| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| -200 |
|
| Draw | +370 |
| +550 |
Total goals 2.5: over -160
, under +134 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 9:04 AM ET.
SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin preview
SC Freiburg host 1. FC Union Berlin in Sunday’s Bundesliga match. The three-way moneyline makes SC Freiburg the favorite at -200, with the draw at +370 and Union Berlin at +550; the total is 2.5.
The last meeting went to Union Berlin, 1-0 at Freiburg on March 15, 2026. Freiburg sit third with 16 points from eight matches and a 5-1-2 record, with league form WLLWD; Union are 16th with seven points and a 1-4-3 record, form DDDWL.
The useful matchup angle is Union’s defensive concession rate against Freiburg’s scoring and total profile: Union concede 2.38 per match, while Freiburg score 2.25 and have seen over 2.5 in 88% of their matches. On props, Derrick Köhn over 0.5 shots at -118 has cleared in 8 of his last 10. Injuries include Osterhage and Muslija out for Freiburg, with Ilic, Nsoki, Skov and Markgraf out for Union.
SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin prediction
The books imply 65% / 20% / 15%
The model leans to SC Freiburg at 78% versus the books’ 65%, with lower draw and Union Berlin implied probabilities. Freiburg’s 5-1-2 record and 2.25 goals per match contrast with Union’s 1-4-3 record and 2.38 conceded per match; the model’s expected goals are 2.91 to 0.93. Union are missing Kemlein, Markgraf, Nsoki, Skov and Uduokhai.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (8 and 8 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Köhn FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 shots | -118 |
80% (8/10) | 60% |
| Janik Haberer FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 shots | +100 |
70% (7/10) | 100% |
| Philipp Treu SC Freiburg | Over 1.5 tackles | -115 |
60% (6/10) | 60% |
| András Schäfer FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 shots | -139 |
60% (6/10) | 60% |
| Tom Rothe FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 shots | -140 |
60% (6/10) | 60% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 9:04 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Beste vs Rothe
Beste
RotheScherhant vs Haberer
Scherhant
HabererMatanovic vs Van Den Bosch and Friedrich
Matanovic
Van Den Bosch
FriedrichJeong vs Makengo
Jeong
MakengoNo lines posted
Burcu vs Treu
Burcu
TreuSkarke vs Ginter and Lienhart
Skarke
Ginter
LienhartAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Predicted lineups
Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
1. FC Union Berlin 4-2-3-1
1 Backhaus
6/1029 TreuTackles 1.5+
28 Ginter
5/103 LienhartFouls 0.5+
6/1033 MakengoFouls 0.5+
5/108 EggesteinSOT 0.5+
16 Engelhardt
19 Beste
5/1014 SuzukiFouls 0.5+
5/107 ScherhantSOT 0.5+
5/1031 MatanovicTackles 0.5+
1 Ronnow
7/1019 HabererShots 0.5+
4/74 Van Den BoschTackles 1.5+
5 Friedrich
6/1015 RotheShots 0.5+
6/1013 SchaferShots 0.5+
6/108 KhediraTackles 1.5+
11 Jeong
20 Aebischer
9 Burcu
21 Skarke1. FC Union Berlin missing: A. Kemlein (injury), A. Markgraf (knee), S. Nsoki (muscle), R. Skov (injury), F. Uduokhai (red card)
Form and head to head
SC Freiburg3rd in the tableWLLWD5W 1D 2L · 2.00 points a match
1. FC Union Berlin16th in the tableDDDWL1W 4D 3L · 0.88 points a match- Mar 2026SCF 0-1 FCU
- Nov 2025FCU 0-0 SCF
- Mar 2025SCF 1-2 FCU
- Nov 2024FCU 0-0 SCF
Clean sheets and goal trends
SC Freiburg
Clean sheet2/8
Failed to score0/8
Both scored6/8
Over 2.57/8
1. FC Union Berlin
Clean sheet2/8
Failed to score3/8
Both scored4/8
Over 2.54/8
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 2.3Scored per match0.9
- 12.1Shots per match9.0
- 4.8Shots on target per match3.6
- 1.8Big chances per match0.9
Defensive
- 1.3Conceded per match2.4
- 8.8Shots against per match14.1
- 14.1Tackles per match16.6
- 9.6Fouls per match11.3
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| SC Freiburg | WLLWD | W 2-1 at FCA · L 1-3 vs FCB · L 1-2 at B04 · W 2-1 vs FC Schalke 04 · D 2-2 at SGE |
|---|---|---|
| FC Union Berlin | DDDWL | D 1-1 vs KOE · D 1-1 at FCA · D 0-0 vs BVB · W 1-0 vs SV Elversberg · L 0-7 at FCB |
Last five Bundesliga results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| SC Freiburg | FC Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 3 (16 pts) | 16 (7 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-2 | 1-4-3 |
| Home / away record | 3-0-1 (12-5) home | 0-1-2 (1-12) away |
| Goals scored per match | 2.25 | 0.88 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 2.38 |
| Shots / on target per match | 12.13 / 4.75 | 9.00 / 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 88% / 88% / 50% | 75% / 50% / 50% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 38% |
| Yellow cards per match | 2.13 | 2.75 |
| Corners per match | 4.62 | 3.70 |
This season, 8 and 8 matches.
Referee
Sascha Stegemann averages 2.7 yellow cards and 19.5 fouls per match over 6 matches this season (league average 3.5 and 22.2), lighter with cards than most.
Injury report
SC Freiburg
- Florent Muslija (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Patrick Osterhage (M): Out, Muscle Injury
1. FC Union Berlin
- Andrik Markgraf (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
- Robert Skov (M): Out, Unknown
- Andrej Ilic (F): Out, Appendicitis
- Stanley N’Soki (D): Out, Calf Injury
SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin odds by sportsbook
| Book | SCF ML | FCU ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -208 | +525 | O 2.5 -162 | U 2.5 +130 | |
| -208 | +500 | O 3 -111 | U 3 -118 | |
| -210 | +475 | O 2.5 -160 | U 2.5 +130 | |
| -240 | +550 | O 2.5 -164 | U 2.5 +134 | |
| -200 | +500 | O 2.5 -160 | U 2.5 +120 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 9:04 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Sat 5:47 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -135, no +110
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -550 | +390 |
| 2.5 | -164 | +134 |
| 3.5 | +160 | -200 |
| 4.5 | +390 | -550 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne Nov 1 · FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg Oct 31 · All Bundesliga prop picks · All Bundesliga predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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