Birmingham City vs Swansea City Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

How the bets settled

Match report

Birmingham City beat Swansea City 2-1. J. Stansfield scored in the 29th and 87th minutes, M. Bird assisted the opener, C. Klarer was credited with a 65th-minute own goal, and M. Stamenic was sent off for Swansea in the 26th.

The stats pointed to Birmingham’s control: expected goals were 3.04 to 1.04, shots 21 to 8, shots on target 8 to 3, possession 59% to 41%, big chances 5 to 1 and corners 8 to 5. Stansfield’s double and Bird’s assist were the standout attacking contributions, while Stamenic’s red card left Swansea a player down.

Birmingham arrived on WWLWW and Swansea on LWLLW. The three goals meant both teams scored and over 2.5 landed; pre-match, Birmingham’s both-teams-to-score rate was 57% and over 2.5 rate 71%, while Swansea’s were 43% and 64%. The pre-match both-teams-to-score market had yes at -145.

How the props finished

2 of 8 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Jay Stansfield	Over 0.5 shots on target	-182 BetRivers	3 Cleared
Phil Yannik Neumann	Over 1.5 tackles	+110 DraftKings	2 Cleared
Joshua Lewis Tymon	Over 1.5 tackles	-135 DraftKings	1 Missed
Ross Stewart	Over 0.5 tackles	-170 DraftKings	0 Missed
L. Millar	Over 0.5 score or assist	+145 DraftKings	0 Missed
Jay Fulton	Over 1.5 tackles	-145 DraftKings	0 Missed
Demarai Ramelle Gray	Over 0.5 shots on target	-150 bet365	0 Missed
Žan Vipotnik	Over 0.5 shots on target	-150 bet365	0 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Goals

• 29′ J. Stansfield, assist M. Bird Birmingham City
• 65′ C. Klarer (own goal) Swansea City
• 87′ J. Stansfield Birmingham City

Sent off: M. Stamenic (Swansea City, 26′)

How the key matchups went

• Roberts: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Tymon: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
• Millar: 4 shots, 2 shots on target, 1 foul won. Lissah: 3 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Stansfield: 7 shots, 3 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Cabango: 1 foul committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Seelt: 0 fouls committed, 4 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Yeo: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Cochrane: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Eom Ji-Sung: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Laird: 2 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 1 yellow card.
• Stewart: 1 shot, 1 shot on target, 1 foul won. Neumann: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Klarer: 1 foul committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.

Box score

Birmingham

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Neumann P.	90	0	0	2	0	0.74	0	50/59	2	1	1	0	0	7.1
Millar L.	58	0	0	4	2	0.61	1	22/25	3	0	1	0	0	7.4
Roberts P.	58	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	18/23	2	0	0	0	0	6.5
Iwata T.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	47/55	1	0	0	0	0	7.2
Bird M.	70	0	1	2	2	0.46	1	18/23	0	0	1	0	0	7.6
Solis Romero J. E.	70	0	0	1	1	0.42	0	41/45	1	0	2	0	0	7.2
Laird E.	80	0	0	2	0	0.09	1	25/32	0	2	1	1	0	7.2
Cochrane A.	90	0	0	1	0	0.06	3	44/55	2	1	1	0	0	6.8
Stansfield J.	90	2	0	7	3	0.71	2	11/18	0	2	0	1	0	9.0
Klarer C.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	66/80	0	1	0	0	0	7.3
Allsop R.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	10/22	0	0	0	0	3	7.6
Gray D.	32	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	8/10	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Ducksch M.	20	0	0	1	0	0.05	0	2/6	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Paik Seung-Ho	20	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	5/6	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
Vicente C.	32	0	0	1	0	0.04	1	8/11	0	1	2	0	0	6.8
Vazquez L.	10	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1/5	0	0	0	0	0	–

Swansea

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Stamenic M.	26	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	5/6	0	2	0	0	0	4.0
Lissah F.	90	0	0	1	1	0.01	0	18/32	3	3	1	0	0	5.8
Tymon J.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	16/27	1	0	1	0	0	6.1
Stewart R.	59	0	0	1	1	0.79	0	13/22	0	1	1	1	0	5.3
Vigouroux L.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	22/45	0	0	0	0	6	9.1
Eom Ji-Sung	45	0	0	1	0	0.03	1	10/19	2	0	1	0	0	6.6
Fulton J.	81	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	21/26	0	1	0	1	0	6.0
Franco G.	86	0	0	1	0	0.03	0	21/28	4	0	0	0	0	6.5
Cabango B.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	23/27	0	1	1	0	0	6.2
Seelt J.	90	0	0	2	0	0.08	0	35/44	4	0	2	0	0	6.5
Yeo M. K.	59	0	0	1	0	0.02	0	12/15	2	0	0	0	0	6.3
Vipotnik Z.	31	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	6/10	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Widell M.	9	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	5/9	0	0	0	0	0	–
Just E.	31	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	8/11	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
Key J.	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	9/15	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Opoku J.	4	0	0	1	1	0.09	0	2/2	0	0	0	0	0	–

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

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Birmingham City vs Swansea City pre-game preview

Birmingham City hosts Swansea City on Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET in the EFL Championship. Birmingham is the moneyline favorite at -115, with the draw +275 and Swansea +310; the total is 2.5. Birmingham sits fourth on 26 points with a 7-5-2 record and league form of WWLWW, while Swansea is sixth on 26 points at 8-2-4 and LWLLW.

The last meeting was Swansea 1-1 Birmingham on January 17, 2026, after Birmingham won 1-0 on September 20, 2025. Birmingham concedes 0.93 per match and has kept clean sheets in 36%, while Swansea concedes 1.14 and has 43% clean sheets. Birmingham has seen over 2.5 goals in 71% of matches and Swansea in 64%, so the total of 2.5 is a central market point.

Swansea’s confirmed XI is missing C. Burgess and Ronald, and Birmingham’s is missing M. Leonard. Jay Stansfield’s over 0.5 shots on target at -167 has cleared in 8 of his last 10, a relevant prop angle given the confirmed Birmingham XI.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Birmingham City 4-2-3-1Swansea City 4-3-3

21 Allsop

2 Laird

5 Neumann

4 Klarer (C)

20 Cochrane

24 Iwata

14 Solis Romero

16 Roberts

18 Bird

17 Millar

28 Stansfield

22 Vigouroux

26 Lissah

5 Cabango (C)

3 Seelt

14 Tymon

17 Franco

4 Fulton

6 Stamenic

49 Yeo

31 Stewart

10 Eom Ji-Sung

Birmingham City missing: J. Beadle (inactive), M. Leonard (achilles tendon), K. Lund (inactive), A. Priske (health problems)

Swansea City missing: C. Burgess (achilles tendon), S. Eustaquio (inactive), Ronald (hamstring)

Form and head to head

Birmingham City4th in the tableWWLWW7W 5D 2L · 1.86 points a match

2meetings

1 win1 draw0 wins

Swansea City6th in the tableLWLLW8W 2D 4L · 1.86 points a match

50%Over 1.51/2

0%Over 2.50/2

0%Over 3.50/2

50%Both scored1/2

• Jan 2026Swansea 1-1 Birmingham
• Sep 2025Birmingham 1-0 Swansea

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

Birmingham CitySwansea City

50%Win %57%

52%Possession %58%

57%Both teams scored %43%

43%Scored first %36%

• 1.9Scored per match1.5
• 11.4Shots per match9.4
• 5.1Shots on target per match4.5
• 0.0Big chances per match0.0

Defensive

Birmingham CitySwansea City

14%Loss %29%

14%Failed to score %29%

36%Clean sheet %43%

50%Conceded first %50%

• 0.9Conceded per match1.1
• 10.4Shots against per match8.5
• 14.7Tackles per match18.0
• 12.4Fouls per match9.5

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five EFL Championship results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 14 and 14 matches.

Referee

Anthony Backhouse averages 4.5 yellow cards and 20.9 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 3.8 and 22.1), a card-heavy referee.

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 2:35 PM ET.

Line movement chart