	22/26	5	2	4	0	0	6.7
Birindelli S.	90	0	0	1	1	0.03	0	30/35	3	1	0	0	0	7.0
Colombo L.	66	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	22/27	1	3	0	0	0	5.4
Ondoa F.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	25/40	3	2	0	0	0	5.7
Zeballos E.	45	0	0	1	0	0.04	0	2/4	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
Kouadio E.	66	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	17/29	2	1	1	0	0	6.3
Varela G.	71	1	0	1	1	0.79	0	6/8	1	0	1	0	0	6.4
Ngonge C.	19	0	0	1	0	0.11	0	4/7	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Cutrone P.	19	0	0	2	2	0.82	0	3/5	1	0	0	0	0	5.9
Mout M.	24	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	14/16	1	1	1	0	0	6.7
Toure I.	24	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	10/19	0	2	0	1	0	6.2
Robinson J.	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3/5	0	1	1	0	0	6.1

StatsBench picks

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Bologna vs Monza pre-game preview

Bologna hosts Monza in Serie A on Saturday. The three-way moneyline has Bologna as the -143 favorite, the draw at +310 and Monza at +450, with a 2.5 total.

Bologna won the last meeting 3-1 on Jan. 18, 2025, and also won 2-1 at Monza on Sep. 22, 2024. Bologna sits 11th with 11 points from nine matches (W3 D2 L4) and shows WWLWD form most recent first. Monza is 16th with seven points from nine (W2 D1 L6) and shows LLWLW form.

The useful angles lean toward Monza’s match profile: it scores 1.78 and concedes 2.44 per match, with both teams scoring in 89% and over 2.5 in 89%. Bologna is without Emil Holm, Jay Enem and Lorenzo De Silvestri, while Roberto Piccoli is day-to-day; Monza is without Yvan Maye and Michael Folorunsho. Samuele Birindelli’s over 0.5 shots at -133 cleared in 9 of his last 9, and Varela’s over 0.5 shots on target at -125 cleared in 7 of 8.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Bologna 3-4-2-1Monza 3-4-2-1

1 Skorupski

41 Vitik

16 Casale

3 Theate

20 Zortea

19 Ferguson (C)

4 Pobega

33 Miranda

10 Bernardeschi

28 Cambiaghi

21 Odgaard

1 Tornqvist

60 Kouadio

2 Goglichidze

3 Lucchesi

19 Birindelli (C)

8 Ondoa

21 Colombo

7 Mangas

47 Mota

22 Zeballos

9 Varela

Bologna missing: L. De Silvestri (muscle), J. Enem (achilles tendon), E. Holm (thigh), R. Piccoli (hamstring)

Monza missing: M. Folorunsho (coach’s decision), Y. Maye (muscle), M. Pessina (knee), J. Ziolkowski (foot)

Form and head to head

Bologna11th in the tableWWLWD3W 2D 4L · 1.22 points a match

2meetings

2 wins0 draws0 wins

Monza16th in the tableLLWLW2W 1D 6L · 0.78 points a match

100%Over 1.52/2

100%Over 2.52/2

50%Over 3.51/2

100%Both scored2/2

• Jan 2025BOL 3-1 MON
• Sep 2024MON 1-2 BOL

Clean sheets and goal trends

Recent results

Last five Serie A results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 9 and 9 matches.

Referee

Andrea Zanotti averages 2.0 yellow cards and 17.0 fouls per match over 3 matches this season (league average 3.1 and 21.5), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

Bologna

• Emil Holm (D): Out, Hamstring Injury
• Jay Enem (F): Out, Muscle Injury
• Lorenzo De Silvestri (D): Out, Thigh Injury

Monza

• Michael Folorunsho (M): Out, Calf Injury

Line movement chart