Celtics vs Raptors Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 11, 2026)

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NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Boston Celtics logo

Celtics9-2 · 6-4 ATS1st in the East
7:00 PM ETWed, Nov 11Win % 78–22
Toronto Raptors logo

Raptors5-5 · 5-5 ATS6th in the East

NBA · Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Boston Celtics -210 -5.5 -103 O 215.5 -110
Toronto Raptors +188 +5.5 -105 U 215.5 -110

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 4:18 PM ET.

Celtics vs Raptors preview

Wednesday’s Boston at Toronto matchup has Boston -223 and Toronto +198, with Toronto +6.5 and a 215.5 total. Boston enters 9-2 and 6-4 ATS, including 9-1 and 6-3 ATS over its last 10, after a 123-101 win at Philadelphia on Nov 10. Toronto is 5-5 straight up and 5-5 ATS this season; its last 10 are also 5-5 straight up and 5-5 ATS after a 102-118 loss to Memphis on Nov 9. Boston won the last meeting 115-101 at home on April 5, 2026, and is 9-1 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings (3-1 ATS).

The defensive ranks show Boston at 104.3 points allowed (third fewest) and Toronto at 113.3 (14th), while pace splits: Boston ranks 29th at 97.9 and Toronto fifth at 102.8. Toronto’s injury report lists Barnes, Leonard and Bittle out, with Quickley, Murray-Boyles and Jackson-Davis questionable. In props, RJ Barrett’s over 34.5 points+rebounds+assists has cleared in 5 of 10, with the StatsBench model projecting 38.2.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Celtics vs Raptors player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Ja’Kobe Walter TOR Over 1.5 assists -178 Kalshi 80% (8/10) 80% 2.4
Jordan Walsh BOS Over 2.5 rebounds -190 Fanatics 80% (8/10) 80% 3.3
Derrick White BOS Over 0.5 steals -208 BetRivers 80% (8/10) 80% 1.2
Payton Pritchard BOS Over 0.5 stls blks -213 Cloudbet 80% (8/10) 80% –
Immanuel Quickley TOR Over 0.5 steals -222 BetRivers 80% (8/10) 80% 1.7

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 4:18 PM ET.

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Jayson TatumOver 6.5 assists7/10
Paul GeorgeOver 1.5 steals7/10
RJ BarrettOver 7.5 field goals made7/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Baylor Scheierman vs Raptors

Baylor ScheiermanSG, BOS
VS
RaptorsDefense vs shooting guards
Good matchup for Baylor ScheiermanRaptors allow 14.2 rebounds + assists a game to shooting guards, 9th most in the league. Scheierman averages 5.2 against a line of 4.5.
Toughest22nd of 30, rebounds + assistsSoftest
Rebounds + assists over 4.57/10avg 5.2 · 22nd of 30 vs SG · -340FanDuel
Assists over 1.55/10avg 1.4 · 24th of 30 vs SG · -164FanDuel
Points over 8.53/10avg 5.6 · 27th of 30 vs SG · +124FanDuel

Jakob Poeltl vs Celtics

Jakob PoeltlC, TOR
VS
CelticsDefense vs centers
Good matchup for Jakob PoeltlCeltics allow 1.2 steals a game to centers, 10th most in the league. Poeltl averages 1.1 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest21st of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.57/10avg 1.1 · 21st of 30 vs C · -160Hard Rock
Blocks over 0.55/10avg 0.8 · 1st of 30 vs C · -114BetRivers
Assists over 1.54/10avg 1.1 · 16th of 30 vs C · -117Kalshi

Derrick White vs Raptors

Derrick WhiteSG, BOS
VS
RaptorsDefense vs shooting guards
Even matchupRaptors allow 1.9 steals a game to shooting guards, 12th fewest in the league. White averages 1.3 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest12th of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.58/10avg 1.3 · 12th of 30 vs SG · -208BetRivers
Rebounds + assists over 8.56/10avg 8.1 · 22nd of 30 vs SG · +105BetMGM
Rebounds over 3.55/10avg 3.3 · 19th of 30 vs SG · +105Fanatics

Jordan Walsh vs Raptors

Jordan WalshSF, BOS
VS
RaptorsDefense vs small forwards
Tough matchup for Jordan WalshRaptors allow 9.2 rebounds a game to small forwards, 8th fewest in the league. Walsh averages 3.2 against a line of 2.5.
Toughest8th of 30, reboundsSoftest
Rebounds over 2.58/10avg 3.2 · 8th of 30 vs SF · -190Fanatics
Threes made over 0.56/10avg 0.8 · 7th of 30 vs SF · -113Kalshi
Points over 4.55/10avg 4.8 · 17th of 30 vs SF · -115BetRivers

Ja’Kobe Walter vs Celtics

Ja’Kobe WalterSG, TOR
VS
CelticsDefense vs shooting guards
Tough matchup for Ja’Kobe WalterCeltics allow 1.5 steals a game to shooting guards, 7th fewest in the league. Walter averages 1.2 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest7th of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.58/10avg 1.2 · 7th of 30 vs SG · -286BetRivers
Assists over 1.58/10avg 2.2 · 16th of 30 vs SG · -178Kalshi
Rebounds over 3.57/10avg 4.2 · 7th of 30 vs SG · -138Kalshi

Immanuel Quickley vs Celtics

Immanuel QuickleyPG, TOR
VS
CelticsDefense vs point guards
Tough matchup for Immanuel QuickleyCeltics allow 1.5 steals a game to point guards, 6th fewest in the league. Quickley averages 1.2 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest6th of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.58/10avg 1.2 · 6th of 30 vs PG · -222BetRivers
Assists over 5.56/10avg 5.5 · 2nd of 30 vs PG · -122Kalshi
Threes made over 2.56/10avg 2.4 · 4th of 30 vs PG · -113Kalshi

Betting trends

  • Celtics have covered the spread in 3 straight games.
  • The over is 2-7 in Celtics’ last 9 games.
  • Raptors are 0-4 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • Celtics are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings with the Raptors.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Projected starting lineups

Projected starting fives. Teams confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip and this page updates then. Updated 4:18 PM ET. The badge next to each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

Boston CelticsProjected
  1. PGDerrick WhiteOver 8.5 rebounds + assists6/10
  2. SGJordan WalshOver 2.5 rebounds8/10
  3. SFBaylor ScheiermanOver 1.5 assists5/10
  4. PFJayson TatumOver 6.5 assists7/10
  5. CNeemias QuetaOver 16.5 points + rebounds5/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Devin Carter (out), Paul George (out), Amari Williams (out)

Toronto RaptorsProjected
  1. PGImmanuel QuickleyOver 5.5 assists6/10
  2. SGRJ BarrettOver 32.5 points + rebounds + assists5/10
  3. SFJa’Kobe WalterOver 1.5 assists8/10
  4. PFCollin Murray-BoylesOver 1.5 assists5/10
  5. CJakob Poeltl

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Nate Bittle (out), Kawhi Leonard (out), Scottie Barnes (out), Immanuel Quickley (questionable), Collin Murray-Boyles (questionable), Trayce Jackson-Davis (out)

Every NBA starting lineup today

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Celtics vs Raptors defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 30 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Celtics defense facing the Raptors

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGImmanuel Quickley 20.12nd 5.38th 6.32nd 2.34th 31.63rd
SGRJ Barrett 20.55th 5.87th 5.916th 3.511th 32.25th
SFJa’Kobe Walter 36.027th 15.629th 7.929th 5.830th 59.529th
PFCollin Murray-Boyles 15.29th 9.216th 1.71st 2.118th 26.110th
CJakob Poeltl 15.08th 9.12nd 3.516th 1.223rd 27.65th

Softest spot: 5.8 threes a game to small forwards, the most in the league. Ja’Kobe Walter is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 1.7 assists a game to power forwards, the fewest in the league. Collin Murray-Boyles is projected to start there.

Raptors defense facing the Celtics

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGDerrick White 25.311th 7.421st 8.813th 3.411th 41.512th
SGJordan Walsh 31.127th 7.319th 6.924th 4.424th 45.327th
SFBaylor Scheierman 27.617th 9.28th 5.418th 2.87th 42.215th
PFJayson Tatum 20.620th 7.15th 2.76th 2.119th 30.415th
CNeemias Queta 14.77th 12.318th 2.77th 0.42nd 29.710th

Softest spot: 31.1 points a game to shooting guards, 4th most in the league. Jordan Walsh is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 0.4 threes a game to centers, 2nd fewest in the league. Neemias Queta is projected to start there.

The props these matchups touchEvery NBA line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum PF26.5 PTS · 6.0 REB · 7.4 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 @ PHI 32 21 6 4 3
11/8 @ MIL 28 21 4 6 5
11/6 @ CHA 29 34 8 9 5
11/2 @ HOU 32 19 6 9 1
11/1 @ ORL 34 32 4 7 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 26.5 (10) 23.3 (6) 22.2 (22) 23.0 (1)
23
REB 6.0 (10) 5.3 (6) 10.2 (22) 13.0 (1)
13
AST 7.4 (10) 7.7 (6) 5.7 (22) 7.0 (1)
7

Paul George SF22.0 PTS · 5.2 REB · 3.8 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 @ PHI 30 36 5 1 6
11/8 @ MIL 28 27 3 1 5
11/6 @ CHA 22 8 5 1 2
11/4 vs MIL 35 25 3 5 5
11/1 @ ORL 33 17 6 8 3
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 22.0 (10) 25.2 (5) 17.1 (49) 15.0 (1)
15
REB 5.2 (10) 4.8 (5) 5.0 (49) 4.0 (1)
4
AST 3.8 (10) 2.8 (5) 3.5 (49) 6.0 (1)
6

Payton Pritchard PG13.3 PTS · 3.5 REB · 3.9 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/10 @ PHI 29 18 6 5 4
11/8 @ MIL 29 12 5 4 4
11/6 @ CHA 23 12 6 5 4
11/4 vs MIL 18 10 1 5 0
11/2 @ HOU 30 4 3 3 0
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 13.3 (11) 11.7 (6) 16.8 (86) 23.0 (4)
17 · 27 · 33 · 15
REB 3.5 (11) 5.2 (6) 3.9 (86) 4.3 (4)
1 · 5 · 7 · 4
AST 3.9 (11) 3.5 (6) 5.2 (86) 6.8 (4)
3 · 8 · 10 · 6

Toronto Raptors

Scottie Barnes SF23.5 PTS · 7.6 REB · 5.1 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/4 @ DEN 31 17 6 6 1
11/2 @ LAC 37 22 15 8 0
11/1 @ LAL 36 29 6 5 0
10/30 vs ORL 38 41 5 5 1
10/28 vs ORL 31 28 6 4 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs BOS
PTS 23.5 (8) 30.7 (3) 18.6 (87) 13.3 (3)
10 · 12 · 18
REB 7.6 (8) 5.7 (3) 7.4 (87) 8.7 (3)
6 · 9 · 11
AST 5.1 (8) 4.7 (3) 6.1 (87) 7.3 (3)
8 · 6 · 8

RJ Barrett SF21.3 PTS · 5.8 REB · 3.7 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/9 vs MEM 35 19 3 2 1
11/6 @ MIL 36 27 7 4 0
11/4 @ DEN 33 22 5 3 3
11/2 @ LAC 37 26 6 3 2
11/1 @ LAL 32 22 10 5 4
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs BOS
PTS 21.3 (10) 18.3 (4) 19.8 (64) 17.0 (2)
15 · 19
REB 5.8 (10) 4.8 (4) 5.5 (64) 4.5 (2)
5 · 4
AST 3.7 (10) 4.0 (4) 3.4 (64) 5.5 (2)
4 · 7

Kawhi Leonard SF19.5 PTS · 7.5 REB · 1.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/23 @ WAS 27 16 9 1 2
10/21 vs CHI 23 23 6 2 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs BOS
PTS 19.5 (2) 23.0 (1) 27.8 (66) –
REB 7.5 (2) 6.0 (1) 6.4 (66) –
AST 1.5 (2) 2.0 (1) 3.6 (66) –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Celtics 9-2 6-4 3-7 5-0 4-2
Raptors 5-5 5-5 5-5 2-2 3-3

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Celtics vs Raptors head-to-head

Celtics are 9-1, 3-1 ATS, O/U 2-2 in the last 10 meetings. Last time: Celtics won 115-101 on April 5, 2026.

Date Venue Celtics result ATS O/U
Apr 5, 26 Celtics home W 115-101 W -9.5 U 221.5
Jan 9, 26 Celtics home W 125-117 L -9.5 O 223.5
Dec 20, 25 Raptors home W 112-96 W +1.5 U 221.5
Dec 7, 25 Raptors home W 121-113 W -3.5 O 224.5
Feb 25, 25 Raptors home W 111-101 – –
Jan 15, 25 Raptors home L 97-110 – –
Dec 31, 24 Celtics home W 125-71 – –
Nov 16, 24 Celtics home W 126-123 – –
Jan 15, 24 Raptors home W 105-96 – –
Dec 29, 23 Celtics home W 120-118 – –

Recent form

Boston Celtics: last 10 (9-1, 6-3 ATS, O/U 2-7)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 10, 26 @ PHI W 123-101 W -1.5 O 216.5
Nov 8, 26 @ MIL W 117-97 W -13.5 U 222.5
Nov 6, 26 @ CHA W 119-80 W -10.5 U 209.5
Nov 4, 26 vs MIL W 109-102 L -12.5 U 222.5
Nov 2, 26 @ HOU L 93-109 L +4.5 U 215.5
Nov 1, 26 @ ORL W 108-97 W -6.5 U 221.5
Oct 30, 26 vs CHI W 125-111 – –
Oct 27, 26 vs BKN W 125-124 L -13.5 O 223.5
Oct 26, 26 vs CHI W 134-99 W -14.5 U 233.5
Oct 23, 26 vs NY W 107-103 W -2.5 U 220.5

Toronto Raptors: last 10 (5-5, 5-5 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 9, 26 vs MEM L 102-118 L +1.5 U 225.5
Nov 6, 26 @ MIL W 121-107 W -3.5 U 228.5
Nov 4, 26 @ DEN L 109-128 L +4.5 O 230.5
Nov 2, 26 @ LAC W 125-118 W -6.5 O 220.5
Nov 1, 26 @ LAL L 125-131 L +3.5 O 224.5
Oct 30, 26 vs ORL L 114-121 L -5.5 O 226.5
Oct 28, 26 vs ORL W 129-99 W -5.5 O 224.5
Oct 25, 26 @ MIN L 94-117 L +3.5 U 228.5
Oct 23, 26 @ WSH W 112-102 W -9.5 U 236.5
Oct 21, 26 vs CHI W 135-92 W -10.5 U 237.5

Injury report

Boston Celtics

  • Devin Carter (PG): Out, G League – Two-Way
  • Paul George (SF): Out, Illness
  • Amari Williams (C): Out, G League – Two-Way

Toronto Raptors

  • Nate Bittle (C): Out, Right Avulsion Fracture
  • Kawhi Leonard (SF): Out, Left Knee Injury Management
  • Scottie Barnes (SF): Out, Left Groin Strain
  • Immanuel Quickley (PG): Questionable, Right Hamstring Injury Management
  • Collin Murray-Boyles (PF): Questionable, Illness
  • Trayce Jackson-Davis (PF): Out, Illness

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Celtics defense Raptors defense
Points allowed per game 104 (2nd of 30) 113.3 (15th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 43.4 (13th of 30) 41.2 (5th of 30)
Assists allowed per game 25 (10th of 30) 25.7 (12th of 30)
Threes allowed per game 14.5 (25th of 30) 12.5 (12th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 97.8 (28th) 102.8 (5th)

Venue and weather

Scotiabank Arena · Toronto, ONIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Celtics vs Raptors odds by sportsbook

Book BOS spread TOR spread BOS ML TOR ML Over Under
bet365 -5.5 -111 +5.5 -109 -210 +175 O 215.5 -110 U 215.5 -110
BetRivers -5.5 -103 +5.5 -118 -213 +175 O 215.5 -111 U 215.5 -110
Caesars -5.5 -110 +5.5 -110 -225 +185 O 215 -110 U 215 -110
DraftKings -5.5 -112 +5.5 -108 -222 +184 O 215.5 -110 U 215.5 -110
FanDuel -5.5 -112 +5.5 -108 -225 +188 O 215.5 -110 U 215.5 -110
Fanatics -5.5 -115 +5.5 -105 -220 +180 O 215.5 -110 U 215.5 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 4:18 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Raptors spread +6.5 +5.5 -1
Total 215.5 215.5 –
Celtics moneyline -220 -222 +0.2% win chance
Raptors moneyline +182 +184 -0.2% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Raptors spread +6.5 → +5.5
Total 215.5 → 215.5
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More on these teams: Boston Celtics stats · Toronto Raptors stats · Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers Nov 10 · Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors Nov 9 · All NBA prop picks

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