| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| -588 |
|
| Draw | +727 |
| +1700 |
Total goals 3.5: over +130
, under -160 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 10:40 AM ET.
Arsenal vs Hull City preview
Arsenal host Hull City on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET in the Premier League. Arsenal are -588 on the three-way moneyline, the draw is +726, Hull City are +1700, and the total is 3.5.
Arsenal sit first with 24 points from nine matches, scoring 14 and conceding five, with a 4-0-0 home record and league form of WWWWL. Hull are 11th with 11 points, scoring 11 and conceding 10, with a 1-1-2 away record and form of DDLDL. Arsenal list Bukayo Saka out and Ezri Konsa day-to-day; Hull list Darko Gyabi, Eliot Matazo, Matt Targett, Charlie Hughes and Ilyas Ansah out.
The useful angles are Arsenal’s defensive rate of 0.56 conceded per match and 67% clean sheets against Hull’s 56% both-teams-to-score rate, plus M. Belloumi over 1.5 shots at -110, which has cleared in seven of his last nine.
Arsenal vs Hull City prediction
The books imply 83% / 12% / 5%
The model leans Arsenal but is far less bullish than the books, putting Arsenal at 54% versus 83% implied, draw at 26% versus 12% and Hull at 20% versus 5%. Arsenal’s 8-0-1 record and Hull’s DDLDL form support the lean, though the gap between model and books is substantial.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (9 and 9 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top Arsenal vs Hull City player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Crooks Hull City | Over 0.5 yellow card | +160 |
83.3% (5/6) | 80% |
| Christos Tzolis Arsenal | Over 0.5 tackles | -162 |
83.3% (5/6) | 80% |
| Cristhian Mosquera Arsenal | Over 0.5 fouls | -188 |
80% (8/10) | 80% |
| M. Belloumi Hull City | Over 1.5 shots | -110 |
77.8% (7/9) | 80% |
| Ezri Konsa Arsenal | Over 1.5 fouls won | +140 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:40 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Madueke vs Giles
Madueke
GilesTzolis vs Coyle
Tzolis
CoyleHavertz vs Ajayi and Egan and Mendy
Havertz
Ajayi
Egan
MendyBelloumi vs Calafiori
Belloumi
CalafioriStroud vs Timber
Stroud
TimberMcBurnie vs Mosquera and Gabriel
McBurnie
Mosquera
GabrielAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Hull City 5-4-1
6/101 RayaSaves 1.5+
12 Timber
8/103 MosqueraFouls 0.5+
7/106 GabrielFouls 0.5+
6/1033 CalafioriFouls 0.5+
6/1041 RiceTackles 1.5+
6/1039 Bruno GuimaraesFouls won 1.5+
5/1020 MaduekeFouls 0.5+
8 Odegaard
5/617 TzolisTackles 0.5+
29 Havertz
5/919 TzolakisFouls won 0.5+
2 Coyle
5/96 AjayiTackles 1.5+
5/915 EganShots 0.5+
4/632 MendyShots 0.5+
3 Giles
7/910 BelloumiShots 1.5+
5/1042 IroegbunamTackles 2.5+
5/927 SlaterShots 0.5+
4/721 StroudFouls 0.5+
9 McBurnieArsenal missing: M. Dowman (red card)
Hull City missing: M. Crooks (yellow cards), C. Hughes (groin), E. Matazo (knee), H. Morita (muscle), M. Targett (ankle)
Form and head to head
Arsenal1st in the tableWWWWL8W 0D 1L · 2.67 points a match
Hull City11th in the tableDDLDL2W 5D 2L · 1.22 points a matchClean sheets and goal trends
Arsenal
Clean sheet6/9
Failed to score1/9
Both scored2/9
Over 2.54/9
Hull City
Clean sheet3/9
Failed to score2/9
Both scored5/9
Over 2.54/9
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 1.6Scored per match1.2
- 10.6Shots per match8.9
- 4.2Shots on target per match3.2
- 1.6Big chances per match1.2
Defensive
- 0.6Conceded per match1.1
- 10.1Shots against per match12.2
- 13.0Tackles per match18.4
- 10.2Fouls per match11.0
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| Arsenal | WWWWL | W 1-0 at LIV · W 2-0 vs EVE · W 1-0 at NFO · W 2-1 vs LEE · L 0-3 at BHA |
|---|---|---|
| Hull City | DDLDL | D 2-2 vs IPS · D 1-1 vs BRE · L 0-1 at FUL · D 2-2 vs EVE · L 1-2 at NEW |
Last five Premier League results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| Arsenal | Hull City | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 1 (24 pts) | 11 (11 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-1 | 2-5-2 |
| Home / away record | 4-0-0 (9-2) home | 1-1-2 (4-5) away |
| Goals scored per match | 1.56 | 1.22 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.56 | 1.11 |
| Shots / on target per match | 10.56 / 4.22 | 8.89 / 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | 22% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 67% / 44% / 0% | 67% / 44% / 33% |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 11% | 22% |
| Yellow cards per match | 1.56 | 2.67 |
| Corners per match | 5.57 | 4.11 |
This season, 9 and 9 matches.
Referee
Farai Hallam averages 3.1 yellow cards and 21.4 fouls per match over 8 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 23.3), lighter with cards than most.
Injury report
Arsenal
- Bukayo Saka (F): Out, Muscle Injury
- Louie Copley (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Ezri Konsa (D): Day-To-Day, Knee Injury
Hull City
- Darko Gyabi (M): Out, Groin Injury
- Eliot Matazo (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Matt Targett (D): Out, Ankle Injury
- Charlie Hughes (D): Out, Groin Injury
- Ilyas Ansah (F): Out, Back Injury
Arsenal vs Hull City odds by sportsbook
| Book | ARS ML | HUL ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -600 | +1400 | O 3.5 +130 | U 3.5 -162 | |
| -588 | +1700 | O 3 -120 | U 3 -108 | |
| -600 | +1600 | O 3.5 +130 | U 3.5 -160 | |
| -700 | +1600 | O 3.5 +130 | U 3.5 -160 | |
| -630 | +1500 | O 3.5 +130 | U 3.5 -170 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:40 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 4:18 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes +140, no -175
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -750 | +490 |
| 2.5 | -205 | +164 |
| 3.5 | +130 | -160 |
| 4.5 | +300 | -400 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: Liverpool vs Arsenal Nov 1 · Hull City vs Ipswich Town Oct 31 · All Premier League prop picks · All Premier League predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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