Nets vs Pelicans Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 11, 2026)

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NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Brooklyn Nets logo

Nets2-8 · 6-4 ATS13th in the East
8:00 PM ETWed, Nov 11Win % 42–58
New Orleans Pelicans logo

Pelicans4-7 · 6-5 ATS12th in the West

NBA · Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Smoothie King Center

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Brooklyn Nets +140 +3.5 -108 O 228.5 -105
New Orleans Pelicans -158 -3.5 -106 U 228.5 -110

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 3:33 PM ET.

Nets vs Pelicans preview

The betting market makes New Orleans the favorite at -172, with a -4.5 spread and a 229.5 total; the opening DraftKings line was NO -4.5 and 230.5, now NO -5.5 and 229.5. Brooklyn is 2-8 straight up and 6-4 against the spread this season, also 2-8 and 6-4 ATS over its last 10, with a most recent 93-130 loss at Dallas on November 8. New Orleans is 4-7 straight up and 6-5 ATS this season, 4-6 and 6-4 ATS over its last 10, and lost 87-138 at Golden State on November 9. The last meeting was January 14, 2026, when Brooklyn lost 113-116 on the road; the last six head-to-head meetings are 3-3 straight up, 1-1 ATS, and 0-2 on the total.

The most useful angles are the defensive ranks and pace. New Orleans allows 122.4 points per game, rank 28, while Brooklyn allows 115.7, rank 20; New Orleans plays at 103.3 pace, rank 4, and Brooklyn at 101.6, rank 17. StatsBench projects Derik Queen at 15 points plus assists against a 10.5 line that he has cleared in 9 of his last 10.

StatsBench picks for this game

  • Zion Williamson OVER 1.5 STL (+105): pending

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Top Nets vs Pelicans player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Moritz Wagner BKN Over 0.5 threes made -119 DraftKings 90% (9/10) 80% –
Trey Murphy III NOP Over 2.5 assists -175 Fanatics 90% (9/10) 100% 3.6
Egor Demin BKN Over 0.5 steals -110 bet365 80% (8/10) 60% 0.8
Michael Porter Jr. BKN Over 6.5 rebounds -112 bet365 80% (8/10) 80% 8.4
Karlo Matkovic NOP Over 0.5 threes made -190 bet365 80% (8/10) 80% –

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 3:33 PM ET.

The rest of the Nets vs Pelicans propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Zion WilliamsonOver 1.5 stls blks8/10
Saddiq BeyOver 0.5 stls blks8/10
Julius RandleOver 0.5 stls blks8/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Karlo Matkovic vs Nets

Karlo MatkovicPF, NOP
VS
NetsDefense vs power forwards
Good matchup for Karlo MatkovicNets allow 2.3 threes a game to power forwards, 9th most in the league. Matkovic averages 1.6 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest22nd of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 0.58/10avg 1.6 · 22nd of 30 vs PF · -190bet365
Points + rebounds + assists over 9.57/10avg 14.5 · 28th of 30 vs PF · -260bet365
Blocks over 0.55/10avg 0.5 · 3rd of 30 vs PF · -160bet365

Trey Murphy III vs Nets

Trey Murphy IIISF, NOP
VS
NetsDefense vs small forwards
Good matchup for Trey Murphy IIINets allow 6.2 assists a game to small forwards, 10th most in the league. III averages 3.6 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest21st of 30, assistsSoftest
Assists over 2.59/10avg 3.6 · 21st of 30 vs SF · -175Fanatics
Rebounds + assists over 7.58/10avg 8.3 · 21st of 30 vs SF · -112bet365
Steals over 0.57/10avg 0.9 · 29th of 30 vs SF · -275Fanatics

Jeremiah Fears vs Nets

Jeremiah FearsSG, NOP
VS
NetsDefense vs shooting guards
Good matchup for Jeremiah FearsNets allow 2.3 steals a game to shooting guards, 10th most in the league. Fears averages 1.2 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest21st of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.58/10avg 1.2 · 21st of 30 vs SG · -312BetRivers
Rebounds over 4.56/10avg 4.7 · 16th of 30 vs SG · +135bet365
Assists over 4.56/10avg 5.3 · 27th of 30 vs SG · -143BetParx

Egor Demin vs Pelicans

Egor DeminPG, BKN
VS
PelicansDefense vs point guards
Even matchupPelicans allow 2.2 steals a game to point guards, 13th most in the league. Demin averages 0.9 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest18th of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.58/10avg 0.9 · 18th of 30 vs PG · -110bet365
Rebounds + assists over 5.56/10avg 6.2 · 20th of 30 vs PG · +140bet365
Rebounds over 2.56/10avg 3 · 6th of 30 vs PG · +125bet365

Moritz Wagner vs Pelicans

Moritz WagnerC, BKN
VS
PelicansDefense vs centers
Even matchupPelicans allow 0.8 threes a game to centers, 13th fewest in the league. Wagner averages 1.1 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest13th of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 0.59/10avg 1.1 · 13th of 30 vs C · -119DraftKings
Points over 8.56/10avg 10.4 · 20th of 30 vs C · -108DraftKings
Rebounds over 2.56/10avg 3.2 · 24th of 30 vs C · -166DraftKings

Michael Porter Jr. vs Pelicans

Michael Porter Jr.SF, BKN
VS
PelicansDefense vs small forwards
Tough matchup for Michael Porter Jr.Pelicans allow 9.5 rebounds a game to small forwards, 9th fewest in the league. Jr. averages 7.7 against a line of 6.5.
Toughest9th of 30, reboundsSoftest
Rebounds over 6.58/10avg 7.7 · 9th of 30 vs SF · -112bet365
Steals over 0.57/10avg 1.3 · 1st of 30 vs SF · -225FanDuel
Points + assists over 25.56/10avg 22.6 · 3rd of 30 vs SF · -112BetRivers

Betting trends

  • Pelicans have failed to cover in 3 straight games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Projected starting lineups

Projected starting fives. Teams confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip and this page updates then. Updated 3:33 PM ET. The badge next to each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

Brooklyn NetsProjected
  1. PGNolan TraoréOver 1.5 rebounds7/10
  2. SGEgor DeminOver 5.5 rebounds + assists6/10
  3. SFMichael Porter Jr.Over 6.5 rebounds8/10
  4. PFJulius RandleOver 25.5 points + assists6/10
  5. CDay’Ron Sharpe

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Grant Nelson (out), Tyler Bilodeau (out), Joshua Jefferson (out), Ben Saraf (out), Nolan Traoré (questionable), Mikel Brown Jr. (out)

New Orleans PelicansProjected
  1. PGJeremiah FearsOver 4.5 rebounds6/10
  2. SGDejounte MurrayOver 4.5 assists6/10
  3. SFSaddiq BeyOver 3.5 rebounds7/10
  4. PFZion WilliamsonOver 21.5 points7/10
  5. CKarlo Matkovic

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Yves Missi (out), Trey Murphy III (doubtful), Trendon Watford (out), Bennedict Mathurin (out)

Every NBA starting lineup today

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for NBA players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Nets vs Pelicans defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 30 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Nets defense facing the Pelicans

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGJeremiah Fears 21.35th 5.610th 7.27th 2.96th 34.17th
SGDejounte Murray 28.825th 7.116th 7.527th 4.928th 43.425th
SFSaddiq Bey 31.021st 11.119th 6.221st 4.026th 48.322nd
PFZion Williamson 23.027th 10.828th 4.524th 2.322nd 38.328th
CKarlo Matkovic 17.417th 9.23rd 3.515th 1.225th 30.112th

Softest spot: 4.9 threes a game to shooting guards, 3rd most in the league. Dejounte Murray is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 9.2 rebounds a game to centers, 3rd fewest in the league. Karlo Matkovic is projected to start there.

Pelicans defense facing the Nets

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGNolan Traoré 39.028th 5.16th 11.629th 4.824th 55.726th
SGEgor Demin 23.514th 5.75th 4.23rd 3.18th 33.57th
SFMichael Porter Jr. 19.52nd 9.59th 4.58th 2.33rd 33.53rd
PFJulius Randle 21.721st 10.527th 4.222nd 2.424th 36.525th
CDay’Ron Sharpe 18.520th 13.424th 4.228th 0.813th 36.123rd

Softest spot: 11.6 assists a game to point guards, 2nd most in the league. Nolan Traoré is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 19.5 points a game to small forwards, 2nd fewest in the league. Michael Porter Jr. is projected to start there.

The props these matchups touchEvery NBA line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Brooklyn Nets

Michael Porter Jr. SF21.5 PTS · 7.7 REB · 1.1 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/8 @ DAL 28 19 9 0 4
11/7 @ ATL 36 25 9 1 3
11/4 vs CHA 38 26 10 0 4
11/2 @ NYK 37 18 5 2 4
11/1 @ IND 35 23 9 3 3
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NO
PTS 21.5 (10) 23.3 (6) 24.2 (52) 27.5 (2)
20 · 35
REB 7.7 (10) 8.8 (6) 7.1 (52) 8.0 (2)
7 · 9
AST 1.1 (10) 1.5 (6) 3.0 (52) 2.0 (2)
1 · 3

Julius Randle PF20.0 PTS · 6.7 REB · 5.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/8 @ DAL 30 13 4 4 0
11/7 @ ATL 34 19 6 8 1
11/4 vs CHA 30 22 3 4 2
11/2 @ NYK 36 21 11 2 0
11/1 @ IND 37 20 5 6 4
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NO
PTS 20.0 (10) 20.0 (6) 20.4 (91) 22.0 (2)
28 · 16
REB 6.7 (10) 6.8 (6) 6.8 (91) 7.0 (2)
9 · 5
AST 5.0 (10) 4.8 (6) 4.7 (91) 4.5 (2)
3 · 6

Nolan Traoré PG14.0 PTS · 2.0 REB · 2.9 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/8 @ DAL 21 14 1 2 2
11/7 @ ATL 22 19 1 2 2
11/4 vs CHA 27 16 4 2 2
11/2 @ NYK 24 17 3 4 5
11/1 @ IND 30 16 2 6 4
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs NO
PTS 12.9 (10) 14.0 (6) 8.9 (56) 5.0 (1)
5
REB 2.0 (10) 1.7 (6) 1.8 (56) 1.0 (1)
1
AST 2.6 (10) 2.8 (6) 3.8 (56) 1.0 (1)
1

New Orleans Pelicans

Zion Williamson PF21.0 PTS · 5.3 REB · 2.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/8 @ LAC 31 25 4 2 0
11/6 vs MIN 35 13 8 4 0
11/4 vs UTA 37 23 4 2 0
11/2 @ MEM 35 25 11 4 0
10/31 vs ATL 30 15 6 4 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs BKN
PTS 21.0 (10) 20.0 (6) 21.0 (62) 25.0 (1)
25
REB 5.3 (10) 5.3 (6) 5.7 (62) 6.0 (1)
6
AST 2.7 (10) 2.8 (6) 3.2 (62) 2.0 (1)
2

Trey Murphy III SF15.6 PTS · 4.8 REB · 3.6 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/8 @ LAC 30 26 7 3 4
11/6 vs MIN 33 10 4 5 1
11/2 @ MEM 39 18 5 5 3
10/31 vs ATL 28 15 5 5 1
10/29 vs SAC 31 19 5 3 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs BKN
PTS 15.6 (9) 12.2 (5) 21.5 (66) 28.5 (2)
34 · 23
REB 4.8 (9) 3.8 (5) 5.7 (66) 7.0 (2)
9 · 5
AST 3.6 (9) 3.4 (5) 3.8 (66) 5.0 (2)
5 · 5

Saddiq Bey SF15.5 PTS · 3.6 REB · 2.4 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 @ GSW 23 9 0 4 1
11/8 @ LAC 26 13 4 3 1
11/6 vs MIN 31 17 5 4 3
11/4 vs UTA 29 22 4 3 2
11/2 @ MEM 36 18 5 1 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs BKN
PTS 15.5 (11) 16.0 (6) 17.7 (72) 15.0 (2)
12 · 18
REB 3.6 (11) 4.0 (6) 5.6 (72) 4.5 (2)
4 · 5
AST 2.4 (11) 2.3 (6) 2.5 (72) 1.5 (2)
1 · 2

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Nets 2-8 6-4 5-5 1-3 1-5
Pelicans 4-7 6-5 7-4 3-3 1-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Nets vs Pelicans head-to-head

Nets are 3-3, 1-1 ATS, O/U 0-2 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Nets lost 113-116 on January 14, 2026.

Date Venue Nets result ATS O/U
Jan 14, 26 Pelicans home L 113-116 L +1.5 U 232.5
Dec 6, 25 Nets home W 119-101 W -3.5 U 227.5
Apr 8, 25 Nets home W 119-114 – –
Nov 11, 24 Pelicans home W 107-105 – –
Mar 19, 24 Nets home L 91-104 – –
Jan 2, 24 Pelicans home L 85-112 – –

Recent form

Brooklyn Nets: last 10 (2-8, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 8, 26 @ DAL L 93-130 L +7.5 U 223.5
Nov 7, 26 @ ATL L 121-124 W +6.5 O 227.5
Nov 4, 26 vs CHA W 114-104 W +3.5 O 213.5
Nov 2, 26 @ NY L 90-103 W +14.5 U 218.5
Nov 1, 26 @ IND W 98-90 W +3.5 U 230.5
Oct 30, 26 vs DET L 94-110 L +8.5 U 222.5
Oct 27, 26 @ BOS L 124-125 W +13.5 O 223.5
Oct 25, 26 vs IND L 109-136 L +5.5 O 231.5
Oct 24, 26 @ CLE L 121-125 W +11.5 O 228.5
Oct 21, 26 vs CHA L 103-110 L +1.5 U 220.5

New Orleans Pelicans: last 10 (4-6, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 9, 26 @ GS L 87-138 L +10.5 U 228.5
Nov 8, 26 @ LAC L 123-139 L -1.5 O 226.5
Nov 6, 26 vs MIN L 109-115 L +3.5 U 230.5
Nov 4, 26 vs UTAH W 120-113 W -5.5 O 231.5
Nov 2, 26 @ MEM W 135-134 W +5.5 O 231.5
Oct 31, 26 vs ATL W 121-99 W +5.5 U 239.5
Oct 29, 26 vs SAC W 132-120 W -6.5 O 234.5
Oct 28, 26 vs DEN L 91-104 L +4.5 U 241.5
Oct 24, 26 @ DEN L 135-141 W +11.5 O 239.5
Oct 23, 26 @ UTAH L 119-120 W +1.5 O 238.5

Injury report

Brooklyn Nets

  • Grant Nelson (SF): Out, G League – Two-Way
  • Tyler Bilodeau (SF): Out, G League – Two-Way
  • Joshua Jefferson (SF): Out, G League – On Assignment
  • Ben Saraf (SG): Out, G League – On Assignment
  • Nolan Traoré (PG): Questionable, Right Calf Tightness / Soreness
  • Mikel Brown Jr. (PG): Out, Illness

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Yves Missi (C): Out, Left Knee Contusion / Bone Bruise
  • Trey Murphy III (SF): Doubtful, Bilateral Patellar Tendinopathy
  • Trendon Watford (PF): Out, Right Ankle Sprain
  • Bennedict Mathurin (SF): Out, Right Thumb Sprain

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Nets defense Pelicans defense
Points allowed per game 115.7 (21st of 30) 122.4 (29th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 42.4 (11th of 30) 44.3 (17th of 30)
Assists allowed per game 27.4 (21st of 30) 28.6 (26th of 30)
Threes allowed per game 14.3 (22nd of 30) 13.4 (16th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 101.6 (15th) 103.3 (4th)

Venue and weather

Smoothie King Center · New Orleans, LAIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Nets vs Pelicans odds by sportsbook

Book BKN spread NO spread BKN ML NO ML Over Under
bet365 +4.5 -108 -4.5 -112 +138 -163 O 228.5 -105 U 228.5 -115
BetRivers +3.5 -108 -3.5 -114 +130 -179 O 226.5 -115 U 226.5 -108
Caesars +3.5 -113 -3.5 -109 +140 -170 O 227.5 -106 U 227.5 -117
DraftKings +3.5 -113 -3.5 -107 +136 -162 O 228.5 -110 U 228.5 -110
FanDuel +3.5 -114 -3.5 -106 +134 -158 O 228.5 -105 U 228.5 -115
Fanatics +3.5 -110 -3.5 -110 +135 -165 O 228 -110 U 228 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 3:33 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Pelicans spread -4.5 -3.5 +1
Total 230.5 228.5 -2
Nets moneyline +138 +136 +0.4% win chance
Pelicans moneyline -164 -162 -0.3% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Pelicans spread -4.5 → -3.5
Total 229.5 → 228.5
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More on these teams: Brooklyn Nets stats · New Orleans Pelicans stats · New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Nov 9 · Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks Nov 8 · All NBA prop picks

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