Vitality vs Falcons Prediction: BLAST Rivals Fall 2026 Odds & Stats (Nov 11, 2026)

Vitality7-3 last 10World #2

11:30 PM ETWed, Nov 11Win % 70–30

Falcons5-5 last 10World #5

CS2 · BLAST Rivals Fall 2026 · S-tier · Bo3 · Wed, Nov 11, 4:30 AM UK / 11:30 PM ET

Team	Match	Map 1
Vitality	1.32	1.52
Falcons	3.10	2.35

Decimal prices. They move, so check your book before you bet.

Vitality vs Falcons prediction

The market makes Vitality the favourite at 70% once the bookmaker’s margin is taken out. Vitality won 7 of its last 10 series and Falcons 5 of its last 10.

Vitality: 10d restVitality: 3 series in 14dFalcons: 6d restFalcons: 4 series in 14d

Top Vitality vs Falcons player props

Player	Prop	Price	Hit rate
TeSeS	Over 11.5 map 1 kills	1.90	8/10
karrigan	Over 5.5 map 1 headshots	1.85	7/10
m0NESY	Over 13.5 maps 1-2 headshots	Pick’em	7/10
TeSeS	Over 6.5 map 1 headshots	1.75	7/10
kyousuke	Over 14.5 map 1 kills	1.95	7/10
kyousuke	Over 9.5 map 1 headshots	1.95	7/10

Storylines

Vitality

Fights back: won 19 of 50 maps after trailing by 4 or more rounds.

Best map: Overpass, 92% across 12 maps.

Falcons

Fast starters: win 69% of map 1s (55 sampled) against 58% of maps overall.

Best map: Nuke, 67% across 12 maps.

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Recent form

Vitality

Lost 0-2	MOUZ	PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Lost 0-2	NEMI	PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Won 2-1	NAVI	PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Won 2-0	NAVI	PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Lost 1-2	FUT	PGL Masters Bucharest 2026

Falcons

Lost 1-2	NAVI	Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026
Won 2-0	HERO	Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026
Won 2-1	FaZe	Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026
Lost 0-2	NAVI	Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026
Lost 1-2	AUR	Thunderpick World Championship 2026

Team comparison

VitalityFalcons

73%Map win rate57%

n=145 / 140 maps

62%CT round win56%

n=1521 / 1548 rounds

53%T round win50%

n=1479 / 1452 rounds

54%Pistol win55%

n=286 / 275 pistols

15%Clutch conversion12%

n=1348 / 1458 attempts · all teams 12%

54%Trade kill after first death53%

n=1357 / 1437 rounds · all teams 52%

8%Overtime rate12%

n=143 / 139 maps

Comebacks and pistols

VitalityFalcons

44%Won map after trailing by 3+30%

n=61 / 76 maps trailed

23%Won map after trailing by 5+19%

n=31 / 43 maps trailed

66%Won map after losing a pistol52%

n=68 / 61 pistols lost · all teams 42%

81%Won map after winning a pistol62%

n=75 / 78 pistols won · all teams 58%

50%Won series after losing map 140%

n=16 / 15 series

Economy

Round win rate by team equipment value, pistol rounds left out.

VitalityFalcons

14%Eco (under $5k)7%

n=140 / 184 rounds

26%Semi buy ($5-10k)20%

n=140 / 144 rounds

43%Force buy ($10-20k)41%

n=330 / 316 rounds

65%Full buy ($20k+)61%

n=2090 / 2081 rounds

How their rounds end

Share of the rounds each team won.

VitalityFalcons

65%Elimination61%

n=1728 / 1585 rounds won · all teams 66%

17%Bomb exploded20%

n=1728 / 1585 rounds won · all teams 17%

11%Defuse14%

n=1728 / 1585 rounds won · all teams 13%

6%Time ran out5%

n=1728 / 1585 rounds won · all teams 4%

What each team gives up

Last 60 days	Vitality	Falcons
Kills allowed per map	60.4 #1 of 242	71.6 #95 of 242
Headshots allowed per map	31.9 #5 of 242	35.4 #45 of 242
Enemy ADR	67.2 #2 of 242	72.2 #79 of 242

Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a higher number is a softer matchup for player overs.

Head to head

Vitality 1-4 Falcons in the meetings we track.

2026-10-05	Vitality won 2-1	ESL Pro League Season 24
2026-06-19	Falcons won 2-1	Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major 2026
2026-04-15	Falcons won 2-1	Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2026
2026-01-24	Falcons won 2-1	BLAST Bounty Winter 2026
2025-11-15	Falcons won 2-0	BLAST Rivals Fall 2025

Map pool

	Vitality					Falcons
Map	Win	CT	T	Pistol	Rounds	Win	CT	T	Pistol	Rounds
Dust2	80% 35	62%	61%	57%	19.9	66% 38	54%	53%	53%	22.5
Mirage	70% 27	63%	49%	54%	20.8	47% 30	53%	45%	61%	20.4
Inferno	78% 23	64%	53%	53%	20.2	53% 19	60%	48%	55%	20.7
Anubis	47% 19	52%	49%	44%	21.0	60% 15	48%	59%	55%	22.4
Nuke	69% 16	68%	39%	61%	20.6	67% 12	66%	39%	52%	23.7
Ancient	100% 1	58%	48%	0%	47.0	54% 26	58%	49%	54%	20.0
Cache	75% 12	62%	54%	46%	20.6	–	–	–	–	–
Overpass	92% 12	58%	65%	63%	21.1	–	–	–	–	–

Win rate with maps played beside it, round win by side, pistol win and average rounds. Maps either team played at least 3 times.

Rounds per map, last 10

WonLost

Vitality

23Anu

22Dus

15Inf

19Dus

18Cac

22Mir

24Dus

21Cac

20Inf

20Nuk

Average 20.4 rounds a map, margin -0.4 (last 10).

Falcons

18Anc

24Mir

16Anc

23Anu

20Mir

21Anc

16Mir

24Anc

17Inf

19Dus

Average 19.8 rounds a map, margin -0.2 (last 10).

Player form

Averages per map over each player’s last 10 maps with the team.

Vitality

Player	Maps	Kills	Deaths	ADR	KAST	HS%	First kills
ZywOo	10	15.1	13.3	79.0	72	40	3.8
flameZ	10	14.1	14.5	78.6	71	44	2.7
ropz	10	14.0	12.4	68.4	75	57	1.4
mezii	10	12.7	13.5	77.3	72	54	1.2
jL	10	11.5	13.0	65.9	75	60	1.5

Not seen in the last 5 series: apEX, XTQZZZ.

Falcons

Player	Maps	Kills	Deaths	ADR	KAST	HS%	First kills
kyousuke	10	16.8	14.7	91.2	74	67	3.6
m0NESY	10	14.3	12.3	75.3	73	47	1.9
NiKo	10	12.2	12.9	71.1	72	56	1.5
TeSeS	10	11.0	13.4	63.8	71	57	1.0
karrigan	10	9.4	14.8	54.1	67	51	1.5

Not seen in the last 5 series: zonic.

Stats vs markets

How each team’s recent results grade the posted prices. The bar is the team’s rate, the tick is the market’s chance with the margin taken out. Small samples swing a lot.

Series winnerthunderpick

Vitality1.32Falcons3.10

Vitality+0 vs market70%

7-3 last 10market 70%

Falcons+20 vs market50%

5-5 last 10market 30%

Total maps 2.5thunderpick

Over 2.52.00Under 2.51.72

Vitality-4 vs market42%

13/31 Bo3s went 3market 46%

Falcons+12 vs market58%

15/26 Bo3s went 3market 46%

Map 1 winnerthunderpick

Vitality1.52Falcons2.35

Vitality+13 vs market74%

45/61 map 1s wonmarket 61%

Falcons+30 vs market69%

38/55 map 1s wonmarket 39%

Map 2 winnerthunderpick

Vitality1.38Falcons2.80

Vitality+7 vs market74%

42/57 map 2s wonmarket 67%

Falcons+12 vs market45%

24/53 map 2s wonmarket 33%

Map 3 winnerthunderpick

Vitality1.48Falcons2.50

Vitality+13 vs market76%

19/25 map 3+s wonmarket 63%

Falcons+21 vs market58%

18/31 map 3+s wonmarket 37%

Odds board

Match lines

Series winner	Vitality 1.32	Falcons 3.10
Total maps 2.5	Over 2.00	Under 1.72

Map 1

Winner	Vitality 1.52	Falcons 2.35
Pistol round1 winner	Vitality 1.75	Falcons 1.95
Pistol round2 winner	Vitality 1.75	Falcons 1.95
Round handicap	Vitality 1.82	Falcons 1.88
Round totals 21.5	Over 1.90	Under 1.80

Map 2 5 markets

Winner	Vitality 1.38	Falcons 2.80
Pistol round1 winner	Vitality 1.75	Falcons 1.95
Pistol round2 winner	Vitality 1.75	Falcons 1.95
Round handicap	Vitality 1.90	Falcons 1.80
Round totals 21.5	Over 2.00	Under 1.72

Map 3 5 markets

Winner	Vitality 1.48	Falcons 2.50
Pistol round1 winner	Vitality 1.75	Falcons 1.95
Pistol round2 winner	Vitality 1.75	Falcons 1.95
Round handicap	Vitality 1.72	Falcons 2.00
Round totals 21.5	Over 1.92	Under 1.78

Decimal prices from thunderpick, stake. They move, so check your book before you bet.

More: All CS2 predictions · Esports · CS2 scores · CS2 prop picks · Pistol round lab

Betting guides: CS2 map 1 kills props · esports odds guide

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favoured in Vitality vs Falcons?

The market has Vitality at 70% once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. That is the price, not a guarantee.

When is Vitality vs Falcons?

Wed, Nov 11 at 4:30 AM UK, 11:30 PM ET, in BLAST Rivals Fall 2026, best of 3.

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	PHI	9-2	.818	-
2	BOS	8-2	.800	0.5
3	DET	7-3	.700	1.5
4	ATL	7-5	.583	2.5
5	NY	5-4	.556	3
6	TOR	5-5	.500	3.5
7	CLE	5-6	.455	4
8	MIA	4-6	.400	4.5
9	CHA	4-7	.364	5
10	WSH	4-7	.364	5
11	IND	3-8	.273	6
12	ORL	2-7	.222	6
13	BKN	2-8	.200	6.5
14	CHI	1-8	.111	7
15	MIL	1-9	.100	7.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	LAL	10-2	.833	-
2	SA	9-2	.818	0.5
3	OKC	8-2	.800	1
4	GS	8-3	.727	1.5
5	MIN	8-3	.727	1.5
6	HOU	8-3	.727	1.5
7	MEM	7-3	.700	2
8	POR	6-3	.667	2.5
9	DAL	7-4	.636	2.5
10	DEN	5-4	.556	3.5
11	NO	4-7	.364	5.5
12	PHX	3-6	.333	5.5
13	LAC	2-7	.222	6.5
14	SAC	1-9	.100	8
15	UTAH	1-9	.100	8

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	7-1	.875	W4
2	DEN	7-2	.778	W5
3	JAX	6-2	.750	W2
4	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
5	KC	6-2	.750	W1
6	CIN	6-2	.750	W4
7	NE	5-4	.556	L1
8	CLE	5-4	.556	L2
9	LV	4-5	.444	L1
10	BAL	4-5	.444	L4
11	HOU	3-5	.375	W1
12	NYJ	2-7	.222	L4
13	IND	2-7	.222	L5
14	MIA	1-7	.125	L2
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-8	.000	L8

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	7-1	.875	W1
2	CHI	7-2	.778	W4
3	NYG	5-2-1	.688	W2
4	CAR	3-5	.375	L3
5	DET	6-2	.750	W4
6	MIN	6-2	.750	L2
7	GB	6-3	.667	W2
8	SEA	5-4	.556	W1
9	LAR	5-4	.556	W3
10	DAL	4-5	.444	W1
11	NO	3-5	.375	W1
12	TB	3-6	.333	L1
13	ATL	3-6	.333	L2
14	ARI	3-6	.333	L1
15	WSH	2-5-1	.313	L1
16	PHI	2-7	.222	L7

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	14-3-0	30	W2
2	BOS	13-4-0	27	W4
3	NJ	13-5-0	26	W5
4	MTL	11-3-0	25	W2
5	TB	11-4-0	24	L1
6	OTT	11-6-0	23	W2
7	NYR	10-8-0	21	L1
8	FLA	9-7-0	20	L2
9	BUF	8-6-0	19	L1
10	WSH	9-6-0	18	W1
11	NYI	7-6-0	18	L4
12	TOR	8-9-0	18	L3
13	DET	7-8-0	17	L3
14	PHI	5-10-0	15	W1
15	CBJ	7-8-0	14	L1
16	PIT	6-10-0	14	L1

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	EDM	13-3-0	29	W2
2	MIN	12-3-0	28	L1
3	VGK	12-5-0	26	W3
4	DAL	10-5-0	22	W1
5	COL	10-6-0	22	W1
6	NSH	8-4-0	21	W4
7	ANA	10-7-0	21	W5
8	UTA	10-7-0	21	L2
9	SEA	9-6-0	19	L1
10	CGY	8-9-0	17	W1
11	WPG	7-8-0	17	W3
12	SJ	8-11-0	17	W1
13	STL	7-8-0	16	L3
14	LA	5-8-0	12	L1
15	CHI	4-13-0	9	L6
16	VAN	3-16-0	7	L6

#	Team	Record
1	UGA	8-1
2	UTAH	9-0
3	ND	8-1
4	UCLA	9-0
5	MIA	8-1
6	IU	8-1
7	ALA	7-2
8	TEX	7-2
9	TENN	7-2
10	TTU	8-1
11	WAKE	8-1
12	BYU	7-2
13	UK	7-2
14	HOU	7-2
15	USC	7-2
16	IOWA	7-2
17	BOIS	8-1
18	ORE	6-3
19	MISS	6-3
20	SC	6-3
21	OSU	6-3
22	ARIZ	7-2
23	UNM	8-1
24	LSU	6-3
25	SMU	7-2

Vitality vs Falcons prediction

Top Vitality vs Falcons player props

Storylines

Vitality

Falcons

Recent form

Vitality

Falcons

Team comparison

Comebacks and pistols

Economy

How their rounds end

What each team gives up

Head to head

Map pool

Rounds per map, last 10

Vitality

Falcons

Player form

Vitality

Falcons

Stats vs markets

Odds board

Match lines

Map 1

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favoured in Vitality vs Falcons?

When is Vitality vs Falcons?

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