UAB vs South Florida Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 31, 2026)

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College Football prop picks: today's featured picks
UAB Blazers logo

UAB4-3 · 3-3-1 ATS
FINAL10 – 30
South Florida Bulls logo

South Florida5-2 · 3-4 ATS

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
UAB 10 0 0 0 10
South Florida 0 17 3 10 30

How the bets settled

MoneylineSouth Florida wonClosed at -305
SpreadSouth Florida coveredSouth Florida -7.5, by 12.5
TotalUnder 43.540 scored, 3.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

South Florida beat UAB 30-10 on October 31, turning a 10-0 first-quarter deficit into a 17-0 second-quarter lead and then pulling away after halftime. The game swung in that second quarter, when the Bulls took control for good.

Luke Kromenhoek led South Florida with 39 passing yards and 92 rushing yards on 15 carries, while C.J. Hicks added four sacks and Grayson Howard made eight tackles. UAB’s Ryder Burton threw for 149 yards, Jeremiah Jordan had 11 tackles and Marlin Dean recorded 2.5 sacks. South Florida’s 191 rushing yards at 4.4 per carry and zero turnovers explained the margin; UAB managed 17 rushing yards at 0.5 per carry and lost two fumbles. The Bulls also had 237 total yards to UAB’s 177 and converted 6 of 15 third downs.

For bettors, South Florida covered the closing 7.5-point spread by 12.5, and the game stayed under the 43.5 total by 3.5.

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Against the spread, start to finish

South FloridaUAB
The score margin against the closing spread (South Florida -7.5). Blue: South Florida covering. Orange: UAB covering.
+17.5Largest UAB cover
67%UAB covering
+12.5Largest USF cover
33%USF covering

Win probability

South FloridaUAB
Blue: South Florida favored. Orange: UAB favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

UAB

  • Passing YardsRyder Burton13/27, 149 YDS
  • Rushing YardsBam McReynolds8 CAR, 22 YDS
  • Receiving YardsCJ Smith2 REC, 53 YDS
  • SacksMarlin Dean2.5
  • TacklesJeremiah Jordan11

South Florida

  • Passing YardsLuke Kromenhoek7/10, 39 YDS
  • Rushing YardsLuke Kromenhoek15 CAR, 92 YDS
  • Receiving YardsD.J. Crowther1 REC, 19 YDS
  • SacksC.J. Hicks4
  • TacklesGrayson Howard8

Team stats

UABSouth Florida
177Total yards237
160Passing yards46
17Rushing yards191
10First downs13
4-16Third downs6-15
2Turnovers0
2-20Penalties3-24
27:42Possession32:18

Box score

UAB BlazersSouth Florida Bulls

UAB Blazers

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
Ryder Burton 13/27 149 5.5 0 0 10.0
Nate Rogers 1/1 11 11.0 0 0 —
Total 14/28 160 5.7 0 0 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Bam McReynolds 8 22 2.8 0 13
Rod Robinson II 7 14 2.0 1 6
Ja’Vin Simpkins 3 9 3.0 0 8
KJ Daniels 1 5 5.0 0 5
Jayson Moll 2 3 1.5 0 2
JR Mosley 1 1 1.0 0 1
EJ Reid 1 0 0.0 0 0
Ryder Burton 10 -37 -3.7 0 8
Total 33 17 0.5 1 13

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
CJ Smith 2 53 26.5 0 41
KJ Daniels 1 33 33.0 0 33
Kaleb Brown 1 15 15.0 0 15
Sean Persson 1 15 15.0 0 15
EJ Reid 4 15 3.8 0 7
AJ Johnson 1 14 14.0 0 14
Rod Robinson II 1 11 11.0 0 11
Scott Isacks 1 3 3.0 0 3
Ty Mims 1 3 3.0 0 3
Ja’Vin Simpkins 1 -2 -2.0 0 0
Total 14 160 11.4 0 41

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
Jeremiah Jordan 11 6 0 1 0 0 0
Jo’Tavion Pierce 11 4 0 0 0 0 0
Ike Esonwune 9 5 0 0 0 0 0
Muaaz Byard 7 4 0 0 0 1 0
Darrell Sweeting 6 2 0 0 0 0 0
Anta’Veon McKenzie 5 3 0 2 0 0 0
Marlin Dean 5 2 2.5 2.5 0 1 0
Delvon Gulley 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Blanche Gold 3 2 0 0 0 0 0
Braden Sullivan 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tylin Jackson 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Chris Burge 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 0 0
Chris Spencer 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Draden Fullbright 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Mantrez Walker 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Malachi Character 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 72 32 3 6 0 2 0

South Florida Bulls

Passing

Player C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT QBR
Luke Kromenhoek 7/10 39 3.9 0 0 26.9
Michael Van Buren Jr. 1/2 7 3.5 0 0 —
Total 8/12 46 3.8 0 0 —

Rushing

Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
Luke Kromenhoek 15 92 6.1 0 42
D.J. Crowther 16 60 3.8 0 12
Jason Collins Jr. 5 15 3.0 1 6
Michael Van Buren Jr. 3 13 4.3 0 6
Cameron Seldon 2 6 3.0 0 4
Alvon Isaac 2 5 2.5 0 3
Total 43 191 4.4 1 42

Receiving

Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG
D.J. Crowther 1 19 19.0 0 19
Bryson Rodgers 3 11 3.7 0 7
Cameron Seldon 2 10 5.0 0 5
Alvon Isaac 1 5 5.0 0 5
Wyatt Sullivan 1 1 1.0 0 1
Total 8 46 5.8 0 19

Defense

Player TOT SOLO SACKS TFL PD QB HUR TD
Grayson Howard 8 5 2 2 0 0 1
C.J. Hicks 5 4 4 4 1 0 0
Tavin Ward 5 4 0 0 1 0 0
Zavier Hamilton 5 3 0 1 1 0 0
Ashton Mosley 5 3 0 0 0 0 0
Ayden Jackson 4 3 0 0 1 0 0
Michael Williams II 4 2 0 2 0 1 0
Jabari Smith 4 2 0 1 1 0 0
Jair Murphy 3 3 0 0 0 0 0
Rodney Hill 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Terrell Jones 2 1 0 1 0 0 0
Asani Redwood 2 1 0 0 0 0 1
Marcus Williams 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
Sam Robinson 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ryan Jenkins 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Victor Zidor 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Luke Kromenhoek 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Shamar Meikle 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Levi Smiley 1 0 0 0 0 1 0
Gavin Leach 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Malcolm Ziglar 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Peter Ramil 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Richard Scott III 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Major Dillard 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
Teddy Foster 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Total 66 34 6 11 7 2 2

Attendance 22,829

Recap: Two fumble returns for touchdowns highlight South Florida’s 30-10 win over UAB (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • The under has hit in 6 straight UAB games.
  • The over is 1-7 in UAB’ last 8 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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UAB vs South Florida pre-game preview

Saturday’s UAB at South Florida game carries a USF -7.5 spread and a 42.5 total, with the line having moved from USF -9.5 and 46.5 at DraftKings. USF is -300 on the moneyline and UAB +280.

The last meeting was an 18-48 UAB home loss to USF on Nov. 22, 2025. UAB is 4-3 this season and 3-3-1 ATS, with a 5-5 straight-up and 4-3-1 ATS mark over its last 10; its most recent result was a 30-17 win over East Carolina on Oct. 15. USF is 5-2 and 3-4 ATS, and 7-3 straight up with a 3-4 ATS record over its last 10; it last won 29-2 against Kent State on Oct. 17.

The defensive splits are the main angle: UAB allows 126 passing yards per game, rank 1, but 189.6 rushing yards per game, rank 120, while USF allows 15.1 points per game, rank 9. The total has dropped from 46.5 to 42.5, and UAB’s last-10 O/U mark is 1-7. D.J. Crowther over 0.5 anytime touchdown is -250 and has cleared in 5 of his last 7.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

UAB Blazers

Jalen Kitna QB246.2 pass yds · 1.3 TD per game
Splits Season Road 2025 vs USF
Pass yds – – 246.2 (10) 230.0 (1)
230
Pass TD – – 1.3 (10) 0.0 (1)
0
Jevon Jackson RB75.0 rush yds · 2.7 rec per game
Splits Season Road 2025 vs USF
Rush yds – – 75.0 (12) 32.0 (1)
32
Rec – – 2.7 (7) 2.0 (1)
2

Ty Mims WR2.9 rec · 49.9 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/15 vs ECU – 3 47 0
10/10 @ MEM – 3 79 0
10/3 vs SAM – 2 27 0
9/25 vs NAVY – 3 76 1
9/20 @ UL – 4 57 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs USF
Rec 2.9 (7) 3.7 (3) – –
Rec yds 49.9 (7) 62.7 (3) – –

CJ Smith WR2.6 rec · 47.4 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/15 vs ECU – 7 101 0
10/10 @ MEM – 1 8 0
10/3 vs SAM – 2 85 1
9/25 vs NAVY – 3 39 0
9/20 @ UL – 2 28 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs USF
Rec 2.6 (7) 1.7 (3) – –
Rec yds 47.4 (7) 31.0 (3) – –

South Florida Bulls

Michael Van Buren Jr. QB176.4 pass yds · 1.0 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/17 vs KENT 22/27 193 1 0 -8
10/8 @ UTSA 16/29 177 2 0 15
10/3 vs TEM 17/32 205 0 0 16
9/26 @ BGSU 7/11 52 0 0 12
9/19 vs DSU 23/32 300 1 0 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs UAB
Pass yds 180.9 (7) 199.5 (4) 144.3 (7) –
Pass TD 0.9 (7) 0.5 (4) 1.1 (7) –

D.J. Crowther RB74.0 rush yds · 1.3 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/17 vs KENT 11 42 0 1 4
10/8 @ UTSA 20 83 1 2 15
10/3 vs TEM 23 68 1 1 7
9/26 @ BGSU 23 143 1 1 11
9/19 vs DSU 8 101 3 2 40
Splits Season Home 2025 vs UAB
Rush yds 74.0 (7) 63.3 (4) – –
Rec 1.3 (6) 1.3 (3) – –

Kenny Odom WR5.1 rec · 48.2 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
9/19 vs DSU – 1 12 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs UAB
Rec 1.0 (1) 1.0 (1) 5.6 (11) –
Rec yds 12.0 (1) 12.0 (1) 52.9 (11) –

Bryson Rodgers WR3.8 rec · 42.8 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/17 vs KENT – 3 22 0
10/8 @ UTSA – 5 72 1
10/3 vs TEM – 4 43 0
9/26 @ BGSU – 2 22 0
9/19 vs DSU – 7 86 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs UAB
Rec 4.3 (7) 4.3 (4) 2.0 (3) –
Rec yds 47.7 (7) 44.0 (4) 26.3 (3) –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
UAB 4-3 3-3-1 1-6 4-0 0-3
South Florida 5-2 3-4 3-4 3-1 2-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

UAB vs South Florida head-to-head

UAB are 1-2 in the last 3 meetings. Last time: UAB lost 18-48 on November 22, 2025.

Date Venue UAB result ATS O/U
Nov 22, 25 UAB home L 18-48 – –
Oct 19, 24 South Florida home L 25-35 – –
Oct 7, 23 UAB home W 56-35 – –

Recent form

UAB Blazers: last 10 (5-5, 4-3-1 ATS, O/U 1-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 15, 26 vs ECU W 30-17 W +5.5 U 49.5
Oct 10, 26 @ MEM L 13-38 L +15.5 U 55.5
Oct 3, 26 vs SAM W 33-14 L -30.5 U 54.5
Sep 25, 26 vs NAVY W 24-20 W +6.5 U 50.5
Sep 19, 26 @ UL L 14-21 P +7 U 55.5
Sep 12, 26 vs ULM W 26-20 L -9.5 U 53.5
Sep 3, 26 @ ILL L 23-42 W +25.5 O 53.5
Nov 29, 25 @ TLSA W 31-24 W +9.5 U 56.5
Nov 22, 25 vs USF L 18-48 – –
Nov 15, 25 vs UNT L 24-53 – –

South Florida Bulls: last 10 (7-3, 3-4 ATS, O/U 3-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 17, 26 vs KENT W 29-2 W -20.5 U 46.5
Oct 8, 26 @ UTSA L 24-31 L +5.5 O 49.5
Oct 3, 26 vs TEM L 13-17 L -5.5 U 50.5
Sep 26, 26 @ BGSU W 14-6 L -17.5 U 48.5
Sep 19, 26 vs DSU W 59-17 W -37.5 O 59.5
Sep 12, 26 @ ARMY W 28-24 W +3 O 45.5
Sep 5, 26 vs FIU W 19-9 L -14.5 U 53.5
Nov 29, 25 vs RICE W 52-3 – –
Nov 22, 25 @ UAB W 48-18 – –
Nov 15, 25 @ NAVY L 38-41 – –

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 12:21 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

UAB defense South Florida defense
Points allowed per game 25.3 (76th of 136) 14.5 (9th of 136)
Passing yards allowed per game 116 (1st of 136) 176.6 (20th of 136)
Rushing yards allowed per game 189.8 (121st of 136) 128.4 (50th of 136)
Total yards allowed per game 305.8 (24th of 136) 305 (23rd of 136)

Venue and weather

Raymond James Stadium · Tampa, FLOutdoor
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UAB vs South Florida odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
South Florida spread -9.5 -7.5 +2
Total 46.5 43.5 -3
UAB moneyline +270 +245 +2% win chance
South Florida moneyline -340 -305 -2% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

South Florida spread -7.5 → -7.5
Total 42.5 → 43.5
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