Lakers vs Kings Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 4, 2026)

Los Angeles Lakers logo
Lakers6-2 · 5-3 ATS2nd in the West
FINAL116 – 103
Sacramento Kings logo
Kings1-6 · 2-5 ATS15th in the West

NBA · Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · Golden 1 Center

Final score by quarter

Team1234T
Lakers28332629116
Kings28262029103

How the bets settled

MoneylineLakers wonClosed at -650
SpreadLakers coveredLakers -12.5, by 0.5
TotalUnder 233.5219 scored, 14.5 under

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Los Angeles Lakers beat Sacramento Kings 116-103 on November 4, taking control after a tied first quarter by winning the second 33-26 and the third 26-20.

Luka Doncic led Los Angeles with 40 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists. Darius Acuff Jr. had 22 points and 12 assists for Sacramento, while Domantas Sabonis grabbed 17 rebounds. The Lakers’ efficiency and defense told the story: 45 percent from the field to Sacramento’s 39, 89 percent at the line to 75, and a 13-4 blocks edge. Sacramento won the boards 45-38, but 18 turnovers to Los Angeles’s 12 fed the Lakers’ fast-break and points-off-turnover advantages.

For bettors, the Lakers covered the 12.5-point closing spread by 0.5, and the game finished under the 233.5 closing total by 14.5.

How the props finished

6 of 10 cleared

PlayerLinePriceResult
Ziaire WilliamsOver 8.5 points + assists-115 Cloudbet11 Cleared
Jake LaRaviaOver 0.5 steals-333 BetRivers1 Cleared
Luka DoncicOver 4.5 threes made+127 Kalshi6 Cleared
Matisse ThybulleOver 0.5 blocks-110 BetRivers2 Cleared
Zach LaVineOver 5.5 rebounds + assists+105 DraftKings5 Missed
Domantas SabonisOver 12.5 rebounds-105 bet36517 Cleared
Precious AchiuwaOver 18.5 points + rebounds + assists-122 Cloudbet11 Missed
De’Andre HunterOver 1.5 threes made-144 Kalshi1 Missed
Quentin GrimesOver 1.5 assists-178 Kalshi1 Missed
Walker KesslerOver 0.5 steals-238 BetRivers3 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Against the spread, start to finish

KingsLakers
The score margin against the closing spread (Kings +12.5). Blue: Kings covering. Orange: Lakers covering.
+5.5Largest LAL cover
20%LAL covering
+20.5Largest SAC cover
80%SAC covering

Win probability

KingsLakers
Blue: Kings favored. Orange: Lakers favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Lakers

  • PointsLuka Doncic40
  • AssistsLuka Doncic7
  • ReboundsLuka Doncic9

Kings

  • PointsDarius Acuff Jr.22
  • AssistsDarius Acuff Jr.12
  • ReboundsDomantas Sabonis17

Team stats

LakersKings
45%FG%39%
32%3P%32%
89%FT%75%
38Rebounds46
20Assists23
34Points in the paint40
21Fast break points11
12Turnovers18
11Steals6
13Blocks4
18Biggest lead8

Box score

Los Angeles Lakers

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Jake LaRavia F2193-32-21-222111114+3
Walker Kessler C29156-80-03-480034356-1
Matisse Thybulle G2331-51-50-012022100-4
Luka Doncic G354011-236-1312-1397611091+11
Austin Reaves G37217-151-46-634000120+14
Bench
Kevon Looney F000-00-00-000000000+3
Jarred Vanderbilt F700-00-00-010001012+1
Sandro Mamukelashvili F1920-40-32-261101241+17
Ziaire Williams F23103-71-43-341020044+12
Lawson Lovering C100-00-00-000001000-3
Collin Sexton G16102-71-35-631202214+2
Quentin Grimes G2562-50-32-211110011+19
Bronny James G100-00-00-000000000-3
Jaden Hardy G100-00-00-001010000-3
Cameron Carr G100-10-10-000000000-3
Total11635-7812-3834-383820111113102823

Team shooting: FG 45% · 3PT 32% · FT 89%

Sacramento Kings

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Domantas Sabonis F35165-100-06-91712106111-17
De’Andre Hunter F38144-101-55-622200113-15
Precious Achiuwa F1773-71-20-0310020310
Zach LaVine G35216-143-76-741612135-5
Darius Acuff Jr. G42228-243-113-4312420032-8
Bench
Leaky Black F2231-40-31-261010244-15
Dylan Cardwell C1342-30-00-060010421+4
Malik Monk G24135-163-80-023200023-4
Nique Clifford G300-00-00-020100021-5
Emanuel Sharp G1031-21-20-0120001030
Alex KarabanDid not play: Coach’s decision
Jonathan MogboDid not play: Coach’s decision
Total10335-9012-3821-2846231764153124

Team shooting: FG 39% · 3PT 32% · FT 75%

Attendance 14,484 · Officials: Ed Malloy, Jason Goldenberg, Chelisa Painter

Recap: Luka Doncic’s 40 points lead the Lakers past the Kings 116-103 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Lakers vs Kings pre-game preview

Wednesday’s Lakers-Kings matchup has Los Angeles as a -600 moneyline favorite, with Sacramento getting 12.5 points and the total at 233.5, down from an opening 238.5. The last meeting went to the Lakers, 128-104 at home on March 1, 2026. Los Angeles is 6-2 straight up and 5-3 against the spread this season, and 8-2 and 7-3 over its last 10 after a 138-117 win over Miami. Sacramento is 1-6 straight up and 2-5 against the spread this season, and 2-8 and 5-5 over its last 10 after a 115-100 win at Dallas.

Defense and pace are the cleaner angles. Sacramento allows 124.3 points, ranked 29th, while Los Angeles allows 115.3, ranked 19th; both teams play at top-10 pace (LAL 102.4, SAC 104.2). Sacramento lists Maxime Raynaud, Ben Simmons, Keegan Murray, Sean Pedulla and Daeqwon Plowden out, while Adou Thiero is out for Los Angeles. On the prop side, Ziaire Williams has cleared 8.5 points and assists in 10 of 10, with StatsBench projecting 14.8, and Jake LaRavia has cleared 0.5 steals in 9 of 10, with a 1.7 projection.

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Records

TeamRecordATSO/UHomeAway
Lakers6-25-35-34-12-1
Kings1-62-55-20-21-4

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Lakers vs Kings head-to-head

Lakers are 7-3, 2-1 ATS, O/U 1-2 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Lakers won 128-104 on March 1, 2026.

DateVenueLakers resultATSO/U
Mar 1, 26Lakers homeW 128-104W -12.5U 235.5
Jan 12, 26Kings homeL 112-124L -9.5O 231.5
Dec 28, 25Lakers homeW 125-101W -12.5U 231.5
Oct 26, 25Kings homeW 127-120––
Dec 28, 24Lakers homeW 132-122––
Dec 21, 24Kings homeW 103-99––
Dec 19, 24Kings homeW 113-100––
Oct 26, 24Lakers homeW 131-127––
Mar 13, 24Kings homeL 107-120––
Mar 6, 24Lakers homeL 120-130––

Recent form

Los Angeles Lakers: last 10 (8-2, 7-3 ATS, O/U 5-5)

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
Nov 2, 26vs MIAW 138-117W -1.5O 237.5
Nov 1, 26vs TORW 131-125W -3.5O 224.5
Oct 30, 26@ GSL 95-112L -2.5U 234.5
Oct 28, 26@ LACW 103-87W +1.5U 224.5
Oct 27, 26vs PORL 129-136L -1.5O 234.5
Oct 25, 26@ UTAHW 132-123W -6.5O 237.5
Oct 23, 26vs LACW 125-117L -8.5O 225.5
Oct 21, 26vs GSW 127-105W -6.5U 233.5
Apr 12, 26vs UTAHW 131-107W -14.5U 239.5
Apr 10, 26vs PHXW 101-73W +2.5U 217.5

Sacramento Kings: last 10 (2-8, 5-5 ATS, O/U 7-3)

DateOpponentResultATSO/U
Nov 2, 26@ DALW 115-100W +7.5U 232.5
Oct 31, 26@ MEML 105-136L +7.5O 229.5
Oct 29, 26@ NOL 120-132L +6.5O 234.5
Oct 27, 26@ SAL 103-130L +19.5O 232.5
Oct 25, 26vs MEML 112-123L +3.5O 234.5
Oct 23, 26vs PORL 120-128W +9.5O 231.5
Oct 21, 26@ LACL 96-121L +5.5U 226.5
Apr 12, 26@ PORL 110-122W +18.5O 226.5
Apr 10, 26vs GSW 124-118W +10.5O 228.5
Apr 7, 26@ GSL 105-110W +14.5U 233.5

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 3:48 AM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Lakers defenseKings defense
Points allowed per game113.9 (17th of 30)123.3 (28th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game41.4 (7th of 30)43.8 (12th of 30)
Assists allowed per game26.8 (19th of 30)27.4 (24th of 30)
Threes allowed per game14.3 (23rd of 30)13.5 (19th of 30)

Venue and weather

Golden 1 Center · Sacramento, CAIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Lakers vs Kings odds

Line movement from the open

LineOpenCloseMove
Kings spread+11.5+12.5+1
Total238.5233.5-5
Lakers moneyline-610-650+0.8% win chance
Kings moneyline+450+470-0.6% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Kings spread +11.5 → +12.5
Total 234.5 → 233.5
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More on these teams: Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Nov 2 · Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Nov 2 · All NBA prop picks

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Today's NBA picks

Ziaire WilliamsOVER 9.5 points + assists · vs POR
10/10
Ziaire WilliamsOVER 7.5 points · vs POR
10/10
Daniel GaffordOVER 1.5 stls blks · vs UTA
10/10
All of today's NBA picks →
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