Bucks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 2, 2026)

Milwaukee Bucks logo

Bucks1-5 · 2-4 ATS14th in the East
FINAL100 – 112
Minnesota Timberwolves logo

Timberwolves4-3 · 6-1 ATS8th in the West

NBA · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Target Center

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Bucks 18 29 29 24 100
Timberwolves 29 19 32 32 112

How the bets settled

MoneylineTimberwolves wonClosed at -497
SpreadTimberwolves coveredTimberwolves -11.5, by 0.5
TotalUnder 233.5212 scored, 21.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Minnesota Timberwolves beat Milwaukee Bucks 112-100 on November 2, using a 29-18 first quarter and a 32-24 fourth to decide it after Milwaukee had closed the gap by halftime. The Timberwolves created separation after intermission and pulled away late.

LaMelo Ball led Minnesota with 34 points, and Ayo Dosunmu added 12 rebounds and 8 assists. Tyler Herro paced Milwaukee with 21 points, while Brayden Burries grabbed 9 rebounds and Kasparas Jakucionis had 7 assists. Minnesota shot 43 percent from the field to Milwaukee’s 38 and 36 percent from three to 31, and it won the rebound battle 59-53. Milwaukee’s 17 turnovers to Minnesota’s 11 also worked against the Bucks.

For bettors, Minnesota covered the closing 11.5-point spread by 0.5, and the game stayed under the 233.5 total by 21.5.

How the props finished

11 of 12 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Kyle Kuzma Over 2.5 assists +123 BetRivers 3 Cleared
Ryan Rollins Over 10.5 field goal attempts -140 Fanatics 11 Cleared
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over 0.5 threes made -150 Kalshi 2 Cleared
Brayden Burries Over 1.5 rebounds -225 Fanatics 9 Cleared
Jaden McDaniels Over 5.5 rebounds +104 Kalshi 6 Cleared
A.J. Green Over 9.5 points + rebounds + assists -116 Cloudbet 19 Cleared
Myles Turner Over 1.5 blocks -125 Fanatics 5 Cleared
Jonathan Kuminga Over 0.5 threes made -310 bet365 2 Cleared
Tyler Herro Over 2.5 threes made +108 BetRivers 4 Cleared
Kel’el Ware Over 9.5 points +100 Kalshi 2 Missed
Kasparas Jakučionis Over 5.5 rebounds + assists -143 DraftKings 12 Cleared
Joan Beringer Over 5.5 rebounds +118 prophetexchange 7 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Against the spread, start to finish

TimberwolvesBucks
The score margin against the closing spread (Timberwolves -11.5). Blue: Timberwolves covering. Orange: Bucks covering.
+14.5Largest MIL cover
88%MIL covering
+3.5Largest MIN cover
12%MIN covering

Win probability

TimberwolvesBucks
Blue: Timberwolves favored. Orange: Bucks favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Bucks

  • PointsTyler Herro21
  • AssistsKasparas Jakucionis7
  • ReboundsBrayden Burries9

Timberwolves

  • PointsLaMelo Ball34
  • AssistsAyo Dosunmu8
  • ReboundsAyo Dosunmu12

Team stats

BucksTimberwolves
38%FG%43%
31%3P%36%
75%FT%54%
53Rebounds59
24Assists23
42Points in the paint42
12Fast break points12
17Turnovers11
5Steals7
8Blocks9
3Biggest lead15

Box score

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Kyle Kuzma F 22 2 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 0 2 0 -22
Jaime Jaquez Jr. F 28 19 8-17 2-4 1-1 8 2 3 1 0 3 5 4 -14
Myles Turner C 31 13 5-10 3-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 5 2 3 2 -14
Tyler Herro G 31 21 8-18 4-11 1-2 6 3 2 3 0 2 4 0 -10
Brayden Burries G 26 9 4-15 1-7 0-0 9 1 1 0 0 4 5 1 -4
Bench
Nate Ament F 8 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -2
Jericho Sims C 15 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 +2
Kel’el Ware C 17 2 1-6 0-1 0-0 9 0 1 0 2 3 6 3 +2
AJ Green G 24 13 4-8 4-8 1-1 3 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 +12
Ryan Rollins G 17 10 4-11 1-5 1-2 3 2 3 0 1 1 2 1 -2
Kasparas Jakucionis G 22 7 2-7 0-3 3-4 5 7 4 0 0 1 4 3 -8
Ousmane Dieng Did not play: Coach’s decision
Bogoljub Markovic Did not play: Coach’s decision
Caris LeVert Did not play: Coach’s decision
Gary Trent Jr. Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 100 38-99 15-49 9-12 53 24 16 5 8 18 35 21

Team shooting: FG 38% · 3PT 31% · FT 75%

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Jaden McDaniels F 29 13 5-14 2-4 1-3 6 3 2 0 0 4 2 4 +17
Jonathan Kuminga F 33 8 3-8 2-4 0-0 10 3 4 0 4 2 8 2 +15
Rudy Gobert C 31 10 3-6 0-1 4-12 10 1 0 0 1 4 6 0 0
Ayo Dosunmu G 37 19 8-18 1-6 2-2 12 8 2 1 1 2 10 2 +15
LaMelo Ball G 33 34 12-21 6-13 4-5 6 3 3 1 0 1 5 4 +17
Bench
Trey Lyles F 21 12 4-9 2-7 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 +4
Cody Williams F 7 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -15
Joan Beringer F 14 2 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 2 6 1 0 +10
Jaylen Clark G 21 4 1-6 1-5 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 +3
Bones Hyland G 14 10 4-9 2-5 0-0 1 3 0 2 1 0 1 1 -6
Isaiah Evans Did not play: Coach’s decision
Rocco Zikarsky Did not play: Coach’s decision
Zyon Pullin Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 112 41-96 16-45 14-26 59 23 11 7 9 21 38 15

Team shooting: FG 43% · 3PT 36% · FT 54%

Attendance 16,893 · Officials: Kevin Scott, Brett Nansel, John Butler

Recap: Ball scores season-high 34 points as Timberwolves top Bucks 112-100 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Bucks vs Timberwolves pre-game preview

Minnesota is a -455 moneyline favorite and lays 10.5 points against a 233.5 total, with the DraftKings spread moving from -10.5 to -11.5.

The last meeting on January 13, 2026 saw Milwaukee lose 106-139 at home. Over the last six meetings Milwaukee is 3-3 straight up, with ATS and O/U each 1-1. Milwaukee is 1-5 straight up and 2-4 against the spread this season, 2-8 straight up and 3-7 against the spread over its last 10, and most recently lost 111-136 to Cleveland on October 31. Minnesota is 4-3 straight up and 6-1 against the spread this season, 6-4 straight up and 8-2 against the spread over its last 10, and lost 111-121 at San Antonio on October 31.

The defensive ranks are the clearest split: Milwaukee allows 126.2 points (28th) and 14.5 threes (24th), while Minnesota allows 108.7 points (9th) and 11 threes (3rd). Minnesota is without Donte DiVincenzo and Anthony Edwards.

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Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Bucks 1-5 2-4 5-1 1-3 0-2
Timberwolves 4-3 6-1 4-3 2-1 2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Bucks vs Timberwolves head-to-head

Bucks are 3-3, 1-1 ATS, O/U 1-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Bucks lost 106-139 on January 13, 2026.

Date Venue Bucks result ATS O/U
Jan 13, 26 Bucks home L 106-139 L -1.5 O 229.5
Dec 21, 25 Timberwolves home L 100-103 W +12.5 U 226.5
Apr 8, 25 Bucks home W 110-103 – –
Feb 12, 25 Timberwolves home W 103-101 – –
Feb 23, 24 Timberwolves home W 112-107 – –
Feb 8, 24 Bucks home L 105-129 – –

Recent form

Milwaukee Bucks: last 10 (2-8, 3-7 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 31, 26 vs CLE L 111-136 L +8.5 O 234.5
Oct 28, 26 vs HOU L 100-132 L +8.5 O 226.5
Oct 26, 26 vs IND W 110-102 W +3.5 U 239.5
Oct 24, 26 @ PHI L 116-127 W +12.5 O 234.5
Oct 23, 26 vs CHI L 125-132 L -1.5 O 241.5
Oct 21, 26 @ WSH L 116-128 L +4.5 O 239.5
Apr 12, 26 @ PHI L 106-126 L +16.5 O 225.5
Apr 10, 26 vs BKN W 125-108 W -10.5 O 218.5
Apr 8, 26 @ DET L 111-137 L +22.5 O 222.5
Apr 7, 26 @ BKN L 90-96 L -1.5 U 218.5

Minnesota Timberwolves: last 10 (6-4, 8-2 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 31, 26 @ SA L 111-121 W +12.5 O 230.5
Oct 30, 26 vs LAC W 127-101 W -6.5 O 222.5
Oct 28, 26 vs GS L 114-119 L -3.5 O 227.5
Oct 26, 26 @ CLE L 125-127 W +3.5 O 234.5
Oct 25, 26 vs TOR W 117-94 W -3.5 U 228.5
Oct 23, 26 @ ORL W 115-93 W +1.5 U 234.5
Oct 21, 26 @ MIA W 131-106 W +1.5 U 240.5
Apr 12, 26 vs NO W 132-126 W -3.5 O 239.5
Apr 10, 26 @ HOU W 136-132 W +9.5 O 227.5
Apr 8, 26 @ ORL L 120-132 L +11.5 O 233.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 9:03 AM ET.

Venue and weather

Target Center · Minneapolis, MNIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Bucks vs Timberwolves odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Timberwolves spread -10.5 -11.5 -1
Total 233.5 233.5 –
Bucks moneyline +275 +380 -5.8% win chance
Timberwolves moneyline -345 -497 +5.7% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Timberwolves spread -10.5 → -10.5
Total 233.5 → 233.5
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More on these teams: Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Oct 31 · Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks Oct 31 · All NBA prop picks

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