SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

SC Freiburg logo

SC Freiburg3rd in the Bundesliga
11:30 AM ETSun, Nov 8
1. FC Union Berlin logo

1. FC Union Berlin16th in the Bundesliga

Bundesliga · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 11:30 AM ET

Result Moneyline
SC Freiburg -200
Draw +370
1. FC Union Berlin +550

Total goals 2.5: over -160 , under +134

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 9:04 AM ET.

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin preview

SC Freiburg host 1. FC Union Berlin in Sunday’s Bundesliga match. The three-way moneyline makes SC Freiburg the favorite at -200, with the draw at +370 and Union Berlin at +550; the total is 2.5.

The last meeting went to Union Berlin, 1-0 at Freiburg on March 15, 2026. Freiburg sit third with 16 points from eight matches and a 5-1-2 record, with league form WLLWD; Union are 16th with seven points and a 1-4-3 record, form DDDWL.

The useful matchup angle is Union’s defensive concession rate against Freiburg’s scoring and total profile: Union concede 2.38 per match, while Freiburg score 2.25 and have seen over 2.5 in 88% of their matches. On props, Derrick Köhn over 0.5 shots at -118 has cleared in 8 of his last 10. Injuries include Osterhage and Muslija out for Freiburg, with Ilic, Nsoki, Skov and Markgraf out for Union.

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin prediction

78%SC Freiburg
13%Draw
9%1. FC Union Berlin

The books imply 65% / 20% / 15%

2-0Most likely score9% chance
2.9 – 0.9Expected goals
74%Over 2.5 goals
57%Both teams to score

The model leans to SC Freiburg at 78% versus the books’ 65%, with lower draw and Union Berlin implied probabilities. Freiburg’s 5-1-2 record and 2.25 goals per match contrast with Union’s 1-4-3 record and 2.38 conceded per match; the model’s expected goals are 2.91 to 0.93. Union are missing Kemlein, Markgraf, Nsoki, Skov and Uduokhai.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (8 and 8 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Derrick Köhn FC Union Berlin Over 0.5 shots -118 BetRivers 80% (8/10) 60%
Janik Haberer FC Union Berlin Over 0.5 shots +100 bet365 70% (7/10) 100%
Philipp Treu SC Freiburg Over 1.5 tackles -115 DraftKings 60% (6/10) 60%
András Schäfer FC Union Berlin Over 0.5 shots -139 BetRivers 60% (6/10) 60%
Tom Rothe FC Union Berlin Over 0.5 shots -140 Fanatics 60% (6/10) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 9:04 AM ET.

The rest of the SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Jordy MakengoOver 0.5 fouls6/10
Rani KhediraOver 1.5 tackles6/10
Zeno Van Den BoschOver 1.5 tackles4/7

Key matchups

From the predicted lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Beste vs Rothe

BesteWinger, SC Freiburg
VS
RotheFull-back, 1. FC Union Berlin
Good matchup for BesteRothe gives away 1.0 fouls a match, 35% more than the average defender (0.7). Beste draws plenty himself, at 1.1, which points to about 1.5 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.1Fouls drawn vs given1.0
0.8Shots vs tackles2.6
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · -125DraftKings
Shots over 2.50/10avg 0.8 · +240bet365
Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · -110Fanatics
Fouls committed over 1.53/10avg 1 · +120bet365
Tackles over 1.57/10avg 2.6 · -225DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +310DraftKings

Scherhant vs Haberer

ScherhantWinger, SC Freiburg
VS
HabererFull-back, 1. FC Union Berlin
Even matchupHaberer gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 19% less than the average defender (0.7). Scherhant draws plenty himself, at 1.1, which points to about 0.9 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.1Fouls drawn vs given0.6
1.3Shots vs tackles1.2
Fouls won over 1.53/10avg 1.1 · -155DraftKings
Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.3 · -137bet365
Shots on target over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -192BetRivers
Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 0.6 · +120bet365
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -145DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/10avg 0.3 · +290DraftKings

Matanovic vs Van Den Bosch and Friedrich

MatanovicStriker, SC Freiburg
VS
Van Den BoschCentre-back, 1. FC Union Berlin
FriedrichCentre-back, 1. FC Union Berlin
Good matchup for MatanovicVan Den Bosch and Friedrich give away 0.9 fouls a match, 21% more than the average defender (0.7). Matanovic draws plenty himself, at 1.3, which points to about 1.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.3Fouls drawn vs given0.9
2.5Shots vs tackles1.6
Fouls won over 1.54/10avg 1.3 · -150DraftKings
Shots over 4.50/10avg 2.5 · +150Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.55/10avg 1.6 · +115Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.55/7avg 1.4 · -300bet365
Tackles over 1.54/7avg 1.6 · -115DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.53/7avg 0.4 · +340DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.53/7avg 0.4 · -285DraftKings
Tackles over 1.53/7avg 1.6 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/7avg 0 · +475DraftKings

Jeong vs Makengo

JeongWinger, 1. FC Union Berlin
VS
MakengoFull-back, SC Freiburg

No lines posted

Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · -150bet365
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · +105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +475Fanatics

Burcu vs Treu

BurcuWinger, 1. FC Union Berlin
VS
TreuFull-back, SC Freiburg
Even matchupTreu gives away 0.7 fouls a match, 6% less than the average defender (0.7). Burcu draws plenty himself, at 1.3, which points to about 1.2 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.3Fouls drawn vs given0.7
0.9Shots vs tackles2.3
Fouls won over 1.53/10avg 1.3 · -115DraftKings
Shots over 1.52/10avg 0.9 · +105BetRivers
Shots on target over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · +140Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -200bet365
Tackles over 1.56/10avg 2.3 · -115DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +550DraftKings

Skarke vs Ginter and Lienhart

SkarkeStriker, 1. FC Union Berlin
VS
GinterCentre-back, SC Freiburg
LienhartCentre-back, SC Freiburg
Tough matchup for SkarkeGinter and Lienhart give away 0.5 fouls a match, 33% less than the average defender (0.7). Skarke draws plenty himself, at 1.0, which points to about 0.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
1.0Fouls drawn vs given0.5
1.1Shots vs tackles1.1
Fouls won over 0.57/10avg 1 · -280DraftKings
Shots over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · -130FanDuel
Shots on target over 0.53/10avg 0.7 · -125DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · +120bet365
Tackles over 1.51/10avg 0.9 · +120DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +750DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -137bet365
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.4 · +110DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +375Fanatics
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Predicted lineups

Predicted XIs; the official lineups post about an hour before kickoff and this page updates then. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

SC Freiburg 4-2-3-11. FC Union Berlin 4-2-3-1

1 Backhaus
6/1029 TreuTackles 1.5+
28 Ginter
5/103 LienhartFouls 0.5+
6/1033 MakengoFouls 0.5+
5/108 EggesteinSOT 0.5+
16 Engelhardt
19 Beste
5/1014 SuzukiFouls 0.5+
5/107 ScherhantSOT 0.5+
5/1031 MatanovicTackles 0.5+
1 Ronnow
7/1019 HabererShots 0.5+
4/74 Van Den BoschTackles 1.5+
5 Friedrich
6/1015 RotheShots 0.5+
6/1013 SchaferShots 0.5+
6/108 KhediraTackles 1.5+
11 Jeong
20 Aebischer
9 Burcu
21 Skarke

1. FC Union Berlin missing: A. Kemlein (injury), A. Markgraf (knee), S. Nsoki (muscle), R. Skov (injury), F. Uduokhai (red card)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Bundesliga players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Form and head to head

SC Freiburg3rd in the tableWLLWD5W 1D 2L · 2.00 points a match
4meetings

0 wins2 draws2 wins
1. FC Union Berlin16th in the tableDDDWL1W 4D 3L · 0.88 points a match
25%Over 1.51/4
25%Over 2.51/4
0%Over 3.50/4
25%Both scored1/4
  • Mar 2026SCF 0-1 FCU
  • Nov 2025FCU 0-0 SCF
  • Mar 2025SCF 1-2 FCU
  • Nov 2024FCU 0-0 SCF

Clean sheets and goal trends

SC Freiburg

25%

Clean sheet2/8

0%

Failed to score0/8

75%

Both scored6/8

88%

Over 2.57/8

1. FC Union Berlin

25%

Clean sheet2/8

38%

Failed to score3/8

50%

Both scored4/8

50%

Over 2.54/8

Attack and defense

Attacking

SC Freiburg1. FC Union Berlin
63%Win %13%
51%Possession %41%
75%Both teams scored %50%
63%Scored first %38%
  • 2.3Scored per match0.9
  • 12.1Shots per match9.0
  • 4.8Shots on target per match3.6
  • 1.8Big chances per match0.9

Defensive

SC Freiburg1. FC Union Berlin
25%Loss %38%
0%Failed to score %38%
25%Clean sheet %25%
38%Conceded first %50%
  • 1.3Conceded per match2.4
  • 8.8Shots against per match14.1
  • 14.1Tackles per match16.6
  • 9.6Fouls per match11.3

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

SC Freiburg WLLWD W 2-1 at FCA · L 1-3 vs FCB · L 1-2 at B04 · W 2-1 vs FC Schalke 04 · D 2-2 at SGE
FC Union Berlin DDDWL D 1-1 vs KOE · D 1-1 at FCA · D 0-0 vs BVB · W 1-0 vs SV Elversberg · L 0-7 at FCB

Last five Bundesliga results, most recent first.

Season numbers

SC Freiburg FC Union Berlin
Table 3 (16 pts) 16 (7 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 5-1-2 1-4-3
Home / away record 3-0-1 (12-5) home 0-1-2 (1-12) away
Goals scored per match 2.25 0.88
Goals conceded per match 1.25 2.38
Shots / on target per match 12.13 / 4.75 9.00 / 3.63
Both teams scored 75% 50%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 88% / 88% / 50% 75% / 50% / 50%
Clean sheets 25% 25%
Failed to score 0% 38%
Yellow cards per match 2.13 2.75
Corners per match 4.62 3.70

This season, 8 and 8 matches.

Referee

Sascha Stegemann averages 2.7 yellow cards and 19.5 fouls per match over 6 matches this season (league average 3.5 and 22.2), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

SC Freiburg

  • Florent Muslija (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Patrick Osterhage (M): Out, Muscle Injury

1. FC Union Berlin

  • Andrik Markgraf (D): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
  • Robert Skov (M): Out, Unknown
  • Andrej Ilic (F): Out, Appendicitis
  • Stanley N’Soki (D): Out, Calf Injury
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SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin odds by sportsbook

Book SCF ML FCU ML Over Under
bet365 -208 +525 O 2.5 -162 U 2.5 +130
BetRivers -208 +500 O 3 -111 U 3 -118
DraftKings -210 +475 O 2.5 -160 U 2.5 +130
FanDuel -240 +550 O 2.5 -164 U 2.5 +134
Fanatics -200 +500 O 2.5 -160 U 2.5 +120

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 9:04 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Sat 5:47 AM ET): no change in the main lines yet.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -135, no +110

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -550 +390
2.5 -164 +134
3.5 +160 -200
4.5 +390 -550

Line movement chart

Total 2.5 → 2.5
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More on these teams: 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne Nov 1 · FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg Oct 31 · All Bundesliga prop picks · All Bundesliga predictions

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