Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Oct 26, 2026)

Final score by quarter

Team	1	2	3	4	T
Warriors	28	32	40	34	134
Nuggets	32	24	28	30	114

How the bets settled

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Golden State beat Denver 134-114 on October 26, taking control in the third quarter with a 40-28 period that turned a four-point halftime lead into a 16-point cushion. The Warriors kept the margin in the fourth.

Yaxel Lendeborg led Golden State with 31 points and 12 rebounds, while Draymond Green had seven assists. Denver got 21 points from DeMar DeRozan and 11 assists from Nikola Jokic. The Warriors’ 54 percent field-goal shooting, 50 percent from three and 45-32 rebounding edge explained the separation, even with Denver’s edge in steals and blocks.

For bettors, Golden State covered as a 6.5-point underdog by 26.5 points, and the game went over the 236.5 total by 11.5.

Against the spread, start to finish

Win probability

Top performers

Team stats

WarriorsNuggets

54%FG%50%

50%3P%34%

95%FT%87%

45Rebounds32

31Assists31

42Points in the paint48

12Fast break points18

18Turnovers12

5Steals13

2Blocks6

24Biggest lead8

Box score

Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets

Golden State Warriors

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Draymond Green F	27	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	7	5	0	0	1	3	2	+7
Gui Santos F	28	13	5-6	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	1	0	0	3	4	+18
Yaxel Lendeborg F	31	31	9-19	1-8	12-13	12	6	3	0	1	4	8	2	+27
Stephen Curry G	27	24	8-8	3-3	5-5	3	3	3	2	0	0	3	1	+7
Brandin Podziemski G	33	18	7-14	3-7	1-1	7	5	0	1	0	3	4	2	+33
Bench
Georges Niang F	18	9	3-7	3-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	-8
Graham Ike F	3	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	-1
Malevy Leons F	3	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1
Al Horford C	19	11	4-5	3-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	+14
Charles Bassey C	2	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2
Gary Payton II G	12	7	3-7	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	-7
De’Anthony Melton G	19	3	1-6	1-5	0-0	4	3	0	0	0	2	2	4	+1
Brandon Williams G	15	6	2-6	2-2	0-0	3	3	4	0	1	1	2	2	+14
LJ Cryer G	3	6	2-3	2-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1
Will Richard G	3	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1
Total		134	46-85	22-44	20-21	45	31	17	5	2	13	32	24

Team shooting: FG 54% · 3PT 50% · FT 95%

Denver Nuggets

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	OREB	DREB	PF	+/-
Aaron Gordon F	25	7	2-10	0-2	3-3	4	2	1	1	0	1	3	3	-12
Bryce Hopkins F	31	13	5-9	1-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	3	-21
Nikola Jokic C	35	19	8-18	1-6	2-3	7	11	1	1	3	2	5	1	-16
Jamal Murray G	36	19	8-13	3-6	0-0	6	8	3	3	0	0	6	0	-5
Christian Braun G	34	9	4-9	1-4	0-0	4	2	3	3	0	2	2	5	-13
Bench
Marvin Bagley III F	11	7	2-3	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	-5
Zeke Nnaji F	4	5	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1
DaRon Holmes II F	4	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	+1
Trevon Brazile F	17	6	2-2	1-1	1-1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	-9
Cam Whitmore F	4	4	2-2	0-0	0-1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	+1
DeMar DeRozan G	29	21	7-15	2-5	5-5	4	2	1	2	1	1	3	2	-7
Tyus Jones G	9	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	2	1	0	0	1	-16
Ryan Nembhard G	4	4	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1
Total		114	42-84	10-29	20-23	32	31	11	13	6	10	22	17

Team shooting: FG 50% · 3PT 34% · FT 87%

Attendance 19,520 · Officials: Marat Kogut, J.T. Orr, Tre Maddox

Recap: Lendeborg has 31 points, 12 rebounds as Warriors earn 1st win of season by beating Nuggets 134-114 (ESPN)

Highlights

• DeMar DeRozan gets the hoop and the harm (ESPN)
• Nikola Jokic gets the and-1 to fall (ESPN)
• Trevon Brazile connects on alley-oop slam (ESPN)
• Aaron Gordon gets the basket plus the foul (ESPN)

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

• Warriors are 0-4 ATS as favorites in their last 10 games.
• The over is 7-3 in Nuggets’ last 10 games.
• Warriors are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings with the Nuggets.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Warriors vs Nuggets pre-game preview

Monday’s Golden State at Denver game has Denver as a -290 moneyline favorite laying 7.5 points, with a 233.5 total. The last meeting on March 29, 2026 saw Golden State lose 93-116 on the road.

Golden State is 0-3 straight up and 1-2 against the spread this season; over its last 10 it is 1-9 straight up and 4-6 ATS. Denver is 1-1 straight up and 0-2 ATS this season; its last 10 shows 9-1 straight up and 4-6 ATS.

The defensive profiles point to points allowed and rebounds: Golden State allows 123 points per game (rank 22) and Denver allows 115.5 (rank 16), while Golden State allows 44 rebounds (rank 19) and Denver allows 48 (rank 28). Both teams play at 101.3 pace (ranks 15 and 17). Among props, Jamal Murray’s over 9.5 rebounds plus assists is -118, cleared in 7 of his last 10, and StatsBench projects 12.4.

Records

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Home	Away
Warriors	0-3	1-2	1-2	0-1	0-2
Nuggets	1-1	0-2	1-1	1-0	0-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Warriors vs Nuggets head-to-head

Warriors are 3-7, 1-1 ATS, O/U 1-1 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Warriors lost 93-116 on March 29, 2026.

Recent form

Golden State Warriors: last 10 (1-9, 4-6 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Denver Nuggets: last 10 (9-1, 4-6 ATS, O/U 7-3)

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 3:58 PM ET.

Venue and weather

Warriors vs Nuggets odds

Line movement from the open

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart