Islanders vs Sharks Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 9, 2026)

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NHL prop picks: today's featured picks
New York Islanders logo

Islanders7-9 · 9-7 ATS12th in the East
10:00 PM ETMon, Nov 9
San Jose Sharks logo

Sharks7-12 · 7-12 ATS13th in the West

NHL · Monday, November 9, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · SAP Center at San Jose

Team Moneyline Spread Total
New York Islanders -132 -1.5 +188 O 6.5 +104
San Jose Sharks +120 +1.5 -210 U 6.5 -117

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 3:20 PM ET.

Islanders vs Sharks preview

New York is the moneyline favorite at -129, San Jose is +112, and the total is 6.5.

The last meeting went to New York, 2-1 on the road on March 7, 2026. Over their last 10, the Islanders are 4-6 straight up and 6-4 against the spread; San Jose is 3-7 straight up and 3-7 against the spread. New York is 7-9 overall and 9-7 against the spread this season; San Jose is 7-12 and 7-12 against the spread.

San Jose’s defense ranks 29th in goals allowed at 3.58 per game and 29th in shots allowed at 30.05, and its pace rank of fifth (57.1) can keep play open. For a prop angle, Matthew Schaefer’s over 0.5 points is -215 after clearing in 8 of his last 10, with the StatsBench model projecting 0.9.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Islanders vs Sharks player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Emil Heineman NYI Over 1.5 hits -114 Stake 80% (8/10) 80% –
Simon Holmstrom NYI Over 1.5 shots on goal -130 prophetexchange 80% (8/10) 100% –
Matthew Schaefer NYI Over 0.5 points -180 ESPN BET 80% (8/10) 80% 0.9
Michael Misa SJS Over 0.5 points +130 Hard Rock 70% (7/10) 80% 0.6
Kiefer Sherwood SJS Over 1.5 shots on goal -130 ESPN BET 70% (7/10) 40% –

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 3:20 PM ET.

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Jean-Gabriel PageauOver 1.5 hits7/10
Alexander WennbergOver 0.5 shots on goal7/10
Adam PelechOver 1.5 blocks6/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Simon Holmstrom vs Sharks

Simon HolmstromF, NYI
VS
SharksDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Simon HolmstromSharks allow 22.2 shots a game to forwards, 3rd most in the league. Holmstrom averages 2.2 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest30th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.58/10avg 2.2 · 30th of 32 vs F · -130prophetexchange
Points over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · 24th of 32 vs F · -117Kalshi
Goals over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · 25th of 32 vs F · +257Kalshi

Alexander Wennberg vs Islanders

Alexander WennbergF, SJS
VS
IslandersDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Alexander WennbergIslanders allow 21.6 shots a game to forwards, 5th most in the league. Wennberg averages 1.4 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest28th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 0.57/10avg 1.4 · 28th of 32 vs F · -330ESPN BET
Blocks over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · 27th of 32 vs F · -202Stake
Points over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · 10th of 32 vs F · +110ESPN BET

Kiefer Sherwood vs Islanders

Kiefer SherwoodF, SJS
VS
IslandersDefense vs forwards
Good matchup for Kiefer SherwoodIslanders allow 21.6 shots a game to forwards, 5th most in the league. Sherwood averages 2.2 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest28th of 32, shotsSoftest
Shots on goal over 1.57/10avg 2.2 · 28th of 32 vs F · -130ESPN BET
Points over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · 10th of 32 vs F · +190DraftKings
Hits over 4.55/10avg 5.1 · 14th of 32 vs F · -123Stake

Matthew Schaefer vs Sharks

Matthew SchaeferD, NYI
VS
SharksDefense vs defensemen
Even matchupSharks allow 2.3 points a game to defensemen, 14th most in the league. Schaefer averages 1 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest19th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.58/10avg 1 · 19th of 32 vs D · -180ESPN BET
Assists over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · 16th of 32 vs D · -117Kalshi
Goals over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · 25th of 32 vs D · +317Kalshi

Emil Heineman vs Sharks

Emil HeinemanF, NYI
VS
SharksDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Emil HeinemanSharks allow 14.8 hits a game to forwards, 10th fewest in the league. Heineman averages 2.8 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest10th of 32, hitsSoftest
Hits over 1.58/10avg 2.8 · 10th of 32 vs F · -114Stake
Points over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · 24th of 32 vs F · +135ESPN BET
Assists over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · 26th of 32 vs F · +275Hard Rock

Michael Misa vs Islanders

Michael MisaF, SJS
VS
IslandersDefense vs forwards
Tough matchup for Michael MisaIslanders allow 5.9 points a game to forwards, 10th fewest in the league. Misa averages 0.8 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest10th of 32, pointsSoftest
Points over 0.57/10avg 0.8 · 10th of 32 vs F · +130Hard Rock
Shots on goal over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · 28th of 32 vs F · +110ESPN BET
Goals over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · 19th of 32 vs F · +426Kalshi

Betting trends

  • Sharks are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.
  • Islanders are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with the Sharks.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Projected lines

Projected forward lines, defense pairs and goalies, updated 3:20 PM ET; this page updates whenever they change. The goalies are listed in projected order, which doesn’t confirm the starter. Under each player: his strongest prop line and how often he cleared it over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

New York IslandersProjected

Forwards

L1Simon HolmstromOver 1.5 SOG 8/10Bo HorvatOver 0.5 points 6/10Kyle Palmieri
L2Emil HeinemanOver 1.5 hits 8/10Brayden SchennOver 0.5 points 6/10Victor EklundOver 0.5 points 5/10
L3Ondrej PalatJean-Gabriel PageauOver 1.5 hits 7/10Anthony DuclairOver 0.5 points 5/10
L4Kyle MacLeanCasey CizikasMitchell Chaffee

Defense

D1Adam PelechOver 1.5 blocks 6/10Matthew SchaeferOver 0.5 points 8/10
D2Logan StanleyOver 1.5 blocks 5/10Tony DeAngelo
D3Ben HuttonMatthew Kessel

Goalies

GIlya SorokinOver 23.5 saves 5/10Semyon Varlamov

Scratched: Scott Mayfield
Injured or in doubt: Mathew Barzal, Alexander Romanov, Ryan Pulock, Matias Maccelli, Calum Ritchie

San Jose SharksProjected

Forwards

L1Michael MisaOver 0.5 points 7/10Macklin CelebriniOver 3.5 SOG 6/10Will SmithOver 0.5 points 5/10
L2Mason MarchmentAlexander WennbergKiefer SherwoodOver 1.5 SOG 7/10
L3Ivar StenbergOver 0.5 points 5/10Ty DellandreaOver 2.5 hits 6/10Tyler Toffoli
L4Barclay GoodrowZack OstapchukCollin Graf

Defense

D1Darnell NurseOver 1.5 blocks 5/10Michael Kesselring
D2Sam DickinsonJacob TroubaOver 0.5 points 5/10
D3Dmitry OrlovOver 0.5 points 5/10Eric Pohlkamp

Goalies

GYaroslav AskarovAlex Nedeljkovic

Scratched: Nolan Allan, Adam Gaudette
Injured or in doubt: Igor Chernyshov

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for NHL players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Islanders vs Sharks defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 32 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Islanders defense facing the Sharks

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 2.719th 3.37th 5.910th 21.628th 15.314th 6.927th
D 0.36th 1.820th 2.115th 6.910th 5.16th 8.011th

Softest spot: 21.6 shots a game to forwards, 5th most in the league.

Toughest spot: 0.3 goals a game to defensemen, 6th fewest in the league.

Sharks defense facing the Islanders

Pos Goals Assists Points Shots Hits Blocks
F 3.025th 4.326th 7.324th 22.230th 14.810th 7.029th
D 0.625th 1.716th 2.319th 8.025th 6.724th 7.03rd

Softest spot: 22.2 shots a game to forwards, 3rd most in the league.

Toughest spot: 7.0 blocks a game to defensemen, 3rd fewest in the league.

The props these matchups touchEvery NHL line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

New York Islanders

Bo Horvat C1.0 PTS · 3.1 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs NJD 20:32 0 2 2 1
11/5 vs CAR 20:56 0 0 3 2
10/31 vs EDM 20:29 0 0 3 1
10/29 @ MIN 20:57 1 0 3 2
10/27 @ NSH 26:04 1 0 2 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs SJ
PTS 1.0 (16) 1.1 (7) 0.8 (68) 1.0 (2)
1 · 1
SOG 3.1 (16) 2.7 (7) 3.3 (68) 3.5 (2)
6 · 1

Matthew Schaefer D1.0 PTS · 3.6 SOG · 0.3 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs NJD 23:37 1 0 3 2
11/5 vs CAR 30:01 0 1 2 0
10/31 vs EDM 24:33 0 0 2 3
10/29 @ MIN 30:01 2 1 6 1
10/27 @ NSH 32:16 0 1 2 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs SJ
PTS 1.0 (16) 0.9 (7) 0.7 (82) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2
SOG 3.6 (16) 3.1 (7) 2.7 (82) 3.5 (2)
3 · 4

Brayden Schenn C0.8 PTS · 1.8 SOG · 0.3 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 vs NJD 14:32 0 1 3 4
11/5 vs CAR 18:17 1 1 1 3
10/31 vs EDM 17:48 0 0 0 3
10/29 @ MIN 14:18 0 0 1 2
10/27 @ NSH 19:15 1 0 1 3
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs SJ
PTS 0.8 (16) 0.6 (7) 0.5 (80) 0.0 (1)
0
SOG 1.8 (16) 1.4 (7) 1.5 (80) 1.0 (1)
1

San Jose Sharks

Macklin Celebrini C1.2 PTS · 4.2 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 @ DAL 28:05 0 3 6 0
11/6 @ MIN 24:59 1 0 6 0
11/4 @ LAK 22:40 1 0 5 3
11/2 vs CGY 22:56 0 0 2 2
10/31 vs OTT 19:43 0 0 2 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs NYI
PTS 1.2 (17) 1.1 (8) 1.4 (82) 1.0 (2)
1 · 1
SOG 4.2 (17) 3.8 (8) 3.5 (82) 5.0 (2)
4 · 6

Will Smith C0.7 PTS · 2.5 SOG · 0.4 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 @ DAL 23:44 1 1 3 0
11/6 @ MIN 21:11 0 1 2 1
11/4 @ LAK 21:00 0 0 0 0
11/2 vs CGY 18:23 0 0 2 0
10/31 vs OTT 17:10 0 0 3 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs NYI
PTS 0.7 (19) 0.8 (8) 0.9 (69) 0.5 (2)
1 · 0
SOG 2.5 (19) 2.5 (8) 2.4 (69) 4.5 (2)
5 · 4

Ivar Stenberg L0.6 PTS · 1.5 SOG · 0.3 G per game
Date Opp TOI G A SOG HIT
11/7 @ DAL 19:02 1 0 2 1
11/6 @ MIN 12:33 0 0 0 0
11/4 @ LAK 13:02 1 0 4 0
11/2 vs CGY 16:41 0 0 2 0
10/31 vs OTT 15:35 0 0 1 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs NYI
PTS 0.6 (19) 0.4 (8) – –
SOG 1.5 (19) 1.0 (8) – –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Islanders 7-9 9-7 8-8 4-5 3-4
Sharks 7-12 7-12 9-10 3-5 4-7

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Islanders vs Sharks head-to-head

Islanders are 5-1, 1-2 ATS, O/U 2-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Islanders won 2-1 on March 7, 2026.

Date Venue Islanders result ATS O/U
Mar 7, 26 Sharks home W 2-1 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 21, 25 Islanders home W 4-3 – –
Mar 8, 25 Sharks home W 4-2 – –
Jan 18, 25 Islanders home W 4-1 – –
Mar 7, 24 Sharks home W 7-2 W -1.5 O 5.5
Dec 5, 23 Islanders home L 4-5 L -1.5 O 5.5

Recent form

New York Islanders: last 10 (4-6, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 7, 26 vs NJ L 4-5 W +1.5 O 5.5
Nov 5, 26 vs CAR L 3-5 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 31, 26 vs EDM L 0-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 29, 26 @ MIN W 4-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 27, 26 @ NSH W 4-3 W +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 25, 26 @ DAL L 3-6 L +1.5 O 5.5
Oct 22, 26 vs LA L 2-3 W +1.5 U 5.5
Oct 20, 26 vs ANA W 3-2 L -1.5 U 5.5
Oct 17, 26 @ TOR W 4-1 W +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 15, 26 @ OTT L 1-2 W +1.5 U 5.5

San Jose Sharks: last 10 (3-7, 3-7 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 7, 26 @ DAL L 3-4 W +1.5 O 6.5
Nov 6, 26 @ MIN L 1-4 L +1.5 U 6.5
Nov 4, 26 @ LA L 2-7 L +1.5 O 6.5
Nov 2, 26 vs CGY L 1-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 31, 26 vs OTT L 1-5 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 29, 26 vs VAN W 3-2 L -1.5 U 6.5
Oct 27, 26 vs BUF L 0-2 L +1.5 U 6.5
Oct 24, 26 @ BOS L 4-6 L +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 22, 26 @ OTT W 6-2 W +1.5 O 6.5
Oct 20, 26 @ MTL W 4-3 W +1.5 O 6.5

Injury report

New York Islanders

  • Calum Ritchie (C): Injured Reserve, Lower Body
  • Mathew Barzal (C): Injured Reserve, Barzal
  • Alexander Romanov (D): Injured Reserve, Knee
  • Matias Maccelli (L): Injured Reserve, Maccelli
  • Ryan Pulock (D): Out, Upper Body

San Jose Sharks

  • Alexander Wennberg (C): Injured Reserve, Upper Body
  • Igor Chernyshov (L): Injured Reserve, Upper Body

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Islanders defense Sharks defense
Goals allowed per game 3 (11th of 32) 3.58 (29th of 32)
Shots on goal allowed per game 28.5 (22nd of 32) 30.11 (29th of 32)
Points allowed per game 8 (10th of 32) 9.53 (27th of 32)
Power-play points allowed per game 1.5 (7th of 32) 2.53 (23rd of 32)
Pace (possessions) 53.9 (23rd) 57.1 (5th)

Venue and weather

SAP Center at San Jose · San Jose, CAIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Islanders vs Sharks odds by sportsbook

Book NYI spread SJ spread NYI ML SJ ML Over Under
bet365 -1.5 +175 +1.5 -210 -139 +119 O 6.5 -103 U 6.5 -117
BetRivers -1.5 +188 +1.5 -238 -132 +112 O 6.5 +104 U 6.5 -128
Caesars -1.5 +170 +1.5 -210 -140 +120 O 6.5 +101 U 6.5 -124
DraftKings -1.5 +180 +1.5 -218 -142 +120 O 6.5 -102 U 6.5 -118
FanDuel -1.5 +168 +1.5 -210 -140 +116 O 6.5 -102 U 6.5 -120
Fanatics -1.5 +170 +1.5 -215 -145 +120 O 6.5 +100 U 6.5 -120

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 3:20 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Sharks spread +1.5 +1.5 –
Total 6.5 6.5 –
Islanders moneyline -130 -142 +2.2% win chance
Sharks moneyline +110 +120 -2.2% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Sharks spread +1.5 → +1.5
Total 6.5 → 6.5
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More on these teams: New York Islanders stats · San Jose Sharks stats · San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars Nov 7 · New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders Nov 7 · All NHL prop picks

Betting guides: NHL player props guide · NHL shots on goal strategy · NHL points props guide · how parlays work

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