Watford vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

How the bets settled

Match report

Watford and Middlesbrough drew 0-0, with no goals scored. Watford picked up one yellow card and Middlesbrough three.

Middlesbrough dominated the stats: 2.11 xG to Watford’s 0.31, 18 shots to 8, four shots on target to one, and four big chances to none. Possession was 74% to 26%, and Middlesbrough completed 90% of passes to Watford’s 77%. Corners were closer at 6-5.

Before the match Middlesbrough sat second with 28 points and form LWWDW, while Watford were 20th with 14 points and form WLLWL. Middlesbrough had both teams to score in 71% and over 2.5 goals in 71%, compared with Watford’s 50% and 43%, but this match finished without a goal. The pre-match both teams to score price was yes at -145 and no at +115.

How the props finished

3 of 7 cleared

Player	Line	Price	Result
Ashley Famiwuya Phillips	Over 0.5 shots	-115 DraftKings	0 Missed
A. Morris	Over 2.5 tackles	-145 DraftKings	6 Cleared
Adilson Malanda	Over 0.5 shots	-150 DraftKings	0 Missed
Jordan Bhekithemba Zemura	Over 0.5 fouls won	-160 DraftKings	1 Cleared
Callum James Brittain	Over 1.5 tackles	-175 DraftKings	1 Missed
Matthew William Pollock	Over 0.5 fouls	-182 bwin	2 Cleared
R. McGree	Over 0.5 fouls	-200 bwin	0 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

Goals

No goals.

How the key matchups went

• Kayembe: 2 shots, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Byram: 2 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 1 yellow card.
• Bravo: 2 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Brittain: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 1 yellow card.
• Nabizada: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 3 fouls won. Phillips: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Malanda: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Doumbia: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Phillips: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Malanda: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Cozier-Duberry: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Zemura: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Sarmiento: 6 shots, 2 shots on target, 2 fouls won. Diatta: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
• Strelec: 1 shot, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Keben: 1 foul committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Pollock: 2 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Mlacic: 2 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.

Box score

WatfordMiddlesbrough

Watford

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Doumbia M.	73	0	0	1	0	0.05	2	5/8	1	0	0	0	0	6.4
Diatta K.	14	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1/1	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Pollock M.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	21/24	1	2	0	0	0	7.3
Kayembe E.	90	0	0	2	0	0.05	0	25/26	1	2	0	0	0	6.2
Bravo I.	90	0	0	2	1	0.09	0	20/22	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Mlacic B.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	20/25	1	2	0	0	0	6.5
Nabizada A.	73	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	9/10	0	1	3	0	0	6.2
Ravaglia F.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	8/22	0	0	0	0	4	8.0
Keben K.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	17/21	1	1	0	0	0	6.4
Zemura J.	73	0	0	1	0	0.09	1	12/18	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
Payero M.	90	0	0	1	0	0.06	1	20/26	3	3	4	0	0	6.9
Bola M.	17	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	5/6	2	0	0	0	0	6.6
Kjerrumgaard L.	17	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2/4	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Traore O. H.	76	0	0	1	0	0.02	0	8/11	0	1	1	1	0	5.9
Mavididi S.	17	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2/3	0	0	0	0	0	6.4

Middlesbrough

Player	MIN	G	A	SH	SOT	xG	KP	PAS	TKL	FC	FS	YC	SV	RAT
Morris A.	90	0	0	2	0	0.11	3	88/94	6	0	1	0	0	8.2
Berhalter S.	66	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	28/34	2	3	1	1	0	6.9
Cozier-Duberry A.	45	0	0	1	0	0.02	0	21/25	1	1	0	0	0	6.4
Strelec D.	66	0	0	1	0	0.19	1	9/13	1	0	1	0	0	7.0
Brittain C.	90	0	0	1	1	0.11	1	92/100	1	1	0	1	0	7.0
Phillips A.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	83/88	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
Sarmiento J.	86	0	0	6	2	0.56	2	30/35	1	1	2	0	0	7.4
Byram S.	76	0	0	3	0	0.49	0	45/50	2	2	0	1	0	6.5
Vitek R.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	10/17	0	0	0	0	1	6.8
McGree R.	90	0	0	3	0	0.09	1	42/47	1	0	2	0	0	7.1
Malanda A.	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	103/109	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Arfsten M.	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	13/18	0	0	1	0	0	6.8
Conway T.	14	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	9/9	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
Peart-Harris M.	24	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	20/22	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
Joseph K.	24	0	0	1	1	0.43	0	4/5	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
Castledine L.	4	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3/3	0	0	0	0	0	–

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Watford vs Middlesbrough pre-game preview

Watford hosts Middlesbrough in Saturday’s EFL Championship match. The three-way moneyline has Middlesbrough as the -215 favorite, the draw at +390 and Watford at +600, with the total set at 3.5. Watford sits 20th with 14 points and a 4-2-8 record; its most recent league form is WLLWL. Middlesbrough is second with 28 points and 8-4-2, with form LWWDW. The last meeting was Middlesbrough 5-1 Watford on Apr 25, 2026.

Recent scoring profiles give the total and both-teams-to-score market some context. Watford scores 0.93 and concedes 1.64 per match, with both teams scored in 50% and over 2.5 in 43%. Middlesbrough scores 2.14 and concedes 1.36, with both teams scored in 71% and over 2.5 in 71%. Both teams to score is yes -150 and no +115.

Injury and prop angles matter. Watford lists Baah, Bove, Grieves and Ngakia injured; Middlesbrough lists Jones, Lankshear and Pukstas missing. Amario Cozier-Duberry’s over 0.5 score or assist is +100 and has cleared in 7 of his last 9. That is a research angle, not a recommendation.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Watford 5-3-2Middlesbrough 4-3-3

1 Ravaglia

15 Diatta

4 Keben

6 Pollock (C)

29 Mlacic

33 Zemura

39 Kayembe

22 Payero

17 Bravo

21 Nabizada

20 Doumbia

1 Vitek

2 Brittain (C)

4 Phillips

29 Malanda

3 Byram

6 Berhalter

10 Morris

8 McGree

11 Cozier-Duberry

13 Strelec

16 Sarmiento

Watford missing: M. Antonio (inactive), K. Baah (knock), E. Bove (knee), N. Chikovani (inactive), S. Coulibaly (hamstring), J. Grieves (inactive), H. Kyprianou (yellow cards), J. Ngakia (thigh)

Middlesbrough missing: A. Jones (calf), W. Lankshear (injury), R. Pukstas (injury)

Form and head to head

Watford20th in the tableWLLWL4W 2D 8L · 1.00 points a match

2meetings

1 win0 draws1 win

Middlesbrough2nd in the tableLWWDW8W 4D 2L · 2.00 points a match

100%Over 1.52/2

100%Over 2.52/2

50%Over 3.51/2

50%Both scored1/2

• Apr 2026Middlesbrough 5-1 Watford
• Nov 2025Watford 3-0 Middlesbrough

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

WatfordMiddlesbrough

29%Win %57%

47%Possession %59%

50%Both teams scored %71%

43%Scored first %64%

• 0.9Scored per match2.1
• 9.9Shots per match15.1
• 3.9Shots on target per match6.3
• 0.0Big chances per match0.0

Defensive

WatfordMiddlesbrough

57%Loss %14%

36%Failed to score %7%

14%Clean sheet %21%

57%Conceded first %36%

• 1.6Conceded per match1.4
• 13.3Shots against per match9.3
• 15.3Tackles per match16.2
• 11.5Fouls per match9.5

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five EFL Championship results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 14 and 14 matches.

Referee

Gavin Ward averages 3.4 yellow cards and 21.2 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 3.8 and 22.1).

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 2:35 PM ET.

Line movement chart