Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 4, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Cavaliers	20	24	30	42	116
Thunder	37	23	28	36	124

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Oklahoma City beat Cleveland 124-116 on November 4, with the game decided early by a 37-20 first-quarter Thunder run that built a lead as large as 25. Cleveland made a late push with 42 points in the fourth, but the comeback fell short.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City with 42 points and eight assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein grabbed 12 rebounds. Donovan Mitchell paced Cleveland with 27 points and six assists, and Evan Mobley had 10 boards. Oklahoma City’s edge came from efficiency and pace: it shot 46 percent from the field and 42 percent from three, generated 25 assists and 21 fast-break points, and committed fewer turnovers.

The Thunder covered the 3.5-point closing spread by 4.5, and the 226.5 closing total went over by 13.5.

How the props finished

8 of 10 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Evan Mobley	Over 0.5 threes made	-245 Kalshi	1 Cleared
Alex Caruso	Over 13.5 points + rebounds + assists	-114 betus	14 Cleared
James Harden	Over 0.5 steals	-209 DraftKings	0 Missed
Donovan Mitchell	Over 21.5 points	+103 prophetexchange	27 Cleared
Sam Merrill	Over 0.5 steals	-114 BetRivers	1 Cleared
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	Over 0.5 blocks	-148 prophetexchange	1 Cleared
Jared McCain	Over 0.5 steals	+104 BetRivers	1 Cleared
Ajay Mitchell	Over 3.5 rebounds	-104 Kalshi	7 Cleared
Isaiah Hartenstein	Over 9.5 points	-125 BetMGM	3 Missed
Mario Hezonja	Over 11.5 points + assists	-102 Cloudbet	13 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

CavaliersThunder

43%FG%46%

39%3P%42%

89%FT%77%

45Rebounds47

19Assists25

40Points in the paint44

12Fast break points21

14Turnovers10

5Steals7

7Blocks4

0Biggest lead25

Box score

Cleveland CavaliersOklahoma City Thunder

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Jarrett Allen C	7	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-8
Evan Mobley C	33	16	7-15	1-5	1-2	10	3	2	0	3	3	7	3	-1
James Harden G	35	19	5-16	3-8	6-6	9	6	3	0	2	1	8	1	0
Donovan Mitchell G	33	27	10-17	5-10	2-2	3	6	2	1	0	0	3	5	+1
Tyrese Proctor G	22	11	4-7	2-3	1-1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	-2
Bench
Mario Hezonja F	23	12	5-10	2-6	0-0	8	1	2	0	0	2	6	2	-8
Tristan Enaruna F	16	4	2-7	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	1	0	1	3	1	-1
Thomas Bryant C	13	8	1-4	1-3	5-6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	-5
Sam Merrill G	27	10	3-7	2-4	2-2	7	1	0	1	1	2	5	5	-5
Craig Porter Jr. G	14	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	-2
Meleek Thomas G	18	9	3-9	3-7	0-0	1	0	2	1	0	0	1	6	-9
Riley Minix	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		116	40-93	19-49	17-19	45	19	12	5	7	10	35	29

Team shooting: FG 43% · 3PT 39% · FT 89%

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Isaiah Hartenstein C	26	3	1-2	0-0	1-2	12	4	0	2	0	1	11	2	+3
Aday Mara C	25	9	4-6	0-0	1-2	5	2	0	0	3	1	4	2	+6
Kenrich Williams G	29	13	5-9	3-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	0	0	4	2	-4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G	35	42	11-26	5-11	15-19	4	8	4	0	1	1	3	2	+5
Ajay Mitchell G	32	23	9-17	1-3	4-6	7	4	1	1	0	0	7	1	+2
Bench
Alex Caruso G	20	7	1-3	1-2	4-4	4	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	+16
Micah Peavy G	26	2	1-6	0-2	0-0	9	1	0	1	0	4	5	5	+5
Jared McCain G	25	9	3-11	1-6	2-2	1	0	2	1	0	0	1	2	+2
Josh Dix G	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Bennett Stirtz G	22	16	6-9	4-7	0-0	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	1	+5
Brooks Barnhizer	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Dalen Terry	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		124	41-89	15-36	27-35	47	25	9	7	4	8	39	18

Team shooting: FG 46% · 3PT 42% · FT 77%

Attendance 18,203 · Officials: John Goble, Jonathan Sterling, John Butler

Recap: Gilgeous-Alexander’s 42 points help Thunder to a 124-116 win over the Cavaliers (ESPN)

Highlights

• Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: Game Highlights (ESPN)
• Aday Mara elevates for the big-time block (ESPN)
• Aday Mara elevates for dunk (ESPN)
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander nails the 3-point shot vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• Cavaliers are 0-3 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.
• The under has hit in 3 straight Thunder games.
• Cavaliers are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings with the Thunder.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Cavaliers vs Thunder pre-game preview

Wednesday’s Cleveland at Oklahoma City matchup has Oklahoma City as a -3.5 home favorite with a 226.5 total, and the line has moved from the opener of OKC -2.5 and 227.5. The most recent meeting was November 2, when Oklahoma City won 117-112 at Cleveland. Cleveland is 4-3 straight up and 2-5 against the spread this season, with a 6-4 straight-up and 4-6 ATS mark over its last 10. Oklahoma City is 5-2 straight up and 4-3 ATS, and 6-4 straight up and 5-5 ATS over its last 10. In the last seven head-to-head meetings, Cleveland is 1-6 straight up and 0-3 ATS.

The defense ranks and availability are a useful split: Oklahoma City allows 107.7 points per game (rank 7) while Cleveland allows 116.1 (rank 23), but OKC lists Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic and Jaylin Williams out. For props, the StatsBench model projects Alex Caruso at 19.7 points, rebounds and assists against a 13.5 line; he has cleared that line in 8 of his last 10.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Cavaliers	4-3	2-5	3-4	3-1	1-2
Thunder	5-2	4-3	1-6	3-0	2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Cavaliers vs Thunder head-to-head

Cavaliers are 1-6, 0-3 ATS, O/U 2-1 in the last 7 meetings. Last time: Cavaliers lost 112-117 on November 2, 2026.

Recent form

Cleveland Cavaliers: last 10 (6-4, 4-6 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Oklahoma City Thunder: last 10 (6-4, 5-5 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 1:46 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Venue and weather

Cavaliers vs Thunder odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart