Celtics vs Bucks Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 8, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Celtics	25	33	33	26	117
Bucks	27	18	29	23	97

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Boston beat Milwaukee 117-97, with the game swinging in the second quarter when the Celtics outscored the Bucks 33-18 and turned a two-point deficit after the first into a double-digit halftime lead. Boston kept control from there and led for most of the game.

Paul George led Boston with 27 points, Derrick White added 7 assists and Neemias Queta grabbed 9 rebounds. Milwaukee got 27 points from Kyle Kuzma, 7 assists from Myles Turner and 8 rebounds from Brayden Burries. The team stats explain the gap: Boston shot 47% from the field and 38% from three, won the rebound battle 48-36, grabbed 20 offensive rebounds to Milwaukee’s 9 and held a 44-28 edge in paint points. Boston also had 12 steals and forced 15 total Bucks turnovers.

For bettors, the closing spread was Bucks 13.5, and Boston covered by 6.5. The closing total of 222.5 finished under by 8.5.

How the props finished

2 of 11 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Kyle Kuzma	Over 2.5 assists	+102 BetRivers	0 Missed
Ryan Rollins	Over 8.5 field goal attempts	-115 Fanatics	4 Missed
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	Over 0.5 threes made	-257 Kalshi	0 Missed
Myles Turner	Over 1.5 blocks	-101 prophetexchange	1 Missed
Tyler Herro	Over 24.5 points + rebounds	-101 prophetexchange	14 Missed
A.J. Green	Over 9.5 points + rebounds + assists	-120 bet365	7 Missed
Paul George	Over 4.5 rebounds	-126 prophetexchange	3 Missed
Jordan Walsh	Over 2.5 rebounds	-170 bet365	3 Cleared
Derrick White	Over 0.5 steals	-172 prophetexchange	2 Cleared
Jayson Tatum	Over 2.5 turnovers	-110 888sport	1 Missed
Neemias Queta	Over 0.5 blocks	-188 prophetexchange	0 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

CelticsBucks

47%FG%44%

38%3P%35%

64%FT%86%

48Rebounds36

27Assists24

44Points in the paint28

15Fast break points9

10Turnovers15

12Steals5

5Blocks5

23Biggest lead14

Box score

Boston CelticsMilwaukee Bucks

Boston Celtics

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Paul George F	28	27	11-18	5-10	0-0	3	1	2	2	0	1	2	1	+16
Jayson Tatum F	29	21	6-19	5-11	4-4	4	6	1	1	1	1	3	0	+5
Neemias Queta C	22	13	6-11	0-0	1-2	9	4	1	0	0	5	4	1	0
Mike Conley G	10	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	-11
Derrick White G	27	9	4-10	1-5	0-0	3	7	1	2	2	1	2	3	+7
Bench
Sam Hauser F	23	7	3-5	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	+15
Luka Garza C	9	4	1-2	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	0	1	3	2	3	+3
Mitchell Robinson C	18	12	6-6	0-0	0-2	7	2	0	4	1	4	3	0	+19
Payton Pritchard G	29	12	4-12	4-11	0-0	5	4	0	1	0	1	4	2	+29
Ron Harper Jr. G	4	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	-1
Baylor Scheierman G	19	7	2-6	1-4	2-2	1	0	1	2	0	0	1	1	+15
Jordan Walsh G	11	0	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0	1	2	3	+3
Hugo Gonzalez G	10	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
Total		117	45-95	18-48	9-14	48	27	10	12	5	20	28	16

Team shooting: FG 47% · 3PT 38% · FT 64%

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Kyle Kuzma F	31	27	10-17	6-13	1-2	4	0	1	1	2	0	4	1	-4
Jaime Jaquez Jr. F	23	4	1-3	0-2	2-2	2	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	-6
Myles Turner C	24	3	1-8	0-3	1-1	5	7	2	0	1	1	4	1	-3
Tyler Herro G	27	13	5-12	1-5	2-2	1	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	-3
Brayden Burries G	29	13	5-11	1-4	2-2	8	4	1	0	1	4	4	3	-12
Bench
Ousmane Dieng F	15	10	3-3	2-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-2
Nate Ament F	23	12	5-9	2-4	0-0	5	1	1	1	0	2	3	4	-14
Jericho Sims C	15	2	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	-2
Kel’el Ware C	9	0	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	-15
AJ Green G	18	5	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	3	-21
Ryan Rollins G	20	7	2-4	2-3	1-1	5	6	3	1	0	0	5	3	-7
Kasparas Jakucionis G	7	1	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	-11
Caris LeVert	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		97	35-79	15-43	12-14	36	24	14	5	5	9	27	15

Team shooting: FG 44% · 3PT 35% · FT 86%

Attendance 13,402 · Officials: Kevin Scott, Jonathan Sterling, Pat O’Connell

Recap: Paul George and Jayson Tatum lead Celtics to a 117-97 victory over the Bucks (ESPN)

Highlights

• Mitchell Robinson elevates for alley-oop (ESPN)
• Baylor Scheierman rocks the rim with powerful slam dunk (ESPN)
• Mitchell Robinson rocks the rim with powerful dunk (ESPN)
• Neemias Queta takes flight for alley-oop slam (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• The under has hit in 4 straight Celtics games.
• The over is 2-7 in Celtics’ last 9 games.
• The under has hit in 3 straight Bucks games.
• Bucks are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.
• Celtics are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with the Bucks.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Celtics vs Bucks pre-game preview

Sunday night’s matchup lists Boston as a -800 moneyline favorite, with Milwaukee at +580 and the spread at MIL +13.5; the total sits at 221.5 after opening 222.5. Boston won the last meeting 109-102 at home on November 4.

Boston is 7-2 straight up and 4-4 against the spread this season, and 8-2 straight up and 5-4 against the spread over its last 10. Milwaukee is 1-8 straight up and 3-6 against the spread this season, and 1-9 straight up and 3-7 against the spread over its last 10.

The clearest defensive split is points allowed: Boston ranks fourth at 105.1, while Milwaukee ranks 27th at 122.1. In the props market, Myles Turner over 1.5 blocks is -101 and has cleared in 8 of the last 10, with the StatsBench model projecting 2.3.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Celtics	7-2	4-4	2-6	5-0	2-2
Bucks	1-8	3-6	5-4	1-4	0-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Celtics vs Bucks head-to-head

Celtics are 8-2, 3-2 ATS, O/U 1-4 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Celtics won 109-102 on November 4, 2026.

Recent form

Boston Celtics: last 10 (8-2, 5-4 ATS, O/U 2-7)

Milwaukee Bucks: last 10 (1-9, 3-7 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 11:30 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Venue and weather

Celtics vs Bucks odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart