| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| -238 |
|
| Draw | +480 |
| +550 |
Total goals 3.5: over -162
, under +130 ![]()
Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 9:32 AM ET.
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg preview
RB Leipzig hosts FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday, November 7, 2026. The three-way moneyline has RB Leipzig at -238, the draw at +490, and FC Augsburg at +500, with a total of 3.5. Leipzig sits fourth on 15 points from eight matches (5-0-3) and shows WWLWL form, while Augsburg is 11th on nine points (2-3-3) with LDLDL form. The last meeting went 2-1 to Leipzig on March 7, 2026.
Augsburg has scored in every listed league match and both teams scored in 88% of its matches, with over 2.5 goals in 88%. Leipzig has a 4-0-0 home record, a 63% clean-sheet rate, and over 2.5 goals in 75%. Leipzig is without Assan Ouédraogo and Max Finkgrafe, and Antonio Nusa is day-to-day; Augsburg is missing Steve Mounié, Noahkai Banks, Faik Sakar, and Klaus Suso. For prop research, Maarten Vandevoordt over 2.5 saves is -165 and cleared in 7 of his last 10; Michael Gregoritsch over 0.5 shots on target is -159 and cleared 8 of 10.
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction
The books imply 68% / 17% / 15%
The numbers lean RB Leipzig: the model makes them 64% to Augsburg’s 20%, while the books have 67% and 16%, so the main disagreement is on Augsburg. Leipzig’s 4-0-0 home record and 2.75 goals scored per match support the lean, and Augsburg’s LDLDL form plus 88% both-teams-to-score and over-2.5 rates point to goals.
A Poisson estimate from each club’s scoring and conceding rates this season, overall and at home or away (8 and 8 matches). It does not know about lineups or injuries, and it is a research estimate, not a guarantee.
StatsBench picks
No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.
Top RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg player props
| Player | Prop | Best price | Last 10 | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gregoritsch FC Augsburg | Over 0.5 shots on target | -175 |
80% (8/10) | 80% |
| Ridle Baku RB Leipzig | Over 0.5 fouls won | -200 |
80% (8/10) | 80% |
| Anton Kade FC Augsburg | Over 1.5 shots | -143 |
70% (7/10) | 60% |
| Arijon Ibrahimovic FC Augsburg | Over 0.5 shots on target | -145 |
70% (7/10) | 100% |
| Maarten Vandevoordt RB Leipzig | Over 2.5 saves | -165 |
70% (7/10) | 80% |
Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 9:32 AM ET.
Key matchups
From the confirmed lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.
Gomis vs Behrens
Gomis
BehrensNkunku vs Fellhauer
Nkunku
FellhauerRomulo vs Keitel and Gouweleeuw and Matsima
Romulo
Keitel
Gouweleeuw
MatsimaRibeiro vs Orban and Lukeba
Ribeiro
Orban
LukebaAffiliate link: StatsBench may earn a commission if you sign up. 18+ (21+ where required); availability depends on where you live.
Confirmed lineups
The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.
RB Leipzig 4-5-1
FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1
7/1026 VandevoordtSaves 2.5+
8/1017 BakuFouls won 0.5+
7/104 OrbanShots 0.5+
23 Lukeba
22 Raum (C)
27 Gomis
10 Gruda
21 El Aynaoui
5/106 BanzuziSOT 0.5+
4/628 NkunkuFouls 0.5+
5/1040 RomuloFouls 0.5+
1 Dahmen
14 Keitel
6 Gouweleeuw
5 Matsima
5/1019 FellhauerSOT 0.5+
4 Massengo
7/1032 RiederTackles 1.5+
16 Behrens
7/1030 KadeShots 1.5+
7/1021 IbrahimovicSOT 0.5+
9 RibeiroRB Leipzig missing: M. Finkgrafe (thigh), M. Guiu (hamstring), A. Ouedraogo (shoulder)
FC Augsburg missing: J. Bah (red card), N. Banks (knee), C. Brackelmann (concussion)
Form and head to head
RB Leipzig4th in the tableWWLWL5W 0D 3L · 1.88 points a match
FC Augsburg11th in the tableLDLDL2W 3D 3L · 1.13 points a match- Mar 2026RBL 2-1 FCA
- Oct 2025FCA 0-6 RBL
- Feb 2025FCA 0-0 RBL
- Sep 2024RBL 4-0 FCA
Clean sheets and goal trends
RB Leipzig
Clean sheet5/8
Failed to score1/8
Both scored2/8
Over 2.56/8
FC Augsburg
Clean sheet1/8
Failed to score0/8
Both scored7/8
Over 2.57/8
Attack and defense
Attacking
- 2.8Scored per match2.3
- 15.0Shots per match15.8
- 6.9Shots on target per match6.5
- 2.6Big chances per match2.0
Defensive
- 1.4Conceded per match1.9
- 12.6Shots against per match15.4
- 16.3Tackles per match16.3
- 10.6Fouls per match9.5
Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.
Recent results
| RB Leipzig | WWLWL | W 2-0 at FC Schalke 04 · W 4-0 vs SV Elversberg · L 1-6 at FCB · W 6-0 vs SGE · L 0-2 at B04 |
|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg | LDLDL | L 1-2 vs SCF · D 1-1 vs FCU · L 3-4 at SV Elversberg · D 2-2 vs FCB · L 2-3 at SVW |
Last five Bundesliga results, most recent first.
Season numbers
| RB Leipzig | FC Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Table | 4 (15 pts) | 11 (9 pts) |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-3 | 2-3-3 |
| Home / away record | 4-0-0 (18-0) home | 1-0-2 (9-8) away |
| Goals scored per match | 2.75 | 2.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Shots / on target per match | 15.00 / 6.88 | 15.75 / 6.50 |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals | 100% / 75% / 63% | 100% / 88% / 63% |
| Clean sheets | 63% | 13% |
| Failed to score | 13% | 0% |
| Yellow cards per match | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Corners per match | 5.56 | 5.12 |
This season, 8 and 8 matches.
Referee
Daniel Schlager averages 4.2 yellow cards and 21.0 fouls per match over 6 matches this season (league average 3.5 and 22.2), a card-heavy referee.
Injury report
RB Leipzig
- Assan Ouédraogo (M): Out, Shoulder Injury
- Max Finkgrafe (D): Out, Thigh Injury
- Antonio Nusa (F): Day-To-Day, Muscle Injury
FC Augsburg
- Steve Mounié (F): Out, Unknown
- Noahkai Banks (D): Out, Knee Injury
- Faik Sakar (M): Out, Ankle Injury
- Klaus Suso (M): Out, Unknown
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg odds by sportsbook
| Book | RBL ML | FCA ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -238 | +525 | O 3.5 -162 | U 3.5 +130 | |
| -250 | +500 | O 4 -114 | U 4 -115 | |
| -255 | +475 | O 3.5 -165 | U 3.5 +130 | |
| -290 | +550 | O 4.5 +136 | U 4.5 -168 | |
| -240 | +475 | O 3.5 -170 | U 3.5 +130 |
Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 9:32 AM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.
Line movement since we first listed this match (Fri 3:46 AM ET): RB Leipzig moneyline -222 → -238.
Goal lines and both teams to score
Both teams to score: yes -285, no +215
| Total goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -2200 | +980 |
| 2.5 | -430 | +320 |
| 3.5 | -164 | +134 |
| 4.5 | +140 | -172 |
Line movement chart
More on these teams: Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig Oct 31 · FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg Oct 31 · All Bundesliga prop picks · All Bundesliga predictions
Betting guides: yellow card betting tips · football player props guide · how parlays work
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