FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

by
MLS prop picks: today's featured picks
FC Cincinnati logo

FC Cincinnati7th in MLS
4:00 PM ETSat, Nov 7
Nashville SC logo

Nashville SC1st in MLS

MLS · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET

Result Moneyline
FC Cincinnati +170
Draw +284
Nashville SC +148

Total goals 3.5: over +136 , under -160

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 3:25 PM ET.

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC preview

FC Cincinnati hosts Nashville SC on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The three-way moneyline lists Nashville SC at +148, FC Cincinnati at +170 and the draw at +284, with the total at 3.5.

Nashville SC is 1st in MLS with 74 points from 33 matches and recent form WDWDW. FC Cincinnati is 7th with 46 points from 33 matches and recent form WDWWL. The last meeting was Nashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati on Aug. 30, 2026. Nashville’s defensive profile is the main angle: 0.76 conceded per match and 49% clean sheets. Cincinnati concedes 2.21 per match, with both teams scoring in 73% and over 2.5 goals in 70%, which frames the 3.5 total.

Among props, Tom Barlow over 0.5 shots on target is priced -167 and cleared in 8 of his last 10. Evan Louro over 2.5 saves is -190 and cleared in 6 of 8. Sam Surridge over 1.5 shots on target is +130 and cleared in 6 of 10. These hit rates offer a research angle without changing the broader read of the defensive and total profiles.

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC prediction

31%FC Cincinnati
22%Draw
47%Nashville SC

The books imply 36% / 25% / 39%

1-1Most likely score10% chance
1.5 – 1.9Expected goals
65%Over 2.5 goals
65%Both teams to score

The numbers lean Nashville SC. The model makes Nashville a 47% favorite, above the books’ 39% implied, while Cincinnati sits at 31% against 36% implied. Nashville’s table-topping 74 points, WDWDW form and 0.76 goals conceded per match support that lean, with Cincinnati’s 2.21 conceded per match adding to it.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (33 and 33 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Tom Barlow Cincinnati Over 0.5 shots on target -167 BetRivers 80% (8/10) 60%
Evan Louro Cincinnati Over 2.5 saves -190 DraftKings 75% (6/8) 60%
Andy Nájar Nashville SC Over 0.5 shots -125 Fanatics 70% (7/10) 80%
Kenji Mboma Dem Cincinnati Over 0.5 tackles -165 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 60%
Sam Surridge Nashville SC Over 1.5 shots on target +130 BetRivers 60% (6/10) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 3:25 PM ET.

The rest of the FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the MLS board →
Teenage HadebeOver 0.5 shots6/10
Cristian EspinozaOver 0.5 fouls won6/10
Ahmed QasemOver 0.5 fouls6/10

Key matchups

From the confirmed lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Doudera vs Baker-Whiting

DouderaWinger, FC Cincinnati
VS
Baker-WhitingFull-back, Nashville SC
Tough matchup for DouderaBaker-Whiting gives away 0.4 fouls a match, 50% less than the average defender (0.8). Doudera only draws 0.5, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.5Fouls drawn vs given0.4
0.3Shots vs tackles1.7
Fouls won over 0.52/6avg 0.5 · -180DraftKings
Shots over 2.50/6avg 0.3 · +400bet365
Shots on target over 0.51/6avg 0.2 · +150bet365
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · -205DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.7 · -175DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +285Stake

Ramirez Leon vs Najar

Ramirez LeonWinger, FC Cincinnati
VS
NajarFull-back, Nashville SC

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.6 · -110DraftKings
Tackles over 1.50/10avg 0.4 · -165DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +285Stake

Denkey vs Woledzi and Maher

DenkeyStriker, FC Cincinnati
VS
WoledziCentre-back, Nashville SC
MaherCentre-back, Nashville SC
Even matchupWoledzi and Maher give away 0.7 fouls a match, 12% less than the average defender (0.8). Denkey draws plenty himself, at 1.3, which points to about 1.1 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.3Fouls drawn vs given0.7
2.7Shots vs tackles0.8
Fouls won over 0.57/10avg 1.3 · -320DraftKings
Shots over 2.55/10avg 2.7 · -155DraftKings
Shots on target over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · +165DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -135DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 0.9 · +120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +310Stake
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -135DraftKings
Tackles over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -215DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +540Stake

Barlow vs Woledzi and Maher

BarlowStriker, FC Cincinnati
VS
WoledziCentre-back, Nashville SC
MaherCentre-back, Nashville SC
Even matchupWoledzi and Maher give away 0.7 fouls a match, 12% less than the average defender (0.8). Barlow only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.4 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.4Fouls drawn vs given0.7
2.3Shots vs tackles0.8
Fouls won over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · -160DraftKings
Shots over 2.54/10avg 2.3 · +135Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.58/10avg 1.3 · -167BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -135DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 0.9 · +120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +310Stake
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -135DraftKings
Tackles over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -215DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +540Stake

Espinoza vs Ramirez Leon

EspinozaWinger, Nashville SC
VS
Ramirez LeonFull-back, FC Cincinnati
Fouls won over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -140DraftKings
Shots over 2.53/10avg 1.4 · +160Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · -111BetRivers

Mukhtar vs Doudera

MukhtarWinger, Nashville SC
VS
DouderaFull-back, FC Cincinnati
Tough matchup for MukhtarDoudera gives away 0.2 fouls a match, 75% less than the average defender (0.8). Mukhtar draws plenty himself, at 1.6, which points to about 0.4 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.6Fouls drawn vs given0.2
3.2Shots vs tackles1.3
Fouls won over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · -130DraftKings
Shots over 3.54/10avg 3.2 · +138bet365
Shots on target over 1.54/10avg 1.6 · +175bet365
Fouls committed over 0.51/6avg 0.2 · -150DraftKings
Tackles over 0.54/6avg 1.3 · -320DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/6avg 0 · +310Stake

Surridge vs Smith and Hadebe and Gidi

SurridgeStriker, Nashville SC
VS
SmithCentre-back, FC Cincinnati
HadebeCentre-back, FC Cincinnati
GidiCentre-back, FC Cincinnati
Even matchupSmith and Hadebe and Gidi give away 0.7 fouls a match, 16% less than the average defender (0.8). Surridge draws plenty himself, at 1.3, which points to about 1.1 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.3Fouls drawn vs given0.7
3.5Shots vs tackles1.0
Fouls won over 0.58/10avg 1.3 · -260DraftKings
Shots over 4.55/10avg 3.5 · +240DraftKings
Shots on target over 1.56/10avg 2.1 · +130BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · -160DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +310Stake
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.9 · -210DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 0.9 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +265Stake
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -210DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 0.9 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +285Stake
Trade FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the match and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

FC Cincinnati 3-5-2Nashville SC 4-3-3

18 Celentano
24 Smith
6/1015 HadebeShots 0.5+
5/1011 GidiShots 0.5+
23 Doudera
20 Bucha
10 Evander
5/105 NwobodoFouls won 0.5+
29 Ramirez Leon
5/109 DenkeyShots 2.5+
8/1016 BarlowSOT 0.5+
99 Schwake
7/1031 NajarShots 0.5+
5/103 WoledziFouls 0.5+
5/105 MaherFouls 0.5+
5/1027 Baker-WhitingFouls won 0.5+
5/108 YazbekShots 0.5+
6/1016 CorcoranTackles 1.5+
11 Saad
6/107 EspinozaFouls won 0.5+
6/109 SurridgeSOT 1.5+
5/1010 MukhtarGoal 0.5+

FC Cincinnati missing: N. Hagglund (concussion), T. Malacia (ankle), J. Malatini (thigh)

Nashville SC missing: F. Camara (lower-body), O. Presthus (lower-body)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for MLS players. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the MLS board →

Form and head to head

FC Cincinnati13th in the tableWDWWL12W 10D 11L · 1.39 points a match
5meetings

2 wins1 draw2 wins
Nashville SC1st in the tableWDWDW22W 8D 3L · 2.24 points a match
100%Over 1.55/5
80%Over 2.54/5
40%Over 3.52/5
60%Both scored3/5
  • Aug 2026NSH 4-0 CIN
  • Sep 2025CIN 2-1 NSH
  • Mar 2025NSH 1-2 CIN
  • Sep 2024NSH 2-2 CIN
  • May 2024CIN 0-2 NSH

Clean sheets and goal trends

FC Cincinnati

12%

Clean sheet4/33

15%

Failed to score5/33

73%

Both scored24/33

70%

Over 2.523/33

Nashville SC

49%

Clean sheet16/33

18%

Failed to score6/33

46%

Both scored15/33

58%

Over 2.519/33

Attack and defense

Attacking

FC CincinnatiNashville SC
36%Win %67%
50%Possession %55%
73%Both teams scored %46%
52%Scored first %73%
  • 2.0Scored per match2.1
  • 11.4Shots per match10.4
  • 5.4Shots on target per match5.2
  • 0.9Big chances per match1.0

Defensive

FC CincinnatiNashville SC
33%Loss %9%
15%Failed to score %18%
12%Clean sheet %49%
49%Conceded first %15%
  • 2.2Conceded per match0.8
  • 11.4Shots against per match8.9
  • 14.5Tackles per match14.2
  • 10.7Fouls per match11.7

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Cincinnati WDWWL W 1-0 vs PHI · D 2-2 at MIA · W 2-0 at DCU · W 2-1 vs DCU · L 0-2 vs COL
Nashville SC WDWDW W 3-2 vs NYR · D 0-0 vs PHI · W 2-0 at CFM · D 1-1 at SJE · W 4-0 vs SKC

Last five MLS results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Cincinnati Nashville SC
Table 13 (46 pts) 1 (74 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 12-10-11 22-8-3
Home / away record 9-3-4 (39-30) home 7-6-3 (21-11) away
Goals scored per match 2.03 2.09
Goals conceded per match 2.21 0.76
Shots / on target per match 11.39 / 5.42 10.42 / 5.15
Both teams scored 73% 46%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 91% / 70% / 61% 70% / 58% / 42%
Clean sheets 12% 49%
Failed to score 15% 18%
Yellow cards per match 1.94 1.61
Corners per match 4.78 5.09

This season, 33 and 33 matches.

Referee

Tori Penso averages 3.8 yellow cards and 20.8 fouls per match over 16 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 24.1).

Injury report

FC Cincinnati

  • Miles Robinson (D): Out, Leg Injury
  • Nick Hagglund (D): Out, Concussion

Nashville SC

  • Jeisson Palacios (D): Day-To-Day, Knock Injury
Compare MLS playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the MLS board →

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC odds by sportsbook

Book CIN ML NSH ML Over Under
bet365 +170 +145 O 3.5 +125 U 3.5 -175
BetRivers +150 +148 O 3.25 -104 U 3.25 -132
DraftKings +160 +140 O 3.5 +125 U 3.5 -160
FanDuel +170 +140 O 3.5 +136 U 3.5 -168
Fanatics +165 +145 O 3.5 +125 U 3.5 -165

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 3:25 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 10:39 AM ET): FC Cincinnati moneyline +160 → +170.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -215, no +165

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -700 +470
2.5 -188 +152
3.5 +134 -164
4.5 +310 -420

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5
Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free daily preview, no account needed. Pro unlocks the full board.
Open the MLS board →

More on these teams: FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Oct 31 · All MLS prop picks · All MLS predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

18+, or the legal age where you live. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, contact a local support service.

Today's NBA picks

Onyeka OkongwuOVER 3.5 points · vs BKN
10/10
Marcus SmartOVER 0.5 stls blks · @ PHX
10/10
Dillon BrooksOVER 21.5 points + rebounds + assists · vs HOU
9/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the board →

Latest

1What a Prop Finder App Should Actually Do
2What Are NCAAF Picks Against the Spread?
3What Is a Ghost Leg Parlay?
4Goalkeeper Saves Betting: How Saves Props Work
5Is Esports a Sport? The Case Both Ways

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game days