Trail Blazers vs Lakers Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 6, 2026)

by
NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Portland Trail Blazers logo

Trail Blazers6-1 · 5-2 ATS8th in the West
FINAL118 – 124
Los Angeles Lakers logo

Lakers7-2 · 6-3 ATS1st in the West

NBA · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · crypto.com Arena

Final score by quarter

Team 1 2 3 4 T
Trail Blazers 29 31 15 43 118
Lakers 20 33 34 37 124

How the bets settled

MoneylineLakers wonClosed at -154
SpreadLakers coveredLakers -3.5, by 2.5
TotalOver 231.5242 scored, 10.5 over

Closing line, DraftKings.

Game review

Los Angeles Lakers beat Portland Trail Blazers 124-118 on Nov. 6, with the game swinging in the third quarter after Portland led at halftime. The Lakers turned that period into control and held off Portland’s late push.

Luka Doncic led Los Angeles with 53 points and five assists, while Walker Kessler had 12 rebounds. Deni Avdija paced Portland with 22 points and 11 assists, and Donovan Clingan grabbed 11 rebounds. Portland shot 51% from the field and 44% from three, but the Lakers won the turnover and paint battles: 11 turnovers to Portland’s 24, 17 offensive rebounds, 15 steals and a 52-32 paint advantage.

For bettors, the Lakers covered the closing 3.5-point spread by 2.5, and the 231.5 total went over by 10.5.

How the props finished

5 of 12 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Ziaire Williams Over 9.5 points + assists +140 bet365 9 Missed
Jake LaRavia Over 0.5 steals -238 BetRivers 1 Cleared
Robert Williams III Over 5.5 rebounds -149 BetRivers 5 Missed
Jrue Holiday Over 3.5 rebounds -150 Kalshi 1 Missed
Matisse Thybulle Over 0.5 blocks +102 BetRivers 0 Missed
Luka Doncic Over 4.5 threes made -101 prophetexchange 5 Cleared
Donovan Clingan Over 0.5 threes made -138 Kalshi 3 Cleared
Collin Sexton Over 9.5 points + assists -170 bet365 1 Missed
Walker Kessler Over 9.5 points + assists -300 bet365 18 Cleared
Damian Lillard Over 29.5 points + rebounds + assists -105 DraftKings 26 Missed
Sidy Cissoko Over 9.5 points + rebounds + assists -112 bet365 12 Cleared
Sandro Mamukelashvili Over 5.5 rebounds + assists -125 bet365 4 Missed

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the game, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NBA board →

Against the spread, start to finish

LakersTrail Blazers
The score margin against the closing spread (Lakers -3.5). Blue: Lakers covering. Orange: Trail Blazers covering.
+17.5Largest POR cover
67%POR covering
+12.5Largest LAL cover
33%LAL covering

Win probability

LakersTrail Blazers
Blue: Lakers favored. Orange: Trail Blazers favored. ESPN’s in-game win probability, start to finish.

Top performers

Trail Blazers

Lakers

Team stats

Trail BlazersLakers
51%FG%45%
44%3P%30%
73%FT%78%
37Rebounds40
29Assists17
32Points in the paint52
18Fast break points9
24Turnovers11
7Steals15
5Blocks1
16Biggest lead16

Box score

Portland Trail BlazersLos Angeles Lakers

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Toumani Camara F 30 18 7-12 4-8 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 -4
Deni Avdija F 39 22 6-12 1-4 9-14 9 11 8 2 0 2 7 5 0
Donovan Clingan C 28 17 6-8 3-5 2-3 11 1 3 1 2 2 9 5 -7
Damian Lillard G 37 22 5-13 4-10 8-8 0 4 4 1 0 0 0 0 +5
Scoot Henderson G 23 2 0-2 0-1 2-4 2 0 5 0 0 0 2 5 -2
Bench
Robert Williams III C 16 9 4-5 0-0 1-1 5 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 +1
Yang Hansen C 3 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2
Jrue Holiday G 31 12 4-7 3-6 1-1 1 7 0 0 0 0 1 4 -12
Chris Youngblood G 11 7 2-4 2-4 1-2 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 +4
Sidy Cissoko G 22 7 2-7 2-5 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 1 1 3 -13
Micah Potter Did not play: Coach’s decision
Branden Carlson Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jayson Kent Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 118 36-70 19-43 27-37 37 29 24 7 5 8 29 31

Team shooting: FG 51% · 3PT 44% · FT 73%

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN PTS FG 3PT FT REB AST TO STL BLK OREB DREB PF +/-
Jake LaRavia F 25 7 2-5 2-3 1-4 8 3 1 1 0 5 3 6 -16
Walker Kessler C 37 16 7-10 0-0 2-3 12 2 1 1 0 4 8 5 +8
Matisse Thybulle G 24 2 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 2 3 0 1 1 2 -8
Luka Doncic G 38 53 17-33 5-15 14-18 5 5 3 1 0 1 4 3 +16
Austin Reaves G 38 25 8-22 1-8 8-8 3 2 2 4 0 0 3 4 -6
Bench
Sandro Mamukelashvili F 20 7 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 +19
Ziaire Williams F 20 8 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 +8
Adou Thiero F 7 4 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 0 1 0
Collin Sexton G 11 0 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 -10
Quentin Grimes G 20 2 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 +19
Kevon Looney Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jarred Vanderbilt Did not play: Coach’s decision
Lawson Lovering Did not play: Coach’s decision
Jaden Hardy Did not play: Coach’s decision
Total 124 42-93 11-37 29-37 40 17 11 15 1 17 23 29

Team shooting: FG 45% · 3PT 30% · FT 78%

Attendance 19,057 · Officials: Sean Wright, Sean Corbin, J.T. Orr

Recap: Luka Doncic scores 53 in another spectacular offensive game, carrying Lakers past Blazers 124-118 (ESPN)

Highlights

Play-by-play on ESPN

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Betting trends

  • Trail Blazers have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
  • Lakers have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
  • Lakers are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

Trade Trail Blazers vs Lakers on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the game and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Trail Blazers vs Lakers pre-game preview

The betting market has Los Angeles as a -150 favorite, laying 3 points with a 231.5 total. The last meeting was October 27, 2026, when Portland won 136-129 on the road. Portland is 6-1 straight up and 5-2 against the spread this season, and 8-2 straight up and 6-4 ATS over its last 10. The Lakers are 7-2 straight up and 6-3 ATS this season, and 8-2 straight up and 7-3 ATS over their last 10. In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Portland is 4-6 straight up and 2-0 ATS.

The most useful angles start with three-point defense. Portland allows 11.3 threes per game (rank 4), while Los Angeles allows 14.3 (rank 23). Both teams play at 102.1 possessions per game, so pace does not create a clear edge. On the prop side, StatsBench projects Ziaire Williams at 13.7 points plus assists against a 9.5 line at +140; he has cleared that line in 10 of his last 10. Portland is without Shaedon Sharpe, Ja Morant and Vit Krejci, which matters for its rotation context.

The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NBA board →

Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Portland Trail Blazers

Deni Avdija SF23.4 PTS · 6.4 REB · 6.4 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/4 @ PHX 35 21 7 12 1
11/2 @ DEN 34 28 3 5 2
10/31 @ UTA 30 24 5 2 2
10/29 vs MEM 32 24 9 7 0
10/27 @ LAL 33 23 4 9 4
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs LAL
PTS 23.4 (7) 24.4 (5) 24.3 (72) 27.0 (3)
23 · 33 · 25
REB 6.4 (7) 5.2 (5) 6.8 (72) 4.7 (3)
4 · 6 · 4
AST 6.4 (7) 6.8 (5) 6.6 (72) 5.0 (3)
9 · 2 · 4

Damian Lillard PG20.1 PTS · 4.1 REB · 4.1 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/4 @ PHX 32 25 3 5 2
11/2 @ DEN 30 20 6 6 1
10/31 @ UTA 26 22 5 4 3
10/29 vs MEM 30 9 2 2 1
10/27 @ LAL 31 21 5 4 4
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs LAL
PTS 20.1 (7) 21.4 (5) – 21.0 (1)
21
REB 4.1 (7) 4.8 (5) – 5.0 (1)
5
AST 4.1 (7) 4.2 (5) – 4.0 (1)
4

Ja Morant PG15.8 PTS · 2.5 REB · 5.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/29 vs MEM 23 14 2 3 2
10/27 @ LAL 30 23 0 4 1
10/23 @ SAC 26 12 3 7 1
10/21 vs PHX 22 14 5 8 2
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs LAL
PTS 15.8 (4) 17.5 (2) 19.5 (20) 19.5 (2)
23 · 16
REB 2.5 (4) 1.5 (2) 3.3 (20) 1.5 (2)
0 · 3
AST 5.5 (4) 5.5 (2) 8.1 (20) 7.5 (2)
4 · 11

Los Angeles Lakers

Luka Doncic PG38.5 PTS · 8.1 REB · 8.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/4 @ SAC 35 40 9 7 6
11/2 vs MIA 35 42 7 13 6
11/1 vs TOR 35 45 15 6 8
10/30 @ GSW 37 37 7 5 6
10/27 vs POR 36 41 5 9 6
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs POR
PTS 38.5 (8) 35.8 (5) 33.5 (64) 41.0 (1)
41
REB 8.1 (8) 8.2 (5) 7.7 (64) 5.0 (1)
5
AST 8.0 (8) 8.4 (5) 8.3 (64) 9.0 (1)
9

Austin Reaves SG23.3 PTS · 3.2 REB · 5.0 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/4 @ SAC 37 21 3 4 1
11/2 vs MIA 34 27 2 5 4
11/1 vs TOR 38 19 3 4 2
10/30 @ GSW 37 21 4 5 1
10/28 @ LAC 30 16 6 1 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs POR
PTS 23.3 (9) 24.6 (5) 22.9 (57) 33.5 (2)
26 · 41
REB 3.2 (9) 3.0 (5) 4.6 (57) 4.0 (2)
4 · 4
AST 5.0 (9) 6.2 (5) 5.5 (57) 6.0 (2)
7 · 5

Walker Kessler C14.4 PTS · 10.2 REB · 1.1 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/4 @ SAC 28 15 8 0 0
11/2 vs MIA 32 15 15 2 0
11/1 vs TOR 31 16 15 1 0
10/30 @ GSW 30 10 13 2 0
10/28 @ LAC 26 11 9 1 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs POR
PTS 14.4 (9) 18.4 (5) 14.4 (5) 13.0 (1)
13
REB 10.2 (9) 11.0 (5) 10.8 (5) 8.0 (1)
8
AST 1.1 (9) 1.4 (5) 3.0 (5) 0.0 (1)
0

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Trail Blazers 6-1 5-2 3-4 1-1 5-0
Lakers 7-2 6-3 5-4 4-1 3-1

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Trail Blazers vs Lakers head-to-head

Trail Blazers are 4-6, 2-0 ATS, O/U 2-0 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Trail Blazers won 136-129 on October 27, 2026.

Date Venue Trail Blazers result ATS O/U
Oct 27, 26 Lakers home W 136-129 W +1.5 O 234.5
Jan 17, 26 Trail Blazers home W 132-116 W -3.5 O 223.5
Nov 3, 25 Trail Blazers home L 115-123 – –
Oct 27, 25 Lakers home W 122-108 – –
Apr 13, 25 Trail Blazers home W 109-81 – –
Feb 20, 25 Trail Blazers home L 102-110 – –
Jan 2, 25 Lakers home L 106-114 – –
Dec 8, 24 Lakers home L 98-107 – –
Jan 21, 24 Lakers home L 110-134 – –
Nov 17, 23 Trail Blazers home L 95-107 – –

Recent form

Portland Trail Blazers: last 10 (8-2, 6-4 ATS, O/U 4-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 4, 26 @ PHX W 132-119 W -2.5 O 227.5
Nov 2, 26 @ DEN W 118-110 W +4.5 U 231.5
Oct 31, 26 @ UTAH W 112-90 W -6.5 U 232.5
Oct 29, 26 vs MEM L 103-124 L -7.5 U 233.5
Oct 27, 26 @ LAL W 136-129 W +1.5 O 234.5
Oct 23, 26 @ SAC W 128-120 L -9.5 O 231.5
Oct 21, 26 vs PHX W 124-83 W -3.5 U 232.5
Apr 12, 26 vs SAC W 122-110 L -18.5 O 226.5
Apr 10, 26 vs LAC W 116-97 W -1.5 U 226.5
Apr 8, 26 @ SA L 101-112 L +2.5 U 229.5

Los Angeles Lakers: last 10 (8-2, 7-3 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 4, 26 @ SAC W 116-103 W -12.5 U 233.5
Nov 2, 26 vs MIA W 138-117 W -1.5 O 237.5
Nov 1, 26 vs TOR W 131-125 W -3.5 O 224.5
Oct 30, 26 @ GS L 95-112 L -2.5 U 234.5
Oct 28, 26 @ LAC W 103-87 W +1.5 U 224.5
Oct 27, 26 vs POR L 129-136 L -1.5 O 234.5
Oct 25, 26 @ UTAH W 132-123 W -6.5 O 237.5
Oct 23, 26 vs LAC W 125-117 L -8.5 O 225.5
Oct 21, 26 vs GS W 127-105 W -6.5 U 233.5
Apr 12, 26 vs UTAH W 131-107 W -14.5 U 239.5

Injury report

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Shaedon Sharpe (SG): Out, Right Meniscus Surgery
  • Ja Morant (PG): Out, Left Hamstring Strain
  • Vit Krejci (PG): Out, Left Ankle Fracture
  • John Tonje (SF): Out, G League – Two-Way

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Cameron Carr (PG): Out, G League – On Assignment
  • Bronny James (PG): Out, G League – On Assignment

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Trail Blazers defense Lakers defense
Points allowed per game 113.8 (16th of 30) 114.5 (19th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 41.1 (5th of 30) 41.2 (6th of 30)
Assists allowed per game 23.8 (3rd of 30) 27 (18th of 30)
Threes allowed per game 11.9 (7th of 30) 15.2 (29th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 102.1 (15th) 102.1 (14th)

Venue and weather

crypto.com Arena · Los Angeles, CAIndoor, weather won’t matter
The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NBA board →

Trail Blazers vs Lakers odds

Line movement from the open

Line Open Close Move
Lakers spread -4.5 -3.5 +1
Total 238.5 231.5 -7
Trail Blazers moneyline +136 +130 +1.1% win chance
Lakers moneyline -162 -154 -1.2% win chance

DraftKings opening and closing numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Lakers spread -2.5 → -3
Total 233.5 → 231.5
The next NBA slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the NBA board →

More on these teams: Portland Trail Blazers stats · Los Angeles Lakers stats · Los Angeles Lakers vs Detroit Pistons Nov 8 · San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers Nov 7 · Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings Nov 4 · Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns Nov 4 · All NBA prop picks

Betting guides: NBA player props guide · how to predict NBA props · NBA first basket guide · how parlays work

21+. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Today's NBA picks

Cameron JohnsonOVER 2.5 points · @ HOU
10/10
Cameron BoozerOVER 4.5 points · @ TOR
9/9
Santi AldamaOVER 6.5 points · vs IND
10/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Open the board →

Latest

1MNF Player Props: How to Work a Short Slate
2CS2 Match Betting: A Step-by-Step Method
3BettingPros Alternative: StatsBench Compared
4DFS NBA Picks Today: Pick'em vs Book Props
5NHL Hits Props: How the Market Works

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game daysFollow @stats_bench on XToday's picks, results and line moves as they happen