Fulham vs Newcastle United Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

Fulham logo

Fulham15th in the Premier League
10:00 AM ETSat, Nov 7
Newcastle United logo

Newcastle United13th in the Premier League

Premier League · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 10:00 AM ET

Result Moneyline
Fulham +110
Draw +275
Newcastle United +270

Total goals 2.5: over -150 , under +128

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 10:25 AM ET.

Fulham vs Newcastle United preview

Fulham hosts Newcastle United in Premier League play Saturday at 10:00 AM ET. The moneyline lists Fulham as the favorite at +110, with Newcastle +245 and the draw +275, while the total is 2.5. Fulham enters 15th in the league with 9 points from 9 matches (W2 D3 L4), scoring 9 and conceding 11. Newcastle is 13th with 11 points from 9 matches (W3 D2 L4), scoring 12 and conceding 15.

Newcastle’s availability is one angle to track: Ewen Jaouen is out with a hamstring injury, Tino Livramento is out with a knock, and Matias Fernandez-Pardo and Lewis Miley are day-to-day. Fernandez-Pardo’s over 0.5 fouls at -200 has cleared in 4 of his last 5, which is relevant to the day-to-day status. These are research notes only, not predictions.

Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction

40%Fulham
24%Draw
36%Newcastle United

The books imply 47% / 26% / 27%

1-1Most likely score11% chance
1.5 – 1.5Expected goals
58%Over 2.5 goals
60%Both teams to score

The model leans narrowly to Fulham (40% win, 24% draw, 36% Newcastle United), while the books make Fulham a clearer favorite (46%, 27%, 27%). Fulham’s DWWLD form and Newcastle’s LWLLW run plus 1.67 goals conceded per match support the model’s tighter read, and Newcastle are missing Ramsey (red card), Livramento (knee), and Jaouen (muscle).

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (9 and 9 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Fulham vs Newcastle United player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Matias Fernandez-Pardo Newcastle United Over 0.5 fouls -200 DraftKings 80% (4/5) 80%
Gonzalo García Fulham Over 0.5 fouls -200 bet365 77.8% (7/9) 60%
Fabian Schär Newcastle United Over 0.5 shots -155 Fanatics 70% (7/10) 40%
Josh King Fulham Over 0.5 shots on target -172 BetRivers 70% (7/10) 60%
David Affengruber Fulham Over 1.5 tackles -135 DraftKings 66.7% (4/6) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:25 AM ET.

The rest of the Fulham vs Newcastle United propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Antonee RobinsonOver 0.5 shots6/10
Lewis HallOver 0.5 shots6/10
Harvey BarnesOver 0.5 fouls6/10

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Bobb vs Hall

BobbWinger, Fulham
VS
HallFull-back, Newcastle United
Even matchupHall gives away 0.7 fouls a match, 10% less than the average defender (0.8). Bobb draws plenty himself, at 1.0, which points to about 0.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.0Fouls drawn vs given0.7
1.2Shots vs tackles1.9
Fouls won over 1.53/10avg 1 · +138bet365
Shots over 2.51/10avg 1.2 · +225Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · +118BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -120bet365
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.9 · -200DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +400Fanatics

Iwobi vs Dedic

IwobiWinger, Fulham
VS
DedicFull-back, Newcastle United
Good matchup for IwobiDedic gives away 1.0 fouls a match, 28% more than the average defender (0.8). Iwobi only draws 0.3, which points to about 0.4 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.3Fouls drawn vs given1.0
1.6Shots vs tackles1.4
Fouls won over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · -137bet365
Shots over 2.53/10avg 1.6 · +175BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · +115BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.53/7avg 1 · -200bet365
Tackles over 1.54/7avg 1.4 · -150bet365
Yellow card over 0.50/7avg 0 · +340Fanatics

Garcia vs Schar and Burn

GarciaStriker, Fulham
VS
ScharCentre-back, Newcastle United
BurnCentre-back, Newcastle United
Even matchupSchar and Burn give away 0.8 fouls a match, about the same as the average defender (0.8). Garcia only draws 0.3, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
0.3Fouls drawn vs given0.8
1.7Shots vs tackles0.8
Fouls won over 1.51/9avg 0.3 · +100DraftKings
Shots over 4.50/9avg 1.7 · +300Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.53/9avg 0.4 · -233BetMGM
Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 1 · -225bet365
Tackles over 1.50/10avg 0.5 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +275bet365
Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 0.5 · +125DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1 · -130DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +265DraftKings

Elanga vs Robinson

ElangaWinger, Newcastle United
VS
RobinsonFull-back, Fulham
Good matchup for ElangaRobinson gives away 1.1 fouls a match, 41% more than the average defender (0.8). Elanga draws 0.8, which points to about 1.1 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.8Fouls drawn vs given1.1
0.7Shots vs tackles2.3
Fouls won over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -340DraftKings
Shots over 1.53/10avg 0.7 · -105BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · +110DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 1.1 · -250bet365
Tackles over 2.54/10avg 2.3 · +100bet365
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +340Fanatics

Barnes vs Castagne

BarnesWinger, Newcastle United
VS
CastagneFull-back, Fulham
Good matchup for BarnesCastagne gives away 1.2 fouls a match, 54% more than the average defender (0.8). Barnes draws plenty himself, at 1.5, which points to about 2.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.5Fouls drawn vs given1.2
1.8Shots vs tackles1.9
Fouls won over 1.53/10avg 1.5 · +115DraftKings
Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.8 · +130BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -118BetRivers
Fouls committed over 0.57/10avg 1.2 · -280DraftKings
Tackles over 1.56/10avg 1.9 · -190DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +500DraftKings

Osula vs Affengruber and Bassey

OsulaStriker, Newcastle United
VS
AffengruberCentre-back, Fulham
BasseyCentre-back, Fulham
Good matchup for OsulaAffengruber and Bassey give away 1.3 fouls a match, 60% more than the average defender (0.8). Osula draws plenty himself, at 1.0, which points to about 1.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.0Fouls drawn vs given1.3
1.5Shots vs tackles1.8
Fouls won over 0.56/10avg 1 · -188bet365
Shots over 2.53/10avg 1.5 · +140Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -150bet365
Fouls committed over 0.55/6avg 1.3 · -270DraftKings
Tackles over 1.54/6avg 1.7 · -135DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/6avg 0.2 · +340DraftKings
Fouls committed over 1.53/10avg 1.2 · -115DraftKings
Tackles over 1.56/10avg 1.9 · -162bet365
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +370DraftKings
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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Fulham 4-2-3-1Newcastle United 4-2-3-1

5/101 LenoSaves 2.5+
6/1021 CastagneTackles 1.5+
4/622 AffengruberTackles 1.5+
6/103 BasseyTackles 1.5+
6/1033 RobinsonShots 0.5+
16 Berge
19 Charles
14 Bobb
7/1024 KingSOT 0.5+
17 Iwobi
7/97 GarciaFouls 0.5+
5/921 HornicekSaves 3.5+
4/737 DedicTackles 1.5+
7/105 ScharShots 0.5+
5/1033 BurnShots 0.5+
6/103 HallShots 0.5+
14 Steur
6 Nico
19 Elanga
5/109 WissaSOT 0.5+
6/1011 BarnesTackles 0.5+
6/1010 OsulaFouls won 0.5+

Fulham missing: T. Cairney (knee)

Newcastle United missing: E. Jaouen (muscle), Joelinton (muscle), V. Livramento (knee), J. Ramsey (red card)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Premier League players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Form and head to head

Fulham15th in the tableDWWLD2W 3D 4L · 1.00 points a match
6meetings

3 wins0 draws3 wins
Newcastle United13th in the tableLWLLW3W 2D 4L · 1.22 points a match
83%Over 1.55/6
67%Over 2.54/6
17%Over 3.51/6
50%Both scored3/6
  • May 2026FUL 2-0 NEW
  • Oct 2025NEW 2-1 FUL
  • Feb 2025NEW 1-2 FUL
  • Sep 2024FUL 3-1 NEW
  • Apr 2024FUL 0-1 NEW
  • Dec 2023NEW 3-0 FUL

Clean sheets and goal trends

Fulham

33%

Clean sheet3/9

22%

Failed to score2/9

56%

Both scored5/9

33%

Over 2.53/9

Newcastle United

22%

Clean sheet2/9

22%

Failed to score2/9

56%

Both scored5/9

56%

Over 2.55/9

Attack and defense

Attacking

FulhamNewcastle United
22%Win %33%
58%Possession %51%
56%Both teams scored %56%
56%Scored first %44%
  • 1.0Scored per match1.3
  • 11.4Shots per match11.0
  • 4.6Shots on target per match3.2
  • 1.9Big chances per match1.3

Defensive

FulhamNewcastle United
44%Loss %44%
22%Failed to score %22%
33%Clean sheet %22%
33%Conceded first %56%
  • 1.2Conceded per match1.7
  • 11.0Shots against per match12.0
  • 15.0Tackles per match12.7
  • 10.7Fouls per match12.0

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Fulham DWWLD D 1-1 at AVL · W 1-0 at Coventry · W 1-0 vs Hull City · L 1-2 at IPS · D 1-1 vs MUN
Newcastle United LWLLW L 0-1 vs EVE · W 2-0 at CRY · L 0-1 vs AVL · L 1-4 at Coventry · W 2-1 vs Hull City

Last five Premier League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Fulham Newcastle United
Table 15 (9 pts) 13 (11 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 2-3-4 3-2-4
Home / away record 1-1-2 (6-7) home 2-0-2 (6-8) away
Goals scored per match 1.00 1.33
Goals conceded per match 1.22 1.67
Shots / on target per match 11.44 / 4.56 11.00 / 3.22
Both teams scored 56% 56%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 56% / 33% / 22% 78% / 56% / 44%
Clean sheets 33% 22%
Failed to score 22% 22%
Yellow cards per match 2.11 2.67
Corners per match 6.19 4.60

This season, 9 and 9 matches.

Referee

Robert Jones averages 3.3 yellow cards and 25.4 fouls per match over 7 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 23.3), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

Fulham: none listed.

Newcastle United

  • Ewen Jaouen (G): Out, Hamstring Injury
  • Tino Livramento (D): Out, Knock Injury
  • Matias Fernandez-Pardo (F): Day-To-Day, Illness
  • Lewis Miley (M): Day-To-Day, Knock Injury
Compare Premier League playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Fulham vs Newcastle United odds by sportsbook

Book FUL ML NEW ML Over Under
bet365 +100 +250 O 2.5 -150 U 2.5 +120
BetRivers +102 +255 O 2.75 -120 U 2.75 -110
DraftKings +110 +240 O 2.5 -155 U 2.5 +125
FanDuel -105 +270 O 2.5 -158 U 2.5 +128
Fanatics +100 +250 O 2.5 -160 U 2.5 +120

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:25 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 4:17 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -185, no +145

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -520 +370
2.5 -158 +128
3.5 +164 -205
4.5 +390 -550

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

More on these teams: Newcastle United vs Everton Nov 2 · Aston Villa vs Fulham Oct 31 · All Premier League prop picks · All Premier League predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

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