Memphis vs South Florida Prediction, Player Props & Odds (Nov 12, 2026)

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College Football prop picks: today's featured picks
Memphis Tigers logo

Memphis7-2 · 5-4 ATS
8:00 PM ETThu, Nov 12Win % 63–37
South Florida Bulls logo

South Florida6-3 · 4-5 ATS

College Football · Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Memphis Tigers -168 -3.5 -110 O 50.5 -105
South Florida Bulls +155 +3.5 -105 U 50.5 -110

Best price at bet365, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics, updated 5:18 PM ET.

Memphis vs South Florida preview

The market has Memphis as the favorite, with USF +3.5 and a total of 50.5; the opening line moved from USF +6 and 49.5.

Memphis won the last meeting 34-31 at home on Oct. 25, 2025 and has won the last three head-to-head. Memphis is 7-2 and 5-4 ATS this season, 7-3 and 5-5 ATS over its last 10, with a most recent 49-22 win vs Army on Oct. 31. USF is 6-3 and 4-5 ATS this season, 7-3 and 4-5 ATS over its last 10, with a most recent 17-20 loss at East Carolina on Nov. 6.

Defense ranks are a useful angle: USF allows 15.1 points per game (rank 10) and 311.2 total yards (rank 25), while Memphis allows 187.7 rushing yards per game (rank 119). On the prop side, Marcus Stokes over 1.5 pass touchdowns at -105 cleared in 8 of his last 9.

StatsBench picks

No StatsBench pick posted for this game. Today’s posted picks are graded live.

Top Memphis vs South Florida player props

Player Prop Best price Last 10 Last 5
Marcus Stokes MEM Over 1.5 pass tds -105 bet365 88.9% (8/9) 100%
Jaylin Carter MEM Over 13.5 receiving yards -108 betus 80% (8/10) 80%
Manny Covey MEM Over 28.5 rushing yards -114 FanDuel 70% (7/10) 80%
Wyatt Sullivan USF Over 11.5 receiving yards -125 Fliff 70% (7/10) 60%
D.J. Crowther USF Over 9.5 longest reception -105 Hard Rock 62.5% (5/8) 60%

Hit rate = how often the player cleared this line in recent games. Best price across 30+ sportsbooks, DFS apps and exchanges as of 5:18 PM ET.

The rest of the Memphis vs South Florida propsHit rates, matchups and the best price across 30+ books. Free preview of today’s props, more with a free account. Pro unlocks all of it.
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Cameron SeldonOver 18.5 longest reception6/10
Jemyri DavisOver 20.5 longest reception5/9
Hunter TiptonAnytime goalscorer5/10

Betting trends

  • The under has hit in 3 straight South Florida games.

From each team’s last 10 games and recent meetings, against the closing line.

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Player stats and form

Season averages and each player’s last 5 games, newest first. Splits: per-game averages (games in brackets); vs the opponent covers this season and last, newest game first.

Memphis Tigers

Marcus Stokes QB279.1 pass yds · 2.8 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
11/1 vs ARMY 29/35 371 4 0 30
10/22 vs ECU 28/42 300 3 0 26
10/16 @ TULN 20/37 306 2 3 12
10/10 vs UAB 11/21 164 2 0 36
10/3 @ CLT 20/25 318 5 0 61
Splits Season Road 2025 vs USF
Pass yds 279.1 (9) 307.8 (4) – –
Pass TD 2.8 (9) 2.5 (4) – –

Jaylin Carter RB86.1 rush yds · 2.4 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
11/1 vs ARMY 23 96 2 4 22
10/22 vs ECU 16 53 0 3 30
10/16 @ TULN 23 135 0 3 15
10/10 vs UAB 19 132 2 – –
10/3 @ CLT 15 76 0 1 8
Splits Season Road 2025 vs USF
Rush yds 103.2 (9) 100.8 (4) 18.4 (9) –
Rec 2.0 (7) 1.7 (3) 4.0 (5) –
Cortez Braham Jr. WR5.1 rec · 70.1 yds per game
Splits Season Road 2025 vs USF
Rec – – 4.9 (13) 7.0 (1)
7
Rec yds – – 68.7 (13) 75.0 (1)
75

Hunter Tipton TE4.2 rec · 57.0 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/1 vs ARMY – 5 86 0
10/22 vs ECU – 8 29 0
10/16 @ TULN – 3 13 0
10/10 vs UAB – – – –
10/3 @ CLT – 3 60 2
Splits Season Road 2025 vs USF
Rec 4.4 (8) 4.5 (4) 3.3 (12) –
Rec yds 61.9 (8) 83.3 (4) 34.3 (12) –

South Florida Bulls

Michael Van Buren Jr. QB168.8 pass yds · 0.9 TD per game
Date Opp CMP/ATT YDS TD INT RUSH
10/31 vs UAB 1/2 7 0 0 13
10/17 vs KENT 22/27 193 1 0 -8
10/8 @ UTSA 16/29 177 2 0 15
10/3 vs TEM 17/32 205 0 0 16
9/26 @ BGSU 7/11 52 0 0 12
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MEM
Pass yds 159.1 (8) 161.0 (5) 144.3 (7) –
Pass TD 0.8 (8) 0.4 (5) 1.1 (7) –

D.J. Crowther RB76.6 rush yds · 1.5 rec per game
Date Opp ATT YDS TD REC REC YDS
11/7 @ ECU 17 111 0 3 42
10/31 vs UAB 16 60 0 1 19
10/17 vs KENT 11 42 0 1 4
10/8 @ UTSA 20 83 1 2 15
10/3 vs TEM 23 68 1 1 7
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MEM
Rush yds 76.6 (9) 62.6 (5) – –
Rec 1.5 (8) 1.3 (4) – –

Kenny Odom WR5.1 rec · 48.2 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
9/19 vs DSU – 1 12 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MEM
Rec 1.0 (1) 1.0 (1) 5.6 (11) –
Rec yds 12.0 (1) 12.0 (1) 52.9 (11) –

Bryson Rodgers WR3.8 rec · 40.6 yds per game
Date Opp TGT REC YDS TD
11/7 @ ECU – 5 50 1
10/31 vs UAB – 3 11 0
10/17 vs KENT – 3 22 0
10/8 @ UTSA – 5 72 1
10/3 vs TEM – 4 43 0
Splits Season Home 2025 vs MEM
Rec 4.2 (9) 4.0 (5) 2.0 (3) –
Rec yds 43.9 (9) 37.4 (5) 26.3 (3) –

Records

Team Record ATS O/U Home Away
Memphis 7-2 5-4 6-3 5-0 2-2
South Florida 6-3 4-5 3-6 4-1 2-2

This season, regular season. ATS and O/U against each game’s closing line.

Memphis vs South Florida head-to-head

Memphis are 3-0 in the last 3 meetings. Last time: Memphis won 34-31 on October 25, 2025.

Date Venue Memphis result ATS O/U
Oct 25, 25 Memphis home W 34-31 – –
Oct 12, 24 South Florida home W 21-3 – –
Nov 4, 23 Memphis home W 59-50 – –

Recent form

Memphis Tigers: last 10 (7-3, 5-5 ATS, O/U 6-4)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Oct 31, 26 vs ARMY W 49-22 W -6 O 59.5
Oct 22, 26 vs ECU W 41-34 L -10.5 O 55.5
Oct 16, 26 @ TULN L 17-31 L -6.5 U 55.5
Oct 10, 26 vs UAB W 38-13 W -15.5 U 55.5
Oct 3, 26 @ CLT W 59-8 W -18.5 O 52.5
Sep 19, 26 vs UTM W 45-21 L -33.5 O 58.5
Sep 12, 26 @ BOIS L 20-38 L +9.5 O 54.5
Sep 5, 26 vs ARST W 42-24 W -10.5 O 52.5
Aug 29, 26 @ UNLV W 27-21 W +4.5 U 55.5
Nov 27, 25 vs NAVY L 17-28 L -4 U 57.5

South Florida Bulls: last 10 (7-3, 4-5 ATS, O/U 3-6)

Date Opponent Result ATS O/U
Nov 6, 26 @ ECU L 17-20 L +1.5 U 39.5
Oct 31, 26 vs UAB W 30-10 W -7.5 U 43.5
Oct 17, 26 vs KENT W 29-2 W -20.5 U 46.5
Oct 8, 26 @ UTSA L 24-31 L +5.5 O 49.5
Oct 3, 26 vs TEM L 13-17 L -5.5 U 50.5
Sep 26, 26 @ BGSU W 14-6 L -17.5 U 48.5
Sep 19, 26 vs DSU W 59-17 W -37.5 O 59.5
Sep 12, 26 @ ARMY W 28-24 W +3 O 45.5
Sep 5, 26 vs FIU W 19-9 L -14.5 U 53.5
Nov 29, 25 vs RICE W 52-3 – –

Injury report

No injuries listed for either team in our data as of 5:18 PM ET.

Matchup ranks

What each defense allows per game this season. Rank 1 allows the fewest, so a high number means a softer matchup for the other team’s overs.

Memphis defense South Florida defense
Points allowed per game 23.6 (58th of 136) 15.1 (10th of 136)
Passing yards allowed per game 187.6 (30th of 136) 181.8 (21st of 136)
Rushing yards allowed per game 187.7 (119th of 136) 129.4 (51st of 136)
Total yards allowed per game 375.2 (82nd of 136) 311.2 (25th of 136)

Venue and weather

Raymond James Stadium · Tampa, FLOutdoor
71°Fpartly cloudyWind 4 mphRain 4%

Forecast for the start time (Open-Meteo); it can change before the game.

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Memphis vs South Florida odds by sportsbook

Book MEM spread USF spread MEM ML USF ML Over Under
bet365 -3.5 -110 +3.5 -110 -168 +143 O 50.5 -105 U 50.5 -115
BetRivers -4 -111 +4 -110 -192 +155 O 50.5 -111 U 50.5 -111
Caesars -3.5 -114 +3.5 -106 -173 +144 O 50.5 -106 U 50.5 -114
DraftKings -3.5 -110 +3.5 -110 -175 +145 O 50.5 -105 U 50.5 -115
FanDuel -3.5 -115 +3.5 -105 -178 +150 O 50.5 -110 U 50.5 -110
Fanatics -3.5 -110 +3.5 -110 -175 +145 O 50 -110 U 50 -110

Highlighted: the best price in each column as of 5:18 PM ET. Prices move; check the book before you bet.

Line movement from the open

Line Open Now Move
South Florida spread +6 +3.5 -2.5
Total 49.5 50.5 +1
Memphis moneyline -230 -175 -6.1% win chance
South Florida moneyline +190 +145 +6.3% win chance

DraftKings opening and current numbers via ESPN.

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More on these teams: Memphis Tigers stats · South Florida Bulls stats · South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates Nov 6 · All College Football prop picks

Betting guides: college football player props guide · college football anytime touchdown props · NCAAF injury report · how parlays work

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