Magic vs Warriors Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 7, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	OT	T
Magic	19	22	37	32	9	119
Warriors	31	26	20	33	16	126

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Golden State beat Orlando 126-119, with overtime deciding it after regulation ended tied. The game swung in the third quarter when Orlando erased a double-digit halftime deficit and took a lead, but the Warriors controlled the extra period 16-9.

Stephen Curry led Golden State with 41 points, Draymond Green had 13 assists and Yaxel Lendeborg grabbed 8 rebounds. Franz Wagner paced Orlando with 30 points and 11 assists, while Jamal Cain pulled down 12 rebounds. Golden State shot 54 percent from the field and 47 percent from three to Orlando’s 38 and 33 percent. Orlando’s 57 rebounds and 24 offensive boards kept it close, but Golden State turned turnovers into 26 points compared with Orlando’s 10.

For bettors, Orlando covered the 7.5-point closing spread by half a point, and the game went over the 220.5 total by 24.5.

How the props finished

8 of 11 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Gui Santos	Over 2.5 rebounds	-149 betus	1 Missed
Draymond Green	Over 5.5 assists	-122 Kalshi	13 Cleared
Brandin Podziemski	Over 1.5 threes made	-150 Kalshi	4 Cleared
Stephen Curry	Over 0.5 steals	-190 Fanatics	0 Missed
De’Anthony Melton	Over 5.5 rebounds + assists	+122 prophetexchange	2 Missed
Franz Wagner	Over 0.5 steals	-270 FanDuel	2 Cleared
Georges Niang	Over 9.5 points + rebounds + assists	-200 bet365	14 Cleared
Charles Bassey	Over 4.5 points	-116 FanDuel	8 Cleared
Al Horford	Over 3.5 rebounds	-141 betus	5 Cleared
Wendell Carter Jr.	Over 0.5 threes made	-156 Kalshi	3 Cleared
Anthony Black	Over 0.5 steals	-245 bet365	4 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

MagicWarriors

38%FG%54%

33%3P%47%

71%FT%81%

57Rebounds42

29Assists32

44Points in the paint50

5Fast break points8

14Turnovers19

9Steals10

6Blocks10

6Biggest lead16

Box score

Orlando MagicGolden State Warriors

Orlando Magic

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Franz Wagner F	40	30	11-22	3-7	5-5	6	11	6	2	0	1	5	4	-2
Tristan da Silva F	39	19	7-21	5-16	0-0	7	2	1	1	0	5	2	0	-9
Wendell Carter Jr. C	40	19	6-12	3-3	4-9	11	0	2	0	2	6	5	6	-9
Anthony Black G	38	18	7-19	2-6	2-3	8	6	2	4	3	3	5	4	-7
Jase Richardson G	30	2	1-13	0-6	0-0	4	4	1	0	0	3	1	2	+5
Bench
Jamal Cain F	36	18	6-14	2-8	4-4	12	1	2	1	1	4	8	3	-15
Nikola Vucevic C	6	0	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	-5
Goga Bitadze C	7	4	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	0	0	5	1	+7
Jevon Carter G	15	9	3-7	3-7	0-0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	-8
Alex Morales G	15	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	+8
Colin Castleton	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		119	43-113	18-54	15-21	57	29	14	9	6	24	33	24

Team shooting: FG 38% · 3PT 33% · FT 71%

Golden State Warriors

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Draymond Green F	34	2	1-5	0-1	0-2	6	13	4	2	2	0	6	2	+11
Gui Santos F	12	3	1-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	2	1	0	0	1	1	-4
Yaxel Lendeborg F	37	23	9-15	2-4	3-4	8	3	6	0	3	1	7	5	+6
Stephen Curry G	36	41	13-19	5-10	10-10	6	6	3	0	0	0	6	3	+11
Brandin Podziemski G	39	15	5-7	4-5	1-2	7	1	0	2	1	1	6	3	+6
Bench
Georges Niang F	25	11	4-6	3-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	0	0	2	3	+13
Al Horford C	13	2	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	4	0	0	2	0	5	0	-5
Charles Bassey C	11	8	2-4	0-0	4-4	4	0	0	0	1	1	3	1	-3
Gary Payton II G	13	4	2-5	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	2	0
De’Anthony Melton G	17	4	1-5	1-3	1-2	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	+1
Brandon Williams G	17	9	3-7	0-2	3-3	0	2	2	2	0	0	0	3	-2
Will Richard G	12	4	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	+1
Malevy Leons	Did not play: Coach’s decision
LJ Cryer	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		126	43-80	15-32	25-31	42	32	18	10	10	3	39	25

Team shooting: FG 54% · 3PT 47% · FT 81%

Attendance 18,064 · Officials: Curtis Blair, Robert Hussey, Intae Hwang

Recap: Stephen Curry scores 41 points as Warriors win seventh straight, beating Magic 126-119 in overtime (ESPN)

Highlights

• Yaxel Lendeborg throws down powerful slam vs. Orlando Magic (ESPN)
• Brandon Williams gets the hoop and the harm (ESPN)
• Stephen Curry hits the 3-point shot Orlando Magic (ESPN)
• Warriors-Magic gets chippy after Niang’s hard foul on Carter Jr. (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• Magic have failed to cover in 3 straight games.
• The under has hit in 3 straight Magic games.
• Magic are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10.
• The over is 3-7 in Magic’ last 10 games.
• Warriors have covered the spread in 7 straight games.
• Warriors are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
• Magic are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings with the Warriors.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Magic vs Warriors on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

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Magic vs Warriors pre-game preview

The betting market lists Golden State at -270 on the moneyline and -7.5 on the spread, with the total at 219.5. Orlando enters 2-6 straight up and 2-6 against the spread, and its last 10 are 3-7 and 3-7 ATS, including a 104-117 loss at Phoenix on Nov. 5. Golden State is 6-3 and 7-2 ATS, with a 6-4 last-10 mark and 7-3 ATS, after a 120-100 win over Miami. The last meeting on Dec. 22, 2025 was a 97-120 Orlando road loss, and over the last six meetings Orlando is 1-5 straight up and 0-1 ATS.

Injuries are a major research angle. Orlando lists Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac, Izaiyah Nelson and Noah Penda out. Golden State lists Kristaps Porzingis, Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody out.

The defensive ranks add context: Orlando allows 29.5 assists (28th) and Golden State allows 27.2 (23rd), while pace sits at 100.2 for Orlando (24th) and 101.2 for Golden State (19th). The Gui Santos over 2.5 rebounds prop has cleared 10 of last 10 and the StatsBench model projects 5.1.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Magic	2-6	2-6	3-5	0-4	2-2
Warriors	6-3	7-2	5-4	4-1	2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Magic vs Warriors head-to-head

Magic are 1-5, 0-1 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Magic lost 97-120 on December 22, 2025.

Recent form

Orlando Magic: last 10 (3-7, 3-7 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Golden State Warriors: last 10 (6-4, 7-3 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 11:45 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Venue and weather

Magic vs Warriors odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart