Pacers vs Mavericks Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 9, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Pacers	31	35	27	29	122
Mavericks	26	30	34	35	125

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Indiana Pacers 125-122, and the game swung after halftime. Indiana led by 10 at the break, but Dallas controlled the second half and held on through a 35-point fourth quarter.

Cooper Flagg powered Dallas with 43 points, 10 rebounds and 6 assists. Pascal Siakam led Indiana with 29 points and 9 rebounds, while Andrew Nembhard added 12 assists. Both teams shot 52 percent from the field, but Dallas owned the glass 43-27 and grabbed 10 offensive rebounds to Indiana’s 1. Indiana had 35 assists to Dallas’s 26, yet the extra possessions helped Dallas pull it out.

For bettors, the Mavericks closed at -4.5 and won by 3, so the Pacers covered by 1.5. The closing total of 227.5 sailed over by 19.5 in a 247-point game.

How the props finished

8 of 11 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Andrew Nembhard	Over 3.5 points	-110 Bally Bet	12 Cleared
Santi Aldama	Over 7.5 points	-110 Fanatics	10 Cleared
Obi Toppin	Over 7.5 field goal attempts	-160 Fanatics	8 Cleared
Kyrie Irving	Over 0.5 steals	-244 BetRivers	0 Missed
P.J. Washington	Over 1.5 threes made	-122 Kalshi	2 Cleared
Kelly Oubre Jr.	Over 3.5 rebounds + assists	-125 bet365	4 Cleared
Pascal Siakam	Over 24.5 points + assists	-102 BetRivers	37 Cleared
Aaron Nesmith	Over 13.5 points + assists	-105 Fanatics	20 Cleared
Ivica Zubac	Over 1.5 assists	-138 Kalshi	0 Missed
Naji Marshall	Over 2.5 assists	-165 Hard Rock	2 Missed
Cooper Flagg	Over 1.5 steals	+130 Fanatics	3 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

PacersMavericks

52%FG%52%

43%3P%41%

75%FT%74%

27Rebounds43

35Assists26

46Points in the paint46

10Fast break points14

13Turnovers15

9Steals9

2Blocks4

13Biggest lead8

Box score

Indiana PacersDallas Mavericks

Indiana Pacers

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Pascal Siakam F	35	29	9-16	5-8	6-8	9	8	0	2	0	0	9	3	-5
Ivica Zubac C	28	16	5-7	0-0	6-8	3	0	1	0	0	0	3	1	+6
Andrew Nembhard G	34	12	5-10	1-2	1-1	3	12	3	0	1	0	3	4	+15
Aaron Nesmith G	34	18	5-14	4-10	4-6	2	2	2	1	1	0	2	4	-5
Braden Smith G	10	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	-3
Bench
Larry Nance Jr. F	14	4	1-3	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	-7
Obi Toppin F	19	10	5-8	0-2	0-0	2	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	0
Jarace Walker F	10	7	2-7	2-5	1-2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	-9
T.J. McConnell G	8	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	3	4	1	0	0	0	0	-5
Kelly Oubre Jr. G	23	14	6-9	1-3	1-1	2	2	2	0	0	0	2	3	-8
Quenton Jackson G	25	10	4-6	2-3	0-0	5	4	1	2	0	1	4	4	+6
Jalen Slawson	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jay Huff	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		122	43-82	15-35	21-28	27	35	13	9	2	1	26	25

Team shooting: FG 52% · 3PT 43% · FT 75%

Dallas Mavericks

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Caleb Martin F	19	0	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	5	0	1	0	0	3	1	-11
Daniel Gafford F	20	8	2-3	0-0	4-5	2	3	0	1	0	0	2	4	+15
P.J. Washington F	35	13	4-12	2-8	3-6	9	1	2	2	2	2	7	4	-2
Cooper Flagg F	39	43	16-25	3-6	8-8	10	6	5	3	1	2	8	4	-8
Kyrie Irving G	38	35	11-18	7-10	6-7	0	4	2	0	0	0	0	1	+29
Bench
Naji Marshall F	25	6	2-4	0-0	2-5	5	2	1	1	0	3	2	3	-7
Santi Aldama F	19	10	4-9	1-5	1-1	4	1	2	0	0	1	3	1	+4
Zaccharie Risacher F	15	4	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	-13
Max Christie G	5	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	+7
Walter Clayton Jr. G	25	6	2-6	1-4	1-2	6	4	2	1	1	0	6	1	+1
Tobi Lawal	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Moussa Cisse	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Marcus Sasser	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jett Howard	Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total		125	43-83	14-34	25-34	43	26	15	9	4	10	33	23

Team shooting: FG 52% · 3PT 41% · FT 74%

Attendance 19,065 · Officials: Sean Wright, J.B. DeRosa, JD Ralls

Recap: Flagg has 43 points, 10 rebounds, Irving 35 points in Mavericks’ 125-122 win over Pacers (ESPN)

Highlights

• Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks: Game Highlights (ESPN)
• Kyrie Irving shows off the range on 3-point shot (ESPN)
• Naji Marshall gets the basket plus the foul (ESPN)
• Cooper Flagg nails the 3 vs. Indiana Pacers (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• The under has hit in 4 straight Pacers games.
• The over is 3-7 in Pacers’ last 10 games.
• Mavericks have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
• The under has hit in 4 straight Mavericks games.
• Mavericks are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.
• The over is 2-8 in Mavericks’ last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Pacers vs Mavericks pre-game preview

Dallas is listed as the favorite at -190 on the moneyline and -4.5 on the spread, with the total at 227.5 after opening at 222.5. Indiana is 3-7 straight up and 5-5 against the spread this season, while Dallas is 6-4 straight up and 7-3 against the spread. The last meeting on October 23 ended in a 121-105 Dallas win in Indiana. Over the last seven head-to-head meetings, Indiana is 4-3 straight up and 0-2 against the spread.

A defensive angle favors Dallas from three: Dallas allows 11.3 threes per game (rank 4), while Indiana allows 13.9 (rank 20). Indiana also allows 47.8 rebounds per game (rank 27). Pace sits at Indiana 102 (rank 12) and Dallas 100.9 (rank 22). Dallas is without Dereck Lively II, Tarik Biberovic, Sergio De Larrea and Morez Johnson; Indiana is without Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy.

On the prop side, Andrew Nembhard’s over 3.5 points is priced at -110 and has cleared in 10 of his last 10, with the StatsBench model projecting 20.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Pacers	3-7	5-5	3-7	0-5	3-2
Mavericks	6-4	7-3	2-8	4-2	2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Pacers vs Mavericks head-to-head

Pacers are 4-3, 0-2 ATS, O/U 1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Last time: Pacers lost 105-121 on October 23, 2026.

Recent form

Indiana Pacers: last 10 (3-7, 5-5 ATS, O/U 3-7)

Dallas Mavericks: last 10 (6-4, 7-3 ATS, O/U 2-8)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 1:58 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Venue and weather

Pacers vs Mavericks odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart