Grizzlies vs Raptors Prediction, Starting Lineups & Player Props (Nov 9, 2026)

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NBA prop picks: today's featured picks
Memphis Grizzlies logo

Grizzlies6-3 · 6-3 ATS7th in the West
7:30 PM ETMon, Nov 9Win % 49–51
Toronto Raptors logo

Raptors5-4 · 5-4 ATS6th in the East

NBA · Monday, November 9, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Memphis Grizzlies +127 +2.5 -110 O 228.5 -108
Toronto Raptors -140 -2.5 -108 U 228.5 -110

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 1:49 PM ET.

Grizzlies vs Raptors preview

Toronto is the favorite at -152 on the moneyline and -3.5 on the spread, with a 230.5 total for Monday’s Memphis-Toronto game. The last meeting was a 128-96 Toronto win on April 3, 2026, and Memphis is 0-1 ATS in the last six head-to-head meetings. Memphis is 6-3 straight up and ATS this season and 6-4 in its last 10, most recently losing 97-128 to Oklahoma City. Toronto is 5-4 straight up and ATS and 6-4 in its last 10, most recently winning 121-107 at Milwaukee.

The pace angle stands out: Memphis ranks eighth at 102.6 and Toronto fifth at 103.8. On the prop side, Ja’Kobe Walter’s over 1.5 assists at -161 has cleared in 9 of his last 10, and the StatsBench model projects 2.6.

StatsBench picks for this game

  • Cam Spencer OVER 11.5 PTS+REB (-112): pending

The poster on X · Every posted pick, graded

Top Grizzlies vs Raptors player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5 Projection
Cam Spencer MEM Over 0.5 threes made -270 Kalshi 100% (10/10) 100% –
Cameron Boozer MEM Over 4.5 points -106 Bally Bet 100% (9/9) 100% 15.7
Cedric Coward MEM Over 1.5 threes made -133 Kalshi 90% (9/10) 100% –
Ja’Kobe Walter TOR Over 1.5 assists -144 Kalshi 90% (9/10) 80% 2.6
Jerami Grant MEM Over 0.5 threes made -300 Hard Rock 90% (9/10) 80% –

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Projection = StatsBench’s model estimate for tonight. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 1:49 PM ET.

The rest of the Grizzlies vs Raptors propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Scottie BarnesOver 1.5 steals8/10
Immanuel QuickleyOver 0.5 steals8/10
Ty JeromeOver 0.5 stls blks8/10

Key matchups

Each player’s lines against what this defense allows to his position this season. The ranks run from the defense allowing the fewest to the one allowing the most. Bars show how often he cleared the line over his recent games, green at 70% or better.

Ja’Kobe Walter vs Grizzlies

Ja’Kobe WalterSG, TOR
VS
GrizzliesDefense vs shooting guards
Good matchup for Ja’Kobe WalterGrizzlies allow 2.9 steals a game to shooting guards, 4th most in the league. Walter averages 1.5 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest27th of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.59/10avg 1.5 · 27th of 30 vs SG · -260bet365
Assists over 1.59/10avg 2.4 · 7th of 30 vs SG · -144Kalshi
Rebounds + assists over 5.57/10avg 6.2 · 10th of 30 vs SG · -130Fanatics

Cam Spencer vs Raptors

Cam SpencerSG, MEM
VS
RaptorsDefense vs shooting guards
Good matchup for Cam SpencerRaptors allow 4.3 threes a game to shooting guards, 8th most in the league. Spencer averages 1.8 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest23rd of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 0.510/10avg 1.8 · 23rd of 30 vs SG · -270Kalshi
Points + rebounds over 11.57/10avg 12.1 · 27th of 30 vs SG · +100ESPN BET
Points + rebounds + assists over 16.56/10avg 17.6 · 26th of 30 vs SG · -105Fanatics

Cameron Boozer vs Raptors

Cameron BoozerSF, MEM
VS
RaptorsDefense vs small forwards
Even matchupRaptors allow 27.9 points a game to small forwards, 13th most in the league. Boozer averages 15.6 against a line of 4.5.
Toughest18th of 30, pointsSoftest
Points over 4.59/9avg 15.6 · 18th of 30 vs SF · -106Bally Bet
Rebounds over 8.57/9avg 10 · 5th of 30 vs SF · -116prophetexchange
Threes made over 1.56/9avg 2 · 11th of 30 vs SF · -138Kalshi

Immanuel Quickley vs Grizzlies

Immanuel QuickleyPG, TOR
VS
GrizzliesDefense vs point guards
Even matchupGrizzlies allow 1.9 steals a game to point guards, 13th fewest in the league. Quickley averages 1.2 against a line of 0.5.
Toughest13th of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 0.58/10avg 1.2 · 13th of 30 vs PG · -285ESPN BET
Threes made over 2.56/10avg 2.4 · 28th of 30 vs PG · -115Fanatics
Assists over 5.56/10avg 5.5 · 24th of 30 vs PG · -141BetParx

Cedric Coward vs Raptors

Cedric CowardSF, MEM
VS
RaptorsDefense vs small forwards
Even matchupRaptors allow 3.0 threes a game to small forwards, 11th fewest in the league. Coward averages 2.6 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest11th of 30, threesSoftest
Threes made over 1.59/10avg 2.6 · 11th of 30 vs SF · -133Kalshi
Rebounds over 6.58/10avg 8.1 · 5th of 30 vs SF · +100BetRivers
Steals over 0.58/10avg 1.5 · 15th of 30 vs SF · -200BetRivers

Scottie Barnes vs Grizzlies

Scottie BarnesSF, TOR
VS
GrizzliesDefense vs small forwards
Tough matchup for Scottie BarnesGrizzlies allow 1.3 steals a game to small forwards, 2nd fewest in the league. Barnes averages 2.1 against a line of 1.5.
Toughest2nd of 30, stealsSoftest
Steals over 1.58/10avg 2.1 · 2nd of 30 vs SF · +105Fanatics
Points + rebounds over 30.57/10avg 31.4 · 3rd of 30 vs SF · -108prophetexchange
Points + assists over 29.57/10avg 29.8 · 4th of 30 vs SF · +103DraftKings

Betting trends

  • Grizzlies have failed to cover in 3 straight games.
  • Raptors are 0-3 ATS as underdogs in their last 10 games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Projected starting lineups

Projected starting fives. Teams confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip and this page updates then. Updated 1:49 PM ET. The badge next to each player: how often he cleared his strongest prop line (named under him) over his recent games; green at 70% or better.

Memphis GrizzliesProjected
  1. PGTy JeromeOver 21.5 points5/10
  2. SGCedric CowardOver 1.5 threes made9/10
  3. SFJaylen WellsOver 1.5 threes made5/10
  4. PFCameron BoozerOver 4.5 points9/9
  5. CZach EdeyOver 1.5 blocks6/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Scotty Pippen Jr. (out), Isaiah Stewart (out), Karim Lopez (out), Richie Saunders (out)

Toronto RaptorsProjected
  1. PGImmanuel QuickleyOver 2.5 threes made6/10
  2. SGRJ BarrettOver 5.5 rebounds5/10
  3. SFJa’Kobe WalterOver 1.5 assists9/10
  4. PFScottie BarnesOver 1.5 steals8/10
  5. CJakob PoeltlOver 6.5 rebounds5/10

Not in the lineup or in doubt: Nate Bittle (out), Kawhi Leonard (out), Scottie Barnes (questionable), Immanuel Quickley (questionable), Kevin McCullar Jr. (out), Malachi Smith (out)

Every NBA starting lineup today

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Grizzlies vs Raptors defense vs position

What each defense allows per game this season to everyone listed at a position, combined, so a row covers more than the starter. The small number is the rank across 30 teams: 1st allows the fewest. Green is the softest third of the league, red the toughest.

Grizzlies defense facing the Raptors

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGImmanuel Quickley 43.530th 9.026th 9.924th 5.528th 62.430th
SGRJ Barrett 23.315th 7.015th 4.87th 2.55th 35.015th
SFJa’Kobe Walter 19.93rd 8.44th 3.94th 2.76th 32.23rd
PFScottie Barnes 20.921st 10.624th 3.311th 1.812th 34.822nd
CJakob Poeltl 14.03rd 10.79th 4.126th 0.916th 28.88th

Softest spot: 43.5 points a game to point guards, the most in the league. Immanuel Quickley is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 19.9 points a game to small forwards, 3rd fewest in the league. Ja’Kobe Walter is projected to start there.

Raptors defense facing the Grizzlies

Pos Pts Reb Ast 3PM PRA
PGTy Jerome 24.111th 7.320th 9.018th 3.19th 40.412th
SGCedric Coward 32.227th 7.421st 7.125th 4.323rd 46.826th
SFJaylen Wells 27.918th 8.85th 4.712th 3.011th 41.314th
PFCameron Boozer 19.316th 7.24th 2.86th 1.815th 29.312th
CZach Edey 15.410th 12.616th 2.911th 0.42nd 30.912th

Softest spot: 32.2 points a game to shooting guards, 4th most in the league. Cedric Coward is projected to start there.

Toughest spot: 0.4 threes a game to centers, 2nd fewest in the league. Zach Edey is projected to start there.

The props these matchups touchEvery NBA line beside its hit rate and matchup. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Memphis Grizzlies

Ty Jerome PG26.6 PTS · 3.4 REB · 5.3 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/6 vs OKC 27 21 2 5 2
11/4 vs IND 29 23 4 3 2
11/2 vs NOP 36 40 5 5 5
10/29 @ POR 24 10 2 3 1
10/26 @ UTA 29 15 1 8 1
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 26.6 (8) 21.0 (4) 19.7 (15) –
REB 3.4 (8) 2.3 (4) 2.8 (15) –
AST 5.3 (8) 5.8 (4) 5.7 (15) –

Cameron Boozer SF15.6 PTS · 10.0 REB · 5.2 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/6 vs OKC 31 8 12 4 0
11/4 vs IND 33 10 6 4 2
11/2 vs NOP 37 18 9 5 2
10/31 vs SAC 25 27 9 3 3
10/29 @ POR 28 18 12 12 4
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 15.6 (9) 17.5 (4) – –
REB 10.0 (9) 10.8 (4) – –
AST 5.2 (9) 6.5 (4) – –

Cedric Coward SF13.8 PTS · 8.8 REB · 2.4 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/6 vs OKC 23 10 9 0 2
11/4 vs IND 33 23 9 4 4
11/2 vs NOP 30 10 9 3 2
10/31 vs SAC 22 10 7 2 2
10/29 @ POR 26 17 7 4 3
Splits Season Road 2025-26 vs TOR
PTS 13.8 (8) 16.7 (3) 13.6 (62) 13.5 (2)
15 · 12
REB 8.8 (8) 9.7 (3) 5.9 (62) 3.5 (2)
2 · 5
AST 2.4 (8) 2.7 (3) 2.8 (62) 3.0 (2)
1 · 5

Toronto Raptors

Scottie Barnes SF23.5 PTS · 7.6 REB · 5.1 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/4 @ DEN 31 17 6 6 1
11/2 @ LAC 37 22 15 8 0
11/1 @ LAL 36 29 6 5 0
10/30 vs ORL 38 41 5 5 1
10/28 vs ORL 31 28 6 4 0
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs MEM
PTS 23.5 (8) 30.7 (3) 18.6 (87) 14.5 (2)
10 · 19
REB 7.6 (8) 5.7 (3) 7.4 (87) 7.5 (2)
3 · 12
AST 5.1 (8) 4.7 (3) 6.1 (87) 7.0 (2)
6 · 8

RJ Barrett SF21.6 PTS · 6.1 REB · 3.9 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
11/6 @ MIL 36 27 7 4 0
11/4 @ DEN 33 22 5 3 3
11/2 @ LAC 37 26 6 3 2
11/1 @ LAL 32 22 10 5 4
10/30 vs ORL 33 9 3 5 1
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs MEM
PTS 21.6 (9) 18.0 (3) 19.8 (64) 26.0 (2)
25 · 27
REB 6.1 (9) 5.3 (3) 5.5 (64) 4.5 (2)
3 · 6
AST 3.9 (9) 4.7 (3) 3.4 (64) 5.0 (2)
4 · 6

Kawhi Leonard SF19.5 PTS · 7.5 REB · 1.5 AST
Date Opp MIN PTS REB AST 3PM
10/23 @ WAS 27 16 9 1 2
10/21 vs CHI 23 23 6 2 2
Splits Season Home 2025-26 vs MEM
PTS 19.5 (2) 23.0 (1) 27.8 (66) 26.0 (2)
28 · 24
REB 7.5 (2) 6.0 (1) 6.4 (66) 6.5 (2)
5 · 8
AST 1.5 (2) 2.0 (1) 3.6 (66) 3.0 (2)
2 · 4

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Grizzlies 6-3 6-3 4-5 2-3 4-0
Raptors 5-4 5-4 5-4 2-1 3-3

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Grizzlies vs Raptors head-to-head

Grizzlies are 3-3, 0-1 ATS, O/U 0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Last time: Grizzlies lost 96-128 on April 3, 2026.

Date Venue Grizzlies result ATS O/U
Apr 3, 26 Grizzlies home L 96-128 L +14.5 U 233.5
Nov 2, 25 Raptors home L 104-117 – –
Feb 5, 25 Raptors home W 138-107 – –
Dec 26, 24 Grizzlies home W 155-126 – –
Jan 22, 24 Raptors home W 108-100 – –
Jan 3, 24 Grizzlies home L 111-116 – –

Recent form

Memphis Grizzlies: last 10 (6-4, 6-4 ATS, O/U 5-5)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 6, 26 vs OKC L 97-128 L +4.5 O 224.5
Nov 4, 26 vs IND L 103-107 L -5.5 U 227.5
Nov 2, 26 vs NO L 134-135 L -5.5 O 231.5
Oct 31, 26 vs SAC W 136-105 W -7.5 O 229.5
Oct 29, 26 @ POR W 124-103 W +7.5 U 233.5
Oct 26, 26 @ UTAH W 110-105 W -1.5 U 237.5
Oct 25, 26 @ SAC W 123-112 W -3.5 O 234.5
Oct 23, 26 @ GS W 111-108 W +4.5 U 236.5
Oct 21, 26 vs UTAH W 123-103 W -1.5 U 240.5
Apr 12, 26 @ HOU L 101-132 L +14.5 O 230.5

Toronto Raptors: last 10 (6-4, 6-4 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 6, 26 @ MIL W 121-107 W -3.5 U 228.5
Nov 4, 26 @ DEN L 109-128 L +4.5 O 230.5
Nov 2, 26 @ LAC W 125-118 W -6.5 O 220.5
Nov 1, 26 @ LAL L 125-131 L +3.5 O 224.5
Oct 30, 26 vs ORL L 114-121 L -5.5 O 226.5
Oct 28, 26 vs ORL W 129-99 W -5.5 O 224.5
Oct 25, 26 @ MIN L 94-117 L +3.5 U 228.5
Oct 23, 26 @ WSH W 112-102 W -9.5 U 236.5
Oct 21, 26 vs CHI W 135-92 W -10.5 U 237.5
Apr 12, 26 vs BKN W 136-101 W -23.5 O 218.5

Injury report

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (PG): Out, Lumbar Disc Herniation
  • Isaiah Stewart (C): Out, Right Knee Bone Bruise
  • Karim Lopez (SF): Out, G League – On Assignment
  • Richie Saunders (PG): Out, Right Knee Surgery

Toronto Raptors

  • Nate Bittle (C): Out, Right Avulsion Fracture
  • Kawhi Leonard (SF): Out, Left Knee Injury Management
  • Scottie Barnes (SF): Questionable, Left Groin Strain
  • Immanuel Quickley (PG): Questionable, Right Hamstring Tightness / Soreness
  • Kevin McCullar Jr. (SF): Out, G League – Two-Way
  • Malachi Smith (PG): Out, G League – Two-Way

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Grizzlies defense Raptors defense
Points allowed per game 111.8 (11th of 30) 112.8 (13th of 30)
Rebounds allowed per game 42.8 (10th of 30) 40.9 (3rd of 30)
Assists allowed per game 23.9 (4th of 30) 25.6 (12th of 30)
Threes allowed per game 12.2 (11th of 30) 12.1 (9th of 30)
Pace (possessions) 102.6 (6th) 103.8 (5th)

Venue and weather

Scotiabank Arena · Toronto, ONIndoor, weather won’t matter
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Grizzlies vs Raptors odds by sportsbook

Book MEM spread TOR spread MEM ML TOR ML Over Under
bet365 +3 -110 -3 -120 +127 -152 O 228.5 -110 U 228.5 -110
BetRivers +2.5 -110 -2.5 -111 +110 -152 O 228.5 -110 U 228.5 -111
Caesars +2.5 -110 -2.5 -110 +122 -145 O 228.5 -110 U 228.5 -110
DraftKings +2.5 -110 -2.5 -110 +120 -142 O 228.5 -108 U 228.5 -112
FanDuel +2.5 -112 -2.5 -108 +120 -142 O 228.5 -110 U 228.5 -110
Fanatics +2.5 -110 -2.5 -110 +115 -140 O 228.5 -110 U 228.5 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 1:49 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
Raptors spread -2.5 -2.5 –
Total 228.5 228.5 –
Grizzlies moneyline +117 +120 -0.6% win chance
Raptors moneyline -139 -142 +0.5% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

Line movement chart

Raptors spread -3.5 → -2.5
Total 230.5 → 228.5
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More on these teams: Memphis Grizzlies stats · Toronto Raptors stats · Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Nov 6 · Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Nov 6 · All NBA prop picks

Betting guides: NBA player props guide · how to predict NBA props · NBA first basket guide · how parlays work

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Today's NBA picks

Daniel GaffordOVER 1.5 stls blks · vs IND
10/10
Ziaire WilliamsOVER 9.5 points + rebounds + assists · @ ATL
10/10
Cam SpencerOVER 0.5 threes made · @ TOR
10/10
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