Iowa State vs Baylor Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

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College Football prop picks: today's featured picks
Iowa State Cyclones logo

Iowa State4-4 · 3-4-1 ATS
12:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7Win % 19–81
Baylor Bears logo

Baylor5-3 · 6-2 ATS

College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET · McLane Stadium

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Iowa State Cyclones +310 +9.5 -103 O 50.5 -110
Baylor Bears -360 -9.5 -114 U 50.5 -107

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 9:23 AM ET.

Iowa State vs Baylor preview

Baylor is a 10-point favorite with the total at 51.5 after opening at 50.5. The last meeting went to Iowa State 43-21 on October 5, 2024, and the Cyclones are 2-0 in the last two head-to-head meetings. Iowa State is 4-4 overall and 3-4-1 against the spread this season, with a 6-4 straight-up and 3-5-1 ATS mark over its last 10; its most recent result was a 51-49 win over Oklahoma State on October 31. Baylor is 5-3 and 6-2 ATS this season, with a 5-5 straight-up and 6-3 ATS mark over its last 10; the Bears beat UCF 41-9 on October 30.

The defensive ranks offer the clearest split: Baylor allows 15.3 points per game (rank 11) and 101.6 rushing yards per game (rank 21), while Iowa State allows 27.3 points (rank 96) and 386.5 total yards (rank 97). Among the props, Jaylen Raynor over 0.5 passing touchdowns at -220 has cleared in 8 of last 10, and Louis Brown IV over 15.5 longest reception at -120 has cleared in 7 of last 10.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Iowa State vs Baylor player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Jaylen Raynor ISU Over 0.5 pass tds -220 DraftKings 80% (8/10) 60%
Cody Jackson ISU Over 20.5 receiving yards -116 DraftKings 80% (4/5) 80%
Louis Brown IV BAY Over 15.5 longest reception -120 Hard Rock 70% (7/10) 80%
Aiden Flora ISU Over 8.5 longest reception -125 Hard Rock 66.7% (4/6) 60%
Jadon Porter BAY Over 24.5 receiving yards -114 FanDuel 60% (6/10) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 9:23 AM ET.

The rest of the Iowa State vs Baylor propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Ty ClaiborneOver 21.5 receiving yards4/7
Caden KnightenOver 12.5 longest rush5/10
DJ LagwayOver 19.5 rushing yards5/10

Betting trends

  • Baylor are 3-0 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Iowa State Cyclones

Jaylen Raynor QB209.1 pass yds · 1.4 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/31 vs OKST 18/28 309 3 1 48
10/24 @ ARIZ 8/10 106 0 0 -21
10/10 @ BYU 16/29 98 1 0 14
10/3 vs WVU 19/27 264 1 1 15
9/26 vs UTAH 21/40 205 0 2 27
Splits Season Road 2025 vs BAY
Pass yds 174.0 (8) 99.0 (3) 258.5 (13) –
Pass TD 1.1 (8) 0.7 (3) 1.5 (13) –

Aiden Flora RB104.0 rush yds · 2.5 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/31 vs OKST 29 221 2 – –
10/24 @ ARIZ 12 36 0 3 15
10/10 @ BYU 17 86 0 2 -1
10/3 vs WVU 22 212 3 – –
9/26 vs UTAH 13 54 0 5 53
Splits Season Road 2025 vs BAY
Rush yds 117.1 (8) 70.3 (3) 29.0 (2) –
Rec 2.6 (5) 2.0 (3) 2.0 (1) –

Cody Jackson WR3.7 rec · 58.1 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/31 vs OKST – 2 33 0
10/24 @ ARIZ – 1 12 0
10/3 vs WVU – 6 160 1
9/26 vs UTAH – 4 31 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs BAY
Rec 3.3 (4) 1.0 (1) 6.0 (1) –
Rec yds 59.0 (4) 12.0 (1) 53.0 (1) –

Jamal Polite Jr. WR2.0 rec · 40.9 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/31 vs OKST – 6 171 1
10/24 @ ARIZ – 1 27 0
10/10 @ BYU – 2 20 0
10/3 vs WVU – 2 12 0
9/26 vs UTAH – 1 2 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs BAY
Rec 2.0 (7) 1.3 (3) – –
Rec yds 40.9 (7) 22.3 (3) – –

Baylor Bears

Sawyer Robertson QB306.7 pass yds · 2.6 TD per game
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ISU
Pass yds – – 306.8 (12) –
Pass TD – – 2.6 (12) –

Caden Knighten RB47.0 rush yds · 1.2 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
10/30 @ UCF 7 31 1 – –
10/24 @ KU 7 25 0 – –
10/17 vs TCU 10 35 0 – –
10/4 @ ASU 6 84 1 1 0
9/26 vs COLO 10 18 0 – –
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ISU
Rush yds 41.8 (8) 40.3 (4) 39.1 (12) –
Rec 1.3 (4) 1.5 (2) 1.4 (8) –

Gavin Freeman WR7.4 rec · 86.4 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
10/30 @ UCF – 5 114 1
10/24 @ KU – 9 123 0
10/17 vs TCU – 7 76 0
10/4 @ ASU – 7 115 0
9/26 vs COLO – 6 59 1
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ISU
Rec 7.9 (8) 7.5 (4) 4.4 (12) 7.0 (1)
7
Rec yds 99.0 (8) 71.5 (4) 40.1 (12) 46.0 (1)
46
Josh Cameron WR5.7 rec · 72.7 yds per game
Splits Season Home 2025 vs ISU
Rec – – 5.8 (12) –
Rec yds – – 72.7 (12) –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Iowa State 4-4 3-4-1 4-4 4-1 0-3
Baylor 5-3 6-2 3-5 3-1 2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Iowa State vs Baylor head-to-head

Iowa State are 2-0 in the last 2 meetings. Last time: Iowa State won 43-21 on October 5, 2024.

Date Venue Iowa State result ATS O/U
Oct 5, 24 Iowa State home W 43-21 – –
Oct 28, 23 Baylor home W 30-18 – –

Recent form

Iowa State Cyclones: last 10 (6-4, 3-5-1 ATS, O/U 4-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 31, 26 vs OKST W 51-49 W +10 O 58.5
Oct 24, 26 @ ARIZ L 3-39 L +11.5 U 51.5
Oct 9, 26 @ BYU L 10-24 L +11.5 U 46.5
Oct 3, 26 vs WVU W 45-42 P -3 O 53.5
Sep 26, 26 vs UTAH L 17-31 L +7.5 O 46.5
Sep 19, 26 vs BGSU W 55-7 W -22.5 O 43.5
Sep 12, 26 @ IOWA L 13-16 W +14 U 42.5
Sep 5, 26 vs SEMO W 38-10 L -29.5 U 52.5
Nov 29, 25 @ OKST W 20-13 L -14 U 47.5
Nov 22, 25 vs KU W 38-14 – –

Baylor Bears: last 10 (5-5, 6-3 ATS, O/U 3-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 30, 26 @ UCF W 41-9 W -2.5 O 49.5
Oct 24, 26 @ KU L 24-25 W +1.5 U 54.5
Oct 17, 26 vs TCU L 6-17 L -3.5 U 50.5
Oct 3, 26 @ ASU W 55-19 W +3.5 O 49.5
Sep 26, 26 vs COLO W 23-13 W -8.5 U 54.5
Sep 19, 26 vs LT W 36-19 L -20.5 O 50.5
Sep 12, 26 vs PV W 44-3 W -37.5 U 55.5
Sep 5, 26 @ AUB L 16-17 W +6.5 U 58.5
Nov 29, 25 vs HOU L 24-31 L -2.5 U 57.5
Nov 22, 25 @ ARIZ L 17-41 – –

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 9:23 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Iowa State defense Baylor defense
Points allowed per game 27.3 (96th of 136) 15.3 (11th of 136)
Passing yards allowed per game 228.5 (94th of 136) 233.4 (96th of 136)
Rushing yards allowed per game 158 (90th of 136) 101.6 (21st of 136)
Total yards allowed per game 386.5 (97th of 136) 335 (46th of 136)

Venue and weather

McLane Stadium · Waco, TXOutdoor
58°Fpartly cloudyWind 8 mphRain 2%

Forecast for the start time (Open-Meteo); it can change before the game.

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Iowa State vs Baylor odds by sportsbook

Book ISU spread BAY spread ISU ML BAY ML Over Under
bet365 +9.5 -103 -9.5 -117 +300 -380 O 50.5 -113 U 50.5 -107
BetRivers +10 -112 -10 -110 +310 -435 O 50.5 -111 U 50.5 -111
Caesars +9.5 -106 -9.5 -114 +290 -360 O 51.5 -104 U 51.5 -117
DraftKings +9.5 -112 -9.5 -119 +295 -375 O 51.5 -102 U 51.5 -118
FanDuel +10.5 -120 -10.5 -106 +280 -375 O 50.5 -110 U 50.5 -110
Fanatics +10 -115 -10 -105 +290 -375 O 51 -110 U 51 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 9:23 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Baylor spread -9.5 -9.5 –
Total 50.5 51.5 +1
Iowa State moneyline +260 +280 -1.5% win chance
Baylor moneyline -325 -355 +1.6% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Baylor spread -10 → -9.5
Total 50.5 → 50.5
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More on these teams: Baylor Bears vs UCF Knights Oct 30 · All College Football prop picks

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