Bucks vs Knicks Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 10, 2026)

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NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Milwaukee Bucks logo

Bucks1-9 · 3-7 ATS15th in the East
7:30 PM ETTue, Nov 10Win % 8–92
New York Knicks logo

Knicks5-4 · 3-6 ATS5th in the East

NBA · Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · Madison Square Garden

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Milwaukee Bucks +750 +15.5 -105 O 222 -110
New York Knicks -1040 -15.5 -105 U 222 -110

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 3:14 PM ET.

Bucks vs Knicks preview

Tuesday’s Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks game has New York as the -990 moneyline favorite and -15.5 spread, with a 219.5 total. The last meeting on February 27, 2026 ended with Milwaukee losing 98-127 at home. Milwaukee is 1-9 straight up and 3-7 against the spread this season; New York is 5-4 straight up and 3-6 against the spread. Over the last 10 games, Milwaukee is 1-9 straight up and 3-7 against the spread, while New York is 5-5 straight up and 4-6 against the spread. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Milwaukee is 3-7 straight up and 0-2 against the spread.

The useful angles are defensive and projection based. Milwaukee allows 121.6 points per game, rank 28, and New York allows 104.2, rank 3. The StatsBench model projects Jaime Jaquez Jr. at 19.6 points plus rebounds against a 14.5 line and Myles Turner at 5.5 rebounds against a 4.5 line. Josh Hart is questionable for New York with right ankle soreness, and Tyler Herro is questionable for Milwaukee with a right contusion.

StatsBench picks for this game

  • Josh Hart OVER 1.5 3PM (-105): pending

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

Top Bucks vs Knicks player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Karl-Anthony Towns NYK Over 0.5 double double -375 Fanatics 90% (9/10) 100% –
Josh Hart NYK Over 1.5 threes made +117 Kalshi 80% (8/10) 80% –
Kyle Kuzma MIL Over 2.5 assists -105 Fanatics 80% (8/10) 80% 2.7
Myles Turner MIL Over 4.5 rebounds -150 Fanatics 80% (8/10) 100% 5.5
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL Over 0.5 threes made -245 Kalshi 80% (8/10) 80% –

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 3:14 PM ET.

The rest of the Bucks vs Knicks propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Tyler HerroOver 19.5 points7/10
OG AnunobyOver 1.5 assists7/10
Brayden BurriesOver 0.5 stls blks7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. vs Knicks

Jaime Jaquez Jr.SF, MIL
VS
KnicksDefense vs small forwards
Good matchup for Jaime Jaquez Jr.Knicks allow 4.2 threes a game to small forwards, 3rd most in the league. Jr. averages 1.7 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest28th of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 0.58/10avg 1.7 · 28th of 30 vs SF · -245Kalshi
Points over 14.56/10avg 15.2 · 23rd of 30 vs SF · +113Kalshi
Rebounds over 4.56/10avg 5.8 · 26th of 30 vs SF · -112prophetexchange

Landry Shamet vs Bucks

Landry ShametSG, NYK
VS
BucksDefense vs shooting guards
Good matchup for Landry ShametBucks allow 46.9 points + rebounds + assists a game to shooting guards, 4th most in the league. Shamet averages 12 against a line of 9.5.
Toughest27th of 30, points + rebounds + assistsSoftest
Points + rebounds + assists over 9.57/10avg 12 · 27th of 30 vs SG · -245bet365
Threes made over 1.56/10avg 2.1 · 26th of 30 vs SG · -170bet365
Points + rebounds over 9.55/10avg 10.3 · 27th of 30 vs SG · -210bet365

Josh Hart vs Bucks

Josh HartSF, NYK
VS
BucksDefense vs small forwards
Even matchupBucks allow 3.6 threes a game to small forwards, 11th most in the league. Hart averages 2.1 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest20th of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 1.58/10avg 2.1 · 20th of 30 vs SF · +117Kalshi
Rebounds over 6.57/10avg 7.9 · 13th of 30 vs SF · -180bet365
Points + assists over 14.56/10avg 13.5 · 20th of 30 vs SF · +115bet365

Kyle Kuzma vs Knicks

Kyle KuzmaPF, MIL
VS
KnicksDefense vs power forwards
Even matchupKnicks allow 3.5 assists a game to power forwards, 14th fewest in the league. Kuzma averages 2.7 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest14th of 30, assistsSoftest
Assists over 2.58/10avg 2.7 · 14th of 30 vs PF · -105Fanatics
Steals over 0.57/10avg 1 · 9th of 30 vs PF · -130bet365
Points over 11.56/10avg 11.6 · 3rd of 30 vs PF · +100BetRivers

Karl-Anthony Towns vs Bucks

Karl-Anthony TownsC, NYK
VS
BucksDefense vs centers
Tough matchup for Karl-Anthony TownsBucks allow 2.1 turnovers a game to centers, 6th fewest in the league. Towns averages 3.5 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest6th of 30, turnoversSoftest
Turnovers over 2.57/10avg 3.5 · 6th of 30 vs C · +115888sport
Threes made over 1.56/10avg 1.7 · 10th of 30 vs C · +148prophetexchange
Steals over 0.56/10avg 0.9 · 30th of 30 vs C · -205prophetexchange

Myles Turner vs Knicks

Myles TurnerC, MIL
VS
KnicksDefense vs centers
Tough matchup for Myles TurnerKnicks allow 8.4 rebounds a game to centers, the fewest in the league. Turner averages 5.7 against a line of 4.5.
Toughest1st of 30, reboundsSoftest
Rebounds over 4.58/10avg 5.7 · 1st of 30 vs C · -150Fanatics
Assists over 1.57/10avg 2.8 · 28th of 30 vs C · -117Kalshi
Blocks over 1.57/10avg 2.5 · 18th of 30 vs C · +110Fanatics

Betting trends

  • The under has hit in 4 straight Bucks games.
  • Bucks are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.
  • The over is 2-8 in Knicks’ last 10 games.
  • Bucks are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings with the Knicks.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Projected starting lineups

Projected starting fives. Teams confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip and this page updates then. Updated 3:14 PM ET. The badge next to each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

Milwaukee BucksProjected
  1. PGBrayden Burries
  2. SGTyler HerroOver 19.5 points7/10
  3. SFJaime Jaquez Jr.Over 14.5 points6/10
  4. PFKyle KuzmaOver 2.5 assists8/10
  5. CMyles TurnerOver 4.5 rebounds8/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Tyler Herro (questionable), Kel’el Ware (questionable)

New York KnicksProjected
  1. PGJalen BrunsonOver 2.5 threes made6/10
  2. SGMikal BridgesOver 2.5 assists5/10
  3. SFLandry ShametOver 1.5 threes made6/10
  4. PFOG AnunobyOver 1.5 assists7/10
  5. CKarl-Anthony TownsOver 1.5 threes made6/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Josh Hart (doubtful)

Every NBA starting lineup today

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Bucks vs Knicks defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 30 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Bucks defense facing the Knicks

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGJalen Brunson 23.210th 5.06th 9.319th 3.512th 37.58th
SGMikal Bridges 29.326th 10.330th 7.226th 4.726th 46.927th
SFLandry Shamet 30.320th 10.513th 4.58th 3.620th 45.320th
PFOG Anunoby 24.528th 10.827th 4.322nd 3.329th 39.528th
CKarl-Anthony Towns 24.629th 16.129th 4.829th 0.810th 45.429th

Softest spot: 10.3 rebounds a game to shooting guards, the most in the league. Mikal Bridges is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 5.0 rebounds a game to point guards, 6th fewest in the league. Jalen Brunson is projected to start there.

Knicks defense facing the Bucks

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGBrayden Burries 22.36th 6.112th 6.43rd 3.38th 34.97th
SGTyler Herro 27.122nd 6.711th 5.07th 4.016th 38.819th
SFJaime Jaquez Jr. 31.323rd 13.126th 7.327th 4.228th 51.826th
PFKyle Kuzma 13.43rd 8.312th 3.514th 1.12nd 25.14th
CMyles Turner 13.01st 8.41st 4.328th 1.122nd 25.61st

Softest spot: 4.2 threes a game to small forwards, 3rd most in the league. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 13.0 points a game to centers, the fewest in the league. Myles Turner is projected to start there.

The props these matchups touchEvery NBA line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Milwaukee Bucks

Tyler Herro SG21.4 PTS · 4.6 REB · 4.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/8 vs BOS 26 13 1 2 1
11/6 vs TOR 35 23 5 10 1
11/4 @ BOS 32 25 5 3 4
11/2 @ MIN 30 21 6 3 4
10/31 vs CLE 27 15 3 2 4
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NY
PTS 21.4 (10) 20.8 (4) 20.6 (34) –
REB 4.6 (10) 4.8 (4) 4.7 (34) –
AST 4.3 (10) 4.5 (4) 4.2 (34) –

Jaime Jaquez Jr. SF15.2 PTS · 5.8 REB · 2.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/8 vs BOS 22 4 2 2 0
11/6 vs TOR 27 14 3 3 2
11/4 @ BOS 30 18 2 2 4
11/2 @ MIN 28 19 8 2 2
10/31 vs CLE 23 8 7 5 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NY
PTS 15.2 (10) 20.0 (4) 15.3 (76) 23.0 (2)
23 · 23
REB 5.8 (10) 6.3 (4) 5.0 (76) 4.5 (2)
0 · 9
AST 2.7 (10) 2.5 (4) 4.7 (76) 6.0 (2)
5 · 7

Kyle Kuzma PF11.6 PTS · 5.8 REB · 2.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/8 vs BOS 31 27 4 0 6
11/6 vs TOR 31 13 4 3 1
11/4 @ BOS 27 6 5 4 1
11/2 @ MIN 22 2 2 3 0
10/31 vs CLE 22 14 3 3 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NY
PTS 11.6 (10) 6.8 (4) 13.0 (69) 14.0 (3)
17 · 20 · 5
REB 5.8 (10) 6.3 (4) 4.5 (69) 4.3 (3)
4 · 4 · 5
AST 2.7 (10) 3.3 (4) 2.7 (69) 2.0 (3)
2 · 3 · 1

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson PG26.2 PTS · 3.0 REB · 5.6 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/7 @ CLE 34 31 6 9 3
11/4 vs CHI 28 33 2 4 5
11/2 vs BKN 33 19 2 6 4
10/30 @ PHI 35 24 5 6 3
10/28 @ CHI 35 38 1 7 6
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs MIL
PTS 26.2 (9) 24.8 (5) 26.5 (94) 33.3 (3)
27 · 37 · 36
REB 3.0 (9) 2.6 (5) 3.3 (94) 4.0 (3)
7 · 1 · 4
AST 5.6 (9) 4.8 (5) 6.7 (94) 3.7 (3)
3 · 5 · 3

Karl-Anthony Towns C20.9 PTS · 13.6 REB · 3.1 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/7 @ CLE 33 29 13 3 2
11/4 vs CHI 25 17 12 1 2
11/2 vs BKN 34 11 16 5 1
10/30 @ PHI 35 22 12 3 3
10/28 @ CHI 28 19 13 5 3
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs MIL
PTS 20.9 (9) 19.2 (5) 19.2 (95) 11.3 (3)
17 · 9 · 8
REB 13.6 (9) 14.8 (5) 11.6 (95) 11.7 (3)
13 · 10 · 12
AST 3.1 (9) 2.8 (5) 3.4 (95) 2.0 (3)
1 · 4 · 1

OG Anunoby SF16.4 PTS · 5.6 REB · 2.4 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/7 @ CLE 33 15 6 2 3
11/4 vs CHI 24 18 5 2 1
11/2 vs BKN 38 18 4 2 3
10/30 @ PHI 34 9 4 3 1
10/28 @ CHI 30 23 6 1 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs MIL
PTS 16.4 (9) 16.2 (5) 17.5 (85) 16.5 (2)
24 · 9
REB 5.6 (9) 4.8 (5) 5.5 (85) 4.5 (2)
3 · 6
AST 2.4 (9) 1.6 (5) 2.1 (85) 4.0 (2)
3 · 5

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Bucks 1-9 3-7 5-5 1-5 0-4
Knicks 5-4 3-6 2-7 3-2 2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Bucks vs Knicks head-to-head

Bucks are 3-7, 0-2 ATS, O/U 1-1 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Bucks lost 98-127 on February 27, 2026.

Date Venue Bucks result ATS O/U
Feb 27, 26 Bucks home L 98-127 L +8.5 O 219.5
Nov 28, 25 Knicks home L 109-118 L +7.5 U 232.5
Oct 28, 25 Bucks home W 121-111 – –
Mar 28, 25 Bucks home L 107-116 – –
Jan 12, 25 Knicks home L 106-140 – –
Nov 8, 24 Knicks home L 94-116 – –
Apr 7, 24 Bucks home L 109-122 – –
Dec 25, 23 Knicks home L 122-129 – –
Dec 23, 23 Knicks home W 130-111 – –
Dec 5, 23 Bucks home W 146-122 – –

Recent form

Milwaukee Bucks: last 10 (1-9, 3-7 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 8, 26 vs BOS L 97-117 L +13.5 U 222.5
Nov 6, 26 vs TOR L 107-121 L +3.5 U 228.5
Nov 4, 26 @ BOS L 102-109 W +12.5 U 222.5
Nov 2, 26 @ MIN L 100-112 L +11.5 U 233.5
Oct 31, 26 vs CLE L 111-136 L +8.5 O 234.5
Oct 28, 26 vs HOU L 100-132 L +8.5 O 226.5
Oct 26, 26 vs IND W 110-102 W +3.5 U 239.5
Oct 24, 26 @ PHI L 116-127 W +12.5 O 234.5
Oct 23, 26 vs CHI L 125-132 L -1.5 O 241.5
Oct 21, 26 @ WSH L 116-128 L +4.5 O 239.5

New York Knicks: last 10 (5-5, 4-6 ATS, O/U 2-8)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 7, 26 @ CLE W 109-97 W -4.5 U 222.5
Nov 4, 26 vs CHI W 135-105 W -11.5 O 233.5
Nov 2, 26 vs BKN W 103-90 L -14.5 U 218.5
Oct 30, 26 @ PHI L 93-98 L -3.5 U 224.5
Oct 28, 26 @ CHI W 133-127 L -7.5 O 233.5
Oct 27, 26 vs DET W 111-97 W -4.5 U 220.5
Oct 25, 26 vs ORL L 102-111 L -6.5 U 224.5
Oct 23, 26 @ BOS L 103-107 L +2.5 U 220.5
Oct 20, 26 vs PHI L 100-106 L -4.5 U 231.5
Apr 12, 26 vs CHA L 96-110 W +14.5 U 217.5

Injury report

Milwaukee Bucks

  • Tyler Herro (SG): Questionable, Right Contusion
  • Kel’el Ware (C): Questionable, Left Ankle Sprain

New York Knicks

  • Josh Hart (SF): Doubtful, Illness

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Bucks defense Knicks defense
Points allowed per game 121.6 (27th of 30) 104.2 (2nd of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 47.9 (29th of 30) 40.7 (3rd of 30)
Assists allowed per game 28 (25th of 30) 25.7 (11th of 30)
Threes allowed per game 14.6 (26th of 30) 13.6 (17th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 102.3 (8th) 98.4 (28th)

Venue and weather

Madison Square Garden · New York, NYIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Bucks vs Knicks odds by sportsbook

Book MIL spread NY spread MIL ML NY ML Over Under
bet365 +15.5 -113 -15.5 -107 +750 -1200 O 222 -110 U 222 -120
BetRivers +15.5 -105 -15.5 -116 +650 -1429 O 221.5 -115 U 221.5 -106
Caesars +15.5 -110 -15.5 -110 +700 -1100 O 222 -110 U 222 -110
DraftKings +15.5 -115 -15.5 -105 +670 -1040 O 222.5 -105 U 222.5 -115
FanDuel +15.5 -112 -15.5 -108 +750 -1200 O 222.5 -108 U 222.5 -114
Fanatics +15.5 -110 -15.5 -110 +700 -1100 O 222 -110 U 222 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 3:14 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Knicks spread -15.5 -15.5 –
Total 219.5 221.5 +2
Bucks moneyline +770 +670 +1.5% win chance
Knicks moneyline -1260 -1040 -1.4% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Knicks spread -15.5 → -15.5
Total 219.5 → 222
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More on these teams: Milwaukee Bucks stats · New York Knicks stats · Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Nov 8 · New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Nov 7 · All NBA prop picks

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