Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

Arsenal logo

Arsenal1st in the Premier League
10:00 AM ETSat, Nov 7
Hull City logo

Hull City11th in the Premier League

Premier League · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 10:00 AM ET

Result Moneyline
Arsenal -588
Draw +727
Hull City +1700

Total goals 3.5: over +130 , under -160

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 10:40 AM ET.

Arsenal vs Hull City preview

Arsenal host Hull City on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET in the Premier League. Arsenal are -588 on the three-way moneyline, the draw is +726, Hull City are +1700, and the total is 3.5.

Arsenal sit first with 24 points from nine matches, scoring 14 and conceding five, with a 4-0-0 home record and league form of WWWWL. Hull are 11th with 11 points, scoring 11 and conceding 10, with a 1-1-2 away record and form of DDLDL. Arsenal list Bukayo Saka out and Ezri Konsa day-to-day; Hull list Darko Gyabi, Eliot Matazo, Matt Targett, Charlie Hughes and Ilyas Ansah out.

The useful angles are Arsenal’s defensive rate of 0.56 conceded per match and 67% clean sheets against Hull’s 56% both-teams-to-score rate, plus M. Belloumi over 1.5 shots at -110, which has cleared in seven of his last nine.

Arsenal vs Hull City prediction

54%Arsenal
26%Draw
20%Hull City

The books imply 83% / 12% / 5%

1-0Most likely score15% chance
1.5 – 0.8Expected goals
42%Over 2.5 goals
44%Both teams to score

The model leans Arsenal but is far less bullish than the books, putting Arsenal at 54% versus 83% implied, draw at 26% versus 12% and Hull at 20% versus 5%. Arsenal’s 8-0-1 record and Hull’s DDLDL form support the lean, though the gap between model and books is substantial.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (9 and 9 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Arsenal vs Hull City player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
M. Crooks Hull City Over 0.5 yellow card +160 Fanatics 83.3% (5/6) 80%
Christos Tzolis Arsenal Over 0.5 tackles -162 bet365 83.3% (5/6) 80%
Cristhian Mosquera Arsenal Over 0.5 fouls -188 bet365 80% (8/10) 80%
M. Belloumi Hull City Over 1.5 shots -110 DraftKings 77.8% (7/9) 80%
Ezri Konsa Arsenal Over 1.5 fouls won +140 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:40 AM ET.

The rest of the Arsenal vs Hull City propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
William SalibaOver 0.5 fouls7/10
GabrielOver 0.5 fouls7/10
Mohamed-Ali ChoOver 0.5 shots on target4/6

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Madueke vs Giles

MaduekeWinger, Arsenal
VS
GilesFull-back, Hull City
Tough matchup for MaduekeGiles gives away 0.2 fouls a match, 74% less than the average defender (0.8). Madueke only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.1 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.4Fouls drawn vs given0.2
1.5Shots vs tackles1.1
Fouls won over 1.51/10avg 0.4 · -115DraftKings
Shots over 2.53/10avg 1.5 · -120bet365
Shots on target over 1.51/10avg 0.4 · +310BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.52/9avg 0.2 · -240DraftKings
Tackles over 1.51/9avg 1.1 · -120bet365
Yellow card over 0.51/9avg 0.1 · +700DraftKings

Tzolis vs Coyle

TzolisWinger, Arsenal
VS
CoyleFull-back, Hull City
Tough matchup for TzolisCoyle gives away 0.3 fouls a match, 62% less than the average defender (0.8). Tzolis draws plenty himself, at 1.7, which points to about 0.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.7Fouls drawn vs given0.3
0.7Shots vs tackles1.0
Fouls won over 1.54/6avg 1.7 · -110DraftKings
Shots over 2.51/6avg 0.7 · -175FanDuel
Shots on target over 1.51/6avg 0.5 · +250BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.53/9avg 0.3 · -275bet365
Tackles over 1.52/9avg 1 · -185DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/9avg 0.1 · +370DraftKings

Havertz vs Ajayi and Egan and Mendy

HavertzStriker, Arsenal
VS
AjayiCentre-back, Hull City
EganCentre-back, Hull City
MendyCentre-back, Hull City
Even matchupAjayi and Egan and Mendy give away 0.6 fouls a match, 19% less than the average defender (0.8). Havertz draws plenty himself, at 1.1, which points to about 0.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.1Fouls drawn vs given0.6
1.7Shots vs tackles1.5
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · +150DraftKings
Shots over 3.50/10avg 1.7 · +110Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.51/10avg 0.8 · +175bet365
Fouls committed over 0.53/9avg 0.3 · -162bet365
Tackles over 1.55/9avg 1.9 · -162bet365
Yellow card over 0.52/9avg 0.2 · +550DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.52/9avg 0.3 · -162bet365
Tackles over 1.54/9avg 1.4 · -115DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/9avg 0.1 · +400DraftKings
Fouls committed over 1.53/6avg 1.3 · +120DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/6avg 1.3 · -175bet365
Yellow card over 0.50/6avg 0 · +240Fanatics

Belloumi vs Calafiori

BelloumiWinger, Hull City
VS
CalafioriFull-back, Arsenal
Tough matchup for BelloumiCalafiori gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 23% less than the average defender (0.8). Belloumi draws 0.9, which points to about 0.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.9Fouls drawn vs given0.6
2.3Shots vs tackles1.3
Fouls won over 0.54/9avg 0.9 · -210DraftKings
Shots over 1.57/9avg 2.3 · -110DraftKings
Shots on target over 0.54/9avg 0.7 · +150bet365
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · -188bet365
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.3 · -190DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +550Fanatics

Stroud vs Timber

StroudWinger, Hull City
VS
TimberFull-back, Arsenal
Even matchupTimber gives away 0.7 fouls a match, 10% less than the average defender (0.8). Stroud only draws 0.3, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.3Fouls drawn vs given0.7
0.4Shots vs tackles1.4
Fouls won over 0.52/7avg 0.3 · -175bet365
Shots over 0.53/7avg 0.4 · -140Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.50/7avg 0 · +300bet365
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -275bet365
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.4 · -162bet365
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +650DraftKings

McBurnie vs Mosquera and Gabriel

McBurnieStriker, Hull City
VS
MosqueraCentre-back, Arsenal
GabrielCentre-back, Arsenal
Good matchup for McBurnieMosquera and Gabriel give away 1.1 fouls a match, 47% more than the average defender (0.8). McBurnie draws plenty himself, at 1.8, which points to about 2.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.8Fouls drawn vs given1.1
1.1Shots vs tackles1.4
Fouls won over 0.59/9avg 1.8 · -340DraftKings
Shots over 1.53/9avg 1.1 · +140Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.54/9avg 0.6 · +130Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.58/10avg 1.5 · -188bet365
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.4 · +163bet365
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +950DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · -150bet365
Tackles over 0.56/10avg 1.3 · -320DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +800DraftKings
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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Arsenal 4-2-3-1Hull City 5-4-1

6/101 RayaSaves 1.5+
12 Timber
8/103 MosqueraFouls 0.5+
7/106 GabrielFouls 0.5+
6/1033 CalafioriFouls 0.5+
6/1041 RiceTackles 1.5+
6/1039 Bruno GuimaraesFouls won 1.5+
5/1020 MaduekeFouls 0.5+
8 Odegaard
5/617 TzolisTackles 0.5+
29 Havertz
5/919 TzolakisFouls won 0.5+
2 Coyle
5/96 AjayiTackles 1.5+
5/915 EganShots 0.5+
4/632 MendyShots 0.5+
3 Giles
7/910 BelloumiShots 1.5+
5/1042 IroegbunamTackles 2.5+
5/927 SlaterShots 0.5+
4/721 StroudFouls 0.5+
9 McBurnie

Arsenal missing: M. Dowman (red card)

Hull City missing: M. Crooks (yellow cards), C. Hughes (groin), E. Matazo (knee), H. Morita (muscle), M. Targett (ankle)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Premier League players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Form and head to head

Arsenal1st in the tableWWWWL8W 0D 1L · 2.67 points a match
No recent meetings
Hull City11th in the tableDDLDL2W 5D 2L · 1.22 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Arsenal

67%

Clean sheet6/9

11%

Failed to score1/9

22%

Both scored2/9

44%

Over 2.54/9

Hull City

33%

Clean sheet3/9

22%

Failed to score2/9

56%

Both scored5/9

44%

Over 2.54/9

Attack and defense

Attacking

ArsenalHull City
89%Win %22%
59%Possession %34%
22%Both teams scored %56%
67%Scored first %44%
  • 1.6Scored per match1.2
  • 10.6Shots per match8.9
  • 4.2Shots on target per match3.2
  • 1.6Big chances per match1.2

Defensive

ArsenalHull City
11%Loss %22%
11%Failed to score %22%
67%Clean sheet %33%
33%Conceded first %44%
  • 0.6Conceded per match1.1
  • 10.1Shots against per match12.2
  • 13.0Tackles per match18.4
  • 10.2Fouls per match11.0

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Arsenal WWWWL W 1-0 at LIV · W 2-0 vs EVE · W 1-0 at NFO · W 2-1 vs LEE · L 0-3 at BHA
Hull City DDLDL D 2-2 vs IPS · D 1-1 vs BRE · L 0-1 at FUL · D 2-2 vs EVE · L 1-2 at NEW

Last five Premier League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Arsenal Hull City
Table 1 (24 pts) 11 (11 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 8-0-1 2-5-2
Home / away record 4-0-0 (9-2) home 1-1-2 (4-5) away
Goals scored per match 1.56 1.22
Goals conceded per match 0.56 1.11
Shots / on target per match 10.56 / 4.22 8.89 / 3.22
Both teams scored 22% 56%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 67% / 44% / 0% 67% / 44% / 33%
Clean sheets 67% 33%
Failed to score 11% 22%
Yellow cards per match 1.56 2.67
Corners per match 5.57 4.11

This season, 9 and 9 matches.

Referee

Farai Hallam averages 3.1 yellow cards and 21.4 fouls per match over 8 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 23.3), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

Arsenal

  • Bukayo Saka (F): Out, Muscle Injury
  • Louie Copley (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Ezri Konsa (D): Day-To-Day, Knee Injury

Hull City

  • Darko Gyabi (M): Out, Groin Injury
  • Eliot Matazo (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Matt Targett (D): Out, Ankle Injury
  • Charlie Hughes (D): Out, Groin Injury
  • Ilyas Ansah (F): Out, Back Injury
Compare Premier League playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Arsenal vs Hull City odds by sportsbook

Book ARS ML HUL ML Over Under
bet365 -600 +1400 O 3.5 +130 U 3.5 -162
BetRivers -588 +1700 O 3 -120 U 3 -108
DraftKings -600 +1600 O 3.5 +130 U 3.5 -160
FanDuel -700 +1600 O 3.5 +130 U 3.5 -160
Fanatics -630 +1500 O 3.5 +130 U 3.5 -170

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:40 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 4:18 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes +140, no -175

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -750 +490
2.5 -205 +164
3.5 +130 -160
4.5 +300 -400

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5
Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

More on these teams: Liverpool vs Arsenal Nov 1 · Hull City vs Ipswich Town Oct 31 · All Premier League prop picks · All Premier League predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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