Nexus vs BAKS Prediction: CCT Europe 2026 Series 13 Odds & Stats (Nov 11, 2026)

by
Nexus logo

Nexus6-4 last 10World #78
10:00 AM ETWed, Nov 11Win % 47–53
BAKS logo

BAKS7-3 last 10World #115

CS2 · CCT Europe 2026 Series 13 · B-tier · Bo3 · Wed, Nov 11, 3:00 PM UK / 10:00 AM ET

Team Match Map 1
Nexus 1.94 1.88
BAKS 1.74 1.79

Decimal prices. They move, so check your book before you bet.

Nexus vs BAKS prediction

The market sees this as close to even, with BAKS at 53% once the bookmaker’s margin is taken out. Nexus won 6 of its last 10 series and BAKS 7 of its last 10. Check the roster first: BAKS may be using a stand-in (whisper).

BAKS: whisper looks like a stand-inNexus: 0d restNexus: 6 series in 14dBAKS: 1d restBAKS: 11 series in 14d

Top Nexus vs BAKS player props

Player Prop Price Hit rate
s0und Over 19.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 7/10
Norwi Over 28.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 7/10
s0und Over 30.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 6/10
Norwi Over 14.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 6/10
HOLY Over 28.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 6/10
HOLY Over 16.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 6/10

Storylines

Nexus

Worst map: Dust2, 34% across 32 maps.

BAKS

Best map: Ancient, 69% across 13 maps.

Worst map: Inferno, 29% across 14 maps.

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Recent form

Nexus

Won 2-0 MOUZ.N CCT Europe 2026 Series 14
Lost 1-2 BTF CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Won 2-0 FORZE.R CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Won 2-0 TLR CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Lost 1-2 BRUTE Fiesta Series 3

BAKS

Won 2-0 ACES NODWIN Clutch Series 14
Won 2-0 Azuolas CCT Europe 2026 Series 14
Won 2-0 L&G CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Lost 1-2 ACES CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Won 2-1 FF NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Play-In

Team comparison

NexusBAKS
46%Map win rate53%

n=144 / 118 maps

52%CT round win53%

n=1532 / 1264 rounds

47%T round win48%

n=1468 / 1244 rounds

55%Pistol win47%

n=284 / 236 pistols

12%Clutch conversion12%

n=1605 / 1258 attempts · all teams 12%

52%Trade kill after first death54%

n=1526 / 1194 rounds · all teams 52%

12%Overtime rate9%

n=143 / 118 maps

Comebacks and pistols

NexusBAKS
19%Won map after trailing by 3+24%

n=88 / 72 maps trailed

8%Won map after trailing by 5+8%

n=61 / 50 maps trailed

38%Won map after losing a pistol40%

n=60 / 62 pistols lost · all teams 41%

52%Won map after winning a pistol66%

n=83 / 56 pistols won · all teams 58%

21%Won series after losing map 140%

n=24 / 15 series

Economy

Round win rate by team equipment value, pistol rounds left out.

NexusBAKS
6%Eco (under $5k)5%

n=175 / 138 rounds

17%Semi buy ($5-10k)23%

n=161 / 108 rounds

41%Force buy ($10-20k)39%

n=360 / 288 rounds

57%Full buy ($20k+)59%

n=2020 / 1738 rounds

How their rounds end

Share of the rounds each team won.

NexusBAKS
67%Elimination64%

n=1486 / 1276 rounds won · all teams 66%

18%Bomb exploded17%

n=1486 / 1276 rounds won · all teams 17%

11%Defuse15%

n=1486 / 1276 rounds won · all teams 13%

4%Time ran out4%

n=1486 / 1276 rounds won · all teams 4%

What each team gives up

Last 60 days Nexus BAKS
Kills allowed per map 70.7 #77 of 238 68.3 #43 of 238
Headshots allowed per map 36.6 #81 of 238 36.5 #79 of 238
Enemy ADR 71.6 #59 of 238 71.2 #50 of 238

Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a higher number is a softer matchup for player overs.

Head to head

No recent meetings in our data.

Map pool

Nexus BAKS
Map Win CT T Pistol Rounds Win CT T Pistol Rounds
Dust2 34% 32 49% 42% 53% 20.1 50% 22 47% 50% 45% 20.5
Cache 58% 12 59% 51% 67% 21.9 66% 29 58% 51% 41% 20.8
Ancient 42% 26 48% 49% 48% 20.6 69% 13 57% 56% 58% 22.1
Inferno 39% 23 46% 47% 67% 22.2 29% 14 43% 46% 46% 20.3
Mirage 59% 17 67% 44% 71% 21.2 56% 16 57% 49% 41% 22.7
Anubis 54% 24 47% 54% 40% 20.9 0% 1 13% 50% 0% 20.0
Nuke 0% 1 42% 45% 50% 23.0 53% 19 59% 45% 58% 22.3
Overpass 57% 7 64% 34% 36% 20.0 0% 3 48% 16% 33% 18.3

Win rate with maps played beside it, round win by side, pistol win and average rounds. Maps either team played at least 3 times.

Rounds per map, last 10

WonLost

Nexus

23Anu
24Dus
28Mir
20Inf
21Cac
24Dus
23Anu
16Anc
21Inf
19Dus

Average 21.9 rounds a map, margin +1.1 (last 10).

BAKS

21Inf
18Dus
20Cac
23Mir
16Nuk
20Cac
15Inf
21Cac
13Anc
17Dus

Average 18.4 rounds a map, margin +5.4 (last 10).

Player form

Averages per map over each player’s last 10 maps with the team.

Nexus

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
s0und 10 16.1 13.6 82.6 72 72 1.5
shield 10 15.5 11.2 72.7 71 32 1.6
Nexius 10 15.2 15.0 80.4 71 62 2.3
fNk 10 14.6 13.9 83.2 78 52 1.9
HOLY 10 11.3 13.1 61.4 72 58 1.0

Not seen in the last 5 series: drn, H4rder.

BAKS

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
glowiing 10 15.9 10.2 92.3 83 59 1.9
danistzz 10 14.7 9.2 77.2 84 34 2.7
whisper Stand-in 10 13.8 10.5 81.3 82 63 2.4
Norwi 10 13.0 10.3 89.9 82 55 2.7
turbo 10 12.0 11.2 72.6 80 68 1.4

Not seen in the last 5 series: Pradiggg, MrTrelog, Xoma, Meepff.

Stats vs markets

How each team’s recent results grade the posted prices. The bar is the team’s rate, the tick is the market’s chance with the margin taken out. Small samples swing a lot.

Series winnerthunderpick
Nexus1.94BAKS1.74
Nexus+13 vs market60%

6-4 last 10market 47%

BAKS+17 vs market70%

7-3 last 10market 53%

Total maps 2.5cloudbet
Over 2.52.01Under 2.51.78
Nexus+1 vs market48%

13/27 Bo3s went 3market 47%

BAKS+9 vs market56%

18/32 Bo3s went 3market 47%

Map 1 winnerthunderpick
Nexus1.88BAKS1.79
Nexus-4 vs market45%

29/64 map 1s wonmarket 49%

BAKS+9 vs market60%

27/45 map 1s wonmarket 51%

Map 2 winnerthunderpick
Nexus1.88BAKS1.79
Nexus+2 vs market51%

27/53 map 2s wonmarket 49%

BAKS-8 vs market43%

20/47 map 2s wonmarket 51%

Map 3 winnercloudbet
Nexus2.01BAKS1.77
Nexus-9 vs market38%

10/26 map 3+s wonmarket 47%

BAKS+5 vs market58%

15/26 map 3+s wonmarket 53%

Odds board

Match lines

Series winner Nexus 1.94 BAKS 1.74
Total maps 2.5 Over 2.01 Under 1.78

Map 1

Winner Nexus 1.88 BAKS 1.79
Round handicap Nexus 1.65 BAKS 2.18
Round totals 21.5 Over 1.86 Under 1.91
Map 2 3 markets
Winner Nexus 1.88 BAKS 1.79
Round handicap Nexus 1.66 BAKS 2.17
Round totals 21.5 Over 1.84 Under 1.89
Map 3 3 markets
Winner Nexus 2.01 BAKS 1.77
Round handicap Nexus 1.67 BAKS 2.16
Round totals 21.5 Over 1.84 Under 1.89

Decimal prices from thunderpick, cloudbet. They move, so check your book before you bet.

More: All CS2 predictions · Esports · CS2 scores · CS2 prop picks · Pistol round lab

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favoured in Nexus vs BAKS?

The market has BAKS at 53% once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. That is the price, not a guarantee.

When is Nexus vs BAKS?

Wed, Nov 11 at 3:00 PM UK, 10:00 AM ET, in CCT Europe 2026 Series 13, best of 3.

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