Red Wings vs Panthers Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 12, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
Detroit Red Wings logo

Red Wings7-12 · 9-10 ATS13th in the East
7:30 PM ETThu, Nov 12
Florida Panthers logo

Panthers10-9 · 8-11 ATS7th in the East

NHL · Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · Amerant Bank Arena

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Detroit Red Wings +155 +1.5 -172 O 5.5 -132
Florida Panthers -170 -1.5 +150 U 5.5 +116

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 5:19 PM ET.

Red Wings vs Panthers preview

Thursday’s Detroit at Florida matchup has Florida as a -170 moneyline favorite and -1.5 on the spread, with the total at 5.5, unchanged from DraftKings’ opener. The last meeting on November 2, 2026 went to Detroit 5-3 on the road. Detroit is 7-12 straight up and 9-10 against the spread this season, and 4-6 straight up and 6-4 ATS over its last 10 after a 2-3 loss at St. Louis on November 10. Florida is 10-9 straight up and 8-11 ATS this season, and 5-5 straight up and 5-5 ATS over its last 10 after a 4-1 win at Columbus on November 10.

The most notable defensive split is power-play points allowed: Detroit sits at 2.74 (rank 27), while Florida is at 1.74 (rank 9). On the prop side, Lucas Raymond cleared 1.5 shots on goal in 10 of his last 10 at -285, and StatsBench projects Matthew Tkachuk at 1.2 points after he cleared 0.5 points in 8 of his last 10. Florida’s injury list includes Aleksander Barkov, Brad Marchand, Jonah Gadjovich and Sandis Vilmanis, while Detroit lists Albert Johansson, Dylan Larkin (suspension) and Simon Edvinsson.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Red Wings vs Panthers player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Lucas Raymond DET Over 1.5 shots on goal -285 Fanatics 100% (10/10) 100% –
Sam Bennett FLA Over 1.5 shots on goal -275 Fanatics 90% (9/10) 80% –
Sam Reinhart FLA Over 1.5 shots on goal -285 Fanatics 90% (9/10) 100% –
Matthew Tkachuk FLA Over 0.5 points -265 FanDuel 80% (8/10) 100% 1.2
Seth Jones FLA Over 0.5 points -108 FanDuel 70% (7/10) 60% 0.9

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 5:19 PM ET.

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Brady TkachukOver 0.5 points7/10
Alex DeBrincatOver 2.5 shots on goal7/10
Viktor ArvidssonOver 2.5 shots on goal6/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Matthew Tkachuk vs Red Wings

Matthew TkachukF, FLA
VS
Red WingsDefense vs forwards
Even matchupRed Wings allow 6.5 points a game to forwards, 16th most in the league. Tkachuk averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest17th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.58/10avg 1.3 · 17th of 32 vs F · -265FanDuel
Assists over 0.57/10avg 1.2 · 24th of 32 vs F · -128FanDuel
Shots on goal over 2.55/10avg 2.2 · 9th of 32 vs F · -114FanDuel

Sam Bennett vs Red Wings

Sam BennettF, FLA
VS
Red WingsDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Sam BennettRed Wings allow 18.5 shots a game to forwards, 9th fewest in the league. Bennett averages 2.9 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest9th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.59/10avg 2.9 · 9th of 32 vs F · -275Fanatics
Points over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · 17th of 32 vs F · -125FanDuel
Goals over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · 8th of 32 vs F · +250Fanatics

Sam Reinhart vs Red Wings

Sam ReinhartF, FLA
VS
Red WingsDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Sam ReinhartRed Wings allow 18.5 shots a game to forwards, 9th fewest in the league. Reinhart averages 3.1 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest9th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.59/10avg 3.1 · 9th of 32 vs F · -285Fanatics
Points over 0.57/10avg 1 · 17th of 32 vs F · -194FanDuel
Goals over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · 8th of 32 vs F · +155FanDuel

Lucas Raymond vs Panthers

Lucas RaymondF, DET
VS
PanthersDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Lucas RaymondPanthers allow 18.3 shots a game to forwards, 7th fewest in the league. Raymond averages 2.9 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest7th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.510/10avg 2.9 · 7th of 32 vs F · -285Fanatics
Points over 0.57/10avg 1.2 · 12th of 32 vs F · -166FanDuel
Assists over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · 11th of 32 vs F · +116FanDuel

Alex DeBrincat vs Panthers

Alex DeBrincatF, DET
VS
PanthersDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Alex DeBrincatPanthers allow 18.3 shots a game to forwards, 7th fewest in the league. DeBrincat averages 3.2 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest7th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 2.57/10avg 3.2 · 7th of 32 vs F · -240FanDuel
Points over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · 12th of 32 vs F · -148FanDuel
Assists over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · 11th of 32 vs F · +164FanDuel

Emmitt Finnie vs Panthers

Emmitt FinnieF, DET
VS
PanthersDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Emmitt FinniePanthers allow 18.3 shots a game to forwards, 7th fewest in the league. Finnie averages 1.9 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest7th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.56/10avg 1.9 · 7th of 32 vs F · -170FanDuel
Goals over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · 12th of 32 vs F · +290FanDuel

Betting trends

  • The under has hit in 4 straight Red Wings games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Red Wings vs Panthers defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Red Wings defense facing the Panthers

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.48th 4.124th 6.517th 18.59th 15.717th 5.512th
D 0.624th 1.34th 1.88th 7.315th 5.913th 8.315th

Softest spot: 4.1 assists a game to forwards, 9th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 1.3 assists a game to defensemen, 4th fewest in the league.

Panthers defense facing the Red Wings

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.512th 3.311th 5.812th 18.37th 12.61st 7.030th
D 0.413th 1.35th 1.74th 7.722nd 7.027th 8.213th

Softest spot: 7.0 blocks a game to forwards, 3rd most in the league.

Toughest spot: 12.6 hits a game to forwards, the fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NHL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Detroit Red Wings

Lucas Raymond L1.0 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.3 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/10 @ STL 19:06 0 2 2 0
11/7 @ COL 18:23 0 0 2 1
11/5 vs VGK 22:13 0 0 3 0
11/3 @ TBL 19:32 1 0 5 0
11/2 @ FLA 18:13 0 1 2 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs FLA
PTS 0.9 (19) 1.2 (9) 1.0 (80) 0.3 (4)
1 · 0 · 0 · 0
SOG 2.9 (19) 3.1 (9) 2.2 (80) 2.8 (4)
2 · 4 · 1 · 4

Alex DeBrincat R0.8 PTS · 3.5 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/10 @ STL 19:49 0 0 1 1
11/7 @ COL 15:59 0 0 2 0
11/5 vs VGK 19:43 0 0 5 1
11/3 @ TBL 22:55 0 0 4 2
11/2 @ FLA 18:39 1 0 4 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs FLA
PTS 0.8 (19) 0.6 (9) 1.0 (82) 1.2 (5)
1 · 1 · 1 · 1 · 2
SOG 3.5 (19) 3.6 (9) 3.5 (82) 2.8 (5)
4 · 1 · 3 · 3 · 3

Viktor Arvidsson L0.8 PTS · 2.9 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/10 @ STL 16:29 0 0 4 0
11/7 @ COL 16:34 0 0 3 0
11/5 vs VGK 17:25 0 0 4 0
11/3 @ TBL 20:36 0 0 1 1
11/2 @ FLA 18:11 0 1 5 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs FLA
PTS 0.8 (19) 0.7 (9) 0.8 (73) 0.5 (4)
1 · 0 · 0 · 1
SOG 2.9 (19) 3.0 (9) 2.5 (73) 2.0 (4)
5 · 1 · 1 · 1

Florida Panthers

Matthew Tkachuk L1.4 PTS · 2.2 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/10 @ CBJ 17:13 0 1 0 1
11/8 @ BOS 17:39 0 1 5 5
11/7 @ WSH 23:55 0 3 3 2
11/4 vs CHI 15:12 0 1 3 1
11/2 vs DET 20:31 0 1 1 3
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs DET
PTS 1.4 (19) 1.2 (6) 1.1 (31) 2.0 (4)
1 · 2 · 2 · 3
SOG 2.2 (19) 2.5 (6) 2.8 (31) 2.3 (4)
1 · 0 · 4 · 4

Seth Jones D1.1 PTS · 2.4 SOG · 0.2 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/10 @ CBJ 21:48 0 1 0 0
11/8 @ BOS 25:33 0 0 3 1
11/7 @ WSH 26:31 0 1 1 2
11/4 vs CHI 21:36 1 0 4 0
11/2 vs DET 27:23 0 0 0 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs DET
PTS 1.1 (19) 1.2 (6) 0.6 (52) 0.0 (2)
0 · 0
SOG 2.4 (19) 2.3 (6) 1.7 (52) 1.0 (2)
0 · 2

Brady Tkachuk L1.1 PTS · 3.6 SOG · 0.5 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/10 @ CBJ 16:51 0 0 2 3
11/8 @ BOS 13:12 0 1 8 1
11/7 @ WSH 21:29 2 0 7 3
11/4 vs CHI 16:57 0 1 3 8
11/2 vs DET 19:20 0 1 2 7
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs DET
PTS 1.1 (19) 1.2 (6) 0.9 (64) 1.2 (5)
1 · 2 · 1 · 1 · 1
SOG 3.6 (19) 4.2 (6) 3.6 (64) 2.2 (5)
2 · 1 · 3 · 3 · 2

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Red Wings 7-12 9-10 9-10 4-6 3-6
Panthers 10-9 8-11 9-10 4-2 6-7

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Red Wings vs Panthers head-to-head

Red Wings are 4-6, 3-3 ATS, O/U 3-3 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Red Wings won 5-3 on November 2, 2026.

Date Venue Red Wings result ATS O/U
Nov 2, 26 Panthers home W 5-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Apr 15, 26 Panthers home L 1-8 L -1.5 O 6.5
Mar 10, 26 Panthers home L 3-4 W +1.5 O 5.5
Mar 6, 26 Red Wings home L 1-3 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 15, 25 Red Wings home W 4-1 – –
Apr 10, 25 Panthers home L 1-4 – –
Apr 6, 25 Red Wings home W 2-1 – –
Jan 16, 25 Panthers home W 5-2 – –
Mar 30, 24 Panthers home L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5
Mar 2, 24 Red Wings home L 0-4 L -1.5 U 5.5

Recent form

Detroit Red Wings: last 10 (4-6, 6-4 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 10, 26 @ STL L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5
Nov 7, 26 @ COL L 0-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 5, 26 vs VGK L 1-2 W +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 3, 26 @ TB L 2-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 2, 26 @ FLA W 5-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 31, 26 vs STL L 4-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 29, 26 vs CHI W 4-1 W -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 26, 26 @ EDM W 4-3 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ CGY L 1-4 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 22, 26 @ VAN W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5

Florida Panthers: last 10 (5-5, 5-5 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 10, 26 @ CBJ W 4-1 W -1.5 U 5.5
Nov 8, 26 @ BOS L 1-4 L +1.5 U 5.5
Nov 7, 26 @ WSH L 3-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Nov 4, 26 vs CHI W 5-3 W -1.5 O 5.5
Nov 2, 26 vs DET L 3-5 L -1.5 O 5.5
Oct 30, 26 vs WPG W 5-2 W -1.5 O 6.5
Oct 27, 26 @ WPG W 5-1 W -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 25, 26 @ CHI W 3-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 22, 26 @ PIT L 0-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 21, 26 @ OTT L 1-5 L +1.5 O 5.5

Injury report

Detroit Red Wings

  • Albert Johansson (D): Injured Reserve, Johansson
  • Dylan Larkin (C): Injured Reserve, Suspension
  • Simon Edvinsson (D): Injured Reserve, Edvinsson

Florida Panthers

  • Jonah Gadjovich (L): Injured Reserve, Gadjovich
  • Brad Marchand (L): Injured Reserve, Head coach Paul Maurice said Friday that Marchand
  • Sandis Vilmanis (L): Out, Vilmanis
  • Aleksander Barkov (C): Injured Reserve, Head coach Paul Maurice said Friday that Barkov

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Red Wings defense Panthers defense
Goals allowed per game 3 (12th of 32) 2.95 (11th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 25.79 (7th of 32) 26 (9th of 32)
Points allowed per game 8.37 (16th of 32) 7.58 (8th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 2.74 (27th of 32) 1.74 (9th of 32)
Pace (possessions) 54.7 (19th) 55.4 (13th)

Venue and weather

Amerant Bank Arena · Sunrise, FLIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Red Wings vs Panthers odds by sportsbook

Book DET spread FLA spread DET ML FLA ML Over Under
bet365 +1.5 -172 -1.5 +146 +148 -176 O 5.5 -136 U 5.5 +116
BetRivers +1.5 -172 -1.5 +140 +155 -182 O 5.5 -139 U 5.5 +112
Caesars +1.5 -179 -1.5 +149 +149 -176 O 6 -108 U 6 -114
DraftKings +1.5 -180 -1.5 +150 +142 -170 O 5.5 -135 U 5.5 +114
FanDuel +1.5 -184 -1.5 +146 +146 -178 O 5.5 -132 U 5.5 +108
Fanatics +1.5 -185 -1.5 +150 +145 -175 O 5.5 -135 U 5.5 +110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 5:19 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Panthers spread -1.5 -1.5 –
Total 5.5 5.5 –
Red Wings moneyline +142 +142 –
Panthers moneyline -170 -170 –

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

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More on these teams: Detroit Red Wings stats · Florida Panthers stats · Detroit Red Wings vs St. Louis Blues Nov 10 · Florida Panthers vs Columbus Blue Jackets Nov 10 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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