Manchester United vs AS Roma Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 3, 2026)

Manchester Utd21st in the Champions League
FINAL3 – 2
AS Roma logo

AS Roma15th in the Champions League

Champions League · Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 3:00 PM ET

How the bets settled

ResultManchester Utd winFinished 3-2
Both teams to scoreYesManchester Utd 3, AS Roma 2

Match report

Manchester Utd beat AS Roma 3-2, with M. Cunha scoring at 83 and 86 minutes after M. Soule had given AS Roma an 11th-minute lead; Manchester Utd also finished with a red card. The match stats reflected United’s edge: they had 2.72 expected goals to Roma’s 1.53, 15 shots to 7, six on target to four and 52% possession, while big chances were 3-2. Before the match, United’s form read LLW and Roma’s WLD. Both teams to score had been priced yes at -225, and both sides had over 2.5 rates of 67%. Soule’s opener and Cunha’s late double, with S. Lacey assisting the second and R. Mora assisting Soule’s opener, were the key individual contributions in a match that delivered five goals and a red card.

How the props finished

1 of 1 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Leonardo Balerdi Over 1.5 tackles -180 DraftKings 3 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Goals

  • 11′ M. Soule, assist R. Mora AS Roma
  • 83′ M. Cunha Manchester Utd
  • 86′ M. Cunha, assist S. Lacey Manchester Utd
Match stats Manchester Utd AS Roma
Expected goals (xG) 2.72 1.53
Ball possession 52% 48%
Total shots 15 7
Shots on target 6 4
Big chances 3 2
Corner kicks 3 1
Passes 83% (415/503) 82% (373/457)
Yellow cards 5 3
Red cards 1 0

How the key matchups went

  • Diallo: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Wesley Franca: 1 foul committed, 6 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
  • Cunha: 4 shots, 3 shots on target, 3 fouls won. Rensch: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
  • Mbeumo: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Mancini: 4 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Balerdi: 2 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Hermoso: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
  • Malen: 2 shots, 2 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Maguire: 2 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card. Heaven: 2 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 1 yellow card.

Box score

Manchester Utd

Player MIN G A SH SOT xG KP PAS TKL FC FS YC SV RAT
Maguire H. 88 0 0 1 0 0.12 1 49/55 1 2 0 1 0 7.0
Diallo A. 75 0 0 1 0 0.06 0 23/26 2 0 1 0 0 6.6
Fernandes B. 88 1 0 4 1 0.92 5 46/53 0 0 1 1 0 8.1
Heaven A. 75 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 42/48 2 2 0 1 0 6.4
Baleba C. 51 0 0 1 0 0.05 1 26/32 0 0 3 0 0 6.9
Cunha M. 90 2 0 4 3 0.89 2 25/33 3 4 3 0 0 9.0
Dalot D. 90 0 0 2 1 0.26 0 31/37 4 0 0 0 0 7.7
Yoro L. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 34/38 1 0 0 0 0 6.8
Mainoo K. 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 1 65/78 3 0 1 0 0 7.4
Mbeumo B. 90 0 0 1 0 0.41 0 13/18 2 1 1 0 0 6.0
Lammens S. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 18/35 0 0 0 0 2 6.5
de Ligt M. 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 1/2 0 0 0 0 0 –
Martinez Li. 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 8/9 0 0 0 0 0 6.4
Lacey S. 15 0 1 0 0 0.00 0 7/7 1 0 0 0 0 7.1
Mount M. 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0/0 0 0 0 0 0 –
Tielemans Y. 39 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 25/26 0 1 2 0 0 6.5

AS Roma

Player MIN G A SH SOT xG KP PAS TKL FC FS YC SV RAT
Mora R. 45 0 1 0 0 0.00 3 18/20 0 0 0 0 0 7.5
Hermoso M. 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 34/40 1 1 0 0 0 6.3
Balerdi L. 90 0 0 1 1 0.07 0 39/45 3 2 1 0 0 6.0
Cristante B. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 1 43/51 1 1 0 0 0 6.8
De Roon M. 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0 37/43 4 2 1 0 0 6.4
Rensch D. 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 7/8 1 0 0 0 0 6.3
Wesley Franca 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 23/31 6 1 0 0 0 6.9
Mancini G. 75 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 30/37 2 4 1 0 0 5.7
Vasquez Llach D. S. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 18/35 0 0 0 0 2 5.8
Soule M. 90 1 0 3 1 0.60 0 32/43 1 0 1 1 0 6.8
Malen D. 78 1 0 2 2 0.85 0 17/20 0 1 0 1 0 6.0
Ghilardi D. 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 4/4 0 0 0 0 0 6.4
Ndicka E. 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 6/8 0 0 1 0 0 6.3
Lulli E. 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 17/20 0 1 1 1 0 5.9
Castro S. 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 3/3 1 0 2 0 0 6.3
Pisilli N. 45 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 12/13 1 0 0 0 0 6.4

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

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Manchester Utd vs AS Roma pre-game preview

Manchester United host AS Roma in a Champions League match on Tuesday. The total is listed as n/a, while both teams to score is priced yes -215 and no +170. United sit 21st with 3 points from three matches (W1 D0 L2), form LLW. Roma are 15th with 4 points (W1 D1 L1), form WLD. United’s Champions League line shows 5 scored and 6 conceded; Roma have 8 scored and 5 conceded.

Injury lists remove several players, including United’s Dorgu, Ugarte, Sesko, Rashford and Shaw, plus Roma’s Svilar, Kone and Pellegrini. A prop angle to monitor is Leonardo Balerdi over 1.5 tackles at -180, which has cleared in 5 of his last 9. Roma’s 67% both-teams-to-score rate and United’s 33% mark add context for the goals market.

The next Champions League slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Manchester Utd 4-2-3-1AS Roma 3-4-2-1

1 Lammens
15 Yoro
5 Maguire
26 Heaven
2 Dalot
20 Baleba
37 Mainoo
16 Diallo
8 Fernandes (C)
10 Cunha
19 Mbeumo
32 Vasquez Llach
23 Mancini
26 Balerdi
22 Hermoso
2 Rensch
4 Cristante (C)
15 De Roon
43 Wesley Franca
18 Soule
86 Mora
14 Malen

Manchester Utd missing: P. Dorgu (hamstring), M. Rashford (hip), B. Sesko (leg), L. Shaw (injury), M. Ugarte (knee)

AS Roma missing: P. Dybala (calf), P. Gollini (back), M. Kone (muscle), Pellegrini Lo. (thigh), M. Svilar (toe)

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Form and head to head

Manchester Utd22nd in the tableLLW1W 0D 2L · 1.00 points a match
No recent meetings
AS Roma16th in the tableWLD1W 1D 1L · 1.33 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Manchester Utd

33%

Clean sheet1/3

33%

Failed to score1/3

33%

Both scored1/3

67%

Over 2.52/3

AS Roma

33%

Clean sheet1/3

0%

Failed to score0/3

67%

Both scored2/3

67%

Over 2.52/3

Attack and defense

Attacking

Manchester UtdAS Roma
33%Win %33%
48%Possession %62%
33%Both teams scored %67%
33%Scored first %100%
  • 1.7Scored per match2.7
  • 13.7Shots per match15.7
  • 6.0Shots on target per match6.3
  • 1.3Big chances per match1.3

Defensive

Manchester UtdAS Roma
67%Loss %33%
33%Failed to score %0%
33%Clean sheet %33%
67%Conceded first %0%
  • 2.0Conceded per match1.7
  • 10.7Shots against per match9.3
  • 20.3Tackles per match12.0
  • 12.0Fouls per match14.3

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Manchester United LLW L 1-4 at Como · L 0-2 at ATM · W 4-0 vs Sabah FA
AS Roma WLD W 4-0 vs SLV · L 3-4 vs RMA · D 1-1 at FEN

Last five Champions League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Manchester United AS Roma
Table 22 (3 pts) 16 (4 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 1-0-2 1-1-1
Home / away record 1-0-0 (4-0) home 0-1-0 (1-1) away
Goals scored per match 1.67 2.67
Goals conceded per match 2.00 1.67
Shots / on target per match 13.67 / 6.00 15.67 / 6.33
Both teams scored 33% 67%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 100% / 67% / 67% 100% / 67% / 67%
Clean sheets 33% 33%
Failed to score 33% 0%
Yellow cards per match 1.67 1.33
Corners per match 5.33 5.33

This season, 3 and 3 matches.

Injury report

Manchester Utd

  • Patrick Dorgu (M): Out, Hamstring Injury
  • Manuel Ugarte (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Benjamin Sesko (F): Out, Leg Injury
  • Marcus Rashford (F): Out, Hip Injury
  • Luke Shaw (D): Out, Knock Injury

AS Roma

  • Mile Svilar (G): Out, Broken Finger
  • Manu Koné (M): Out, Thigh Injury
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini (F): Out, Thigh Injury
  • Muhammed Bah (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Pierluigi Gollini (G): Out, Back Injury
The next Champions League slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.
The next Champions League slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. A free account opens the board. Pro unlocks all of it.

More on these teams: All Champions League prop picks

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