Cardiff City vs Burnley Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 7, 2026)

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EFL Championship prop picks: today's featured picks
Cardiff City logo

Cardiff City18th in the EFL Championship
FINAL5 – 4
Burnley logo

Burnley22nd in the EFL Championship

EFL Championship · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 10:00 AM ET

How the bets settled

ResultCardiff City winFinished 5-4
Total goalsOver 3.59 goals, 5.5 over
Both teams to scoreYesCardiff City 5, Burnley 4

Match report

Cardiff City beat Burnley 5-4 in a nine-goal match, with Y. Salech scoring twice and A. Robertson (Cardiff City) netting in stoppage time. Burnley had led through A. Hountondji and M. Edwards, and L. Ramazani also scored, while O. Tanner pulled one back before a Burnley own goal from A. Robertson helped Cardiff’s comeback.

The match stats showed Cardiff’s edge: 4.65 xG to 2.29, 25 shots to 15, 66% possession to 34% and 6 big chances to 1. That scoring burst contrasted with Cardiff’s DLWDW form and Burnley’s DDLLD, and it ran well beyond both teams’ 64% over 2.5 rate. Both teams to score had been frequent too, at 71% for Cardiff and 86% for Burnley, with the BTTS yes price at -235. Salech’s double and R. Colwill’s two assists were decisive for Cardiff.

How the props finished

9 of 11 cleared

Player Line Price Result
Nathan Wallace Newman Trott Over 2.5 saves -150 DraftKings 5 Cleared
Joel Matthew Bagan Over 1.5 tackles -155 DraftKings 2 Cleared
Perry Tian Hee Ng Over 0.5 fouls -170 DraftKings 2 Cleared
Ollie Tanner Over 0.5 shots on target -105 BetRivers 2 Cleared
Joshua Ishaele Jacob-Heron Hunt-Laurent Over 1.5 tackles -155 DraftKings 3 Cleared
Yousef Salech Over 1.5 shots on target +125 bet365 2 Cleared
Largie Ramazani Over 1.5 tackles -110 DraftKings 1 Missed
Jack Moylan Over 0.5 score or assist -115 DraftKings 1 Cleared
J. Banel Over 0.5 shots on target -125 BetMGM 0 Missed
Reo Hatate Over 1.5 tackles -130 DraftKings 2 Cleared
Kyle Andrew Walker Over 1.5 tackles -155 DraftKings 3 Cleared

Each player’s top line by recent hit rate before the match, graded against the box score. These are research lines, not posted picks.

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Goals

  • 15′ A. Hountondji, assist Lucas Pires Burnley
  • 25′ M. Edwards, assist J. Banel Burnley
  • 40′ O. Tanner, assist R. Colwill Cardiff City
  • 55′ L. Ramazani Burnley
  • 62′ A. Robertson (own goal) Burnley
  • 65′ Y. Salech, assist C. Ashford Cardiff City
  • 82′ Y. Salech, assist R. Colwill Cardiff City
  • 90+4′ A. Robertson, assist C. Willock Cardiff City
Match stats Cardiff City Burnley
Expected goals (xG) 4.61 2.38
Ball possession 66% 34%
Total shots 25 15
Shots on target 11 8
Big chances 8 2
Corner kicks 5 6
Passes 88% (508/577) 77% (220/286)
Yellow cards 4 4

How the key matchups went

  • Tanner: 4 shots, 2 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Lucas Pires: 0 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
  • Willock: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 1 foul won. Walker: 2 fouls committed, 3 tackles, 1 yellow card.
  • Moylan: 5 shots, 2 shots on target, 0 fouls won. Ekdal: 0 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards. Igor: 0 fouls committed, 0 tackles, 0 yellow cards.
  • Ramazani: 4 shots, 3 shots on target, 3 fouls won. Bagan: 2 fouls committed, 2 tackles, 1 yellow card.
  • Banel: 0 shots, 0 shots on target, 2 fouls won. Ng: 2 fouls committed, 1 tackle, 0 yellow cards.
  • Hountondji: 3 shots, 1 shot on target, 0 fouls won. Fish: 1 foul committed, 2 tackles, 0 yellow cards. Bielik: 1 foul committed, 0 tackles, 1 yellow card.

Box score

CardiffBurnley

Cardiff

Player MIN G A SH SOT xG KP PAS TKL FC FS YC SV RAT
Trott N. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 34/42 0 0 0 0 5 7.1
Willock C. 89 0 1 0 0 0.00 5 22/25 0 0 1 0 0 8.1
Tanner O. 63 1 0 4 2 1.08 2 25/32 0 0 0 0 0 7.9
Moylan J. 89 1 0 5 2 2.01 1 15/17 0 0 0 0 0 7.1
Fish W. 90 0 0 1 1 0.06 0 80/86 2 1 0 0 0 7.3
Ashford C. 90 0 1 3 0 0.16 3 25/27 0 1 1 0 0 7.3
Bielik K. 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 1 81/88 0 1 0 1 0 7.6
Colwill R. 90 0 2 3 1 0.46 5 32/40 2 0 1 1 0 8.9
Ng P. 90 0 0 2 0 0.05 0 52/62 1 2 1 0 0 6.1
Bagan J. 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 2 57/63 2 2 2 1 0 7.1
Robertson A. 90 1 0 4 2 0.09 2 77/82 1 0 2 0 0 7.5
Kpakio R. 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0/0 0 0 0 0 0 –
Scanlon C. 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 7/11 0 0 0 0 0 6.5
Colwill J. 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0/0 0 0 0 0 0 –
Salech Y. 27 2 0 2 2 0.73 0 1/2 0 1 2 1 0 8.8

Burnley

Player MIN G A SH SOT xG KP PAS TKL FC FS YC SV RAT
Lucas Pires 64 0 1 0 0 0.00 2 8/12 2 0 0 0 0 7.5
Ekdal H. 90 0 0 2 0 0.20 0 23/32 1 0 0 0 0 6.0
Igor 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 19/24 0 0 0 0 0 5.7
Banel J. 64 0 1 0 0 0.00 1 5/6 0 1 2 1 0 6.3
Hatate R. 58 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 8/10 2 0 0 0 0 6.5
Coudert G. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 11/22 0 0 0 0 4 5.7
Ramazani L. 90 1 0 4 3 0.24 5 23/30 1 2 3 1 0 7.9
Edwards M. 58 1 0 3 1 0.82 1 11/15 1 1 0 0 0 7.1
Laurent J. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 23/26 3 0 0 1 0 6.1
Hountondji A. 80 1 0 3 1 0.61 1 7/9 0 1 0 0 0 7.2
Walker K. 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 1 37/44 3 2 0 1 0 6.4
Sonne O. 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 8/12 0 0 0 0 0 6.5
Ramsey A. 32 0 0 3 3 0.51 0 12/17 1 1 1 0 0 7.0
Cullen J. 32 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 17/18 0 0 1 0 0 6.3
Roberts C. 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 5/6 0 2 1 0 0 5.5
Amdouni Z. 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 1 3/3 1 0 0 0 0 –

Recap: Zero to hero: Socceroos’ Robertson scores stunning match-winner after own goal (ESPN)

Highlights

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

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Cardiff City vs Burnley pre-game preview

Cardiff City hosts Burnley on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET in EFL Championship play. Cardiff City is the home favorite at +100, with Burnley +240 and the draw +330, and the total is set at 3.5. Cardiff sits 18th at 3-6-5 with 15 points and form of DLWDW, while Burnley is 22nd at 1-7-6 with 10 points and form of DDLLD.

Both-teams-to-score trends stand out: Cardiff has seen both teams score in 71% of matches and Burnley in 86%, with Burnley conceding 1.86 per match. The yes price is -235 and the no is +185. Cardiff’s Trott has cleared over 2.5 saves in 7 of his last 10, and referee Oliver Langford averages 2.6 yellows and 19.0 fouls per match, below the league marks of 3.8 and 22.1.

Cardiff’s confirmed XI lists Chambers, Lawlor and Robinson out, while Burnley’s absences include Barnes, Humphreys, Mejbri and Satpaev. Those defensive and availability inputs are the main research angles around the 3.5 total.

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Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Cardiff City 4-1-4-1Burnley 4-2-3-1

1 Trott
38 Ng
2 Fish
5 Bielik
3 Bagan
18 Robertson
11 Tanner
10 Colwill (C)
45 Ashford
16 Willock
8 Moylan
37 Coudert
2 Walker (C)
18 Ekdal
44 Igor
23 Lucas Pires
29 Laurent
5 Hatate
19 Ramazani
10 Edwards
34 Banel
17 Hountondji

Cardiff City missing: C. Chambers (knee), I. Davies (muscle), D. Lawlor (hamstring), C. Robinson (inactive)

Burnley missing: B. Amos (inactive), A. Barnes (inactive), A. Broja (injury), J. Bruun Larsen (injury), B. Humphreys (muscle), H. Mejbri (hamstring), M. Obafemi (inactive), S. Sambo (inactive), D. Satpaev (inactive)

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Form and head to head

Cardiff City18th in the tableDLWDW3W 6D 5L · 1.07 points a match
No recent meetings
Burnley22nd in the tableDDLLD1W 7D 6L · 0.71 points a match

Clean sheets and goal trends

Cardiff City

7%

Clean sheet1/14

21%

Failed to score3/14

71%

Both scored10/14

64%

Over 2.59/14

Burnley

14%

Clean sheet2/14

7%

Failed to score1/14

86%

Both scored12/14

64%

Over 2.59/14

Attack and defense

Attacking

Cardiff CityBurnley
21%Win %7%
59%Possession %48%
71%Both teams scored %86%
50%Scored first %64%
  • 1.6Scored per match1.3
  • 12.8Shots per match10.9
  • 6.0Shots on target per match3.9
  • 0.0Big chances per match0.0

Defensive

Cardiff CityBurnley
36%Loss %43%
21%Failed to score %7%
7%Clean sheet %14%
50%Conceded first %29%
  • 1.6Conceded per match1.9
  • 13.1Shots against per match11.9
  • 13.6Tackles per match14.8
  • 9.6Fouls per match9.8

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Cardiff DLWDW D 3-3 vs West Ham · L 0-3 at Wolves · W 1-0 vs Birmingham · D 2-2 at Middlesbrough · W 5-1 vs Watford
Burnley DDLLD D 1-1 at QPR · D 0-0 vs Portsmouth · L 1-4 at Lincoln · L 1-2 vs Wolves · D 2-2 vs Charlton

Last five EFL Championship results, most recent first.

Season numbers

Cardiff Burnley
Table 18 (15 pts) 22 (10 pts)
Record (W-D-L) 3-6-5 1-7-6
Home / away record 3-4-0 (16-9) home 1-2-4 (10-16) away
Goals scored per match 1.57 1.29
Goals conceded per match 1.64 1.86
Shots / on target per match 12.79 / 6.00 10.86 / 3.93
Both teams scored 71% 86%
Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals 86% / 64% / 43% 93% / 64% / 50%
Clean sheets 7% 14%
Failed to score 21% 7%
Yellow cards per match 1.71 1.93
Corners per match 6.36 4.50

This season, 14 and 14 matches.

Referee

Oliver Langford averages 2.6 yellow cards and 19.0 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 3.8 and 22.1), lighter with cards than most.

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 2:35 PM ET.

The next EFL Championship slate is on the boardLines, hit rates and the best price across 30+ books for the games still to come. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Line movement chart

Total 3.5 → 3.5
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