Jets vs Chiefs Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

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NFL prop picks: today's featured picks
New York Jets logo

Jets2-6 · 4-3-1 ATS12th in the AFC
1:00 PM ETSun, Nov 8Win % 20–80
Kansas City Chiefs logo

Chiefs5-2 · 3-4 ATS5th in the AFC

NFL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Arrowhead Stadium

Team Moneyline Spread Total
New York Jets +400 +9.5 -105 O 47.5 -110
Kansas City Chiefs -470 -9.5 -110 U 47.5 -105

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 10:16 AM ET.

Jets vs Chiefs preview

Kansas City is a 9.5-point home favorite with the total at 47.5, and the total has moved from 41.5 to 48.5 since opening. The last meeting was Oct. 1, 2023, when the Jets lost 23-20 at home. New York is 2-6 straight up and 4-3-1 against the spread this season, with a 2-8 straight-up and 4-5-1 ATS mark over its last 10 and a 33-38 loss to Las Vegas most recently. Kansas City is 5-2 straight up and 3-4 ATS, with a 5-5 straight-up and 4-6 ATS mark over its last 10 and a 24-28 loss at Denver most recently.

The useful defensive split is on the ground: Kansas City allows 96.3 rushing yards per game (rank 9), while New York allows 123.6 (rank 21). Among props, Breece Hall over 12.5 rushing attempts at +117 cleared in 9 of his last 10, and Nick Bolton over 7.5 tackles at -230 cleared in 9 of his last 10. Kansas City also has several injury-list entries, including Josh Simmons, Tyquan Thornton and Brashard Smith on IR and Omarr Norman-Lott on PUP-R.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Jets vs Chiefs player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Emmett Johnson KC Over 9.5 longest reception +100 Kalshi 100% (6/6) 100%
Breece Hall NYJ Over 12.5 rushing attempts +117 Kalshi 90% (9/10) 100%
Nick Bolton KC Over 7.5 tackles -230 Fanatics 90% (9/10) 100%
David Bailey NYJ Over 3.5 tackles -155 Fanatics 85.7% (6/7) 100%
Noah Gray KC Over 10.5 longest reception -110 BetMGM 80% (8/10) 100%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 10:16 AM ET.

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Kingsley EnagbareOver 2.5 tackles8/10
Jowon BriggsOver 3.5 tackles7/10
Tim PatrickOver 10.5 longest reception7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Kenneth Walker III vs Jets

Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC
VS
JetsDefense vs running backs
Good matchup for Kenneth Walker IIIJets allow 104.8 rushing yards a game to running backs, 9th most in the league. III averages 108.3 against a line of 91.5.
Toughest24th of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 91.56/10avg 108.3 · 24th of 32 vs RB · -113Caesars
Rushing tds over 0.56/10avg 1 · 14th of 32 vs RB · -156Stake
Receiving yards over 19.55/10avg 23.5 · 9th of 32 vs RB · +100ESPN BET

Breece Hall vs Chiefs

Breece HallRB, NYJ
VS
ChiefsDefense vs running backs
Even matchupChiefs allow 4.7 receptions a game to running backs, 14th most in the league. Hall averages 2.4 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest19th of 32, receptionsSoftest
Receptions over 1.59/10avg 2.4 · 19th of 32 vs RB · -170Hard Rock
Rushing yards over 40.57/10avg 56.4 · 4th of 32 vs RB · -106prophetexchange
Receiving yards over 16.54/10avg 23.2 · 26th of 32 vs RB · -110ESPN BET

Patrick Mahomes vs Jets

Patrick MahomesQB, KC
VS
JetsDefense vs quarterbacks
Even matchupJets allow 16.5 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, 14th most in the league. Mahomes averages 18.1 against a line of 11.5.
Toughest19th of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 11.57/10avg 18.1 · 19th of 32 vs QB · -106prophetexchange
Passing tds over 1.56/10avg 1.6 · 24th of 32 vs QB · -210bet365
Passing yards over 245.55/10avg 240.5 · 6th of 32 vs QB · -110Fanatics

Geno Smith vs Chiefs

Geno SmithQB, NYJ
VS
ChiefsDefense vs quarterbacks
Even matchupChiefs allow 228.4 passing yards a game to quarterbacks, 12th fewest in the league. Smith averages 229 against a line of 211.5.
Toughest12th of 32, passing yardsSoftest
Passing yards over 211.56/10avg 229 · 12th of 32 vs QB · -109prophetexchange
Passing tds over 1.54/10avg 1.5 · 4th of 32 vs QB · +170BetRivers
Rushing yards over 6.54/10avg 4.7 · 18th of 32 vs QB · +103prophetexchange

Emmett Johnson vs Jets

Emmett JohnsonRB, KC
VS
JetsDefense vs running backs
Tough matchup for Emmett JohnsonJets allow 26.9 receiving yards a game to running backs, 9th fewest in the league. Johnson averages 33.9 against a line of 15.5.
Toughest9th of 32, receiving yardsSoftest
Receiving yards over 15.55/7avg 33.9 · 9th of 32 vs RB · +105Caesars
Receptions over 1.55/7avg 2 · 6th of 32 vs RB · -150Kalshi
Rushing yards over 12.54/7avg 11 · 24th of 32 vs RB · -105prophetexchange

Braelon Allen vs Chiefs

Braelon AllenRB, NYJ
VS
ChiefsDefense vs running backs
Tough matchup for Braelon AllenChiefs allow 70.3 rushing yards a game to running backs, 4th fewest in the league. Allen averages 62.1 against a line of 33.5.
Toughest4th of 32, rushing yardsSoftest
Rushing yards over 33.56/10avg 62.1 · 4th of 32 vs RB · -110prophetexchange
Receptions over 1.56/10avg 1.9 · 19th of 32 vs RB · -165Fanatics
Rushing tds over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · 16th of 32 vs RB · +299Stake

Betting trends

  • The over has hit in 3 straight Jets games.
  • The over is 3-7 in Chiefs’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Jets vs Chiefs defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Jets defense facing the Chiefs

Pos Pass yds Rush yds Rec yds Catches TDs
QB 208.46th 16.519th – – 1.824th
RB – 104.824th 26.99th 3.46th 0.614th
WR – – 122.45th 10.08th 1.126th
TE – – 59.121st 5.518th 0.415th

Softest spot: 1.1 receiving touchdowns a game to wide receivers, 7th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 122.4 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, 5th fewest in the league.

Chiefs defense facing the Jets

Pos Pass yds Rush yds Rec yds Catches TDs
QB 228.412th 16.418th – – 1.04th
RB – 70.34th 41.926th 4.719th 0.716th
WR – – 121.03rd 10.110th 0.31st
TE – – 65.625th 6.928th 0.726th

Softest spot: 6.9 receptions a game to tight ends, 5th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 0.3 receiving touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NFL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

New York Jets

Geno Smith QB215.8 pass yds · 1.4 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
11/1 vs LV 20/32 290 2 1 4
10/25 vs MIA 23/30 287 3 1 0
10/18 @ NE 20/30 252 1 1 -1
10/11 vs CLE 17/30 182 1 0 7
10/4 @ CHI 8/15 119 1 0 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs KC
Pass yds 239.1 (8) 226.8 (4) 201.7 (15) 67.0 (1)
67
Pass TD 1.5 (8) 1.3 (4) 1.3 (15) 0.0 (1)
0

Breece Hall RB63.5 rush yds · 2.5 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
9/27 @ DET 13 32 0 3 23
9/20 vs GB 16 29 0 5 63
9/13 @ TEN 22 102 1 2 16
Splits Season Road 2025 vs KC
Rush yds 54.3 (3) 67.0 (2) 66.6 (16) –
Rec 3.3 (3) 2.5 (2) 2.3 (16) –

Garrett Wilson WR5.3 rec · 62.3 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/1 vs LV 12 6 83 0
10/25 vs MIA 3 2 26 0
10/18 @ NE 6 4 44 0
10/11 vs CLE 11 7 104 1
10/4 @ CHI 4 3 27 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs KC
Rec 5.4 (8) 5.8 (4) 5.1 (7) –
Rec yds 65.9 (8) 64.3 (4) 56.4 (7) –

Omar Cooper Jr. WR3.0 rec · 62.0 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/1 vs LV 0 0 0 0
10/25 vs MIA 5 5 115 1
10/18 @ NE 7 6 103 1
9/13 @ TEN 1 1 30 0
Splits Season Road 2025 vs KC
Rec 3.0 (4) 3.5 (2) – –
Rec yds 62.0 (4) 66.5 (2) – –

Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes QB260.6 pass yds · 1.6 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
11/1 @ DEN 30/41 321 3 0 6
10/26 @ SEA 19/33 165 0 1 14
10/18 vs LAC 23/30 272 0 1 16
10/4 @ LV 15/30 225 2 0 0
9/27 @ MIA 20/24 246 2 1 1
Splits Season Home 2025 vs NYJ
Pass yds 256.4 (7) 279.3 (3) 256.2 (14) –
Pass TD 1.7 (7) 1.7 (3) 1.6 (14) –

Kenneth Walker III RB91.7 rush yds · 2.9 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
11/1 @ DEN 21 69 0 4 15
10/26 @ SEA 14 36 0 4 21
10/18 vs LAC 19 128 2 2 11
10/4 @ LV 22 177 2 1 2
9/27 @ MIA 18 70 1 2 3
Splits Season Home 2025 vs NYJ
Rush yds 110.0 (7) 139.3 (3) 67.0 (20) –
Rec 3.1 (7) 3.7 (3) 2.0 (20) –

Rashee Rice WR5.4 rec · 60.6 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/1 @ DEN 8 7 53 1
10/4 @ LV 0 0 0 0
9/27 @ MIA 9 7 88 0
9/21 vs IND 6 4 83 0
9/15 vs DEN 2 2 19 1
Splits Season Home 2025 vs NYJ
Rec 4.0 (5) 3.0 (2) 6.6 (8) –
Rec yds 48.6 (5) 51.0 (2) 71.4 (8) –

Travis Kelce TE4.3 rec · 53.1 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/1 @ DEN 7 5 67 0
10/26 @ SEA 8 4 44 0
10/18 vs LAC 5 4 53 0
10/4 @ LV 4 2 15 0
9/27 @ MIA 2 2 59 1
Splits Season Home 2025 vs NYJ
Rec 4.1 (7) 5.3 (3) 4.5 (17) –
Rec yds 58.6 (7) 75.0 (3) 50.1 (17) –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Jets 2-6 4-3-1 4-4 1-3 1-3
Chiefs 5-2 3-4 3-4 3-0 2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Jets vs Chiefs head-to-head

Jets are 0-1 in the last 1 meeting. Last time: Jets lost 20-23 on October 1, 2023.

Date Venue Jets result ATS O/U
Oct 1, 23 Jets home L 20-23 – –

Recent form

New York Jets: last 10 (2-8, 4-5-1 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 1, 26 vs LV L 33-38 L -1.5 O 46.5
Oct 25, 26 vs MIA L 25-28 L -3.5 O 39.5
Oct 18, 26 @ NE L 19-26 W +7.5 O 42.5
Oct 11, 26 vs CLE W 17-12 W -2.5 U 38.5
Oct 4, 26 @ CHI L 12-23 L +3.5 U 43.5
Sep 27, 26 @ DET L 24-31 P +7 O 49.5
Sep 20, 26 vs GB L 17-20 W +3.5 U 44.5
Sep 13, 26 @ TEN W 23-10 W +1.5 U 39.5
Jan 4, 26 @ BUF L 8-35 L +13.5 O 39.5
Dec 28, 25 vs NE L 10-42 L +12.5 O 42.5

Kansas City Chiefs: last 10 (5-5, 4-6 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 1, 26 @ DEN L 24-28 L +1.5 O 41.5
Oct 25, 26 @ SEA L 3-20 L +3 U 43.5
Oct 18, 26 vs LAC W 22-6 W -7.5 U 41.5
Oct 4, 26 @ LV W 30-27 L -3.5 O 47.5
Sep 27, 26 @ MIA W 24-10 W -10 U 45.5
Sep 20, 26 vs IND W 33-30 L -6 O 46.5
Sep 14, 26 vs DEN W 31-10 W -2.5 U 42.5
Jan 4, 26 @ LV L 12-14 L -3.5 U 35.5
Dec 25, 25 vs DEN L 13-20 W +13.5 U 37.5
Dec 21, 25 @ TEN L 9-26 L -3.5 U 37.5

Injury report

New York Jets

  • Tyler Baron (DE): PUP-R, The Jets moved Baron
  • VJ Payne (S): IR
  • Anez Cooper (G): IR-R, The Jets placed Cooper
  • Chip Trayanum (RB): IR, Trayanum
  • Marcelino McCrary-Ball (LB): IR, ir
  • Arian Smith (WR): IR, Smith
  • Joseph Ossai (DE): Questionable, Ossai
  • Kiko Mauigoa (LB): IR, The Jets placed Mauigoa
  • Max Mitchell (OT): IR, The Jets placed Mitchell
  • T’Vondre Sweat (DT): IR, The Jets placed Sweat
  • Garrett Wilson (WR): Out, Wilson
  • Harrison Phillips (DT): Questionable, questionable
  • Trevin Wallace (LB): Out, Jets head coach Aaron Glenn said Friday that Wallace
  • Nahshon Wright (CB): Questionable, questionable
  • Kingsley Jonathan (DE): IR, ir
  • David Onyemata (DT): IR, Onyemata
  • Braiden McGregor (DE): IR, McGregor

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Omarr Norman-Lott (DT): PUP-R, The Chiefs designated Norman-Lott
  • Ethan Downs (LB): IR, The Chiefs placed
  • John Michael Gyllenborg (TE): IR
  • Jimmy Holiday (WR): IR, Holiday
  • Josh Simmons (OT): IR, The Chiefs placed Simmons
  • Matt Waletzko (OT): IR, Waletzko
  • Tyquan Thornton (WR): IR, The Chiefs placed Thornton
  • Brashard Smith (RB): IR, The Chiefs placed Smith
  • Mansoor Delane (CB): Out, Chiefs head coach Andy Reid said Friday that Delane
  • Nikko Remigio (WR): Questionable, Remigio
  • Jeff Caldwell (WR): IR, Caldwell
  • L’Jarius Sneed (CB): IR, The Chiefs placed Sneed
  • Peter Woods (DT): Out, Woods

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Jets defense Chiefs defense
Points allowed per game 23.5 (16th of 32) 18.7 (4th of 32)
Passing yards allowed per game 208.4 (6th of 32) 228.4 (12th of 32)
Rushing yards allowed per game 123.6 (21st of 32) 96.3 (9th of 32)
Receptions allowed per game 18.9 (6th of 32) 21.7 (18th of 32)

Venue and weather

Arrowhead Stadium · Kansas City, MOOutdoor
56°FclearWind 4 mphRain 0%

Forecast for the start time (Open-Meteo); it can change before the game.

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Jets vs Chiefs odds by sportsbook

Book NYJ spread KC spread NYJ ML KC ML Over Under
bet365 +9.5 -109 -9.5 -111 +375 -500 O 47.5 -111 U 47.5 -109
BetRivers +9.5 -105 -9.5 -115 +320 -714 O 47.5 -112 U 47.5 -108
Caesars +9.5 -109 -9.5 -110 +380 -500 O 48 -112 U 48 -108
DraftKings +8.5 -108 -8.5 -112 +360 -470 O 47.5 -115 U 47.5 -105
FanDuel +9.5 -105 -9.5 -115 +400 -520 O 47.5 -110 U 47.5 -110
Fanatics +9 -110 -9 -110 +390 -525 O 48 -110 U 48 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 10:16 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Chiefs spread -9.5 -8.5 +1
Total 41.5 47.5 +6
Jets moneyline +360 +360 –
Chiefs moneyline -470 -470 –

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Chiefs spread -9.5 → -9.5
Total 47.5 → 47.5
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More on these teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Nov 1 · Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets Nov 1 · All NFL prop picks

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