Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 10, 2026)

by
NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Colorado Avalanche logo

Avalanche10-8 · 11-7 ATS5th in the West
7:00 PM ETTue, Nov 10
Toronto Maple Leafs logo

Maple Leafs8-11 · 9-10 ATS11th in the East

NHL · Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Colorado Avalanche -155 -1.5 +154 O 6.5 -108
Toronto Maple Leafs +135 +1.5 -176 U 6.5 -103

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 8:56 PM ET.

Avalanche vs Maple Leafs preview

Colorado is -155 on the moneyline, Toronto is +1.5, and the total is 6.5; the DraftKings spread and total are unchanged from the opener. The last meeting went against Colorado: it lost 3-6 at home to Toronto on October 10, 2026. Colorado is 10-8 straight up and 11-7 against the spread this season; its last 10 are 5-5 and 6-4 ATS, most recently a 4-0 win over Detroit. Toronto is 8-11 and 9-10 ATS, with a 5-5 last 10 and 6-4 ATS mark, most recently a 0-4 loss to New Jersey.

Pace is nearly even and high: Colorado ranks second at 57.7 and Toronto third at 57.5. Toronto allows more goals (3.32, 20th) and shots (29.58, 27th) than Colorado (3.06, 14th; 27.22, 15th), while Toronto’s power-play points allowed rank sixth at 1.37. Toronto’s injury report lists Roslovic and Rielly day to day and Marchenko, Wood, Domi, Blankenburg and Villeneuve on IR.

Auston Matthews over 0.5 points is -215 after clearing in 8 of his last 10, with the StatsBench model projecting 1.1. Artturi Lehkonen over 1.5 shots on goal is -156 after clearing in 9 of his last 10.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Avalanche vs Maple Leafs player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Artturi Lehkonen COL Over 1.5 shots on goal -156 FanDuel 90% (9/10) 100% –
Auston Matthews TOR Over 0.5 points -215 FanDuel 80% (8/10) 80% 1.1
Devon Toews COL Over 0.5 points +160 BetRivers 70% (7/10) 60% 0.8
William Nylander TOR Over 2.5 shots on goal -128 FanDuel 70% (7/10) 80% –
Nazem Kadri COL Over 1.5 shots on goal -270 FanDuel 70% (7/10) 80% –

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 8:56 PM ET.

The rest of the Avalanche vs Maple Leafs propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NHL board →
Cale MakarOver 2.5 shots on goal6/10
Nathan MacKinnonOver 0.5 assists6/10
Martin NecasOver 0.5 points6/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Artturi Lehkonen vs Maple Leafs

Artturi LehkonenF, COL
VS
Maple LeafsDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Artturi LehkonenMaple Leafs allow 20.8 shots a game to forwards, 10th most in the league. Lehkonen averages 2.6 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest23rd of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.59/10avg 2.6 · 23rd of 32 vs F · -156FanDuel
Points over 0.56/10avg 0.9 · 18th of 32 vs F · -130BetRivers
Goals over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · 18th of 32 vs F · +185bet365

Devon Toews vs Maple Leafs

Devon ToewsD, COL
VS
Maple LeafsDefense vs defensemen
Good matchup for Devon ToewsMaple Leafs allow 2.4 points a game to defensemen, 10th most in the league. Toews averages 1 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest23rd of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.57/10avg 1 · 23rd of 32 vs D · +160BetRivers
Assists over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · 19th of 32 vs D · +225BetRivers
Goals over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · 28th of 32 vs D · +750bet365

Nazem Kadri vs Maple Leafs

Nazem KadriF, COL
VS
Maple LeafsDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Nazem KadriMaple Leafs allow 20.8 shots a game to forwards, 10th most in the league. Kadri averages 2.2 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest23rd of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.57/10avg 2.2 · 23rd of 32 vs F · -270FanDuel
Points over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · 18th of 32 vs F · -130BetRivers
Goals over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · 18th of 32 vs F · +250Fanatics

Auston Matthews vs Avalanche

Auston MatthewsF, TOR
VS
AvalancheDefense vs forwards
Even matchupAvalanche allow 6.0 points a game to forwards, 12th fewest in the league. Matthews averages 1.4 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest12th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.58/10avg 1.4 · 12th of 32 vs F · -215FanDuel
Shots on goal over 2.57/10avg 3.1 · 15th of 32 vs F · -215FanDuel
Assists over 0.56/10avg 0.9 · 12th of 32 vs F · +122FanDuel

William Nylander vs Avalanche

William NylanderF, TOR
VS
AvalancheDefense vs forwards
Even matchupAvalanche allow 6.0 points a game to forwards, 12th fewest in the league. Nylander averages 1 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest12th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.57/10avg 1 · 12th of 32 vs F · -244BetRivers
Shots on goal over 2.57/10avg 2.8 · 15th of 32 vs F · -128FanDuel
Goals over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · 12th of 32 vs F · +156prophetexchange

Darren Raddysh vs Avalanche

Darren RaddyshD, TOR
VS
AvalancheDefense vs defensemen
Even matchupAvalanche allow 2.1 points a game to defensemen, 12th fewest in the league. Raddysh averages 0.6 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest12th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · 12th of 32 vs D · -109BetRivers
Assists over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · 10th of 32 vs D · +120BetRivers
Shots on goal over 2.53/10avg 2.3 · 8th of 32 vs D · -110FanDuel

Betting trends

  • The over is 7-3 in Avalanche’ last 10 games.
  • The under has hit in 4 straight Maple Leafs games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Avalanche vs Maple Leafs on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Avalanche vs Maple Leafs defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Avalanche defense facing the Maple Leafs

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.612th 3.412th 6.012th 20.415th 13.64th 6.826th
D 0.518th 1.610th 2.112th 6.88th 7.932nd 8.824th

Softest spot: 7.9 hits a game to defensemen, the most in the league.

Toughest spot: 13.6 hits a game to forwards, 4th fewest in the league.

Maple Leafs defense facing the Avalanche

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.718th 3.819th 6.518th 20.823rd 18.129th 4.53rd
D 0.628th 1.719th 2.423rd 8.731st 6.218th 6.41st

Softest spot: 8.7 shots a game to defensemen, 2nd most in the league.

Toughest spot: 6.4 blocks a game to defensemen, the fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NHL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NHL board →

Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Colorado Avalanche

Nathan MacKinnon C1.7 PTS · 3.6 SOG · 0.6 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs DET 20:17 1 2 4 0
11/5 vs NSH 24:00 0 0 1 4
11/3 @ CBJ 19:28 0 2 1 0
11/2 @ CHI 19:25 0 1 2 1
10/31 vs CGY 19:06 1 1 5 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 1.7 (18) 1.1 (8) 1.5 (93) 2.0 (3)
2 · 1 · 3
SOG 3.6 (18) 2.0 (8) 4.3 (93) 4.3 (3)
8 · 2 · 3

Martin Necas C1.3 PTS · 2.1 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs DET 18:37 2 2 2 0
11/5 vs NSH 23:37 0 1 3 2
11/3 @ CBJ 18:51 0 0 2 3
11/2 @ CHI 16:28 0 0 1 0
10/31 vs CGY 20:02 1 1 2 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 1.3 (18) 0.6 (8) 1.2 (91) 1.0 (3)
1 · 0 · 2
SOG 2.1 (18) 1.9 (8) 2.6 (91) 3.0 (3)
2 · 2 · 5

Cale Makar D1.2 PTS · 2.7 SOG · 0.3 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs DET 22:43 1 2 2 0
11/5 vs NSH 26:54 0 0 0 0
11/3 @ CBJ 22:32 1 1 5 0
11/2 @ CHI 23:00 0 1 2 1
10/31 vs CGY 24:27 0 4 3 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 1.2 (17) 1.1 (7) 1.0 (86) 1.3 (3)
1 · 1 · 2
SOG 2.7 (17) 3.0 (7) 2.7 (86) 3.7 (3)
3 · 6 · 2

Toronto Maple Leafs

Auston Matthews C1.4 PTS · 3.1 SOG · 0.6 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/8 vs NJD 19:30 0 0 4 2
11/7 vs MTL 22:57 0 1 3 1
11/3 vs UTA 20:01 0 2 5 0
10/31 @ VAN 20:13 1 0 2 0
10/28 @ SEA 20:08 1 2 4 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs COL
PTS 1.4 (19) 1.1 (11) 0.9 (60) 2.0 (3)
4 · 0 · 2
SOG 3.1 (19) 3.2 (11) 3.8 (60) 4.7 (3)
5 · 7 · 2

William Nylander R1.2 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.6 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/8 vs NJD 16:51 0 0 3 2
11/7 vs MTL 22:54 1 0 4 0
11/3 vs UTA 21:24 0 0 3 0
10/31 @ VAN 19:43 1 1 2 0
10/28 @ SEA 22:13 0 0 3 3
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs COL
PTS 1.2 (19) 0.8 (11) 1.2 (65) 3.5 (2)
5 · 2
SOG 2.9 (19) 2.6 (11) 2.4 (65) 4.0 (2)
4 · 4

Jack Roslovic C1.0 PTS · 2.6 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs MTL 20:04 0 0 3 0
11/3 vs UTA 18:19 2 0 4 1
10/31 @ VAN 17:42 0 1 1 2
10/28 @ SEA 17:28 1 1 1 0
10/26 @ CGY 18:43 0 1 1 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs COL
PTS 1.0 (18) 0.7 (10) 0.5 (75) 0.3 (4)
0 · 0 · 1 · 0
SOG 2.6 (18) 3.0 (10) 2.0 (75) 3.5 (4)
5 · 4 · 3 · 2

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Avalanche 10-8 11-7 12-6 7-3 3-5
Maple Leafs 8-11 9-10 10-9 4-7 4-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Avalanche vs Maple Leafs head-to-head

Avalanche are 3-4, 2-3 ATS, O/U 4-1 in the last 7 meetings. Last time: Avalanche lost 3-6 on October 10, 2026.

Date Venue Avalanche result ATS O/U
Oct 10, 26 Avalanche home L 3-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Jan 25, 26 Maple Leafs home W 4-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Jan 12, 26 Avalanche home L 3-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Mar 19, 25 Maple Leafs home L 1-2 – –
Mar 8, 25 Avalanche home W 7-4 – –
Feb 24, 24 Avalanche home L 3-4 L -1.5 O 5.5
Jan 13, 24 Maple Leafs home W 5-3 W +1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

Colorado Avalanche: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 7, 26 vs DET W 4-0 W -1.5 U 6.5
Nov 5, 26 vs NSH L 2-3 L -1.5 U 6.5
Nov 3, 26 @ CBJ L 2-7 L -1.5 O 6.5
Nov 2, 26 @ CHI W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 31, 26 vs CGY W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 28, 26 vs NJ W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 25, 26 @ NSH L 2-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 23, 26 vs TB W 6-3 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ NJ L 3-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 19, 26 @ PHI L 2-3 L -1.5 U 6.5

Toronto Maple Leafs: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 8, 26 vs NJ L 0-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 7, 26 vs MTL L 2-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 3, 26 vs UTA L 2-3 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 31, 26 @ VAN W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 28, 26 @ SEA L 4-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 26, 26 @ CGY L 2-5 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ EDM W 7-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 vs NYR W 5-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ CBJ W 6-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 19, 26 vs SJ W 3-1 W -1.5 U 6.5

Injury report

Colorado Avalanche

  • Josh Manson (D): Injured Reserve, Ankle
  • Zachary L’Heureux (L): Injured Reserve, Upper Body

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Jack Roslovic (C): Day-To-Day, day-to-day
  • Kirill Marchenko (R): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
  • Morgan Rielly (D): Day-To-Day, day-to-day
  • Miles Wood (L): Injured Reserve, Wood
  • Colton Sissons (C): Day-To-Day, day-to-day
  • Max Domi (C): Injured Reserve, Domi
  • Nick Blankenburg (D): Injured Reserve, Blankenburg
  • William Villeneuve (D): Injured Reserve, Knee
  • Marshall Rifai (D): Injured Reserve, Lower Body

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Avalanche defense Maple Leafs defense
Goals allowed per game 3.06 (14th of 32) 3.32 (20th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 27.22 (15th of 32) 29.58 (27th of 32)
Points allowed per game 8.06 (12th of 32) 8.89 (19th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 2 (16th of 32) 1.37 (6th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 57.7 (2nd) 57.5 (3rd)

Venue and weather

Scotiabank Arena · Toronto, ONIndoor, weather won’t matter
Compare NHL playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NHL board →

Avalanche vs Maple Leafs odds by sportsbook

Book COL spread TOR spread COL ML TOR ML Over Under
bet365 -1.5 +154 +1.5 -184 -157 +132 O 6.5 -111 U 6.5 -109
BetRivers -1.5 +148 +1.5 -185 -161 +135 O 6.5 -120 U 6.5 -103
Caesars -1.5 +148 +1.5 -176 -157 +131 O 6.5 -118 U 6.5 -104
DraftKings -1.5 +150 +1.5 -180 -155 +130 O 6.5 -115 U 6.5 -105
FanDuel -1.5 +148 +1.5 -184 -156 +130 O 6.5 -108 U 6.5 -112
Fanatics -1.5 +150 +1.5 -185 -155 +130 O 6.5 -115 U 6.5 -105

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 8:56 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Maple Leafs spread +1.5 +1.5 –
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Avalanche moneyline -162 -155 -1% win chance
Maple Leafs moneyline +136 +130 +1.1% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Maple Leafs spread +1.5 → +1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NHL board →

More on these teams: Colorado Avalanche stats · Toronto Maple Leafs stats · New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs Nov 8 · Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche Nov 7 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

21+. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Today's NBA picks

Cameron JohnsonOVER 2.5 points · @ HOU
10/10
Cameron BoozerOVER 4.5 points · @ TOR
9/9
Santi AldamaOVER 6.5 points · vs IND
10/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the board →

Latest

1MNF Player Props: How to Work a Short Slate
2CS2 Match Betting: A Step-by-Step Method
3BettingPros Alternative: StatsBench Compared
4DFS NBA Picks Today: Pick'em vs Book Props
5NHL Hits Props: How the Market Works

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game daysFollow @stats_bench on XToday's picks, results and line moves as they happen