Lakers vs Bucks Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 11, 2026)

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NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Los Angeles Lakers logo

Lakers10-2 · 9-3 ATS1st in the West
8:00 PM ETWed, Nov 11Win % 86–14
Milwaukee Bucks logo

Bucks1-10 · 3-8 ATS15th in the East

NBA · Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Fiserv Forum

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Los Angeles Lakers -769 -14.5 -106 O 228.5 -110
Milwaukee Bucks +590 +14.5 -105 U 228.5 -108

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 2:33 PM ET.

Lakers vs Bucks preview

Wednesday night in Milwaukee features a Lakers team priced as a -590 moneyline favorite, with the Bucks at +10.5 and the total at 233.5, unchanged from the DraftKings opener.

The last meeting went against Los Angeles: Milwaukee won 105-101 in Los Angeles on January 9, 2026. Recent form separates the sides. Los Angeles is 10-2 straight up and 9-3 against the spread this season, including 8-2 and 8-2 ATS over its last 10, with a 124-114 win at Atlanta on November 9. Milwaukee is 1-10 straight up and 3-8 ATS, including 1-9 and 3-7 ATS over its last 10, after an 85-117 loss at New York on November 10.

The defensive ranks offer context: Milwaukee allows 121.6 points per game (27th) and 47.9 rebounds (29th), while Los Angeles allows 41.1 rebounds (4th). For prop research, Luka Doncic’s over 4.5 threes at -102 has cleared in 8 of his last 10, and Matisse Thybulle’s over 1.5 steals at -132 has also cleared 8 of 10, with the StatsBench model projecting 2.3.

StatsBench picks for this game

  • Sandro Mamukelashvili OVER 0.5 BLK (+150): pending
  • Ziaire Williams OVER 9.5 PTS+AST (-105): pending

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

Top Lakers vs Bucks player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Luka Doncic LAL Over 12.5 points -112 Bally Bet 100% (10/10) 100% 38.8
Ziaire Williams LAL Over 9.5 points + rebounds + assists -210 bet365 100% (10/10) 100% 15.4
Matisse Thybulle LAL Over 2.5 stls blks +110 bet365 80% (8/10) 80% –
Kyle Kuzma MIL Over 2.5 assists +100 BetRivers 80% (8/10) 80% 2.7
Austin Reaves LAL Over 6.5 field goals made -165 Fanatics 80% (8/10) 80% –

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 2:33 PM ET.

The rest of the Lakers vs Bucks propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Walker KesslerOver 0.5 steals8/10
Jaime Jaquez Jr.Over 0.5 threes made8/10
Collin SextonOver 9.5 points + assists8/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Collin Sexton vs Bucks

Collin SextonSG, LAL
VS
BucksDefense vs shooting guards
Good matchup for Collin SextonBucks allow 34.8 points + assists a game to shooting guards, 6th most in the league. Sexton averages 13.4 against a line of 9.5.
Toughest25th of 30, points + assistsSoftest
Points + assists over 9.58/10avg 13.4 · 25th of 30 vs SG · -270bet365
Points + rebounds over 11.56/10avg 12.8 · 26th of 30 vs SG · -116Cloudbet
Points over 11.55/10avg 10.8 · 24th of 30 vs SG · -105Fanatics

Ziaire Williams vs Bucks

Ziaire WilliamsSF, LAL
VS
BucksDefense vs small forwards
Good matchup for Ziaire WilliamsBucks allow 3.8 threes a game to small forwards, 7th most in the league. Williams averages 2 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest24th of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 0.510/10avg 2 · 24th of 30 vs SF · -317Kalshi
Points + rebounds + assists over 9.510/10avg 15.5 · 20th of 30 vs SF · -210bet365
Points + assists over 9.59/10avg 12.7 · 20th of 30 vs SF · -105bet365

Kyle Kuzma vs Lakers

Kyle KuzmaPF, MIL
VS
LakersDefense vs power forwards
Even matchupLakers allow 3.7 assists a game to power forwards, 14th most in the league. Kuzma averages 2.7 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest17th of 30, assistsSoftest
Assists over 2.58/10avg 2.7 · 17th of 30 vs PF · +100BetRivers
Rebounds + assists over 6.57/10avg 8.4 · 8th of 30 vs PF · -140BetMGM
Points + assists over 14.56/10avg 14.3 · 9th of 30 vs PF · +110bet365

Luka Doncic vs Bucks

Luka DoncicPG, LAL
VS
BucksDefense vs point guards
Tough matchup for Luka DoncicBucks allow 25 points a game to point guards, 10th fewest in the league. Doncic averages 39.3 against a line of 12.5.
Toughest10th of 30, pointsSoftest
Points over 12.510/10avg 39.3 · 10th of 30 vs PG · -112Bally Bet
Threes made over 4.58/10avg 5.5 · 15th of 30 vs PG · +100Kalshi
Points + rebounds over 42.57/10avg 47.1 · 10th of 30 vs PG · -105Fanatics

Myles Turner vs Lakers

Myles TurnerC, MIL
VS
LakersDefense vs centers
Tough matchup for Myles TurnerLakers allow 10.6 rebounds a game to centers, 9th fewest in the league. Turner averages 5.5 against a line of 4.5.
Toughest9th of 30, reboundsSoftest
Rebounds over 4.57/10avg 5.5 · 9th of 30 vs C · -143BetRivers
Assists over 1.57/10avg 2.7 · 1st of 30 vs C · -132prophetexchange
Blocks over 1.57/10avg 2.5 · 3rd of 30 vs C · +109prophetexchange

Jaime Jaquez Jr. vs Lakers

Jaime Jaquez Jr.SF, MIL
VS
LakersDefense vs small forwards
Tough matchup for Jaime Jaquez Jr.Lakers allow 2.7 threes a game to small forwards, 5th fewest in the league. Jr. averages 1.8 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest5th of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 0.58/10avg 1.8 · 5th of 30 vs SF · -245Kalshi
Points + assists over 14.57/10avg 17.4 · 6th of 30 vs SF · -170bet365
Points over 14.56/10avg 14.6 · 5th of 30 vs SF · +130bet365

Betting trends

  • Lakers have covered the spread in 6 straight games.
  • The over has hit in 3 straight Lakers games.
  • Lakers are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Lakers are 3-0 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • The over is 7-3 in Lakers’ last 10 games.
  • Bucks have failed to cover in 3 straight games.
  • The under has hit in 5 straight Bucks games.
  • Bucks are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Projected starting lineups

Projected starting fives. Teams confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip and this page updates then. Updated 2:33 PM ET. The badge next to each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

Los Angeles LakersProjected
  1. PGLuka DoncicOver 12.5 points10/10
  2. SGAustin ReavesOver 22.5 points6/10
  3. SFMatisse ThybulleOver 1.5 steals8/10
  4. PFJake LaRaviaOver 9.5 points + rebounds6/10
  5. CWalker KesslerOver 14.5 points + assists6/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Quentin Grimes (questionable)

Milwaukee BucksProjected
  1. PGBrayden BurriesOver 4.5 rebounds6/10
  2. SGTyler HerroOver 2.5 threes made7/10
  3. SFJaime Jaquez Jr.Over 14.5 points + assists7/10
  4. PFKyle KuzmaOver 2.5 assists8/10
  5. CKel’el Ware

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Tyler Herro (day-to-day)

Every NBA starting lineup today

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Lakers vs Bucks defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 30 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Lakers defense facing the Bucks

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGBrayden Burries 38.326th 7.823rd 11.830th 5.830th 57.827th
SGTyler Herro 24.617th 7.822nd 5.512th 4.016th 37.918th
SFJaime Jaquez Jr. 21.85th 8.74th 4.813th 2.75th 35.36th
PFKyle Kuzma 14.98th 7.03rd 3.717th 1.812th 25.66th
CKel’el Ware 16.212th 10.69th 2.01st 1.224th 28.89th

Softest spot: 11.8 assists a game to point guards, the most in the league. Brayden Burries is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 2.0 assists a game to centers, the fewest in the league. Kel’el Ware is projected to start there.

Bucks defense facing the Lakers

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGLuka Doncic 25.010th 5.39th 9.418th 3.615th 39.611th
SGAustin Reaves 27.924th 10.030th 6.923rd 4.526th 44.826th
SFMatisse Thybulle 30.420th 10.514th 4.47th 3.824th 45.220th
PFJake LaRavia 22.323rd 9.924th 4.121st 3.029th 36.324th
CWalker Kessler 24.430th 17.629th 4.929th 0.917th 46.930th

Softest spot: 10.0 rebounds a game to shooting guards, the most in the league. Austin Reaves is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 4.4 assists a game to small forwards, 7th fewest in the league. Matisse Thybulle is projected to start there.

The props these matchups touchEvery NBA line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Los Angeles Lakers

Luka Doncic PG39.3 PTS · 7.8 REB · 7.9 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 @ ATL 39 32 8 10 3
11/6 vs POR 38 53 5 5 5
11/4 @ SAC 35 40 9 7 6
11/2 vs MIA 35 42 7 13 6
11/1 vs TOR 35 45 15 6 8
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIL
PTS 39.3 (10) 40.3 (4) 33.5 (64) 32.5 (2)
24 · 41
REB 7.8 (10) 8.0 (4) 7.7 (64) 9.0 (2)
9 · 9
AST 7.9 (10) 8.0 (4) 8.3 (64) 7.5 (2)
9 · 6

Austin Reaves SG25.3 PTS · 3.4 REB · 4.6 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/8 @ DET 36 43 5 4 4
11/6 vs POR 38 25 3 2 1
11/4 @ SAC 37 21 3 4 1
11/2 vs MIA 34 27 2 5 4
11/1 vs TOR 38 19 3 4 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIL
PTS 25.3 (11) 26.0 (5) 22.9 (57) 25.0 (1)
25
REB 3.4 (11) 3.8 (5) 4.6 (57) 6.0 (1)
6
AST 4.6 (11) 3.6 (5) 5.5 (57) 8.0 (1)
8

Walker Kessler C14.9 PTS · 10.8 REB · 1.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 @ ATL 30 21 10 4 0
11/8 @ DET 28 12 16 4 0
11/6 vs POR 37 16 12 2 0
11/4 @ SAC 28 15 8 0 0
11/2 vs MIA 32 15 15 2 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs MIL
PTS 14.9 (12) 11.8 (6) 14.4 (5) –
REB 10.8 (12) 10.5 (6) 10.8 (5) –
AST 1.7 (12) 1.8 (6) 3.0 (5) –

Milwaukee Bucks

Tyler Herro SG21.4 PTS · 4.6 REB · 4.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/8 vs BOS 26 13 1 2 1
11/6 vs TOR 35 23 5 10 1
11/4 @ BOS 32 25 5 3 4
11/2 @ MIN 30 21 6 3 4
10/31 vs CLE 27 15 3 2 4
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs LAL
PTS 21.4 (10) 21.8 (6) 20.6 (34) –
REB 4.6 (10) 4.5 (6) 4.7 (34) –
AST 4.3 (10) 4.2 (6) 4.2 (34) –

Jaime Jaquez Jr. SF15.3 PTS · 5.7 REB · 2.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 @ NYK 24 16 5 3 2
11/8 vs BOS 22 4 2 2 0
11/6 vs TOR 27 14 3 3 2
11/4 @ BOS 30 18 2 2 4
11/2 @ MIN 28 19 8 2 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs LAL
PTS 15.3 (11) 12.0 (6) 15.3 (76) 31.0 (1)
31
REB 5.7 (11) 5.5 (6) 5.0 (76) 8.0 (1)
8
AST 2.7 (11) 2.8 (6) 4.7 (76) 4.0 (1)
4

Ryan Rollins SG11.0 PTS · 4.5 REB · 4.1 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 @ NYK 24 14 5 2 4
11/8 vs BOS 19 7 5 6 2
11/6 vs TOR 14 10 1 1 1
11/4 @ BOS 23 13 9 5 2
11/2 @ MIN 17 10 3 2 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs LAL
PTS 11.0 (11) 10.0 (6) 17.3 (74) 10.0 (2)
10 · 10
REB 4.5 (11) 3.7 (6) 4.6 (74) 3.5 (2)
6 · 1
AST 4.1 (11) 4.8 (6) 5.6 (74) 2.5 (2)
2 · 3

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Lakers 10-2 9-3 8-4 5-1 5-1
Bucks 1-10 3-8 5-6 1-5 0-5

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Lakers vs Bucks head-to-head

Lakers are 3-3, 0-1 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Lakers lost 101-105 on January 9, 2026.

Date Venue Lakers result ATS O/U
Jan 9, 26 Lakers home L 101-105 L -3.5 U 228.5
Nov 15, 25 Bucks home W 119-95 – –
Mar 20, 25 Lakers home L 89-118 – –
Mar 13, 25 Bucks home L 106-126 – –
Mar 26, 24 Bucks home W 128-124 – –
Mar 8, 24 Lakers home W 123-122 – –

Recent form

Los Angeles Lakers: last 10 (8-2, 8-2 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 9, 26 @ ATL W 124-114 W +2.5 O 233.5
Nov 8, 26 @ DET W 121-116 W +8.5 O 216.5
Nov 6, 26 vs POR W 124-118 W -3.5 O 231.5
Nov 4, 26 @ SAC W 116-103 W -12.5 U 233.5
Nov 2, 26 vs MIA W 138-117 W -1.5 O 237.5
Nov 1, 26 vs TOR W 131-125 W -3.5 O 224.5
Oct 30, 26 @ GS L 95-112 L -2.5 U 234.5
Oct 28, 26 @ LAC W 103-87 W +1.5 U 224.5
Oct 27, 26 vs POR L 129-136 L -1.5 O 234.5
Oct 25, 26 @ UTAH W 132-123 W -6.5 O 237.5

Milwaukee Bucks: last 10 (1-9, 3-7 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 10, 26 @ NY L 85-117 L +14.5 U 221.5
Nov 8, 26 vs BOS L 97-117 L +13.5 U 222.5
Nov 6, 26 vs TOR L 107-121 L +3.5 U 228.5
Nov 4, 26 @ BOS L 102-109 W +12.5 U 222.5
Nov 2, 26 @ MIN L 100-112 L +11.5 U 233.5
Oct 31, 26 vs CLE L 111-136 L +8.5 O 234.5
Oct 28, 26 vs HOU L 100-132 L +8.5 O 226.5
Oct 26, 26 vs IND W 110-102 W +3.5 U 239.5
Oct 24, 26 @ PHI L 116-127 W +12.5 O 234.5
Oct 23, 26 vs CHI L 125-132 L -1.5 O 241.5

Injury report

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Quentin Grimes (SG): Questionable, Right Finger Sprain

Milwaukee Bucks

  • Tyler Herro (SG): Day-To-Day, Herro

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Lakers defense Bucks defense
Points allowed per game 114.4 (17th of 30) 121.2 (28th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 41.1 (4th of 30) 48.9 (29th of 30)
Assists allowed per game 27.5 (23rd of 30) 27.8 (25th of 30)
Threes allowed per game 15.3 (29th of 30) 14.8 (27th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 102 (10th) 101.2 (18th)

Venue and weather

Fiserv Forum · Milwaukee, WIIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Lakers vs Bucks odds by sportsbook

Book LAL spread MIL spread LAL ML MIL ML Over Under
bet365 -14.5 -110 +14.5 -110 -800 +550 O 231.5 -110 U 231.5 -110
BetRivers -13.5 -112 +13.5 -109 -769 +475 O 228.5 -114 U 228.5 -109
Caesars -14.5 -115 +14.5 -105 -833 +550 O 228.5 -110 U 228.5 -110
DraftKings -14.5 -110 +14.5 -110 -790 +554 O 228.5 -112 U 228.5 -108
FanDuel -14.5 -106 +14.5 -114 -850 +590 O 229.5 -106 U 229.5 -114
Fanatics -14 -115 +14 -105 -800 +550 O 229 -110 U 229 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 2:33 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Bucks spread +10.5 +14.5 +4
Total 233.5 228.5 -5
Lakers moneyline -650 -790 +2.1% win chance
Bucks moneyline +473 +554 -2.2% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Bucks spread +10.5 → +14.5
Total 233.5 → 228.5
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More on these teams: Los Angeles Lakers stats · Milwaukee Bucks stats · Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks Nov 10 · Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks Nov 9 · All NBA prop picks

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