How the bets settled
Match report
Manchester Utd beat AS Roma 3-2, with M. Cunha scoring at 83 and 86 minutes after M. Soule had given AS Roma an 11th-minute lead; Manchester Utd also finished with a red card. The match stats reflected United’s edge: they had 2.72 expected goals to Roma’s 1.53, 15 shots to 7, six on target to four and 52% possession, while big chances were 3-2. Before the match, United’s form read LLW and Roma’s WLD. Both teams to score had been priced yes at -225, and both sides had over 2.5 rates of 67%. Soule’s opener and Cunha’s late double, with S. Lacey assisting the second and R. Mora assisting Soule’s opener, were the key individual contributions in a match that delivered five goals and a red card.
How the props finished
1 of 1 cleared
| Player | Line | Price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 tackles | -180 |
3 Cleared |
Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.
Goals
- 11′ M. Soule, assist R. Mora AS Roma
- 83′ M. Cunha Manchester Utd
- 86′ M. Cunha, assist S. Lacey Manchester Utd
| Match stats | Manchester Utd | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | 2.72 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession | 52% | 48% |
| Total shots | 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 4 |
| Big chances | 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks | 3 | 1 |
| Passes | 83% (415/503) | 82% (373/457) |
| Yellow cards | 5 | 3 |
| Red cards | 1 | 0 |
How the key matchups went
- Diallo: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Wesley Franca: 1 foul committed, 6 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
- Cunha: 4 shots, 3 shots on target, 3 fouls won. Rensch: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Mbeumo: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Mancini: 4 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Balerdi: 2 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Hermoso: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
- Malen: 2 shots, 2 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Maguire: 2 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card. Heaven: 2 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 1 yellow card.
Box score
Manchester Utd
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 1 | 49/55 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.0 | |
| 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0 | 23/26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 | |
| 88 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.92 | 5 | 46/53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.1 | |
| 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 42/48 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 1 | 26/32 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| 90 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0.89 | 2 | 25/33 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 31/37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 34/38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 65/78 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.4 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 13/18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.0 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 18/35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6.5 | |
| de Ligt M. | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Martinez Li. | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 8/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Lacey S. | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 7/7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 |
| Mount M. | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Tielemans Y. | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 25/26 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
AS Roma
| Player | MIN | G | A | SH | SOT | xG | KP | PAS | TKL | FC | FS | YC | SV | RAT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 18/20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 | |
| 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 34/40 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 39/45 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.0 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 43/51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 37/43 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | |
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 7/8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 23/31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | |
| 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 30/37 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.7 | |
| 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 18/35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.8 | |
| 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.60 | 0 | 32/43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 | |
| 78 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.85 | 0 | 17/20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.0 | |
| Ghilardi D. | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Ndicka E. | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 6/8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Lulli E. | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 17/20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Castro S. | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3/3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Pisilli N. | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 12/13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
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Manchester Utd vs AS Roma pre-game preview
Manchester United host AS Roma in a Champions League match on Tuesday. The total is listed as n/a, while both teams to score is priced yes -215 and no +170. United sit 21st with 3 points from three matches (W1 D0 L2), form LLW. Roma are 15th with 4 points (W1 D1 L1), form WLD. United’s Champions League line shows 5 scored and 6 conceded; Roma have 8 scored and 5 conceded.
Injury lists remove several players, including United’s Dorgu, Ugarte, Sesko, Rashford and Shaw, plus Roma’s Svilar, Kone and Pellegrini. A prop angle to monitor is Leonardo Balerdi over 1.5 tackles at -180, which has cleared in 5 of his last 9. Roma’s 67% both-teams-to-score rate and United’s 33% mark add context for the goals market.
Confirmed lineups
The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Manchester Utd 4-2-3-1
AS Roma 3-4-2-1
1 Lammens
15 Yoro
5 Maguire
26 Heaven
2 Dalot
20 Baleba
37 Mainoo
16 Diallo
8 Fernandes (C)
10 Cunha
19 Mbeumo
32 Vasquez Llach
23 Mancini
26 Balerdi
22 Hermoso
2 Rensch
4 Cristante (C)
15 De Roon
43 Wesley Franca
18 Soule
86 Mora
14 MalenManchester Utd missing: P. Dorgu (hamstring), M. Rashford (hip), B. Sesko (leg), L. Shaw (injury), M. Ugarte (knee)
AS Roma missing: P. Dybala (calf), P. Gollini (back), M. Kone (muscle), Pellegrini Lo. (thigh), M. Svilar (toe)
Form and head to head
Manchester Utd22nd in the tableLLW1W 0D 2L · 1.00 points a match
AS Roma16th in the tableWLD1W 1D 1L · 1.33 points a matchClean sheets and goal trends
Manchester Utd
Clean sheet1/3
Failed to score1/3
Both scored1/3
Over 2.52/3
AS Roma
Clean sheet1/3
Failed to score0/3
Both scored2/3
Over 2.52/3
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.7Scored per match2.7
- 13.7Shots per match15.7
- 6.0Shots on target per match6.3
- 1.3Big chances per match1.3
Defensive
- 2.0Conceded per match1.7
- 10.7Shots against per match9.3
- 20.3Tackles per match12.0
- 12.0Fouls per match14.3
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Manchester United | LLW | L 1-4 at Como · L 0-2 at ATM · W 4-0 vs Sabah FA |
|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | WLD | W 4-0 vs SLV · L 3-4 vs RMA · D 1-1 at FEN |
Last five Champions League results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Manchester United | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 22 (3 pts) | 16 (4 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-2 | 1-1-1 |
| Home / away record | 1-0-0 (4-0) home | 0-1-0 (1-1) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.67 | 2.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Shots / on target per match | 13.67 / 6.00 | 15.67 / 6.33 |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 100% / 67% / 67% | 100% / 67% / 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Corners per match | 5.33 | 5.33 |
This season, 3 and 3 matches.
Injury report
Manchester Utd
- Patrick Dorgu (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
- Manuel Ugarte (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Benjamin Sesko (F): Out, Leg Injury
- Marcus Rashford (F): Out, Hip Injury
- Luke Shaw (D): Out, Knock Injury
AS Roma
- Mile Svilar (G): Out, Broken Finger
- Manu Koné (M): Out, Thigh Injury
- Lorenzo Pellegrini (F): Out, Thigh Injury
- Muhammed Bah (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Pierluigi Gollini (G): Out, Back Injury
More on these teams: All Champions League prop picks
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