Avalanche vs Senators Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 12, 2026)

Avalanche11-8 · 12-7 ATS4th in the West

7:00 PM ETThu, Nov 12

Senators11-8 · 9-10 ATS6th in the East

NHL · Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Canadian Tire Centre

Team	Moneyline	Spread	Total
Colorado Avalanche	-120	-1.5 +210	O 6.5 +100
Ottawa Senators	+102	+1.5 -250	U 6.5 -116

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Avalanche vs Senators preview

The Thursday NHL matchup in Ottawa has Colorado as a modest moneyline favorite at -120, with Ottawa at +102, Ottawa +1.5 on the spread and a total of 6.5 unchanged from the opening line. The last meeting went to Ottawa, 5-2, on January 28, 2026, and Colorado is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings, 3-1 ATS.

Recent form: Colorado is 6-4 in its last 10 and 7-3 ATS after a 6-3 win at Toronto on November 10. Ottawa is 5-5 in its last 10 and 6-4 ATS after a 2-3 loss to Washington on November 10.

Useful angles include pace, where Colorado ranks second at 57.8 and Ottawa ranks 26th at 52.4, and Ottawa’s injury situation, with Linus Ullmark day-to-day and William Eklund on injured reserve after surgery to repair a torn ankle tendon, out 10-12 weeks. Ottawa’s power-play points allowed (2.42, rank 23) also compares unfavorably with Colorado’s 1.89 (rank 13).

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Avalanche vs Senators player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5	Projection
Artturi Lehkonen COL	Over 1.5 shots on goal	-148 FanDuel	90% (9/10)	100%	–
Nazem Kadri COL	Over 1.5 shots on goal	-285 Fanatics	80% (8/10)	80%	–
Drake Batherson OTT	Over 0.5 points	-158 FanDuel	70% (7/10)	40%	0.9
Shane Pinto OTT	Over 1.5 shots on goal	-205 Fanatics	70% (7/10)	40%	–
Martin Necas COL	Over 1.5 shots on goal	-260 Fanatics	70% (7/10)	80%	–

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 5:03 PM ET.

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Dylan CozensOver 1.5 shots on goal7/10

Tim StützleOver 0.5 points7/10

Nathan MacKinnonOver 0.5 points7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Dylan Cozens vs Avalanche

Dylan CozensF, OTT

AvalancheDefense vs forwards

Even matchupAvalanche allow 20.5 shots a game to forwards, 16th most in the league. Cozens averages 2.2 against a line of 1.5.

Toughest17th of 32, shotsSoftest

Shots on goal over 1.57/10avg 2.2 · 17th of 32 vs F · -260

Points over 0.54/10avg 0.8 · 13th of 32 vs F · -130

Assists over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · 15th of 32 vs F · +164

Shane Pinto vs Avalanche

Shane PintoF, OTT

AvalancheDefense vs forwards

Even matchupAvalanche allow 20.5 shots a game to forwards, 16th most in the league. Pinto averages 2.2 against a line of 1.5.

Toughest17th of 32, shotsSoftest

Shots on goal over 1.57/10avg 2.2 · 17th of 32 vs F · -205

Points over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · 13th of 32 vs F · -106

Goals over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · 11th of 32 vs F · +250

Artturi Lehkonen vs Senators

Artturi LehkonenF, COL

SenatorsDefense vs forwards

Even matchupSenators allow 19.7 shots a game to forwards, 13th fewest in the league. Lehkonen averages 2.8 against a line of 1.5.

Toughest13th of 32, shotsSoftest

Shots on goal over 1.59/10avg 2.8 · 13th of 32 vs F · -148

Points over 0.56/10avg 0.9 · 14th of 32 vs F · -122

Goals over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · 17th of 32 vs F · +230

Nazem Kadri vs Senators

Nazem KadriF, COL

SenatorsDefense vs forwards

Even matchupSenators allow 19.7 shots a game to forwards, 13th fewest in the league. Kadri averages 2.6 against a line of 1.5.

Toughest13th of 32, shotsSoftest

Shots on goal over 1.58/10avg 2.6 · 13th of 32 vs F · -285

Points over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · 14th of 32 vs F · -113

Goals over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · 17th of 32 vs F · +275

Martin Necas vs Senators

Martin NecasF, COL

SenatorsDefense vs forwards

Even matchupSenators allow 19.7 shots a game to forwards, 13th fewest in the league. Necas averages 2 against a line of 1.5.

Toughest13th of 32, shotsSoftest

Shots on goal over 1.57/10avg 2 · 13th of 32 vs F · -260

Points over 0.56/10avg 1.3 · 14th of 32 vs F · -200

Assists over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · 13th of 32 vs F · +100

Drake Batherson vs Avalanche

Drake BathersonF, OTT

AvalancheDefense vs forwards

Even matchupAvalanche allow 6.0 points a game to forwards, 13th fewest in the league. Batherson averages 1.2 against a line of 0.5.

Toughest13th of 32, pointsSoftest

Points over 0.57/10avg 1.2 · 13th of 32 vs F · -158

Assists over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · 15th of 32 vs F · +146

Shots on goal over 1.55/10avg 2 · 17th of 32 vs F · -220

Betting trends

Avalanche are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
The over is 8-2 in Avalanche’ last 10 games.
Senators have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
The under has hit in 3 straight Senators games.
Avalanche are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with the Senators.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Avalanche vs Senators defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Avalanche defense facing the Senators

Pos	Goals	Assists	Points	Shots	Hits	Blocks
F	2.511th	3.515th	6.013th	20.517th	13.95th	7.029th
D	0.519th	1.510th	2.013th	7.08th	7.832nd	8.724th

Softest spot: 7.8 hits a game to defensemen, the most in the league.

Toughest spot: 13.9 hits a game to forwards, 5th fewest in the league.

Senators defense facing the Avalanche

Pos	Goals	Assists	Points	Shots	Hits	Blocks
F	2.617th	3.513th	6.114th	19.713th	18.430th	6.220th
D	0.48th	1.613th	1.911th	7.09th	6.318th	9.128th

Softest spot: 18.4 hits a game to forwards, 3rd most in the league.

Toughest spot: 0.4 goals a game to defensemen, 8th fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NHL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Colorado Avalanche

Nathan MacKinnon C1.6 PTS · 3.6 SOG · 0.5 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
11/10	@ TOR	20:38	0	0	3	0
11/7	vs DET	20:17	1	2	4	0
11/5	vs NSH	24:00	0	0	1	4
11/3	@ CBJ	19:28	0	2	1	0
11/2	@ CHI	19:25	0	1	2	1

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs OTT
PTS	1.6 (19)	1.0 (9)	1.5 (93)	2.0 (2) 0 · 4
SOG	3.6 (19)	2.1 (9)	4.3 (93)	3.0 (2) 1 · 5

Cale Makar D1.3 PTS · 2.6 SOG · 0.3 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
11/10	@ TOR	23:23	0	2	1	0
11/7	vs DET	22:43	1	2	2	0
11/5	vs NSH	26:54	0	0	0	0
11/3	@ CBJ	22:32	1	1	5	0
11/2	@ CHI	23:00	0	1	2	1

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs OTT
PTS	1.3 (18)	1.3 (8)	1.0 (86)	1.5 (2) 0 · 3
SOG	2.6 (18)	2.8 (8)	2.7 (86)	2.5 (2) 4 · 1

Martin Necas C1.3 PTS · 2.1 SOG · 0.5 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
11/10	@ TOR	19:30	1	0	2	1
11/7	vs DET	18:37	2	2	2	0
11/5	vs NSH	23:37	0	1	3	2
11/3	@ CBJ	18:51	0	0	2	3
11/2	@ CHI	16:28	0	0	1	0

Splits	Season	Road	2025-26	vs OTT
PTS	1.3 (19)	0.7 (9)	1.2 (91)	1.0 (2) 0 · 2
SOG	2.1 (19)	1.9 (9)	2.6 (91)	1.0 (2) 0 · 2

Ottawa Senators

Tim Stützle C1.2 PTS · 2.3 SOG · 0.5 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
11/10	vs WSH	22:08	0	0	1	1
11/7	vs UTA	20:19	0	1	3	5
11/4	@ BUF	23:03	0	1	5	0
11/1	@ ANA	22:54	0	0	1	3
10/31	@ SJS	20:14	1	1	7	1

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs COL
PTS	1.2 (19)	0.9 (9)	1.0 (84)	1.0 (2) 2 · 0
SOG	2.3 (19)	2.1 (9)	2.4 (84)	1.5 (2) 3 · 0

Drake Batherson R1.0 PTS · 2.2 SOG · 0.5 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	G	A	SOG	HIT
11/10	vs WSH	16:06	0	0	1	2
11/7	vs UTA	16:39	0	0	1	2
11/4	@ BUF	20:13	0	0	2	2
11/1	@ ANA	16:19	0	1	1	0
10/31	@ SJS	16:11	1	0	4	1

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs COL
PTS	0.9 (19)	0.9 (9)	0.9 (83)	0.5 (2) 1 · 0
SOG	2.2 (19)	2.0 (9)	2.1 (83)	2.0 (2) 1 · 3

Jake Sanderson D0.9 PTS · 1.9 SOG · 0.1 G per game

Date	Opp	TOI	A	SOG	HIT
11/10	vs WSH	23:37	0	5	0
11/7	vs UTA	22:08	0	1	1
11/4	@ BUF	25:32	0	1	0
11/1	@ ANA	23:59	2	1	0
10/31	@ SJS	22:50	2	0	0

Splits	Season	Home	2025-26	vs COL
PTS	0.9 (11)	1.0 (5)	0.8 (70)	1.0 (2) 1 · 1
SOG	1.9 (11)	2.8 (5)	2.2 (70)	1.5 (2) 1 · 2

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Avalanche	11-8	12-7	13-6	7-3	4-5
Senators	11-8	9-10	7-12	6-3	5-5

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Avalanche vs Senators head-to-head

Avalanche are 5-1, 3-1 ATS, O/U 4-0 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Avalanche lost 2-5 on January 28, 2026.

Date	Venue	Avalanche result	ATS	O/U
Jan 28, 26	Senators home	L 2-5	L -1.5	O 6.5
Jan 8, 26	Avalanche home	W 8-2	W -1.5	O 6.5
Mar 20, 25	Senators home	W 5-1	–	–
Oct 27, 24	Avalanche home	W 5-4	–	–
Jan 16, 24	Senators home	W 7-4	W -1.5	O 5.5
Dec 21, 23	Avalanche home	W 6-4	W -1.5	O 5.5

Recent form

Colorado Avalanche: last 10 (6-4, 7-3 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Nov 10, 26	@ TOR	W 6-3	W -1.5	O 6.5
Nov 7, 26	vs DET	W 4-0	W -1.5	U 6.5
Nov 5, 26	vs NSH	L 2-3	L -1.5	U 6.5
Nov 3, 26	@ CBJ	L 2-7	L -1.5	O 6.5
Nov 2, 26	@ CHI	W 5-2	W -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 31, 26	vs CGY	W 5-2	W -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 28, 26	vs NJ	W 5-2	W -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 25, 26	@ NSH	L 2-6	L -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 23, 26	vs TB	W 6-3	W -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 20, 26	@ NJ	L 3-4	W +1.5	O 6.5

Ottawa Senators: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date	Opponent	Result	ATS	O/U
Nov 10, 26	vs WSH	L 2-3	W +1.5	U 6.5
Nov 7, 26	vs UTA	W 4-2	W +1.5	U 6.5
Nov 4, 26	@ BUF	W 2-1	W +1.5	U 6.5
Nov 1, 26	@ ANA	L 3-6	L -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 31, 26	@ SJ	W 5-1	W -1.5	U 6.5
Oct 29, 26	@ LA	L 5-6	L -1.5	O 5.5
Oct 27, 26	@ VGK	L 1-4	L +1.5	U 6.5
Oct 24, 26	vs NYR	W 7-4	W -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 22, 26	vs SJ	L 2-6	L -1.5	O 6.5
Oct 21, 26	vs FLA	W 5-1	W -1.5	O 5.5

Injury report

Colorado Avalanche

Josh Manson (D): Injured Reserve, Ankle
Zachary L’Heureux (L): Injured Reserve, Upper Body

Ottawa Senators

Nick Cousins (C): Out, Upper Body
Andre Burakovsky (L): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
Warren Foegele (L): Injured Reserve, Foegele
William Eklund (L): Injured Reserve, Eklund had surgery to repair a torn ankle tendon and will be out 10-12 weeks, Bruce Garrioch of Postmedia reports Thursday
Linus Ullmark (G): Day-To-Day, day-to-day

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

	Avalanche defense	Senators defense
Goals allowed per game	3.05 (15th of 32)	3 (13th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game	27.42 (16th of 32)	26.68 (12th of 32)
Points allowed per game	8.11 (12th of 32)	8.05 (11th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game	1.89 (13th of 32)	2.42 (23rd of 32)
Pace (possessions)	57.8 (2nd)	52.4 (26th)

Venue and weather

Canadian Tire Centre · Ottawa, ONIndoor, weather won’t matter

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Avalanche vs Senators odds by sportsbook

Book	COL spread	OTT spread	COL ML	OTT ML	Over	Under
BetRivers	-1.5 +200	+1.5 -250	-122	+102	O 6.5 -105	U 6.5 -116
Caesars	-1.5 +205	+1.5 -250	-121	+102	O 6.5 +100	U 6.5 -122
DraftKings	-1.5 +210	+1.5 -258	-120	+100	O 6.5 -102	U 6.5 -118
FanDuel	-1.5 +198	+1.5 -250	-122	+102	O 6.5 -104	U 6.5 -118
Fanatics	-1.5 +200	+1.5 -255	-120	+100	O 6.5 +100	U 6.5 -120

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 5:03 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line	Open	Now	Move
Senators spread	+1.5	+1.5	–
Total	6.5	6.5	–
Avalanche moneyline	-125	-120	-1% win chance
Senators moneyline	+105	+100	+1.2% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

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More on these teams: Colorado Avalanche stats · Ottawa Senators stats · Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Nov 10 · Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs Nov 10 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	BOS	9-2	.818	-
2	PHI	9-3	.750	0.5
3	DET	7-3	.700	1.5
4	NY	6-4	.600	2.5
5	ATL	7-5	.583	2.5
6	TOR	5-5	.500	3.5
7	MIA	5-6	.455	4
8	CLE	5-6	.455	4
9	CHA	4-7	.364	5
10	WSH	4-7	.364	5
11	ORL	3-7	.300	5.5
12	IND	3-8	.273	6
13	BKN	2-8	.200	6.5
14	CHI	1-8	.111	7
15	MIL	1-10	.091	8

#	Team	W-L	PCT	GB
1	LAL	10-2	.833	-
2	SA	9-2	.818	0.5
3	MIN	8-3	.727	1.5
4	HOU	8-3	.727	1.5
5	GS	8-3	.727	1.5
6	OKC	8-3	.727	1.5
7	MEM	7-3	.700	2
8	POR	7-3	.700	2
9	DAL	7-4	.636	2.5
10	DEN	5-4	.556	3.5
11	PHX	4-6	.400	5
12	NO	4-7	.364	5.5
13	LAC	2-8	.200	7
14	SAC	1-10	.091	8.5
15	UTAH	1-10	.091	8.5

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	BUF	7-1	.875	W4
2	DEN	7-2	.778	W5
3	JAX	6-2	.750	W2
4	PIT	6-2	.750	W4
5	KC	6-2	.750	W1
6	CIN	6-2	.750	W4
7	NE	5-4	.556	L1
8	CLE	5-4	.556	L2
9	LV	4-5	.444	L1
10	BAL	4-5	.444	L4
11	HOU	3-5	.375	W1
12	NYJ	2-7	.222	L4
13	IND	2-7	.222	L5
14	MIA	1-7	.125	L2
15	TEN	1-7	.125	L2
16	LAC	0-8	.000	L8

#	Team	W-L	PCT	STRK
1	SF	7-1	.875	W1
2	CHI	7-2	.778	W4
3	NYG	5-2-1	.688	W2
4	CAR	3-5	.375	L3
5	DET	6-2	.750	W4
6	MIN	6-2	.750	L2
7	GB	6-3	.667	W2
8	SEA	5-4	.556	W1
9	LAR	5-4	.556	W3
10	DAL	4-5	.444	W1
11	NO	3-5	.375	W1
12	TB	3-6	.333	L1
13	ATL	3-6	.333	L2
14	ARI	3-6	.333	L1
15	WSH	2-5-1	.313	L1
16	PHI	2-7	.222	L7

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	CAR	14-3-0	30	W2
2	BOS	13-4-0	27	W4
3	MTL	11-3-0	26	L1
4	NJ	13-6-0	26	L1
5	TB	11-4-0	24	L1
6	OTT	11-6-0	24	L1
7	FLA	10-7-0	22	W1
8	NYR	10-8-0	21	L1
9	WSH	10-6-0	20	W2
10	BUF	8-6-0	19	L1
11	NYI	7-6-0	18	L4
12	TOR	8-10-0	18	L4
13	DET	7-9-0	17	L4
14	PHI	5-10-0	15	W1
15	CBJ	7-9-0	14	L2
16	PIT	6-10-0	14	L1

#	Team	W-L	PTS	STRK
1	MIN	13-3-0	30	W1
2	EDM	13-3-0	29	W2
3	VGK	12-5-0	26	W3
4	COL	11-6-0	24	W2
5	NSH	9-4-0	23	W5
6	DAL	10-5-0	22	W1
7	ANA	10-7-0	21	W5
8	UTA	10-7-0	21	L2
9	SEA	9-6-0	19	L1
10	WPG	8-8-0	19	W4
11	STL	8-8-0	18	W1
12	CGY	8-9-0	17	W1
13	SJ	8-11-0	17	W1
14	LA	5-9-0	12	L2
15	CHI	4-13-0	9	L6
16	VAN	3-16-0	7	L6

#	Team	Record
1	UGA	8-1
2	UTAH	9-0
3	ND	8-1
4	UCLA	9-0
5	MIA	8-1
6	IU	8-1
7	ALA	7-2
8	TEX	7-2
9	TENN	7-2
10	TTU	8-1
11	WAKE	8-1
12	BYU	7-2
13	UK	7-2
14	HOU	7-2
15	USC	7-2
16	IOWA	7-2
17	BOIS	8-1
18	ORE	6-3
19	MISS	6-3
20	SC	6-3
21	OSU	6-3
22	ARIZ	7-2
23	UNM	8-1
24	LSU	6-3
25	SMU	7-2

Avalanche vs Senators preview

StatsBench picks

Top Avalanche vs Senators player props

Key matchups

Dylan Cozens vs Avalanche

Shane Pinto vs Avalanche

Artturi Lehkonen vs Senators

Nazem Kadri vs Senators

Martin Necas vs Senators

Drake Batherson vs Avalanche

Betting trends

Avalanche vs Senators defense vs position

Avalanche defense facing the Senators

Senators defense facing the Avalanche

Player stats and form

Colorado Avalanche

Ottawa Senators

Records

Avalanche vs Senators head-to-head

Recent form

Colorado Avalanche: last 10 (6-4, 7-3 ATS, O/U 8-2)

Ottawa Senators: last 10 (5-5, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Injury report

Matchup ranks

Venue and weather

Avalanche vs Senators odds by sportsbook

Line movement from the open

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