Capitals vs Senators Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 10, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Washington Capitals logo

Capitals9-6 · 5-10 ATS10th in the East
7:00 PM ETTue, Nov 10
Ottawa Senators logo

Senators11-7 · 8-10 ATS6th in the East

NHL · Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Canadian Tire Centre

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Washington Capitals +112 +1.5 -220 O 6.5 +123
Ottawa Senators -130 -1.5 +188 U 6.5 -123

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 8:56 PM ET.

Capitals vs Senators preview

Ottawa is the moneyline favorite at -128 and lays -1.5 on the spread, with the total at 6.5. The last meeting was March 18, 2026, a 4-1 Washington win at home. Washington is 9-6 overall and 5-10 ATS this season, including 6-4 straight up and 2-8 ATS in its last 10. Ottawa is 11-7 and 8-10 ATS, with a 5-5 straight-up and 5-5 ATS mark over its last 10. Washington allows 3.4 goals per game (22nd) while Ottawa allows 3.0 (12th), and Washington plays at a faster pace (55.5, 12th) than Ottawa (52.8, 28th). On the prop side, Ryan Leonard’s over 1.5 shots on goal at -265 has cleared in 10 of his last 10, and Drake Batherson’s over 0.5 points at -159 has cleared in 8 of 10 with the StatsBench model projecting 1.0.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Capitals vs Senators player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Ryan Leonard WSH Over 1.5 shots on goal -265 FanDuel 100% (10/10) 100% –
Drake Batherson OTT Over 0.5 points -159 BetRivers 80% (8/10) 60% 1
Tim Stützle OTT Over 0.5 points -238 BetRivers 80% (8/10) 80% 1.2
Alex Tuch WSH Over 1.5 shots on goal -280 FanDuel 80% (8/10) 80% –
Jordan Kyrou WSH Over 0.5 points -115 BetRivers 70% (7/10) 60% 0.8

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 8:56 PM ET.

The rest of the Capitals vs Senators propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Alex OvechkinOver 1.5 shots on goal7/10
Shane PintoOver 0.5 goals6/10
Thomas ChabotOver 0.5 assists6/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Drake Batherson vs Capitals

Drake BathersonF, OTT
VS
CapitalsDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Drake BathersonCapitals allow 7.3 points a game to forwards, 7th most in the league. Batherson averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest26th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.58/10avg 1.3 · 26th of 32 vs F · -159BetRivers
Assists over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · 25th of 32 vs F · +148BetRivers
Shots on goal over 1.56/10avg 2.3 · 19th of 32 vs F · -235FanDuel

Tim Stützle vs Capitals

Tim StützleF, OTT
VS
CapitalsDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Tim StützleCapitals allow 7.3 points a game to forwards, 7th most in the league. Stützle averages 1.2 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest26th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.58/10avg 1.2 · 26th of 32 vs F · -238BetRivers
Assists over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · 25th of 32 vs F · -118BetRivers
Shots on goal over 1.55/10avg 2.7 · 19th of 32 vs F · -295FanDuel

Shane Pinto vs Capitals

Shane PintoF, OTT
VS
CapitalsDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Shane PintoCapitals allow 7.3 points a game to forwards, 7th most in the league. Pinto averages 0.8 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest26th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · 26th of 32 vs F · -110BetRivers
Goals over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · 29th of 32 vs F · +255BetRivers
Shots on goal over 1.56/10avg 2.1 · 19th of 32 vs F · -260FanDuel

Ryan Leonard vs Senators

Ryan LeonardF, WSH
VS
SenatorsDefense vs forwards
Even matchupSenators allow 20.4 shots a game to forwards, 16th fewest in the league. Leonard averages 2.6 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest16th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.510/10avg 2.6 · 16th of 32 vs F · -265FanDuel
Points over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · 14th of 32 vs F · +150BetRivers
Goals over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · 20th of 32 vs F · +390FanDuel

Alex Tuch vs Senators

Alex TuchF, WSH
VS
SenatorsDefense vs forwards
Even matchupSenators allow 20.4 shots a game to forwards, 16th fewest in the league. Tuch averages 2.7 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest16th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.58/10avg 2.7 · 16th of 32 vs F · -280FanDuel
Points over 0.56/10avg 1 · 14th of 32 vs F · -106Caesars
Goals over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · 20th of 32 vs F · +215prophetexchange

Alex Ovechkin vs Senators

Alex OvechkinF, WSH
VS
SenatorsDefense vs forwards
Even matchupSenators allow 20.4 shots a game to forwards, 16th fewest in the league. Ovechkin averages 1.8 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest16th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.57/10avg 1.8 · 16th of 32 vs F · -270FanDuel
Points over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · 14th of 32 vs F · +133BetRivers
Assists over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · 14th of 32 vs F · +240BetRivers

Betting trends

  • Capitals have failed to cover in 4 straight games.
  • Capitals are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10.
  • The over is 7-3 in Capitals’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Capitals vs Senators defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Capitals defense facing the Senators

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 3.129th 4.125th 7.326th 20.719th 16.924th 4.42nd
D 0.33rd 1.715th 1.910th 7.111th 5.04th 8.925th

Softest spot: 3.1 goals a game to forwards, 4th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 4.4 blocks a game to forwards, 2nd fewest in the league.

Senators defense facing the Capitals

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.720th 3.414th 6.214th 20.416th 18.630th 6.220th
D 0.34th 1.612th 1.89th 6.87th 6.013th 8.620th

Softest spot: 18.6 hits a game to forwards, 3rd most in the league.

Toughest spot: 0.3 goals a game to defensemen, 4th fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NHL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Washington Capitals

Jordan Kyrou R0.9 PTS · 1.6 SOG · 0.3 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs FLA 16:38 0 0 1 0
11/3 vs DAL 17:03 1 2 1 0
11/1 vs MIN 14:56 0 0 0 0
10/29 @ NSH 14:31 0 1 4 1
10/28 vs PHI 15:34 2 0 3 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs OTT
PTS 0.9 (15) 0.3 (4) 0.6 (72) 0.5 (2)
0 · 1
SOG 1.6 (15) 2.0 (4) 2.4 (72) 0.5 (2)
0 · 1

Dylan Strome C0.9 PTS · 2.1 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs FLA 17:59 0 0 3 0
11/3 vs DAL 17:48 0 2 3 0
11/1 vs MIN 18:28 0 0 0 0
10/29 @ NSH 15:54 0 0 0 0
10/28 vs PHI 15:48 0 3 2 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs OTT
PTS 0.9 (15) 0.8 (4) 0.7 (80) 0.3 (3)
0 · 1 · 0
SOG 2.1 (15) 1.0 (4) 1.8 (80) 2.0 (3)
2 · 4 · 0

Pierre-Luc Dubois C0.9 PTS · 1.7 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs FLA 15:15 1 1 3 0
11/3 vs DAL 17:18 0 0 0 1
11/1 vs MIN 17:22 0 0 3 0
10/29 @ NSH 17:07 0 1 2 1
10/28 vs PHI 13:00 0 2 1 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs OTT
PTS 0.9 (10) 1.0 (3) 0.7 (29) 0.5 (2)
1 · 0
SOG 1.7 (10) 1.3 (3) 1.4 (29) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2

Ottawa Senators

Tim Stützle C1.3 PTS · 2.3 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs UTA 20:19 0 1 3 5
11/4 @ BUF 23:03 0 1 5 0
11/1 @ ANA 22:54 0 0 1 3
10/31 @ SJS 20:14 1 1 7 1
10/29 @ LAK 22:21 0 3 1 3
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs WSH
PTS 1.3 (18) 1.0 (8) 1.0 (84) 1.3 (3)
1 · 1 · 2
SOG 2.3 (18) 2.3 (8) 2.4 (84) 2.7 (3)
4 · 2 · 2

Drake Batherson R1.0 PTS · 2.2 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs UTA 16:39 0 0 1 2
11/4 @ BUF 20:13 0 0 2 2
11/1 @ ANA 16:19 0 1 1 0
10/31 @ SJS 16:11 1 0 4 1
10/29 @ LAK 18:57 1 2 3 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs WSH
PTS 1.0 (18) 1.0 (8) 0.9 (83) 1.0 (3)
0 · 0 · 3
SOG 2.2 (18) 2.1 (8) 2.1 (83) 2.3 (3)
2 · 1 · 4

Jake Sanderson D1.0 PTS · 1.6 SOG · 0.1 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs UTA 22:08 0 0 1 1
11/4 @ BUF 25:32 0 0 1 0
11/1 @ ANA 23:59 0 2 1 0
10/31 @ SJS 22:50 0 2 0 0
10/29 @ LAK 29:17 0 1 1 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs WSH
PTS 1.0 (10) 1.3 (4) 0.8 (70) 1.0 (2)
1 · 1
SOG 1.6 (10) 2.3 (4) 2.2 (70) 1.0 (2)
2 · 0

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Capitals 9-6 5-10 10-5 7-4 2-2
Senators 11-7 8-10 7-11 6-2 5-5

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Capitals vs Senators head-to-head

Capitals are 4-5, 4-1 ATS, O/U 3-2 in the last 9 meetings. Last time: Capitals won 4-1 on March 18, 2026.

Date Venue Capitals result ATS O/U
Mar 18, 26 Capitals home W 4-1 W +1.5 U 5.5
Jan 1, 26 Senators home L 3-4 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 25, 25 Capitals home L 1-7 – –
Mar 3, 25 Capitals home W 5-4 – –
Jan 30, 25 Senators home L 4-5 – –
Jan 16, 25 Senators home W 1-0 – –
Apr 7, 24 Capitals home L 2-3 W +1.5 U 6
Feb 26, 24 Capitals home W 6-3 W -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 18, 23 Senators home L 1-6 L +1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

Washington Capitals: last 10 (6-4, 2-8 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 7, 26 vs FLA W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Nov 3, 26 vs DAL L 5-6 L -1.5 O 5.5
Nov 1, 26 vs MIN L 1-5 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ NSH W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 28, 26 vs PHI W 5-2 W -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 24, 26 vs BUF W 4-3 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 vs LA L 2-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 17, 26 vs NJ W 4-2 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 14, 26 vs MTL W 5-4 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 13, 26 @ CAR L 2-4 L +1.5 U 6.5

Ottawa Senators: last 10 (5-5, 5-5 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 7, 26 vs UTA W 4-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 4, 26 @ BUF W 2-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 1, 26 @ ANA L 3-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 31, 26 @ SJ W 5-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ LA L 5-6 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 27, 26 @ VGK L 1-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 24, 26 vs NYR W 7-4 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 vs SJ L 2-6 L -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 21, 26 vs FLA W 5-1 W -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 17, 26 @ PHI L 1-3 L -1.5 U 5.5

Injury report

Washington Capitals

  • Vincent Desharnais (D): Injured Reserve, Abdomen
  • Rasmus Sandin (D): Injured Reserve, Sandin

Ottawa Senators

  • Andre Burakovsky (L): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
  • Warren Foegele (L): Injured Reserve, Foegele
  • William Eklund (L): Injured Reserve, Eklund had surgery to repair a torn ankle tendon and will be out 10-12 weeks, Bruce Garrioch of Postmedia reports Thursday

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Capitals defense Senators defense
Goals allowed per game 3.4 (22nd of 32) 3 (12th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 27.73 (17th of 32) 27.22 (16th of 32)
Points allowed per game 9.2 (22nd of 32) 8 (11th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 2.07 (17th of 32) 2.56 (24th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 55.5 (12th) 52.8 (28th)

Venue and weather

Canadian Tire Centre · Ottawa, ONIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Capitals vs Senators odds by sportsbook

Book WSH spread OTT spread WSH ML OTT ML Over Under
bet365 +1.5 -230 -1.5 +185 +112 -132 O 6.5 +123 U 6.5 -146
BetRivers +1.5 -238 -1.5 +188 +112 -132 O 6.5 +102 U 6.5 -125
Caesars +1.5 -225 -1.5 +186 +111 -130 O 6.5 -108 U 6.5 -123
DraftKings +1.5 -225 -1.5 +185 +110 -130 O 6.5 +105 U 6.5 -125
FanDuel +1.5 -220 -1.5 +176 +110 -132 O 6.5 +112 U 6.5 -138
Fanatics +1.5 -225 -1.5 +180 +110 -130 O 6.5 +105 U 6.5 -125

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 8:56 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Senators spread -1.5 -1.5 –
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Capitals moneyline +110 +110 –
Senators moneyline -130 -130 –

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Senators spread -1.5 → -1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
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More on these teams: Washington Capitals stats · Ottawa Senators stats · Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators Nov 7 · Florida Panthers vs Washington Capitals Nov 7 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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