Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 8, 2026)

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this match. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Manchester United vs Aston Villa player props

Player	Prop	Best price	Last 10	Last 5
Ian Maatsen Aston Villa	Over 0.5 shots	-170 Fanatics	70% (7/10)	80%
Matty Cash Aston Villa	Over 0.5 fouls won	-175 bet365	70% (7/10)	80%
J. Manzambi Aston Villa	Over 0.5 score or assist	+175 FanDuel	66.7% (4/6)	80%
Zion Suzuki Aston Villa	Over 3.5 saves	-115 DraftKings	62.5% (5/8)	60%
Boubacar Kamara Aston Villa	Over 1.5 fouls won	+100 DraftKings	60% (6/10)	80%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent matches. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 11:23 AM ET.

Key matchups

From the confirmed lineups: each winger against the full-back he faces, the strikers against the centre-backs. Each white tick marks the league average per match. The lower bars show how often the player cleared the line over his recent matches, green at 70% or better.

Diallo vs Maatsen

DialloWinger, Manchester United

VS

MaatsenFull-back, Aston Villa

Good matchup for DialloMaatsen gives away 1.0 fouls a match, 36% more than the average defender (0.7). Diallo only draws 0.6, which points to about 0.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

0.6Fouls drawn vs given1.0

1.5Shots vs tackles2.1

Fouls won over 1.51/10avg 0.6 · +110

Shots over 2.52/10avg 1.5 · +138

Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · -128

Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 1 · +240

Tackles over 2.55/10avg 2.1 · -110

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +350

Cunha vs Lindelof

CunhaWinger, Manchester United

VS

LindelofFull-back, Aston Villa

Tough matchup for CunhaLindelof gives away 0.2 fouls a match, 73% less than the average defender (0.7). Cunha draws plenty himself, at 1.3, which points to about 0.4 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

1.3Fouls drawn vs given0.2

1.8Shots vs tackles0.4

Fouls won over 1.55/10avg 1.3 · -120

Shots over 2.51/10avg 1.8 · -150

Shots on target over 0.56/10avg 0.7 · -200

Fouls committed over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · -340

Tackles over 1.50/10avg 0.4 · +275

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +550

Mbeumo vs Torres

MbeumoStriker, Manchester United

VS

TorresCentre-back, Aston Villa

Even matchupTorres gives away 0.6 fouls a match, 18% less than the average defender (0.7). Mbeumo draws 1.0, which points to about 0.8 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

1.0Fouls drawn vs given0.6

2.1Shots vs tackles0.4

Fouls won over 0.58/10avg 1 · -275

Shots over 3.50/10avg 2.1 · +175

Shots on target over 0.510/10avg 1.3 · -215

Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 0.6 · -195

Tackles over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · -300

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +550

Alysson vs Dalot

AlyssonWinger, Aston Villa

VS

DalotFull-back, Manchester United

Good matchup for AlyssonDalot gives away 1.0 fouls a match, 36% more than the average defender (0.7). Alysson only draws 0.2, which points to about 0.3 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

0.2Fouls drawn vs given1.0

0.5Shots vs tackles2.1

Fouls won over 1.50/10avg 0.2 · -120

Shots over 1.51/10avg 0.5 · +112

Shots on target over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +160

Fouls committed over 1.52/10avg 1 · +125

Tackles over 2.54/10avg 2.1 · +105

Yellow card over 0.52/10avg 0.2 · +350

Manzambi vs Mazraoui

ManzambiWinger, Aston Villa

VS

MazraouiFull-back, Manchester United

Even matchupMazraoui gives away 0.7 fouls a match, 5% less than the average defender (0.7). Manzambi draws plenty himself, at 1.8, which points to about 1.7 fouls drawn here, against a line of 1.5.

1.8Fouls drawn vs given0.7

2.7Shots vs tackles1.6

Fouls won over 1.55/6avg 1.8 · -225

Shots over 2.53/6avg 2.7 · +120

Shots on target over 0.54/6avg 0.8 · -159

Fouls committed over 0.54/10avg 0.7 · -275

Tackles over 2.52/10avg 1.6 · -150

Yellow card over 0.51/10avg 0.1 · +450

Jackson vs Yoro and Maguire

JacksonStriker, Aston Villa

VS

YoroCentre-back, Manchester United

MaguireCentre-back, Manchester United

Even matchupYoro and Maguire give away 0.7 fouls a match, 5% less than the average defender (0.7). Jackson draws 1.0, which points to about 1.0 fouls drawn here, against a line of 0.5.

1.0Fouls drawn vs given0.7

2.4Shots vs tackles1.1

Fouls won over 0.55/8avg 1 · -250

Shots over 2.54/8avg 2.4 · +105

Shots on target over 0.55/8avg 1.1 · -225

Fouls committed over 0.53/10avg 0.4 · -333

Tackles over 1.54/10avg 1.2 · -205

Yellow card over 0.50/10avg 0 · +370

Fouls committed over 0.55/10avg 1 · -275

Tackles over 1.52/10avg 1 · +125

Yellow card over 0.54/10avg 0.4 · +240

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Confirmed lineups

The official starting XIs. The badge on each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent matches; green at 70% or better.

Manchester United 4-2-3-1Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

5/101 LammensSaves 2.5+

3 Mazraoui

15 Yoro

5/105 MaguireFouls won 0.5+

5/102 DalotShots 0.5+

5/1018 TielemansFouls won 1.5+

37 Mainoo

6/1016 DialloSOT 0.5+

6/108 Fernandes (C)SOT 0.5+

6/1010 CunhaSOT 0.5+

5/1019 MbeumoGoal 0.5+

5/81 SuzukiSaves 3.5+

3 Lindelof

4 Harwood-Bellis

5/1014 TorresFouls 0.5+

7/1022 MaatsenShots 0.5+

6/108 KamaraFouls won 1.5+

27 Goretzka

47 Alysson

7 McGinn (C)

4/644 ManzambiG+A 0.5+

4/811 JacksonShots 2.5+

Manchester United missing: C. Baleba (thigh), Martinez Li. (red card), M. Rashford (hip), B. Sesko (leg), L. Shaw (injury), M. Ugarte (knee)

Aston Villa missing: M. Cash (yellow cards), A. Onana (knee), M. Ruggeri (muscle)

Form and head to head

Manchester United18th in the tableLLDDD1W 4D 4L · 0.78 points a match

6meetings

4 wins1 draw1 win

Aston Villa12th in the tableDWWDW3W 3D 3L · 1.33 points a match

83%Over 1.55/6

67%Over 2.54/6

33%Over 3.52/6

67%Both scored4/6

• Mar 2026MUN 3-1 AVL
• Dec 2025AVL 2-1 MUN
• May 2025MUN 2-0 AVL
• Oct 2024AVL 0-0 MUN
• Feb 2024AVL 1-2 MUN
• Dec 2023MUN 3-2 AVL

Clean sheets and goal trends

Attack and defense

Attacking

Manchester UnitedAston Villa

11%Win %33%

54%Possession %46%

56%Both teams scored %56%

33%Scored first %44%

• 1.1Scored per match1.1
• 13.8Shots per match10.7
• 5.0Shots on target per match3.0
• 1.7Big chances per match1.4

Defensive

Manchester UnitedAston Villa

44%Loss %33%

44%Failed to score %33%

0%Clean sheet %22%

67%Conceded first %44%

• 1.7Conceded per match1.4
• 10.3Shots against per match14.3
• 16.8Tackles per match18.9
• 11.1Fouls per match11.4

Per-match rates this season. Each spoke of the charts is scaled to the higher of the two clubs.

Recent results

Last five Premier League results, most recent first.

Season numbers

This season, 9 and 9 matches.

Referee

Chris Kavanagh averages 5.8 yellow cards and 25.1 fouls per match over 10 matches this season (league average 4.0 and 23.2), a card-heavy referee.

Injury report

Manchester United

• Manuel Ugarte (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
• Benjamin Sesko (F): Out, Leg Injury
• Carlos Baleba (M): Out, Hamstring Injury

Aston Villa

• Amadou Onana (M): Out, Cruciate Ligament Injury
• Matteo Ruggeri (D): Out, Hamstring Injury

Goal lines and both teams to score

Both teams to score: yes -235, no +180