The betting market lists New Orleans as a 3.5-point home favorite with a 42.5 total, up from an opening 41.5. The last meeting was Nov. 17, 2024, when Cleveland lost 14-35 on the road. Cleveland is 5-3 straight up and 5-3 against the spread this season, with a 7-3 straight-up and 7-3 ATS mark over its last 10; most recently it lost 6-27 at Pittsburgh on Nov. 1. New Orleans is 2-5 straight up and 3-4 ATS this season, 4-6 straight up and 6-4 ATS over its last 10, and most recently lost 10-16 to Pittsburgh on Oct. 25.
The defensive ranks offer a useful angle. Cleveland allows 21.6 points per game, 13th, and 214.6 passing yards per game, seventh. New Orleans allows 27.7 points, 29th, 249.7 passing yards, 24th, and 139.4 rushing yards, 29th. New Orleans also lists several players on PUP-R or IR, including Mason Tipton, Nick Saldiveri, Bryan Bresee, Dillon Radunz, Jordyn Tyson, Ty Chandler, Moliki Matavao and Rejzohn Wright.
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:16 AM ET.
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Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.
Quinshon Judkins vs Saints
Quinshon JudkinsRB, CLE
VS
SaintsDefense vs running backs
Even matchupSaints allow 4.7 receptions a game to running backs, 13th most in the league. Judkins averages 3 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest20th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 1.58/10avg 3 · 20th of 32 vs RB · -122
Receiving yards over 8.57/10avg 21.7 · 23rd of 32 vs RB · -110
Rushing yards over 67.52/10avg 41.1 · 31st of 32 vs RB · -111
Juwan Johnson vs Browns
Juwan JohnsonTE, NO
VS
BrownsDefense vs tight ends
Even matchupBrowns allow 5.5 receptions a game to tight ends, 16th most in the league. Johnson averages 4.1 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest17th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 2.58/10avg 4.1 · 17th of 32 vs TE · -156
Receiving yards over 27.57/10avg 50 · 22nd of 32 vs TE · -110
Receiving tds over 0.52/10avg 0.3 · 16th of 32 vs TE · +286
Devaughn Vele vs Browns
Devaughn VeleWR, NO
VS
BrownsDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupBrowns allow 137.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, 13th fewest in the league. Vele averages 55 against a line of 35.5.
Toughest13th of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 35.59/10avg 55 · 13th of 32 vs WR · -115
Receptions over 3.57/10avg 4.9 · 11th of 32 vs WR · +135
Receiving tds over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · 17th of 32 vs WR · +264
Jerry Jeudy vs Saints
Jerry JeudyWR, CLE
VS
SaintsDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupSaints allow 10.6 receptions a game to wide receivers, 12th fewest in the league. Jeudy averages 2.3 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest12th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 1.57/10avg 2.3 · 12th of 32 vs WR · +122
Receiving yards over 14.57/10avg 24.2 · 16th of 32 vs WR · -104
Receiving tds over 0.50/10avg 0 · 15th of 32 vs WR · +554
Denzel Boston vs Saints
Denzel BostonWR, CLE
VS
SaintsDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupSaints allow 10.6 receptions a game to wide receivers, 12th fewest in the league. Boston averages 3.3 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest12th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 2.55/8avg 3.3 · 12th of 32 vs WR · -170
Receiving yards over 44.54/8avg 51.1 · 16th of 32 vs WR · -110
Receiving tds over 0.53/8avg 0.4 · 15th of 32 vs WR · +235
Chris Olave vs Browns
Chris OlaveWR, NO
VS
BrownsDefense vs wide receivers
Even matchupBrowns allow 10.5 receptions a game to wide receivers, 11th fewest in the league. Olave averages 7.3 against a line of 5.5.
Toughest11th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 5.58/10avg 7.3 · 11th of 32 vs WR · -122
Receiving yards over 73.57/10avg 98.8 · 13th of 32 vs WR · -111
Receiving tds over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · 17th of 32 vs WR · +150
Betting trends
Browns are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.
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Browns vs Saints defense vs position
What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.
Browns defense facing the Saints
Pos
Pass yds
Rush yds
Rec yds
Catches
TDs
QB
214.67th
8.65th
–
–
1.411th
RB
–
115.929th
17.52nd
3.58th
0.818th
WR
–
–
137.913th
10.511th
0.917th
TE
–
–
59.322nd
5.517th
0.516th
Softest spot: 115.9 rushing yards a game to running backs, 4th most in the league.
Toughest spot: 17.5 receiving yards a game to running backs, 2nd fewest in the league.
Saints defense facing the Browns
Pos
Pass yds
Rush yds
Rec yds
Catches
TDs
QB
249.724th
17.722nd
–
–
1.621st
RB
–
120.431st
37.723rd
4.720th
1.632nd
WR
–
–
143.616th
10.612th
0.915th
TE
–
–
68.427th
6.426th
0.621st
Softest spot: 1.6 rushing touchdowns a game to running backs, the most in the league.
Toughest spot: 10.6 receptions a game to wide receivers, 12th fewest in the league.
The props these matchups touchEvery NFL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.
Cleveland Browns
Deshaun Watson QB225.8 pass yds · 0.9 TD per game
Date
Opp
CMP/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
RUSH
11/1
@ PIT
27/39
324
0
0
2
10/25
@ TEN
25/36
308
0
1
19
10/18
vs BAL
16/26
164
0
0
29
10/11
@ NYJ
15/33
155
1
0
40
10/2
vs PIT
24/33
268
1
1
22
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs NO
Pass yds
225.8 (8)
246.0 (5)
–
–
Pass TD
0.9 (8)
0.8 (5)
–
–
Quinshon Judkins RB48.4 rush yds · 2.4 rec per game
Date
Opp
ATT
YDS
TD
REC
REC YDS
11/1
@ PIT
11
25
0
2
24
10/25
@ TEN
17
96
2
1
8
10/11
@ NYJ
14
44
0
3
6
10/2
vs PIT
17
53
1
6
43
9/27
vs CAR
18
70
0
2
9
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs NO
Rush yds
48.9 (7)
43.8 (5)
59.1 (14)
–
Rec
3.0 (7)
2.6 (5)
1.9 (14)
–
Denzel Boston WR3.3 rec · 51.1 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
@ PIT
11
6
37
0
10/25
@ TEN
8
3
27
0
10/18
vs BAL
5
1
15
0
10/11
@ NYJ
7
3
46
1
10/2
vs PIT
7
4
89
0
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs NO
Rec
3.3 (8)
3.8 (5)
–
–
Rec yds
51.1 (8)
52.8 (5)
–
–
Harold Fannin Jr. TE4.4 rec · 50.3 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
11/1
@ PIT
12
10
154
0
10/25
@ TEN
9
6
91
0
10/18
vs BAL
3
1
9
0
10/11
@ NYJ
4
1
4
0
10/2
vs PIT
5
3
27
1
Splits
Season
Road
2025
vs NO
Rec
4.4 (8)
4.8 (5)
4.5 (16)
–
Rec yds
51.4 (8)
64.8 (5)
45.7 (16)
–
New Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough QB242.1 pass yds · 1.4 TD per game
Date
Opp
CMP/ATT
YDS
TD
INT
RUSH
10/25
vs PIT
30/38
278
1
1
7
10/18
@ NYG
16/30
144
3
0
32
10/11
vs MIN
16/25
96
0
2
0
10/6
vs ATL
30/48
286
1
0
5
9/27
vs LV
29/42
255
4
1
36
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs CLE
Pass yds
245.9 (7)
228.8 (4)
216.7 (11)
–
Pass TD
1.9 (7)
1.5 (4)
0.9 (11)
–
Travis Etienne Jr. RB52.7 rush yds · 2.8 rec per game
Date
Opp
ATT
YDS
TD
REC
REC YDS
9/27
vs LV
13
57
0
2
13
9/20
@ BAL
8
25
0
2
6
9/13
@ DET
9
46
0
7
32
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs CLE
Rush yds
42.7 (3)
57.0 (1)
65.2 (18)
–
Rec
3.7 (3)
2.0 (1)
2.3 (18)
–
Chris Olave WR6.6 rec · 86.5 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
10/25
vs PIT
10
6
56
0
10/18
@ NYG
7
4
43
1
10/11
vs MIN
6
4
46
0
10/6
vs ATL
12
8
116
0
9/27
vs LV
13
9
107
0
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs CLE
Rec
7.0 (7)
6.8 (4)
6.3 (16)
–
Rec yds
90.9 (7)
81.3 (4)
72.7 (16)
–
Juwan Johnson TE4.2 rec · 46.9 yds per game
Date
Opp
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
10/25
vs PIT
3
1
7
0
10/18
@ NYG
2
0
0
0
10/11
vs MIN
5
4
16
0
10/6
vs ATL
8
6
59
0
9/27
vs LV
8
8
53
2
Splits
Season
Home
2025
vs CLE
Rec
3.7 (7)
4.8 (4)
4.5 (17)
–
Rec yds
36.4 (7)
33.8 (4)
52.3 (17)
–
Records
Team
Record
ATS
O/U
Home
Away
Browns
5-3
5-3
4-4
3-0
2-3
Saints
2-5
3-4
4-3
0-4
2-1
This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.
Browns vs Saints head-to-head
Browns are 0-1 in the last 1 meeting. Last time: Browns lost 14-35 on November 17, 2024.
Date
Venue
Browns result
ATS
O/U
Nov 17, 24
Saints home
L 14-35
–
–
Recent form
Cleveland Browns: last 10 (7-3, 7-3 ATS, O/U 4-6)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Nov 1, 26
@ PIT
L 6-27
L +3.5
U 38.5
Oct 25, 26
@ TEN
W 27-24
W -2.5
O 37.5
Oct 18, 26
vs BAL
W 13-10
W +3
U 40.5
Oct 11, 26
@ NYJ
L 12-17
L +2.5
U 38.5
Oct 1, 26
vs PIT
W 27-24
W +2.5
O 38.5
Sep 27, 26
vs CAR
W 21-18
W +2.5
U 41.5
Sep 20, 26
@ TB
W 23-19
W +8.5
O 41.5
Sep 13, 26
@ JAX
L 10-34
L +8.5
O 40.5
Jan 4, 26
@ CIN
W 20-18
W +8.5
U 47.5
Dec 28, 25
vs PIT
W 13-6
W +3.5
U 34.5
New Orleans Saints: last 10 (4-6, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)
Date
Opponent
Result
ATS
O/U
Oct 25, 26
vs PIT
L 10-16
L +3
U 42.5
Oct 18, 26
@ NYG
W 34-27
W -1.5
O 46.5
Oct 11, 26
vs MIN
L 13-23
L +2.5
U 41.5
Oct 5, 26
vs ATL
L 24-45
L -1.5
O 48.5
Sep 27, 26
vs LV
L 27-35
L -3.5
O 44.5
Sep 20, 26
@ BAL
W 24-17
W +8.5
U 45.5
Sep 13, 26
@ DET
L 30-31
W +7
O 49.5
Jan 4, 26
@ ATL
L 17-19
W +3.5
U 43.5
Dec 28, 25
@ TEN
W 34-26
W -1.5
O 38.5
Dec 21, 25
vs NYJ
W 29-6
W -7
U 39.5
Injury report
Cleveland Browns
Damarri Mathis (CB): IR, ir
Elijah Chatman (DT): IR, The Browns reverted Chatman
Kalia Davis (DT): IR, Davis
Joe Royer (TE): Out
Alex Wright (DE): IR, The Browns placed Wright on injured reserve Sunday due to a ruptured Achilles, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports
Teven Jenkins (G): IR, The Browns placed Jenkins
Raheim Sanders (RB): IR, The Browns placed Sanders
Deshaun Watson (QB): Questionable, Watson
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (LB): PUP-R, out
Edefuan Ulofoshio (LB): IR, Ulofoshio
Maliek Collins (DT): Out, out
New Orleans Saints
Mason Tipton (WR): PUP-R, Tipton
Nick Saldiveri (OT): PUP-R, New Orleans placed Saldiveri
Bryan Bresee (DT): IR, ir
Dillon Radunz (G): IR, ir
Jordyn Tyson (WR): IR
Ty Chandler (RB): IR, The Saints placed Chandler
Moliki Matavao (TE): IR, The Saints placed Matavao
Rejzohn Wright (CB): IR, Wright
Kelvin Banks Jr. (OT): IR-R, Banks
Travis Etienne Jr. (RB): IR, Head coach Kellen Moore said Wednesday that the Saints haven’t opened Etienne’s
CJ Donaldson (RB): Out, Donaldson
Asim Richards (OT): Questionable, questionable
Martin Emerson Jr. (CB): Questionable, Emerson
Matchup ranks
What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.
Browns defense
Saints defense
Points allowed per game
21.6 (13th of 32)
27.7 (29th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game
214.6 (7th of 32)
249.7 (24th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game
126.9 (24th of 32)
139.4 (29th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game
19.5 (8th of 32)
21.7 (19th of 32)
Venue and weather
Caesars Superdome · New Orleans, LAIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Line movement from the open
Line
Open
Now
Move
Saints spread
-3.5
-3.5
–
Total
41.5
42.5
+1
Browns moneyline
+160
+145
+2.4% win chance
Saints moneyline
-192
-175
-2.1% win chance
DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.
Line movement chart
Saints spread -3.5 → -3.5Total 42.5 → 42.5
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