RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

RB Leipzig logo

RB Leipzig4th in the Bundesliga
9:30 AM ETSat, Nov 7
FC Augsburg logo

FC Augsburg11th in the Bundesliga

Bundesliga · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:30 AM ET

Result Moneyline
RB Leipzig -238
Draw +480
FC Augsburg +550

Total goals 3.5: over -162 , under +130

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 9:32 AM ET.

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg preview

RB Leipzig hosts FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday, November 7, 2026. The three-way moneyline has RB Leipzig at -238, the draw at +490, and FC Augsburg at +500, with a total of 3.5. Leipzig sits fourth on 15 points from eight matches (5-0-3) and shows WWLWL form, while Augsburg is 11th on nine points (2-3-3) with LDLDL form. The last meeting went 2-1 to Leipzig on March 7, 2026.

Augsburg has scored in every listed league match and both teams scored in 88% of its matches, with over 2.5 goals in 88%. Leipzig has a 4-0-0 home record, a 63% clean-sheet rate, and over 2.5 goals in 75%. Leipzig is without Assan Ouédraogo and Max Finkgrafe, and Antonio Nusa is day-to-day; Augsburg is missing Steve Mounié, Noahkai Banks, Faik Sakar, and Klaus Suso. For prop research, Maarten Vandevoordt over 2.5 saves is -165 and cleared in 7 of his last 10; Michael Gregoritsch over 0.5 shots on target is -159 and cleared 8 of 10.

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction

64%RB Leipzig
16%Draw
20%FC Augsburg

The books imply 68% / 17% / 15%

2-1Most likely score7% chance
2.9 – 1.7Expected goals
84%Over 2.5 goals
77%Both teams to score

The numbers lean RB Leipzig: the model makes them 64% to Augsburg’s 20%, while the books have 67% and 16%, so the main disagreement is on Augsburg. Leipzig’s 4-0-0 home record and 2.75 goals scored per match support the lean, and Augsburg’s LDLDL form plus 88% both-teams-to-score and over-2.5 rates point to goals.

A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (8 and 8 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Michael Gregoritsch FC Augsburg Over 0.5 shots on target -175 bet365 80% (8/10) 80%
Ridle Baku RB Leipzig Over 0.5 fouls won -200 DraftKings 80% (8/10) 80%
Anton Kade FC Augsburg Over 1.5 shots -143 BetRivers 70% (7/10) 60%
Arijon Ibrahimovic FC Augsburg Over 0.5 shots on target -145 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 100%
Maarten Vandevoordt RB Leipzig Over 2.5 saves -165 DraftKings 70% (7/10) 80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 9:32 AM ET.

The rest of the RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
Willi OrbánOver 0.5 shots7/10
Fabian RiederOver 1.5 tackles7/10
Christopher Alan NkunkuOver 0.5 fouls4/6

Key matchups

From the confirmed lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Gomis vs Behrens

GomisWinger, RB Leipzig
VS
BehrensFull-back, FC Augsburg
Even matchupBehrens gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 19% less than the average defender (0.7). Gomis draws 0.7, which points to about 0.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.7Fouls drawn vs given0.6
1.8Shots vs tackles2.9
Fouls won over 0.55/10avg 0.7 · -250bet365
Shots over 3.51/10avg 1.8 · +120bet365
Shots on target over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · -250bet365
Fouls committed over 0.56/10avg 0.6 · -255DraftKings
Tackles over 2.54/10avg 2.9 · +100DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +500DraftKings

Nkunku vs Fellhauer

NkunkuWinger, RB Leipzig
VS
FellhauerFull-back, FC Augsburg
Good matchup for NkunkuFellhauer gives away 1.3 fouls a match, 75% more than the average defender (0.7). Nkunku draws plenty himself, at 1.5, which points to about 2.6 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.
1.5Fouls drawn vs given1.3
2.0Shots vs tackles0.7
Fouls won over 1.53/6avg 1.5 · -130DraftKings
Shots over 3.52/6avg 2 · +110Fanatics
Shots on target over 1.53/6avg 1.2 · +130DraftKings
Fouls committed over 1.54/10avg 1.3 · -175DraftKings
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 0.7 · -200DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +400Fanatics

Romulo vs Keitel and Gouweleeuw and Matsima

RomuloStriker, RB Leipzig
VS
KeitelCentre-back, FC Augsburg
GouweleeuwCentre-back, FC Augsburg
MatsimaCentre-back, FC Augsburg
Tough matchup for RomuloKeitel and Gouweleeuw and Matsima give away 0.5 fouls a match, 37% less than the average defender (0.7). Romulo only draws 0.4, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.4Fouls drawn vs given0.5
1.7Shots vs tackles0.9
Fouls won over 0.52/10avg 0.4 · -300bet365
Shots over 3.50/10avg 1.7 · +150bet365
Shots on target over 1.53/10avg 1 · +150bet365
Fouls committed over 1.51/10avg 0.5 · +115DraftKings
Tackles over 1.51/10avg 0.7 · -250DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +450bet365
Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · -137bet365
Tackles over 1.52/10avg 1 · -140DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +260DraftKings
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.5 · -162bet365
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · -150DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +390DraftKings

Ribeiro vs Orban and Lukeba

RibeiroStriker, FC Augsburg
VS
OrbanCentre-back, RB Leipzig
LukebaCentre-back, RB Leipzig
Tough matchup for RibeiroOrban and Lukeba give away 0.6 fouls a match, 26% less than the average defender (0.7). Ribeiro only draws 0.1, which points to about 0.1 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.
0.1Fouls drawn vs given0.6
0.8Shots vs tackles1.3
Fouls won over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · -285DraftKings
Shots over 2.50/10avg 0.8 · +100Fanatics
Shots on target over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · -180Fanatics
Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.6 · -125bet365
Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.3 · +110DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +650bet365
Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.5 · +110bet365
Tackles over 1.53/10avg 1.2 · -105DraftKings
Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +550bet365
Trade RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg on PolymarketPrediction-market prices on the match and player props, often sharper than a sportsbook’s.

Polymarket

Affiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.

Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

RB Leipzig 4-5-1FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1

7/1026 VandevoordtSaves 2.5+
8/1017 BakuFouls won 0.5+
7/104 OrbanShots 0.5+
23 Lukeba
22 Raum (C)
27 Gomis
10 Gruda
21 El Aynaoui
5/106 BanzuziSOT 0.5+
4/628 NkunkuFouls 0.5+
5/1040 RomuloFouls 0.5+
1 Dahmen
14 Keitel
6 Gouweleeuw
5 Matsima
5/1019 FellhauerSOT 0.5+
4 Massengo
7/1032 RiederTackles 1.5+
16 Behrens
7/1030 KadeShots 1.5+
7/1021 IbrahimovicSOT 0.5+
9 Ribeiro

RB Leipzig missing: M. Finkgrafe (thigh), M. Guiu (hamstring), A. Ouedraogo (shoulder)

FC Augsburg missing: J. Bah (red card), N. Banks (knee), C. Brackelmann (concussion)

The props behind these lineupsLines and hit rates for Bundesliga players. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

Form and head to head

RB Leipzig4th in the tableWWLWL5W 0D 3L · 1.88 points a match
4meetings

3 wins1 draw0 wins
FC Augsburg11th in the tableLDLDL2W 3D 3L · 1.13 points a match
75%Over 1.53/4
75%Over 2.53/4
50%Over 3.52/4
25%Both scored1/4
  • Mar 2026RBL 2-1 FCA
  • Oct 2025FCA 0-6 RBL
  • Feb 2025FCA 0-0 RBL
  • Sep 2024RBL 4-0 FCA

Clean sheets and goal trends

RB Leipzig

63%

Clean sheet5/8

13%

Failed to score1/8

25%

Both scored2/8

75%

Over 2.56/8

FC Augsburg

13%

Clean sheet1/8

0%

Failed to score0/8

88%

Both scored7/8

88%

Over 2.57/8

Attack and defense

Attacking

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg
63%Win %25%
54%Possession %47%
25%Both teams scored %88%
63%Scored first %63%
  • 2.8Scored per match2.3
  • 15.0Shots per match15.8
  • 6.9Shots on target per match6.5
  • 2.6Big chances per match2.0

Defensive

RB LeipzigFC Augsburg
38%Loss %38%
13%Failed to score %0%
63%Clean sheet %13%
38%Conceded first %38%
  • 1.4Conceded per match1.9
  • 12.6Shots against per match15.4
  • 16.3Tackles per match16.3
  • 10.6Fouls per match9.5

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

RB Leipzig WWLWL W 2-0 at FC Schalke 04 · W 4-0 vs SV Elversberg · L 1-6 at FCB · W 6-0 vs SGE · L 0-2 at B04
FC Augsburg LDLDL L 1-2 vs SCF · D 1-1 vs FCU · L 3-4 at SV Elversberg · D 2-2 vs FCB · L 2-3 at SVW

Last five Bundesliga results, most recent first.

Season numbers

RB Leipzig FC Augsburg
Table 4 (15 pts) 11 (9 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 5-0-3 2-3-3
Home / away record 4-0-0 (18-0) home 1-0-2 (9-8) away
Goals scored per match 2.75 2.25
Goals conceded per match 1.38 1.88
Shots / on target per match 15.00 / 6.88 15.75 / 6.50
Both teams scored 25% 88%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 100% / 75% / 63% 100% / 88% / 63%
Clean sheets 63% 13%
Failed to score 13% 0%
Yellow cards per match 0.88 1.38
Corners per match 5.56 5.12

This season, 8 and 8 matches.

Referee

Daniel Schlager averages 4.2 yellow cards and 21.0 fouls per match over 6 matches this season (league average 3.5 and 22.2), a card-heavy referee.

Injury report

RB Leipzig

  • Assan Ouédraogo (M): Out, Shoulder Injury
  • Max Finkgrafe (D): Out, Thigh Injury
  • Antonio Nusa (F): Day-To-Day, Muscle Injury

FC Augsburg

  • Steve Mounié (F): Out, Unknown
  • Noahkai Banks (D): Out, Knee Injury
  • Faik Sakar (M): Out, Ankle Injury
  • Klaus Suso (M): Out, Unknown
Compare Bundesliga playersHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books, side by side. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg odds by sportsbook

Book RBL ML FCA ML Over Under
bet365 -238 +525 O 3.5 -162 U 3.5 +130
BetRivers -250 +500 O 4 -114 U 4 -115
DraftKings -255 +475 O 3.5 -165 U 3.5 +130
FanDuel -290 +550 O 4.5 +136 U 4.5 -168
Fanatics -240 +475 O 3.5 -170 U 3.5 +130

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 9:32 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 3:46 AM ET): RB Leipzig moneyline -222 → -238.

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -285, no +215

Total goals Over Under
1.5 -2200 +980
2.5 -430 +320
3.5 -164 +134
4.5 +140 -172

Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 4.5
Shop the player props tooProp prices across 30+ sportsbooks and pick’em apps, with hit rates beside them. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

More on these teams: Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig Oct 31 · FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg Oct 31 · All Bundesliga prop picks · All Bundesliga predictions

Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work

18+, or the legal age where you live. Research, not a guarantee: every bet can lose. Bet within your means; if gambling stops being fun, contact a local support service.

Today's NBA picks

Marcus SmartOVER 0.5 stls blks · @ PHX
10/10
Dillon BrooksOVER 21.5 points + rebounds + assists · vs HOU
9/10
Marcus SmartOVER 3.5 rebounds + assists · @ PHX
9/10
All of today's NBA picks →
Today's prop boardHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today's props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.

The morning slate, by email

Join the StatsBench DiscordPicks, results and prop talk, live on game days