Nexus vs MOUZ NXT Prediction: CCT Europe 2026 Series 14 Odds & Stats (Nov 11, 2026)

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Nexus logo

Nexus5-5 last 10World #78
7:00 AM ETWed, Nov 11Win % 76–24
MOUZ NXT logo

MOUZ NXT4-6 last 10World #138

CS2 · CCT Europe 2026 Series 14 · B-tier · Bo3 · Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 PM UK / 7:00 AM ET

Team Match Map 1
Nexus 1.22 1.32
MOUZ NXT 3.80 3.10

Decimal prices. They move, so check your book before you bet.

Nexus vs MOUZ NXT prediction

The market makes Nexus the favourite at 76% once the bookmaker’s margin is taken out. Nexus won 5 of its last 10 series and MOUZ NXT 4 of its last 10.

Nexus: 1d restNexus: 5 series in 14dMOUZ NXT: 1d restMOUZ NXT: 5 series in 14d

Top Nexus vs MOUZ NXT player props

Player Prop Price Hit rate
eSx Over 26.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 8/10
Ay0k Over 25.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 6/10
Ay0k Over 14.5 maps 1-2 headshots Pick’em 6/10
Nikodeon Over 29.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 6/10
mixer Over 23.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 6/10
deeN Over 25.5 maps 1-2 kills Pick’em 6/10

Storylines

Nexus

Worst map: Dust2, 34% across 32 maps.

MOUZ NXT

Worst map: Anubis, 25% across 8 maps.

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Recent form

Nexus

Lost 1-2 BTF CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Won 2-0 FORZE.R CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Won 2-0 TLR CCT Europe 2026 Series 13
Lost 1-2 BRUTE Fiesta Series 3
Won 2-0 SINQU Fiesta Series 3

MOUZ NXT

Lost 0-2 FORZE.R European Pro League Series 10
Won 2-1 SKR European Pro League Series 10
Lost 0-2 mellren ESL Challenger League Season 52: Europe – Cup 10
Lost 0-2 LK ESL Challenger League Season 52: Europe – Cup 10
Won 2-0 1153 European Pro League Series 10 Play-In

Team comparison

NexusMOUZ NXT
46%Map win rate39%

n=144 / 139 maps

52%CT round win50%

n=1532 / 1485 rounds

47%T round win44%

n=1468 / 1515 rounds

55%Pistol win47%

n=284 / 278 pistols

12%Clutch conversion11%

n=1605 / 1680 attempts · all teams 12%

52%Trade kill after first death52%

n=1526 / 1547 rounds · all teams 52%

12%Overtime rate12%

n=143 / 139 maps

Comebacks and pistols

NexusMOUZ NXT
19%Won map after trailing by 3+23%

n=88 / 96 maps trailed

8%Won map after trailing by 5+15%

n=61 / 66 maps trailed

38%Won map after losing a pistol32%

n=60 / 74 pistols lost · all teams 41%

52%Won map after winning a pistol46%

n=83 / 65 pistols won · all teams 58%

25%Won series after losing map 120%

n=16 / 30 series

Economy

Round win rate by team equipment value, pistol rounds left out.

NexusMOUZ NXT
6%Eco (under $5k)1%

n=175 / 181 rounds

17%Semi buy ($5-10k)15%

n=161 / 175 rounds

41%Force buy ($10-20k)45%

n=360 / 394 rounds

57%Full buy ($20k+)55%

n=2020 / 1972 rounds

How their rounds end

Share of the rounds each team won.

NexusMOUZ NXT
67%Elimination66%

n=1486 / 1412 rounds won · all teams 66%

18%Bomb exploded17%

n=1486 / 1412 rounds won · all teams 17%

11%Defuse11%

n=1486 / 1412 rounds won · all teams 13%

4%Time ran out5%

n=1486 / 1412 rounds won · all teams 4%

What each team gives up

Last 60 days Nexus MOUZ NXT
Kills allowed per map 70.7 #76 of 237 74.9 #148 of 237
Headshots allowed per map 36.6 #80 of 237 39.2 #170 of 237
Enemy ADR 71.6 #58 of 237 74.2 #145 of 237

Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a higher number is a softer matchup for player overs.

Head to head

Nexus 0-1 MOUZ NXT in the meetings we track.

2026-03-24 MOUZ NXT won 1-0 BC.Game Masters Championship

Map pool

Nexus MOUZ NXT
Map Win CT T Pistol Rounds Win CT T Pistol Rounds
Dust2 34% 32 49% 42% 53% 20.1 37% 30 50% 40% 60% 20.4
Ancient 42% 26 48% 49% 48% 20.6 50% 20 46% 54% 50% 22.0
Mirage 59% 17 67% 44% 71% 21.2 25% 28 47% 39% 45% 21.0
Nuke 0% 1 42% 45% 50% 23.0 55% 33 59% 49% 42% 22.7
Anubis 54% 24 47% 54% 40% 20.9 25% 8 51% 32% 31% 21.3
Cache 58% 12 59% 51% 67% 21.9 38% 16 49% 42% 44% 22.8
Inferno 39% 23 46% 47% 67% 22.2 0% 1 25% 43% 50% 19.0
Overpass 57% 7 64% 34% 36% 20.0 0% 3 39% 23% 17% 19.3

Win rate with maps played beside it, round win by side, pistol win and average rounds. Maps either team played at least 3 times.

Rounds per map, last 10

WonLost

Nexus

23Anu
24Dus
28Mir
20Inf
21Cac
24Dus
23Anu
16Anc
21Inf
19Dus

Average 21.9 rounds a map, margin +1.1 (last 10).

MOUZ NXT

19Cac
23Mir
24Anc
21Nuk
30Nuk
19Anc
24Mir
20Dus
19Anc
21Dus

Average 22.0 rounds a map, margin -2.0 (last 10).

Player form

Averages per map over each player’s last 10 maps with the team.

Nexus

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
s0und 10 15.8 14.5 79.5 71 70 2.0
shield 10 14.8 12.2 70.7 70 37 2.3
Nexius 10 14.1 16.0 73.7 71 65 2.6
fNk 10 13.0 14.8 76.7 75 54 2.2
HOLY 10 12.5 13.8 66.0 71 62 1.2

Not seen in the last 5 series: drn, H4rder.

MOUZ NXT

Player Maps Kills Deaths ADR KAST HS% First kills
eSx 10 16.1 14.4 71.6 73 41 3.3
Nikodeon 10 15.2 14.5 82.4 71 65 2.7
mixer 10 14.1 15.5 69.1 71 66 2.2
deeN 10 13.8 15.3 76.2 76 59 1.5
Ay0k 10 13.4 16.0 64.6 72 57 2.5

Not seen in the last 5 series: LMBT, AiyvaN.

Stats vs markets

How each team’s recent results grade the posted prices. The bar is the team’s rate, the tick is the market’s chance with the margin taken out. Small samples swing a lot.

Series winnerthunderpick
Nexus1.22MOUZ NXT3.80
Nexus-26 vs market50%

5-5 last 10market 76%

MOUZ NXT+16 vs market40%

4-6 last 10market 24%

Total maps 2.5thunderpick
Over 2.52.20Under 2.51.58
Nexus+8 vs market50%

13/26 Bo3s went 3market 42%

MOUZ NXT-5 vs market37%

11/30 Bo3s went 3market 42%

Map 1 winnerthunderpick
Nexus1.32MOUZ NXT3.10
Nexus-25 vs market45%

29/64 map 1s wonmarket 70%

MOUZ NXT+11 vs market41%

25/61 map 1s wonmarket 30%

Map 2 winnerthunderpick
Nexus1.32MOUZ NXT3.10
Nexus-19 vs market51%

27/53 map 2s wonmarket 70%

MOUZ NXT+4 vs market34%

19/56 map 2s wonmarket 30%

Map 3 winnerthunderpick
Nexus1.40MOUZ NXT2.70
Nexus-28 vs market38%

10/26 map 3+s wonmarket 66%

MOUZ NXT+11 vs market45%

10/22 map 3+s wonmarket 34%

Odds board

Match lines

Series winner Nexus 1.22 MOUZ NXT 3.80
Total maps 2.5 Over 2.20 Under 1.58

Map 1

Winner Nexus 1.32 MOUZ NXT 3.10
Round handicap Nexus 1.93 MOUZ NXT 1.84
Round totals 21.5 Over 2.00 Under 1.79
Map 2 3 markets
Winner Nexus 1.32 MOUZ NXT 3.10
Round handicap Nexus 1.91 MOUZ NXT 1.86
Round totals 21.5 Over 2.00 Under 1.78
Map 3 3 markets
Winner Nexus 1.40 MOUZ NXT 2.70
Round handicap Nexus 2.00 MOUZ NXT 1.78
Round totals 21.5 Over 1.96 Under 1.82

Decimal prices from thunderpick, cloudbet. They move, so check your book before you bet.

More: All CS2 predictions · Esports · CS2 scores · CS2 prop picks · Pistol round lab

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favoured in Nexus vs MOUZ NXT?

The market has Nexus at 76% once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. That is the price, not a guarantee.

When is Nexus vs MOUZ NXT?

Wed, Nov 11 at 12:00 PM UK, 7:00 AM ET, in CCT Europe 2026 Series 14, best of 3.

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